How to get started betting with tipsters – simple 5 step guide

If you have an interest in the idea of using tipsters to make a profit from your betting, then in today’s blog post, I have penned an easy guide to help you get started doing exactly that.

Titled ‘My 5 Step Guide To Betting With Tipsters‘ – it gives you the lowdown on all you need to get going and some of the key concepts to understand along the way in your profitable betting journey.

Tackling everything from the cost of tipsters, betting banks, the kind of profits you can expect and yes – dealing with losing runs, it should hopefully give you a good idea on the reality of betting in this way.

So if you are intrigued by this concept – I hope you enjoy these 5 simple steps…

Step 1: Sign-Up To A Top Performing Tipster

The first thing to do is to find the right tipster or tipsters for you to follow.

This needn’t be an expensive service as many of the top performing tipsters you find within our Tipster Hall of Fame listings keep things relatively affordable – charging an average of around £30 per month for access to their expertise.

A cost that will ultimately be dwarfed by the profits usually made by each tipster over an average period.

Putting cost to one side, what often matters more is choosing the right tipster to suit your circumstances and things like:

  • What time of day you can bet;
  • What you can bet on – often determined by the bookmakers or exchanges you have access to
  • How many bets per day you wish to place;
  • How patient or disciplined you are prepared to be at times;

You can get answers to all these questions and more in our tipster reviews, which are there to help you find the right tipster for your specific preferences. After all, everyone is different and there is lots of choice given the number of excellent tipsters out there currently.

‘Enabled Me To Have A Long-Term Edge Over The Bookies’
“SBC has given me some crucial information on tipsters that have enabled me to have a long term edge over the bookies. Information such as long term consistency of tipsters as well as other key information such as odds and how taking odds at the wrong time can impact ROI. 
Read more from SBC member, Dave on how SBC has helped his betting

Step 2: Set Up Your Betting Bank

Once you have chosen your first tipster – the next step is to set up your points betting bank to follow them with.

This points betting bank is a figure relative to the tipsters staking plan, which ensures you will not go bust and keeps your own staking disciplined and consistent through both good and bad runs the same.

It’s probably best explained with a real life example from our Tipster Hall of Fame – lets call them Racing Tipster X.

For Racing Tipster X, we advise a points betting bank of 100, based on their staking plan which advises you back each of their tips with between 1 and 3 points. The amount in points depends on the tipsters confidence in each bet – 1 point is their smallest bet, and 3 points is a max bet.

If you were to follow Racing Tipster X, you would simply take the money you have set aside to follow them with and divide it by this figure of 100.This is then your stake per ‘point’ advised.

So, if you have £1000 set aside, your stake per point is then £10 (1000/100)

Should Racing Tipster X advise a 2 point win bet, you would then risk £20. 3 points would be £30 and so on.

If you only have £500 set aside for following Racing Tipster X, your stake per point would be £5 (500/100)

Over the past 12 months, Racing Tipster X has actually made a profit of 319.8 points profit so at £10 a point stakes, you would be up £3198.00 and at £5 stakes, you would be up £1,559.00.

Step 3: Educate Yourself on Losing Runs & Realistic Expectations

If all the above sounds easy – well that’s because it really is. You simply find the right tipsters, get going with the advised points betting bank and away you go.

Yet, betting in reality is never that simple and it is vitally important you spend a bit of time learning about the challenges of betting – especially how to handle bad runs and keeping your expectations in check.

With this in mind, I highly recommend all SBC members read the 100 page ‘Pro Gambler Blueprint’ and 54-page Betting Psychology Guide: ‘How to get the Betting X-Factor’ we provide access to via our Pro Betting Fundamentals section.

Both these guides give you both the practical and theoretical tools to cope with the ups and downs of betting and are a great resource to utilise and lean on during your betting journey.

Because whatever some ‘dubious’ tipsters may tell you – everyone loses at times and understanding how to put bad runs into context and keep your staking on the straight and narrow during them is vital.

Ultimately, each of the Hall of Fame tipsters we recommend do have winning long-term records dating back several years, yet all of them at times do endure bad runs.

No-one can ever hit a 100% strike-rate for success and by educating yourself with these easy to read guides, you will give yourself all the tools you need to cope.

 

Step 4: Keep A Record of Performance

It might sound obvious, but another vital part of betting for profit is keeping an actual record of your performance.

This can be anything from a detailed bet-by-bet rundown of each tip you place or even a daily/weekly summary of performance.

However detailed the record you keep – the key point is that you know what you are making and how the tipsters you follow are faring for you.

You can use free sites like Betting Metrics or bettin.gs who not only do this for you, but also provide analytical tools to help you scrutinise your performance in depth. As an SBC member you can also enjoy discounts on both the Betting Metrics & Bettin.gs ‘Pro’ options

During any bad runs of form, I also highly recommend falling back on your performance record to help give some context and insight into your long-term form.

Step 5: Don’t Run Before You Can Walk

As tempting and exciting the world of betting for profit using tipsters can be and is at times, there is no rush to jump in all guns blazing and start risking huge sums of money right away.

I always advocate a gradual walk-before-you-run policy that sees you start with a handful of tipsters at most – possibly even using a few of the top free tipsters we supply to members.

This type of sensible approach enables you to get to grips with the reality of following each tipster and how they work, without spending large sums on subscriptions.

Keeping staking relatively small to start off with is also recommended as it’s far better to learn at £5 or £10 stakes than £50 or £100 stakes.

If rushing in at big sums, you are placing yourself under unnecessary pressure and this also might mean you have unrealistic expectations on turning a quick profit.

Starting at smaller stakes doesn’t mean you won’t make a profit either because as we saw with Racing Tipster X in Step 1, even at £10 stakes, you would be up £3198.00 over the past 12 months to his staking plan.

There are several other affordable tipsters with similar strong records both within our Tipster Hall of Fame and amongst the free tipsters we provide access to who offer similar ‘starter’ options.

Ensuring you can build your betting and tipster portfolio up gradually with the right foundations for long-term success.

Join The Tipster Experts

I do hope you enjoyed this article and it has helped give you some insight into the world of betting for profit using tipsters.

Here at SBC we are the tipster experts, helping to identify the best tipsters for our members to follow to help generate a long-term, sustainable profit from betting. This is based on our 100% independent membership model that enables us to work on a punter-first basis.

First established in 2006, we have helped hundreds, if not thousands of punters make their betting a success. You can read some real-life examples here.

If you are interested in following in their footsteps, I invite you to consider a Smart Betting Club membership, which is currently available from as little as just £2.15 per week.

All of which comes with an iron-clad money back guarantee – enabling you to join with the full confidence you have everything to gain and nothing to lose!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

pete

If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via pete@smartbettingclub.com. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can!

Interview With The Punter Making Five-Figure Profits With Tipsters
For even more inspiration and advice on how to make a profit using tipsters, then be sure to read this interview with SBC member on how he runs a successful tipster portfolio – one that now makes him a five figure profit each year. You can read all about Dave’s approach in this revealing interview now available on the Smart Betting Club Blog

Can this Betting Exchange Football Tipster Help You avoid restrictions?

Last Friday was a big day here at SBC Towers as it saw the release of our very latest magazine (Issue 109), which featured in-depth reviews on 3 new and most importantly, profitable tipsters.

Chief amongst them was our exploration of the major football tipster with 290% betting bank growth since October 2016 and a very easy to follow methodology.

Yet one of the most appealing aspects of this tipster is not just their profitability, but the fact you can follow the tips in on the exchanges – Betfair, Smarkets, Betdaq & Matchbook.

Highlighting this a tipster those of you restricted by the bookmakers might very well wish to consider following.

Allow me to unpack a little bit more background on this tipster and how we know it to be exchange-friendly…

Consistent Profits Over 3 Seasons

First of all, our interest in this tipster is based on his record since he began advising tips back in October 2016, where he has made a 145.7 point profit at 8.1% ROI from 1799 bets.

His strategy during this time has remained very consistent with a strike-rate of 43% and average odds of 2.46 (just a tad under 6/4 in old money). You can see the breakdown of performance in the table below:

You can also view the accumulation of profit over this period of time via the graph below, which charts the points profit over the years. There are no major ups and downs, which indicates a consistent service and the usage of a steady tipping strategy.

All Tips In Major Football Markets

In terms of the markets this tipster focuses on, the vast majority are straight Home or Away bets with 1611 so far at average odds of 2.47, running at a ROI of 7.7%.

He also bulks these tips out with occasional Asian Handicap tips, which are running at an extraordinarily high ROI of 11.6%. A figure we imagine would be unlikely to maintain over a larger data set.

Considering the vast majority of tips are also across mostly ‘major’ football leagues with lots of liquidity (money traded) then this is another major tick in the box from an exchange point of view. This is because there is plenty of money to be matched on the exchanges in these markets.

You can see the breakdown of performance by bet type below:

Quoted Odds That Remain Realistic

When evaluating a tipster, its absolutely critical to track how the quoted odds they put up stand-up in their chosen market. If, for example the quoted odds are slashed downwards within minutes, then it will raise questions as to whether you can match the performance levels claimed.

As is standard practice with all Smart Betting Club reviews, we ran some detailed odds movement tracking to gauge just this – noting how the quoted odds compared from those advised to those available immediately upon receipt of the bet. We also tracked the best odds after 15 minutes, 60 minutes and the closing odds (when the football match started).

First of all, we tracked these odds against those available with a panel of bookmakers only: Bet365, BlackType, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Pinnacle, SBO Bet and William Hill.

Below you can see the results of this study (It covers a period of 2 months) and how the advised odds compared to what you might have obtained at different time periods.

Of most importance is the ROI Difference (ROI Diff) column, which shows how your performance would have stacked up in comparison.

During this study, we managed to almost match the advised prices if placing the bets immediately.(Received) and would have made 0.2% ROI less overall.

If betting within 15 to 60 minutes of each bet being released, this dropped to between a -0.6% and -0.8% adjustment and if taking closing odds (which isn’t recommended) then the difference would be -1.1% ROI. Suggesting that any difference is very marginal indeed if betting with bookmakers.

Better Profits If Betting On The Exchanges

In addition to tracking the odds using the main bookmaker panel outlined above, we also ran a secondary analysis which compared the odds if using these 3 betting exchanges: Betfair, Smarkets and Matchbook.

Our tracking over the same 2 month period suggested that by using these exchanges you could reasonably expect to increase profitability by 0.5 to 1% ROI

This increase in profitability is simply down to the slightly better odds you can often obtain on the exchanges – especially those offering low commission such as Smarkets and Matchbook.

All of which is very encouraging for those of you looking for a sustainable, exchange based solution – and a keen addition to our list of exchange based tipsters that we recommend to Smart Betting Club members.

More In SBC 109

For more on this tipster, I invite you to read our detailed examination, which is available now in Issue 109 of the Smart Betting Club Magazine – available now to all SBC members. Subscribe now and gain immediate access.

Should you wish to sign-up to this tipster, you can also benefit from a 20% membership extension if signing up by the 8th March 2019. This is available as part of the exclusive deals & discounts we negotiate on behalf of Smart Betting Club members.

Inside SBC 109, you can also read two more in-depth tipster reviews including details on a 2nd football tipster with a 52% strike-rate and the horse racing tipster up over 353 points profit @ 20% ROI.

Discover more on how the Smart Betting Club can help you and your betting.

Under the microscope: 14 of 2018/19’s best football tipsters

 

The new season is nearly upon us and to help you find the best football tipster(s), you must check out our fantastic new 2018/19 Season Football Tipster Guide!

Inside it features our take on 14 of the very best football tipsters we have uncovered with updated ratings, rankings and recommendations on the best experts for the new season.

You can also read detailed interviews with many of the tipsters including their strategies for the coming season and their tips and advice on how to make a profit football betting.

Tackling tipsters betting across the globe on leagues from Spain to Scotland and Brazil to Belgium, it’s your one-stop-shop for finding the best football betting experts.

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue)

FS1819_Cover

Significant SBC Member Discounts

Inside the 2018/19 Season Football Tipster Guide you can also read details on several significant discounts available of the cost of these tipsters – exclusively available to SBC members.

You can often save more than the cost of a Smart Betting Club membership with many of these discounts combined!

The savings include:

  • £100 off the cost of a season with the ‘Hall of Fame’ Scottish football expert;
  • 15% discount on a top rated South American tipster;
  • 30% discount off your first purchase of any Pyckio.com football tipster;
  • £1 monthly subscription to an up and coming football ratings tipster;
  • Up to £40 off the cost of one of the most popular system based tipsters;
  • £31.75 discount on the cost of the acca and free bets loophole tipster;
  • £32 off the cost of joining another long-running ratings based football service;
  • £25 discount on your first month with another ‘Hall of Fame’ European football tipster;
  • 125 Euros discount on the cost of a season with a non-league football guru.

Full details on these savings (and many others) are available to you with access to the Smart Betting Club website.

Click here to read more on other SBC member only discounts currently available.


“My Net Profit Was In Excess Of £58,000”

“I have just conducted a review of the tipster performance for 2017 and my net profit was in excess of £58,000, the majority of it coming from horse racing.”
Michael – An SBC Member For 5 Years

Read more from Michael on his profits last year

michael2

Gain Instant Access & Save Up To £45 On An SBC Membership

If you want to know about the best football tipsters (Plus Horse Racing, Tennis, Golf, NBA, NFL, Darts & many other sports) then subscribe to the Smart Betting Club today and gain instant access to all our expert betting reports.

Best of all if joining the Smart Betting Club today you can also save up to a whopping £45 on the usual cost of membership.

This is because we have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many people as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately. (There is a 90-day money back guarantee available after all)

Best Regards,
Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

Pete_HeadShot_SMall

2018 Discount 468X60

The tennis tipster with a great record laying & backing – ideal for exchange punters

Last week saw the release of the very latest SBC Magazine (Issue 106) which featured reviews of 3 new winning tipsters to help in your profitable betting quest.

Chief amongst them was my in-depth exploration of the fascinating Tennis tipping service with a tremendous record advising both lays and backs in men’s and women’s tennis.

It’s a service ideally suited to those of you keen to bet on betting exchanges such as Betfair or Smarkets, either because bookmakers have closed you down or you are looking to diversify your betting.

content_SBC_468X60

A Fantastic Track Record Laying At Short Prices

My initial interest in reviewing this tipster was based on the outstanding performance levels my team and I observed from the lay bets put forward since 2016.

Recommending a handful of tennis lays each day at short prices, over the course of 1279 tips they have made a pre-commission profit of 80.8 points profit at 14.2% ROI.

Of course, nobody can place a lay on an exchange without paying a commission fee, so I adjusted these profit figures to deduct 5% off each winning lay. 5% is Betfair’s starting commission rate (it reduces the more you use them) so is a good ‘worst-case scenario’ to work off.

With 5% taken off, this worst-case scenario worked out as 59 point profit at 10.4% ROI if using Betfair. Those of you with lower Betfair rates or even with a lower exchange fee service like Smarkets or Matchbook might well be even better off.

image1

Using this post-commission record as the basis of our reporting, I also began to investigate performance across several other variables.

Chiefly amongst this was the price range that lays were taken on at, where I found the service to be profitable across the board.

Below you can see how I broke down the performance based on the price bracket, with the majority of lays being for selections 1.50 and below. Impressive figures indeed.

image2

I also found no major difference as to whether this tipster was advising lays in either men’s or women’s tennis with a very similar record across both ATP and WTA tours.

image3

It’s not only lays that this particular tennis specialises in but also his ‘back’ bets where he too has a very impressive record.

Although only commencing in 2017, over the course of 619 back bets so far, a profit of 40.9 points at 6.9% has been achieved.

You can see how this breaks down to 1 point level stakes below:

image4

Save £5 A Month On This Tipster With SBC

With profit figures both laying and backing, it’s easy to see why I took the time to analyse this service with a 9-page review of what they offer in SBC 106.

You can read about all aspects of the service including betting bank analysis and our odds tracking data, which indicates how viable these results actually are.

Best of all, I was also able to negotiate a special deal whereby SBC members can join for just £19.95 per month – instead of their usual £25 monthly fee. All part of the tipster savings SBC can offer due to our 100% independent status, whereby we take no kick-backs or ‘affiliate’ earnings for our reviews.

If my team and I say a tipster is good – it’s because it genuinely is. Not because we have been paid to say that! (and not something you can say for every ‘independent’ tipster review service.

Grab Your Copy Today (And The Entire Back Catalogue!)

If interested in reading the full review above, you can access it and our entire back catalogue of magazines the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

This includes access to every single tipster review we have ever written (there are literally hundreds available) and all of the Hall of Fame Tipsters we recommend to make you money betting.

Check out some of our latest publications.

You can also enjoy significant discounts on the cost of joining many of these tipsters via our unique Tipster Discounts – exclusively available to SBC members only.

See you on the inside

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

Pete_HeadShot_SMall

6 Tips For Following Racing Tipsters On Betting Exchanges

It is common knowledge these days that if making money betting on horse racing, you will at some point encounter difficulty with either your stakes being restricted or your bookmaker account being closed.

There is hope that this may change in the future with the discussions surrounding a minimum bet law, which are certainly gaining traction in 2018.

Yet until such a time as bookies either agree or are compelled to lay all punters a decent bet, one of the most popular places to bet without issue are the betting exchanges.

So, to help you understand more on how to maximise this, I have put together this updated guide featuring 6 tips for following racing tipsters on betting exchanges…

1) UNDERSTAND WHEN MONEY HITS THE RACING EXCHANGE MARKETS

As an exchange-only racing punter, it’s important to understand that the vast majority of money only starts to flow into most racing markets approximately 10 to 15 minutes before the off.

(I say most as there are some obvious exceptions such as at Cheltenham or other big race meetings, which will see larger sums traded earlier)

To showcase this, compare the amount of money traded on Betfair for each of these 5 races that took place on a pretty standard Monday afternoon’s racing.

I simply noted down the amount of money traded at 3 time points: 21 minutes, 11 minutes and 1 minute before the off for each of the 5 races, which you can see below:

content_EXCHANGES-IMAGE

Without exception, the most trading took place in the 11 minutes before each race started.

Take the 4.30pm race as one example – at 4.19pm, there was £60,925 traded yet come 4.29pm, this had jumped to £495,057.

Within 10 minutes an extra £434,132 had been traded – 87% of the entire market!

The knock-on effect of this is two-fold.

Firstly, it’s an understanding that most of the trading takes place during this time and when your exchange bet is most likely to be matched.

Secondly, it’s the knowledge that prior to the final 10 minutes, it is harder to get your racing bet accepted, especially if it’s based on advice coming from a popular tipster.

SBC 468X60 (1)

2) CONSIDER BETFAIR SP TIPSTERS

One of the simplest angles to make a profit on the exchanges is by following tipsters that make a profit at Betfair SP (after commission of course!).

They offer the easiest, most simple approach as once a tip comes in – you simply place the bet, stick in your stake at Betfair and walk away.

Although the number of profitable Betfair SP tipsters is growing, it’s a fairly small pool to choose from currently.

One profitable Betfair SP tipster I rate highly is the free ‘place laying’ tipster providing their advice for free to SBC members currently. The tipster is called ‘The Accountant’.

Simply put, he recommends you lay their horses NOT to finish in the place money in any given race. That is not to finish in the first 2, 3 or 4 of a race depending on the number of runners.

Over the course of more than 800 lays and risking no more than 3% of your betting bank on any advised price lay, this tipster has grown a bank of £1000 to in excess of £2,500.

This is after 5% Betfair commission has been deducted from each profitable lay.

Providing one simple angle for those of you after a simple exchange tipster for you to follow.

3) DON’T BET IF THE VALUE HAS GONE

One of the most fundamentally important points to consider when betting is that of obtaining value.

All successful punting is based on the concept of value betting and the idea that the odds for any particular bet are priced in your favour.

Therefore, the odds you take on a bet really matter.

If you can get 5/1 on a horse that should be 4/1, then you have a strong value bet.

Yet if the same tipped up horse at 4/1 is only available at 3/1 – the opposite applies.

If you constantly are taking too short a price on a horse, you will lose money.

Which is why it’s important to ONLY bet if the value is still there.

Many good tipsters recognise this and put up minimum value odds to make you aware of where the value cut-off point actually lies. They recognise that a tip might see market support and if it does, you know where to draw the line.

If restricted to exchange betting, look out for this and stick to the minimum value thresholds – they are there for a reason and they will guide you as to the prices to take.

And whatever you do – never place a bet if the value has gone.

SBC 104 468X60

4) RECOGNISE YOU WILL WIN SOME, LOSE SOME

Mindful of the need to take a value price, if exchange betting you must accept that sometimes you will miss out on a bet if the odds are too low.

Yet on the flipside, you might also get BETTER odds on other bets when the odds drift.

Whilst on occasions, you might miss out on a winning bet because you can’t get the right odds, on other occasions you will enjoy a bigger payout through this strategy.

If and when this happens, remember the logic behind it all and try to be as phlegmatic as possible.

All gamblers HATE missing out on winning bets, especially if they feel they should have been on it, yet they very rarely remember the times they missed out on a bet that lost.

My suggestion here is to consider keeping a record of each occasion you miss out on a bet (both winners and losers) or get a greater value price than you might have originally. Through this, you can track the ups and downs and see at a glance exactly how you have fared overall.

5) DON’T WORRY ABOUT DRIFTERS

Flowing on from this last point – don’t also get too bogged down by the idea that a ‘drifter’ (a horse whose odds get bigger as the race draws nearer) is no longer worth backing.

Racing pundits like to bang on about horses being weak or friendless in a market, yet the reality is they have no idea if this market move is significant or not. They are often just filling airtime.

If market support was so telling – everyone would simply lump on a horse at the first sign of it being backed in. Market support is no guarantee a horse is a ‘good thing’.

Unless there is clear evidence a horse has something wrong with it before a race, don’t be unperturbed by backing a ‘drifting’ bet.

Look at it instead as a chance to get better value. If you can get 10/1 about a tip advised as value at 6/1 earlier in the day – take it!

After all, unless the horse in question has a major problem – if a tipster you trust said that 6/1 is a value price, then 10/1 will represent a massive increase.

2018 BTG 468X60

6) CAN’T GET MATCHED STRAIGHT AWAY? PUT IN A REQUEST

If you can’t get on a bet earlier in the day at a value price, you might also like to consider putting in a request to get matched on the exchanges later on that day.

There are two ways you can do this – requesting a price pre-race and also in-play.

Pre-race betting is easy – you set the odds you want to take and put the request into the market to hopefully be matched. If come the start of the race it isn’t matched, the bet is cancelled.

Putting a bet in the in-play market is different as it ensures the bet will also remain available throughout the race as it takes place.

When doing this, it’s important to be aware that you will ALWAYS be matched in-play on any bet that loses the race BUT there is no guarantee you will be matched on a winner.

Therefore, you do have to approach in-play betting with caution and it is best when used in conjunction with watching a race live and an understanding of racing in general.

You also might only want to leave a bet to be matched in-play, when the odds pre-race are very close to those you wish to take OR perhaps risking only half stakes.

Equally if you have a good knowledge of racing, you might want to make judgements based on the competitiveness of each race, the merits of each horse (does it prefer setting the pace or being a backmarker) and the distance run.

MORE HELP EXCHANGE ONLY BETTING

I do hope over the course of this article, I have helped provide some answers to questions you might have about betting on the exchanges.

Here at the Smart Betting Club we have a burgeoning members section devoted to exchange-only betting.

Within this exchange section you can read our detailed reviews and analysis of a handful of profitable betting exchange-friendly tipsters.

Ideal for those of you either unable to bet with bookmakers or simply looking to bet on the exchanges as much as possible.

So, if you are you looking for a solution to help you turn a profit using the betting exchanges (or indeed the Asian football betting markets), you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership.

Join The Smart Betting Club.

Why some racing tipsters quote misleading odds & how to avoid being duped

 

One of the most important issues facing many racing tipsters these days is that of odds availability.

Can you as a punter realistically obtain the odds that a tipster puts forward?

For some popular or free tipsters like Hugh Taylor and Pricewise it’s always been an issue as the weight of money behind their tips forces the odds in very quickly indeed.

Yet it is also now a growing issue for other less well-known tipsters too – especially horse racing experts that put up bets the night before a race runs.

Because whilst it might make sense to follow a tipster snapping up the earliest value – in reality, it can cause you all kinds of problems.

Allow me to explain more, including why some unscrupulous tipsters are taking advantage and catching unwary punters out

SBC 104 468X60

The Evolution Of Racing Bookmaking

To help explain the current issue with taking early odds, it’s worth a quick walk down memory lane to understand how betting on racing historically worked.

Back in the good old days, most major bookmakers employed large teams of racing traders who would price up each race meeting and manage a traditional racing book.

As money flowed in a market, the odds for each horse would change as each firm managed their liability and tried to work an overall profitable position.

Occasionally, some bookmakers would find themselves getting filled in and taking a hit if getting it wrong, yet their in-built over-round always ensured that long-term, they would usually make a profit.

With the introduction of betting exchanges, all of this changed.

Nowadays, large-scale racing trading teams are a thing of the past, with almost all bookmakers basing their odds on what happens on Betfair.

If money comes in for a horse on Betfair – the bookie slashes its prices to reflect that. The opposite rings true on horses that drift in price although generally bookies are much slower to put their odds up than down!

Ultimately, the art of building a racing book has been lost.

And this in turn has impacted how we as punters get on and how the markets react to shrewd money.

Why Odds Are Odd When Betting Early

This sea change in the world of racing bookmaking has had a major knock-on effect for those punters keen to bet early – especially in your bog-standard racing fare.

For most horse races these days, you can expect to see the first odds start to appear around 4 to 5pm the day before racing is due to take place.

As the evening wears on, a few more firms will start to quote odds until there are a handful of bookmakers pricing up each horse in a race.

The problem is these prices are based on a very small amount of trading seen on Betfair – which is usually not much money at all.

And without a decent Betfair market to guide them and very little ‘racing expertise’, the bookies know they are vulnerable to shrewd punters who try and snap up the value odds on any overpriced horses at this point.

Therefore, even moderate sums of money coming in for a horse (especially at big odds) will see its price collapse in no time and the accounts of those placing such bets eyed with suspicion.

The Accountant

 

Tipsters & Their Quoted Prices

It is this issue of slashing odds that causes such a problem for tipsters who post up bets the evening before racing.

The general logic is that the earlier a tipster puts up a tip, the greater chance its odds will move downwards*

*Although it’s important to make the distinction here that betting in the major race meetings such as Cheltenham or on the big Saturday/Sunday featured races won’t see the same level of movement.

For those tipsters with a large subscriber base, there is zero chance the quoted odds will hold up.

It’s all too common to see a price of 20/1 quoted by a tipster, yet within minutes it’s a best 16/1 or 14/1. Come the morning of the race its 10/1 and it starts at 8/1 SP.

Considering betting profitably is all about value, even a change from 20/1 to 16/1 can and does make a major difference to your bottom line.

Taking 8/1 or 10/1 on a 20/1 shot isn’t worth thinking about neither – and by doing so you are actually more likely to turn a loss then a profit.

A 26% Drop In ROI After Just 15 Minutes!

Yet despite these clear issues with early tips – some unscrupulous tipsters continue to wilfully take advantage and claim what might be termed ‘fictional odds’ for their advised bets.

A clear example of this came from one racing tipster we reviewed here at SBC in 2017 who claimed a ROI of 46.6% from 880 bets over a 14-month period.

A 46.6% ROI on the face of it is phenomenal – far and away the best ROI we would have ever seen from any tipster over a long-term period.

The problem was – yep, you guessed it. This tipster was putting up bets at 5/6pm the evening before racing that disappeared almost as quickly as he put them up. I know this because as part of the SBC review, my team tracked the odds movement for 135 of these tips, which revealed some significant differences.

These 135 tips in isolation fared well, hitting a 70.6% ROI during a purple patch for the service, yet within 15 minutes of the tip being advised, the overall ROI dropped as much as 24.6%

By 8am on race day, the difference was -60.2% ROI and by 10.30am, it was -67.5% ROI!

The average odds also went from 12.48/1 down to 10.88/1 within 15 minutes – suggesting the odds on his tips were slashed very quickly indeed. You can see the full findings below:

table

So, whilst the odds this tipster quoted were indeed accurate at the time advised, practically no-one would be able to get on more than a few quid before the prices were slashed. Even if you did get on – most bookies would take one look at your betting history and quickly restrict or close your account.

You would be a marked man, because if there is one thing that will get a bookies attention it is constantly backing a horse that drops significantly in price after you get on.

Odds Tracking Is A Must For Any Racing Review

This story outlines very neatly exactly why every genuine tipster review MUST feature an element of odds-tracking.

We perform this as standard for every major tipster we review and whilst it is hard-work and time-consuming, it is hugely valuable.

We track not only performance to the quoted odds, but the best odds after 15 minutes, 60 minutes, at 10.30am, SP, Betfair SP and other relevant time periods.

By doing so we can quickly identify those tipsters putting up genuine odds and inform you as to how achievable the odds are (or not).

The tipster I reference above received a poor SBC rating following their review due to the very obvious odds availability issues. He certainly had an eye for a horse, but its highly unlikely many punters would be able to follow and obtain the same level of performance.

Instead of claiming a 46.6% ROI from these odds, he would have been far better aiming for a realistic 15% ROI by putting up bets at 10.30am when most punters could get on.

The good news is that there are numerous tipsters that we rate and recommend here at SBC who do play fair by the odds they quote for subscribers.

They might not be able to claim a 46.6% ROI, but at least you know what they do offer is realistic and fair.

Many of them can be found within our Hall of Fame listings and reviews, which you can obtain full details on with a Smart Betting Club membership.

Whatever you do though, be very wary of any tipster quoting results based on tips sent the day before racing. Very often you simply can’t match their results in practice!

P.s. If ever in doubt as to whether a tipster puts up genuine odds – be sure to ask them exactly when they put up their tips and how they settle their results. If they are putting them up the evening before racing and making no adjustments for odds movement, I would advise you to give them a miss!

Join the Smart Betting Club now and see what all the fuss is about!

See you on the inside

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

Pete_HeadShot_SMall

Anatomy of a profitable tipster: 5 KEY pointers to find a genuine tipping expert

 

I recently released the 2nd review from SBC’s 2018 Best Tipster Guide, focusing in great detail on one of the very best tipsters my review team and I have ever had the pleasure to examine.

But exactly what is it that the SBC review team (and therefore you) should look for in a tipster?

And what qualities does a tipster have for us to enter it into our Best Tipster Guide?

To help answer these questions, today I want to explore the anatomy of a profitable tipster with 5 KEY pointers for you to consider when weighing up whether a tipping service is for you or not.

To help, I will be using this latest Best Tipster Guide expert as a reference point and tackling topics like staking plans, profit levels, exchange backing, odds availability & much more besides…

Here then is my 5 point guide to finding a genuine tipping expert...

1) Long-term, consistent & realistic profit

Just like football managers, tipsters live and die based upon the results they achieve. If they don’t make a simple profit for you (over and above the cost of joining) then there really is no point to them.

Once there is a profit to view, then its also important that it is both relatively consistently achieved and realistic. You would be amazed at how many ‘profitable tipsters’ are nothing of the sort on this front.

For example – I recently explored a tipster with on the face of it a profitable record from over 800 bets, yet by digging into their results I found this record was massively skewed by a 200/1 winner. The profits from that 1 bet aside, the service had made a combined loss from the other 799 bets!

Contrasting with this, our Best Tipster Guide (BTG) expert has a consistent, long-term record with a profit from each season active. Some seasons higher, some lower but each profitable and an average seasonal profit of around 45 points.

BTG001_2303

This general consistency is further backed up by the profit graph below that is useful as we can see any spikes (like a 200/1 winner) that might suggest problems.

Beyond a small plateau between the 600 and 700 bet marker, its been generally smooth upward progress for our BTG expert.

BTG002_2303

2) A staking plan that works

When a tipster has a profitable strategy, one other simple way they can maximise this is through a staking plan.

The theory here is that you should stake more when there is greater perceived value from a tip and less when the opposite applies.

Once again our BTG expert ticks these boxes and by viewing their staking plan, we can see how the greater the amount staked, the greater the ROI.

BTG003_2303

For example, the smaller staked bets (0.25 points) return a 16.8% ROI, whereas the maximum staked bets (1.5 to 2 points) hit a 38.8% ROI.

Proof positive this expert knows where the value lies as the greater you stake, the greater your profit.

3) Odds you can actually get

In today’s modern betting world, we must also be aware of the issues we might suffer in trying to get our bets on.

Bookmakers shift prices very quickly at the smallest sign of shrewd money on a racing bet, especially those placed early away from the big race meetings.

Even if you do manage to obtain a good price for your bet, if it should win and especially if it shortens in price dramatically before the off, you run every chance of suffering a bookmaker account restriction or closure.

Which is why its important to follow a tipster that takes this into consideration. If they are putting up a 33/1 hot racing tip at 6pm the night before racing and not accounting for any price movement should the odds be slashed, its a problem.

Again though, our BTG expert leads the way here with a policy of only tipping in big raceswhen markets are already formed and when you are able to back them easily in shops.

He explains more on his fair policy here:

Whenever I issue a tip now, it is my belief that it is possible for people to back it in bookmaker shops, should they choose to do so.

So, if I issue a tip the day before a race, it will be in races which are generally priced up at that time; whilst those tips issued in the morning, are only issued when shops are open and the horses can be backed within them.

I’ve actually got a few guys in the service who do exactly this (they have no online accounts) – and they achieve around 90% of the prices by backing in shops.

This also means that the prices of all the tips are relatively robust, because the markets have some maturity. Therefore, it should be possible to back the horses at (or close to) the price specified an hour or so later both with bookmakers and on exchanges.

My focus on big races, helps massively in this whole area, because they tend to be competitive fields, and therefore most of the horses get backed.”

 Bet Diary Ad 468X60

4) Backable on the Exchanges

Leading on from this last point – if you are restricted or shut down by the bookies, then the best route open to you is that of betting exchanges.

Smarkets, Matchbook & Betdaq are all now improving, low commission alternatives to Betfair and offer a genuine route to punters unable to bet with bookies.

Exchanges allow you to win as much as you want and won’t shut you down. They welcome your business, even if you are a winner.

Best of all, our BTG expert is one you can follow on the exchanges with only a 2.6% ROI drop (after exchange commission) from the sample of data we gathered following them with Smarkets.

BTG00_2303

So rather than obtaining the 30.1% ROI as seen in my first point, you might instead make 2.6% less = 27.5% ROI. Still a very strong edge.

During the study, bets were generally placed between 9.30 and 10.15am, roughly 45 minutes to 1.5 hours after bet release.The sample size was decent – 508 bets and in short, the results demonstrated that backing these selections on big race days is viable on the Exchanges:

5) Affordable & easy to follow

Last but not least, there are some sensible things any good tipster will think about – namely the price and how and when they supply tips.

The price is right

The cost of any tipster should be reasonable and will allow you to make plenty of profit beyond it. The profit also should be within your reach to make a profit without staking at huge levels.

Our BTG expert charges just £250 for a full NH season and averages around 45 points profit each time out. Even a simple £50 per point strategy would see you make around 10X the cost of joining in an average season.

Time of bet supply

Its important to also have a clear understanding of how many bets are supplied by the tipster and when they are sent on.

If tips come through at random times with no warning then realistically how are you going to be setup to follow them properly? They might send them at 10pm one day and 10am the next. If you need to get on them quickly then you will often miss out on value altogether.

Again, the BTG expert ticks the boxes here as he uses three possible tipping windows: 17.00-18.00 the evening before racing, 8.30-9.30 am, and 11.00-12.00am.

You know therefore when to look out for possible bets and when exactly they might be heading your way.

Thanks For Reading..

Hopefully these 5 key points will help to guide you towards those genuinely profitable tipsters that can help you make money betting.

There are naturally more than just 5 points to consider for every tipster but the 5 above are some of the most important and where many punters are unwittingly caught out.

Reviewing and tracking tipsters is what we do best here at the Smart Betting Club – having been at the heart of the industry since 2006.

For those of you after more information on our service, you can read about our tipster review process here and crucially our 100% independent stance.

More details on the Best Tipster Guide can also be found here.

2018 Discount 468X60

Save £45 Right Now

By joining the Smart Betting Club today, you can also save a whopping £45 on the usual cost of a Platinum ‘Pro Punter’ membership (which provides access to the Best Tipster Guide)

This is because we have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many people as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately. (There is a 90-day refund guarantee available after all)

See you on the inside.

Read more on how the Best Tipster Guide can help YOU

Best Regards,

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Editor

pete@smartbettingclub.com

How to check if a tipster is telling the truth

.
In today’s modern betting world, one of the most essential points to consider before joining any tipster is an understanding of just how realistic the odds they quote actually are.

Or to put it in more simple terms:

Can you REALLY match the results a tipster claims?

Because, as important it is to check out a tipster’s expertise and their long-term results, it is pointless to join any tipster if you can’t get on their bets at the right odds.

After all, if a tipster says a bet is value at 16/1 and you can only get 10/1 at best, you are taking a price 37% lower than is recommended. The type of difference that can turn a profitable tipster into a losing one if repeated time and time again.

Whilst it is widely known that trying to match the quoted odds for some very popular tipsters like Hugh Taylor is nigh-on impossible, odds movement is also a problem for many lesser-known tipsters these days.

This includes tipsters that put up tips very early the day before racing in weak markets or those that quote odds with bookmakers known to slash odds at the first sign of money.

Very often they are claiming odds you can’t replicate and if not careful, you could end up badly out of pocket.

So, what should you do if wary about joining a tipster for fear of not getting the odds?

Allow me to explain using an example of how we tackle this issue here at the Smart Betting Club…

TPR November 17 468X60

Why Its So Important To Track A Tipsters Odds

For every tipster review I oversee at the Smart Betting Club, I engage a member of my team to track how the odds on each advised tip stack up.

This in-depth tracking is designed to discover:

  • How realistic the odds quoted by the tipster really are;
  • How easy it is (or not) to match these quoted odds;
  • How quickly the advised odds move downwards (if at all)
  • AND….How much money you can really make with any given tipster;

.
To take a recent example – In the 2017 Best Tipster Guide, I reviewed a racing tipster for whom we had tracked the odds available for several months.

Painstakingly noting down the best odds for each tip as each day wore on to see how the quoted odds held up.

This tracking compared the advised odds by the tipster with the following: the best odds available on receipt of email, after 15 minutes, at 10.30am or 60 minutes later (whichever applied) and to SP.

To make this exercise even fairer we only noted down the odds offered from just 10 bookmakers.

What we ultimately discovered was that the odds quoted by the tipster were very fair indeed, with only a -0.2% to -0.6% ROI difference between those advised and those we could obtain.

Here is the full rundown of what we uncovered and how the ROI from this tipster will have reduced over each time period:

Image

Whilst there were bigger differences such as the -5.2% ROI difference at 10.30am and -14.3% ROI difference at SP, this is to be expected for any shrewd racing tipster.

Ultimately this was not a tipster you should be following at 10.30am or SP.

The clear evidence from this tracking was that this tipster is claiming achievable odds and is one to follow.

NOTE: This tipster advises the vast majority of their tips during the big race meetings and on Saturdays, where there is a lot more money swilling around in these markets.

PRO TIP: Look out for tipsters that put up bets in similar markets as you will often find they are much easier to get on!

Adjusted Profits Based On This Odds Tracking…

As I perform similar odds tracking for each tipster SBC reviews these days, I also compile all of this data and present it in our Adjusted Profits Tables to present the differences on show.

Helping you view at a glance as to which tipsters offer the fairest odds!

This Adjusted Profits Table is available in our latest Tipster Profit Report and helps to raise awareness of those tipsters with both fair and possibly, unfair practices when it comes to settling bets.

Allow me to illustrate the power of this table further by using two examples from the latest Adjusted Profits Table (as taken from November’s Tipster Profit Report), which are based on the annualised profits made to a £2,000 betting bank.

Note: This £2,000 betting bank figure is merely a simple comparative sum – you don’t need this sum to follow these tipsters, it just helps us to compare and contrast easily.

Example 1: Improve Your Profits By £665

In the example featuring Tipster 1 below, our tracking revealed that you could actually boost the claimed profits by as much as 4% within the first 15 minutes of their advising a bet.

This is down to an extremely fair policy whereby Tipster 1 quotes and settle all tips to a very achievable price. Simply by using a site like Oddschecker to compare the best odds you can often beat their results.

Image

 

To the £2,000 bank comparison sum, this 4% ROI difference in your favour over a year would be as much as £665 – a very considerable sum indeed.

Example 2: £3,554 Profit Becomes ‘Just’ £2,519

On the other hand, there are also those tipsters who quote what can be considered unrealistic odds as this next example proves.

If taking Tipster 2’s claimed results, you would have made a £3,554 profit – however with this service we noted major changes in price with an 8.5% ROI drop within the first 15 minutes.

This claimed £3,554 profit quickly became £2,519 – a drop of £1,035. Still profitable, but certainly not to the standards being claimed.

Image

It’s Not Just The Profits But Achievable Odds That Matter

Odds availability is a crucial element of any tipster analysis and ultimately helping you choose and find the best tipsters to make you money betting.

Therefore, before you consider joining a tipster, stop to consider just how available or easy their claimed profits actually are.

You need to know if you can match their advised prices…because it can ultimately determine whether you can make a profit or loss from their advice!

The good news is that there are many tipsters out there, including those in our Hall of Fame who operate fair odds availability policies.

Ensuring that at worst, you can match their claimed results and at best – even improve on them by using odds comparison websites.

Get The Full Adjusted Profits Table

You can find the full ‘Adjusted Profits’ Table in the latest Tipster Profit Report, where you can see the individual rundown of the odds tracking for each tipster we have observed.

It’s a great way to discover those tipsters that quote fair odds and where you can realistically match the profits they claim.

All SBC reviews also include odds tracking as standard these days, so you know at all times just how each tipster stacks up when it comes to fairness.

Odds tracking is all part of our quest to genuinely help you make money betting with tipsters.

Sign-Up With A 90-Day Money Back Guarantee

If you want to know more about the very best betting tipsters (including those that quote FAIR odds) then you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership.

Best of all, membership also now comes with the full peace of mind provided by our 90-day risk-free money back guarantee.

Sign-up for either a Gold or Platinum membership and if you don’t like what you see, you can get your money back at any time during your first 90 days as a member.

No questions asked!

If you sign-up and don’t like what we offer for any reason, email us and we will process a full refund. It’s that simple.

We offer this guarantee as we know the difference SBC can make to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately.

<< JOIN THE Smart Betting Club TODAY >>

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

“I believe so strongly in SBC’s ability to help your betting, you can subscribe with a 100% cast-iron 90-day money back guarantee”.
SBC Editor – Peter Ling     Subscribe Now

pete

Updated: How Much We Have Made Betting This Year (So Far)

.
Yesterday I published my interview with the SBC member up £4,200 in just 2 months from following some of the top tipsters recommended by my team here at the Smart Betting Club.

And to further showcase how easy it can be to make money betting, today I have more evidence of the profits being made following tipsters by SBC blogger, Rowan Day.

Rowan writes about the tipsters he follows on the free Bet Diary blog and inside his latest interim report (which you can download below), he writes about the exact profits made so far this year.

The good news is that its been another profitable year for him….Providing yet more evidence (were it needed) that the top rated tipsters we recommend are well worth following.

Click the link below now to read his latest report on the profits he is making!

Download Rowan’s Bet Diary Report PDF

 

159.55% Betting Bank Growth

Rowan’s simple and easy to follow tipster portfolio has been reaping great dividends ever since he first began writing about it on the Bet Diary in April 2015.

Since then, from this low-maintenance set of tipsters, he has made a total of 159.55% Betting Bank Growth and accumulated some excellent profits along the way.

The 159.55% figure is of great interest as it indicates just how a betting bank will have grown in relation to these profits.

If for example, Rowan began with £2,000 in April 2015, then 159.55% growth would have made him a £3,190 profit by the end of October 2017.

Not bad for placing just a handful of bets each day. Yet the profits could be far better…

Here are a few more examples of how the 159.55% figure would have helped with different starting points:

£5,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £7,975.00

£15,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £23,925.00

£25,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £39,875.00

£50,000 Starting Bank in April 2015: Profit of £79,750.00

So whatever size bank you start with, there is an exceptional return available to you.

Whatever your background, experience or thoughts on tipsters – we know that here at the Smart Betting Club, our reports and reviews can make a difference to your betting bottom-line.

Helping you towards the goal of making money betting with tipsters.

Read More On The Bet Diary

If you want to read more from Rowan, then for the past 2 1/2 years, he has been writing a free weekly betting blog called the ‘Bet Diary‘ for SBC, through which he has outlined the ongoing profit (and occasional losses) the tipsters he follows have made.

Rowan follows just a handful of tipsters, which are a mixture of horse racing, football and golf tipsters that suit him and his commitments.

Its just one, very useful example of how with the right information you can beat the bookies (or exchanges) long-term.

Updated weekly, check out the Bet Diary for the latest from Rowan.

Bet Diary Ad 468X60

How To Copy Or Even Improve On Rowan’s Profits

If you are keen to emulate Rowan (or even to simply copy his approach!) then you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership.

We provide you with all the information (both theoretical and practical) to help you make the most of betting for profit using professional tipsters.

Through access to the Smart Betting Club you can read all of our reports and magazines on the best tipsters for you to follow.

Best of all – you can sign-up now for either a Gold or Platinum subscription and enjoy a 90-day risk free membership. So if you find our service not to your liking (we don’t imagine you will!) then you can get your money back, no questions asked.

Sign-up now and get started with instant access.

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor
www.smartbettingclub.com

P.s. What’s more, you can currently save £38 on the cost of subscription so don’t delay, sign-up right now and let us help you get started betting better right away!

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

“I believe so strongly in SBC’s ability to help your betting, you can subscribe with a 100% cast-iron 90-day money back guarantee”.
SBC Editor – Peter Ling     Subscribe Now

pete

Winning Tipster Puts Up Bet, Slashes Odds (Or Do They??)

One of the biggest issues affecting us punters these days is without a doubt – getting our bets on and obtaining good value odds on the bets we strike.

With bookies sensitive to ‘shrewd money’ especially in markets like horse racing, sometimes obtaining a good price on the bet we want can be a real battle.

Tipster puts up bet, bookie slashes odds…

…or so it goes, especially for some of the most popular tipsters such as Hugh Taylor or Pricewise, where the prices they tip at (and all too often settle at) disappear in a matter of seconds.

Yet all is not lost as with the right data and experts to guide you – it is possible to find genuinely, winning tipsters that quote realistically achievable odds.

Let me explain how using a recent example of a profitable tipster we examined here at SBC.

Intensive Odds Tracking For Each Tipster

Mindful of the issue of odds movement, for each tipster we review here at SBC, we hire a specialist odds checker who tracks and records the odds available to see just how realistic they are.

This odds tracking helps to uncover:

  • How long the odds quoted remain available for;
  • How realistic the quoted odds actually are and if you can achieve them in practice;
  • How the odds move after set time periods (e.g. for a racing tipster – after 15, 30 & 60 minutes, at 10.30am plus Betfair SP);
  • Which bookmakers are being quoted and used.

Once you have this data, it allows you to make some very informed decisions on whether the odds quoted by a tipster are realistic or the biggest work of fiction since Harry Potter!

Savings 468X60

Recent Tipster Review Example

To illustrate how this all works, here is an example from one recent tipster review we published.

The review itself focused on a very profitable racing tipster, who since 2012 had advised 2599 bets and made a 15.4% Return on Investment (ROI).

Their strategy was to advise bets in big feature races only, either the big Saturday Meetings or large Festivals like Glorious Goodwood or Royal Ascot. As these betting markets take a lot of money, most tips would be advised late in the evening or early in the morning.

For this particular odds tracking task, our in-house staff member monitored the odds for every tip advised over a 6 week period.

Only quoting the best odds if available with a small panel of bookmakers including: Bet365, BetVictor, BlackType, Betfair Sportsbook, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Skybet, Tote and William Hill.

During this 6-week period, our odds tracker monitored 76 bets in total and noted the following for each tip given:

  • The advised odds by the tipster;
  • The best odds available on receipt of tip email;
  • The best odds 15 minutes after receipt;
  • The best odds at 8.00am, 
  • The best odds at 10.30am 
  • The performance at SP

And here is what he found, with the drop between the advised odds and each other category illustrated by the Estimated ROI difference.
WW131017_01

Marginal Odds Movement – Especially Before 8am

Breaking down this table – we noted straight away that there was very little difference in the odds available both immediately and after 15 minutes had elapsed with just a -0.2% and -0.6% swing.

Even at 8am, the difference between the advised odds and what you could obtain was -1.6% and at 1030am, whilst the odds had shifted further, the difference was -5.2%

Remember this service has made a 15.4% ROI long-term, so if getting on by 8am in the morning, you would only lose -1.6% ROI at worse. Leaving you with an actual real-life ROI of 13.8%.

If you couldn’t get on until 10.30 am, this 15.4% ROI, would drop to 10.2% ROI. Not ideal certainly, but still allowing you the chance to get on and make a fair profit.

Ultimately, we have to come to expect with any profitable racing tipster that there will be a degree of odds movement over time. The fact that the possible ROI differences within 15 minutes are as small as -0.6% and leaving you with a 14.8% ROI in reality is very good in today’s betting world.

It is also very important to note how likely it is you might obtain better odds if having access to more firms than the 9 we quoted from in our odds tracking exercise. Opening up the potential to even beat the quoted odds performance.

Why The Bookmakers Quoted Also Matters!

It’s also important to understand which bookmakers are quoted when a tip is put forward and our odds tracking exercise allowed us to report on this as well.

Let’s face it, if a tipster is quoting standout odds of 16/1 with a firm such as Boylesports (widely known to be amongst the worst for restrictions) there is next to no chance you will get on if showing a modicum of profit.

Below you can find the detail on those bookmaker firms that this tipster used the most, with Bet365 clearly the most popular and quoted on 42.3% of occasions.

After that, came Paddy Power, Bet Victor and William Hill with a combined 36.3% of all bets, followed by a few bets with the likes of Stan James, Ladbrokes, Betway, Skybet & Coral.

WW131017_02

Love or hate the likes of Bet365, they are not known as the worst culprits when it comes to either restricting accounts or slashing odds – which makes sense given the odds tracking study we ran.

I have made around 20k per year extra”…

I used to work as trader for Paddypower and Sportsbet so i have an obvious interest in betting. [Using Tipsters] I have made around 20k per year extra.”    
As written by Justin – An SBC member since December 2013

Click here to read more from Justin on his SBC membership experience

How Our Unique Member-Funded Model Can Help You

The above is only a small excerpt from our detailed review of this particular service, but hopefully it goes to show how our analysis can help you genuinely find those tipsters who’s advised odds can be trusted.

For every tipster review we publish, you can expect to read concerted odds tracking analysis to help you understand just how the odds stack up (or not!)

We don’t just analyse odds movements in our reviews either.  We break down other factors such as yearly performance, monthly performance, performance by odds band, performance by racing code, and performance to Betfair Starting Price to name just a few.

We are able to go into such detail in our reviews due to the unique way we are funded by our members. This allows us to not only report back independently (so no affiliate links) but also to spend hours and hours investigating profitable tipsters.

Providing you with evidence of the tipsters making money in practice, not just in theory!

So if you wanted to see how our reviews and reports can help you – why not consider a Smart Betting Club membership?

Best of all, you can currently save up to £38 on the cost of subscription so don’t delay, sign-up right now and let us help you get started betting better right away!

<< JOIN THE Smart Betting Club TODAY >>

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

“90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

“I believe so strongly in SBC’s ability to help your betting, you can subscribe with a 100% cast-iron 90-day money back guarantee”.
SBC Editor – Peter Ling     Subscribe Now

pete