ūüéßSBC Podcast #67: How To Profit From Golf Betting in 2024!‚õ≥

In the latest SBC Podcast I was joined by Tom Brownlee from Bookie Bashing and SBC’s very own Rowan and Josh to discuss everything¬†golf betting for 2024

The great thing about assembling a ‘panel’ like this is that we all do things in our own way, we all have different levels of experience and we all have circumstances that dictate how we can bet.

This includes 2 strategies for betting each way (with bookmakers) and for the first time – betting to win (on exchanges mainly) and how each of us do this.

We covered the various options for different levels of bettor in our¬†latest Special Report¬†on Golf Betting and in this pod, we ‘add some meat to the bone’, with practical tips, insight and experiences that can help you.

You can listen to Episode 67 now via Apple / Spotify / Google / YouTube and all other major podcast directories (search Smart Betting Club)

An In-Depth Chat With Hardened Golf Punters

In this episode, Tom, Rowan, Josh and I discuss:

  • ‘Cliff golfers’ – those who have cost us the most but who we dare not leave off our shortlists!
  • How we bet on golf, including shops, online soft bookmakers, exchanges and even Fantasy Golf
  • How the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker works
  • Odds ranges, ‘sweet spots’ and which bands of odds can deliver massive profits from places
  • Timing, bookmaker profiling and when we bet to balance every consideration
  • Lesser known bookmakers and exploring firms not on the Oddschecker grid
  • Win only betting – why the tracker finds value (if it does!)
  • Quirks in the data between different tours
  • Drawdowns, tempering expectations and finding strategies that match individual risk appetites

You can learn more about the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker by¬†clicking¬†‚Äčhere¬†and the service we run together, where we share weekly tips using the powerful algorithm is¬†profiled here.

As ever, if you have any questions, comments or feedback please get in touch via the normal channels!

‚õ≥2024 Golf Betting Report: Winning with Bookies And/Or Exchanges!‚õ≥

Maybe it was a birdie? Maybe it was an eagle? It may well have even been an albatross!

Some type of flying creature has just dropped off our latest special report and to round off 2023, golf betting is on the agenda.

Best of all, it covers all angles from each way betting with ‘soft’ bookmakers through to a unique win betting strategy you can use on the betting exchanges.

Report: Covering all angles – Bookies & Exchanges

This¬†28 page special¬†contains all of the usual data and analytics that we use to assess tipster services but our commentary here is a bit different as¬†self-selection¬†is an option here alongside ‘traditional’ tips.

Therefore, we investigate several different angles that can broadly be split into three categories, depending on how you want to bet:

1. Following a curated set of each-way golf selections for every PGA, DPWT & LIV tournament, with around 8 players per tournament accompanied by advised prices, place terms, bookmaker options and stakes

2. Choosing¬†your own list of players, the ways that you can ‘narrow down the field’ and some pointers for getting the very best value when building your each-way portfolio.

3. Win only betting¬†for those of you who want to utilise the exchanges to get the very best value without the need for bookmaker accounts.¬†IDEAL if closed or limited by ‘soft’ bookmakers

Our Personal Experiences

As numbers 2 & 3 above are a little harder to track, we have incorporated our very own experiences and betting records into this report to help build up a picture of how the team at SBC make our profits betting on golf.

Rowan (of¬†Bet Diary¬†fame) wrote the report, adding in his preferences for using this service throughout, Pete’s win only strategy is covered in depth and Josh also adds some notes as he has started to incorporate some of these strategies into his betting too.

Sign up to read: 2024 will be better than ever!

To read this report (and all of our other detailed publications) you will need a SBC Membership.

Moving into 2024, we have more on offer than ever, with¬†bespoke support,¬†video guides,¬†members only podcasts¬†and¬†automation¬†available to members, complementing the work we have done in 2023 on¬†The 5 Stages of Profitable Betting¬†and¬†Exchange & Sharp Bookmaker Tipsters.‚Äč

Our membership plans and pricing can be viewed here and if you are unsure about whether SBC is for you, please remember that we offer a cast-iron money back guarantee so you can try us out with no long-term commitment!

Frankly, Excellent: 2023 End Of Year Update For Quentin Franks Racing

When the transfer window opened in January 2023, most managers were scrabbling around to find a replacement right back or a striker who could transform their fortunes.

Not us. Here at the SBC, we announced one of our biggest ever signings as ‚ÄčQuentin Franks‚Äč joined the SBC stable as one of our ‚ÄčPremium Tipsters‚Äč!

All Weather specialist with the results to prove it!

We say ‘one of our biggest signings’ as Quentin is approaching a decade of profitable tipping which has resulted in him being considered as one of the most respected judges in the industry.

Since he arrived, Quentin has delivered, with 168 points of profit and a 10.09% ROI recorded in 2023 up to the end of November.

As you can see from his long-term record, this is nothing out of the ordinary – there is a reason he is so highly thought of!

This remarkable level of consistent profits has led to 1040% Return On Capital (ROC) for those following Quentin in since he started his service, and when he joined SBC, we worked with him to make slight adjustments to the operation including:

  • a fair odds policy where prices are only cited if available with three major bookmakers
  • a fair recording policy where any dramatic early price drops are reflected in results sheets (along with Rule 4s and no BOG applied)
  • a membership cap to ensure that followers can get prices
  • a stipulation that followers cannot bet on exchanges in the 30 minutes following on from tip release

These policies have worked. Long-term followers (and Quentin himself) have commented that price sensitivity has dropped considerably, with members able to get advised prices with much more regularity than they could before.

We have increased the membership cap as the year has gone on, with small increments used to ensure that everyone gets a good deal!

End of year analysis

With 2023 nearly over, we have taken a deep dive into the statistics behind Quentin Franks Racing to provide extra detail for those considering whether it is for them.

This piece of analysis provides us with a large amount of insight as we take a look at the finishing position of Quentin’s selections, with their average prices:

Quentin Franks Racing: Finishing Positions & Average Prices* 

*99 denotes any data that was unmatchable in our databases

This year’s profits (168 points at 10.09% ROI) have been obtained from relatively ‘long-priced’ winners (0.2pts above the overall mean) and we can also see a higher overall average price for all selections in the table above.

The prices of those finishing 2nd and 3rd was also something that caught our eye. Both are longer than their respective means, with those finishing third being a full 1.56 points above the average.

With this being a win only service (where variance is inevitably high), this data tells us that the ‘close calls’ and ‘near misses’ this year were dramatic, with a much higher ROI (and profit level) very much within reach. For those of us who have followed Quentin’s selections’ race-by-race this year, this theory has definitely been borne out with so many long-priced runners coming close!

Find out more and sign up for 2024

Quentin Franks Racing’s service page expands on this analysis, providing information about the record, average prices, finishing positions and much more.

For a limited time only, another batch of membership places will be made available. You can sign up to this excellent service here.

We will keep this window open until the new spots are filled but please be quick, as previous opportunities to get signed up have been extremely popular!

As ever, if you have any questions, please get in touch.

Inside Information Tipster Review – Premium Racing Tips

Last Wednesday saw the release of the 2nd review from the latest SBC Magazine (Issue 137) which was our much-anticipated review of an ‘Inside Information’ led service and one that had attracted a lot of interest in recent weeks.

That interest was piqued by its mention on the recent SBC podcast and down to its quite frankly ridiculous sounding betting record with a 1204 point profit at 86.61% ROI from 696 bets since 2021.

The full record of this service up to Mid November 2023

In that episode, Josh and I discussed our take on the service to date and the fact that although we had proofed a large proportion of these bets (our proofing began in September 2022) we still had quite a few questions on its operation.

Yes, we had seen lots of these bets win and at big prices over the past 15 months, but exactly how sustainable are these profits?

Is it realistic to expect to make an ROI in excess of 86% year on year?

Could you also trust them with your money as you might a service that derives its profit from more traditional approaches to finding value, such as form study, market analysis or modelling?

Premium Racing Tips

Today I am happy to name the service in question – Premium Racing Tips, which you can find over at https://premiumracingtips.com/

I know a lot of you were keen to know their identity and to explore what they offer yourselves, and whilst I was loathe to share this information before we had published our 20-page review for SBC members, I am happy to do so now.

Now this blog post is not a recommendation of their service from us at SBC as the reality is that our review uncovered some issues that at this time, have raised enough concern for us to only post a ‘watch’ rating on this tipster.

Effectively this means to simply watch how the service develops before considering a subscription.

These issues were only uncovered when we really started to dig deep and perform our usual due diligence as we do on any tipster review.

Initially they focused on simpler things like what seemed to be sloppy results keeping, which actually understated their profits by a small degree. For example we found bets settled on the wrong date and an 11/1 winner actually missed off the results spreadsheet.

Yet then we raised questions about exactly what odds and terms bets were being advised and therefore settled at that didn’t get a straight answer. For example – the tipster recently advised a bet that you could take at 50/1 each way (first 4), 20/1 (first 6) or 14/1 (first 7). The horse ultimately finished 6th and was settled at 20/1 but we wanted to know what the official advice was as it wasn’t clear. If it had won, would that have been logged at 50/1? Or if 7th, would it have been logged at 14/1?

These type of scenarios didn’t happen all too often but it seemed the type of thing that needed clarity. Clarity that never came.

A Watching Brief Only

So with the SBC team having written the review, I then shared a near final draft with those at Premium Racing Tips who it is safe to say were not happy with it.

Exactly why has never been explained to me, but the upshot was that they were not keen for me to publish the review and asked me not to.

Nevertheless, I pushed ahead as I thought it was fair, accurate and representative and I also weighed up the level of interest in the service alongside the number of subscribers to it already (including several SBC members who were already part of it) and felt I had a duty to put it out.

All told, during the concluding process of the review itself, my team and I actually ended up adjusting the planned published review 7 times based on changes from the service at the 11th hour. This includes those named as operating the service and its operation moving forward, their desire to include and then exclude a written interview and the fact their previously detailed spreadsheet of results online was replaced by summary of bet performance.

My team and I didnt get a sense that this was the most professionally run or stable service and as we said in the podcast – that was the key question for us. How sustainable and reliable are these profits?

So that’s where we are today – our very detailed review was published last Wednesday and for those of you wanting to know more about this service and our forensic approach to overviewing tipsters, you can read it with an SBC membership.

Ultimately I believe that only time will tell on this service in terms of its sustainability as a profitable tipster you can consider long-term. During the latter stages of the review process we saw enough to be concerned as to suggest members only consider a watching brief at this time.

It might be my team and I being overly cautious but it’s safe to say that given the amount of high-quality, well run tipsters available right now, there is no need to take undue risks with your money. Albeit none of them have an 86% ROI but then I do know that the services they offer are sustainable and they can be used with full confidence.

Perhaps in time the same will be said for PRT. I am looking forward to seeing how things develop on this one.

Pete – SBC Editor

 

 

 

ūüéßSBC Podcast #66: Chris Poole On His Career in the Betting Industry, ‘After Timing’ and Tales from the Inside!

In the latest SBC Podcast I am joined by Chris Poole, the Head Of Trading for Bet Victor and an essential X (Twitter) follow as he has a quite unique account, calling out the worst betting related boasting!

Chris has a wealth of experience, working his way up the bookmaking industry career ladder via multiple firms before settling into his current role with Bet Victor in Gibraltar.

Despite initially specialising on horse racing trading, Chris now oversees all of Bet Victor’s sports business, with over people 60 working in his team.

Alongside this, Chris has recently started a weekly Twitter ‘Spaces’ chat with the professional punter (and former SBC Podcast guest!), Johnny Dineen.

It was brilliant to get Chris onto the show to provide different perspectives from many of our previous guests as his job relates to stopping winners rather than finding them! I really enjoyed this chat and I am sure that you will too!

You can listen to Episode 66 now via Apple / Spotify / Google / YouTube and all other major podcast directories (search Smart Betting Club)

An In-Depth Chat with an Experienced Industry Insider!

In this episode, Chris and I discuss:

  • The birth of ‘After timing Ansell’ on Twitter, the issues that it caused and Chris’s current social media activity
  • 26 years working in the industry, being a ‘dinosaur’ and starting out cashiering for an independent bookmaker
  • Progressing through the ranks to work for Boylesports, Paddy Power and Bet Victor
  • Moving to Gibraltar and adapting into a trading role
  • Chris’s early wins and how his grandparents influenced his love for ‘the game’
  • Early bookmaking experiences laying bets (and trying to arb!) on ‘The Crazy Gang’, sports days and Frank Bruno!
  • How Chris never has a ‘typical’ day in his current role
  • Personal betting in trading rooms
  • Football, horse racing and which sports make up the majority of Bet Victor’s trading each day
  • Surprising growth markets
  • Affordability Checks, proposed legislation and Chris’s reflections on how we have moved from the ‘wild west’ to the current day
  • Sorting the ‘shrewd’ bets from guesses, Twitter tipsters or other ‘momentum’ gambles
  • A scary multiple bet with three double figure selections that nearly cost Chris’s firm dearly
  • Minimum Bet Liability, Bet Victor’s attempt to launch their version of it and why it didn’t work when the big syndicates started to pick off prices
  • Best Odds Guaranteed and the issues it causes for traders
  • Chris’s foray into broadcasting alongside Johnny Dineen in their weekly X (Twitter) spaces horse racing chat, ‘The Morning Line’
  • The lessons that gambling can teach you and how it can help you in all areas of your life

Chris was a funny, engaging and knowledgeable guest and it was great to pick the brains of somebody with such a different perspective on the industry.

If you would like to hear more from Chris then you can follow him on social media¬†@ChrisPoole___¬†and this is the perfect place to find ‘The Morning Line’ every Saturday morning.

Enjoy!