Lies, damned lies and statistics in the tipster world

In the crazy world we live in currently, the collection and analysis of data is never far from the headlines.

Whether it be examining the polls for the Presidential Election or the spread of Covid-19 and the need for lockdowns, the ability to interpret complex data and make informed decisions from it is key.

As we have seen from the different approaches to Covid-19 across the world, many ‘experts’, especially the uninformed political variety, continue to interpret data incorrectly and make often well-meaning, yet flawed decisions.

Yet, what you may ask – does that have to do with betting?

The reality is that whatever field you work in, interpreting data and its outputs is vitally important, including SBC’s world of tipster reviews and recommendations.

Certainly nowhere near as important as working out how to counter the spread of Covid-19, yet for those of us interested in betting and the goal of making money, it is important to us.

Yes, we can review a tipster from the basics of data. Pick out what they made over the last 3 months or simply pile in on one that made the most money in 2020, but would that be right?

That is what many simpler tipster review sites do though. Follow a tipster for 3 or even 6 months and say “Yep, this one is good – click this link to join them and we get a 40% share of any memberships you purchase”

The issue with this approach is two-fold.

Firstly the fact these affiliate review sites get paid for who they refer to a tipster (a topic for another day), and secondly, because they are simply recommending those who are hot or enjoying a purple patch over a short-term period.

These is no guarantee that any bettor or tipster enjoying a good 3 or even 6 months, will also be the best option for years to come. They might have simply got lucky.

Let’s be clear on this point because the goal of what we do here at SBC is to outline the tipsters that can make you money betting not just tomorrow, or next month, but for years to come.

Hence why we never go overboard on say just 3 months of results or small sample sizes – or even for that matter use affiliate links in our review, which financially compel us to give positive reviews to something we might not believe in.

Yet, even if we collate years and years of data on a tipster to get a really decent sample size to scrutinise, this still can be improved upon with the use of our ‘Advanced Tipster Analytics’…


Digging Really Deep Into A Tipster

Our quest to get the most detailed, accurate data on a tipster, has informed what we term our ‘Advanced Tipster Analytics’ that now form a standard part of every SBC tipster review.

Much of the work in these Advanced Tipster Analytics has been ported over from other investment worlds and the outputs provided help us make more informed decisions on just which tipsters offer the best chance to make you a profit betting.

To explain briefly how they work – effectively when the SBC team reviews a tipster, alongside reviewing the live, proofed data we have, we also run ‘Monte Carlo simulations’, which replicate the profile of the service over many million data points.

So rather than calculate what might happen when analysing 1000 or 2000 live bets from a tipster, we do so over say 90 million – a much more useful data set.

The results of these simulations can help to answer key questions for any given tipster such as:

  • Is a betting record more likely to be based on luck or skill?
    Getting to the heart of whether you want to risk your money following them…
  • What kind of losing runs or drawdowns might you realistically expect?
    Helping you cope with them when a bad run hits!
  • How do their live results compare to their simulation results?
    Very useful in identifying a tipster that might be lying about their live results
  • Have they benefited from some freak results and outliers that are unlikely to be replicated?
    I.e. Have they got really lucky with a big 100/1 winner or 500/1 each way double?
  • What size betting bank do you REALLY need?
    Because betting professionally is about building a bank!

No Complex Maths Knowledge Required

The good news is that you DO NOT need to understand any complicated mathematics to benefit from exploring these advanced outputs or ‘scores’ we publish as standard in each tipster review.

All you need to do is to simply follow the easy to understand explanations we give and the context to the scores published.

To further help with this, as an SBC member you can also read the Advanced Tipster Analytics Guide we have published that explains things in a simple manner.

Again – no difficult maths knowledge is needed beyond an understanding what each rating means and how a tipster scores in context and if this is good or bad (or in-between)

And naturally, the scores we see from a tipster, then directly contribute to whether or not the SBC team deems them worthy of a Hall of Fame recommendation.

I.e. The tipsters we advocate you should follow based on all the evidence in front of us.

Detailed Tipster Analysis As Standard

All SBC tipster reviews now undergo the Advanced Analytics treatment whereby we run a Monte Carlo simulation to really get to the bottom of just how good they actually are (or not!)

For even more on this topic, you can also access what we call our Tipster Profit Report ‘EXTRA’ which provides you with:

  • Advanced Tipster Analytics Comparison Tables – Explore the performance of those tipsters already reviewed by the SBC team and how they rate against each other.
  • New Tipster Evaluations – View the results for 3 new tipsters that have been put through our Advanced Tipster Analytics and what their outputs tell you

And of course – you can download the special ‘Advanced Tipster Analytics’ guide as an SBC member to guide you further.

Ultimately though, whether you use this extra detail or not and simply just follow the SBC team’s recommendations, you can have peace of mind that no stone has been left unturned in our quest to make the most accurate predictions of which tipsters you should follow.

So, if you are interested in learning more on tipsters including the ones we recommend following and all of our reviews, reports and analysis on the tipping world, why not sign-up for a SBC membership today!

See you on the inside…

Best regards,

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Editor

If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via pete@smartbettingclub.com.

How SBC membership can pay for itself many times over with these popular tipster discounts and trials

Last week saw the release of the very latest SBC Tipster Profit Report, featuring our performance updates on 50 different tipster services as monitored by the SBC team.

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long period of time.

Yet once you have chosen the tipsters that best suit you, the benefits to a SBC membership don’t end there as courtesy of our unique, 100% independent setup, we are able to negotiate substantial discounts and free trials on many of these top tipsters.

Saving you £££ and often more than the cost of joining the Smart Betting Club in the first place!

Here are a few of the amazing deals you can enjoy now…

SBC Member Free Trials

  • Trial the ‘Hall of Fame’ rated Northern Monkey Punter racing service free for 2 weeks;
  • Trial another proven Hall of Fame racing tipster for just 50p for 15 days;
  • Trial a Hall of Fame rated Darts tipster service free for 30 days;
  • Trial another winning racing tipster for 7 days for just £1.

SBC Member Major Discounts

  • Save £100 on the cost of a season’s subscription to the Hall of Fame rated Scottish Football Bets service (Listen to my podcast chat with the expert behind it!)
  • Save £35 on the cost of your first month with one of the very best racing tipsters in our Hall of Fame;
  • Save 30% on the cost of your first membership with any of our top rated Pyckio.com tipsters;
  • Save £25 on the cost of a year’s membership to the outstanding Matchday Profits service;
  • Enjoy 1 month access for free (worth £30) on another highly recommended, Hall of Fame racing tipster

Why We Can Offer These Discounts To You

The Smart Betting Club is proud to be 100% independent and fully focused on helping YOU – the ordinary punter make money from their betting. We are funded by subscription fees from those of you that become a member of the Smart Betting Club.

This independent stance ensures we accept no affiliate deals, bungs or favours in exchange for writing positive reviews, unlike most, if not all other tipster review websites.

So rather than take a cut or a percentage of any sales to the tipsters we review – instead we are able to pass this benefit onto you in the form of discounts on many top tipsters.

Not only do you benefit from reading our unbiased reviews, but you also save substantial sums too. It’s a win-win situation

…And all because you hold a Smart Betting Club membership, which is available from as little as £29.99 per quarter.

In fact, very often just one of these discounts alone can save you more than the cost of joining us at SBC. Combine 2 or 3 together and your SBC membership will pay for itself several times over!

So, if you are keen to learn how to make money betting using tipsters, why not sign-up for a SBC membership today!

See you on the inside…

Best regards,

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Editor

Another big winner golf tipster winner – this time at 250/1!

Over the past 12 months, I have been reporting back regularly on just why so many shrewd bettors are now turning to golf to make a profit. It’s one reason why just last month, my team and I published a special golf betting report on a trio of profitable tipsters making the sport pay.

…And just last night, this focus on golf paid out once again in a BIG way with a huge 250/1 winner from one of the golf tipsters reviewed and recommended by the SBC team in this report.

The golfer in question was Scotsman, Martin Laird who after leading for long periods of day 4, slipped up towards the end of his round before winning in a playoff to spark celebrations from us all here at SBC Towers.

(If you want to see a few of my winning bet slips on Laird – drop me an email and I will be happy to share them!)

Laird’s victory was the latest in a long line of winners from this particular golf tipster, including 4 more at 3-figure-odds in the last year alone: Marc Warren (150/1), Rasmus Hojgaard (200/1), Corey Conners (175/1) and Cameron Champ (150/1).

Since 2014, this golfing expert has now made a 31.88% ROI from 2586 bets at level stakes as you can see in the table below:

Proving beyond reasonable doubt, this expert knows how to make a profit betting!

Why It’s Time To Consider Betting on Golf…

The reason for my post today is not to gloat about a big winner but to encourage you to consider golf as a betting medium, especially in conjunction with some of the high quality golf tipsters as tracked, rated and recommended by the SBC review team.

Such as those we reviewed in our recent Golf Betting Special – available to read the instant you join us at SBC.

It’s not just access to all our golf tipster reviews and recommendations available with an SBC membership that is worth exploring, but also access to the significant saving deals we negotiate on your behalf.

In fact, the golf tipster celebrating this 250/1 winner today has also put together a very special membership deal for SBC members interested in following him in – which saves 33% on the cost of joining him for a full year.

Savings you can put in your back pocket and help you commit towards following this proven golf tipster during the rest of 2020 and beyond and to see what all the fuss is about!

This special saving of 33% is available exclusively via the Smart Betting Club as part of the discounts we negotiate on our members behalf.

So if interested in betting on golf, sign-up for SBC today to discover more on this very special offer and take advantage of one of the very best sports to bet on and tipsters to follow

Once you have signed-up, drop me an email (pete@smartbettingclub.com) and I will send you details on how to sign-up to this fantastic Golf tipster with the 33% discount.

 

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

Discover the 18 top tipsters we recommend in the latest SBC Tipster Profit Report

The very latest SBC Tipster Profit Report has just been published – featuring our performance updates on 50 different tipster services.

Inside, you can read the latest results, league tables and ratings for each of the 50 tipsters, including details on the 18 experts we have awarded a ‘Hall of Fame’ recommendation to.

Highlights include:

  • Racing Tipster #1: The new ‘Hall of Fame’ racing tipster with a 12.88% ROI from over 6500 tips. Costing an average of just £10 a month to follow
  • Racing Tipster #2: The long-recommended tipster up 31% ROI post-lockdown and currently thriving.
  • Football Tipster #1: The automated football method with a 4.8% ROI from nearly 15000 tips.

PLUS details on 10 tipsters available to follow free of charge with SBC membership including…

  • Free Tipster #1: The Golf tipster up 696 points profit @ 21.79% ROI over 1400 bets.
  • Free Tipster #2: The racing expert with 60 points @ 10.87% ROI in the last 12 months alone.

All of the above and a lot more besides can be found in this very latest Tipster Profit Report – available the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

2020 LOWEST PRICED MEMBERSHIPS: Join SBC now and benefit from our cheapest ever membership options!

 

How The Tipster Profit Report Can Help You

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long period of time.

And when I say a long period of time – I mean it as unlike many other tipster ‘review’ sites that base their recommendations on 3, 6 or sometimes 12 months results, instead the average age of a ‘Hall of Fame’ SBC tipster – those we recommend is over 4 years.

Inside this latest report you can read a breakdown on 50 different tipsters, all grouped into different categories so you can easily compare and contrast them to find those that suit you.

To help illustrate just how good the best tipsters are and to help find the right one for you, inside this report we break them down into different categories so you can easily compare:

  • The best Horse Racing only tipsters;
  • The best Sports tipsters (covering Football, Golf, Tennis, Boxing, Darts, Rugby, Baseball, Basketball & Ice Hockey);
  • The most profitable overall tipsters across all sports;
  • The best tipsters from the last 12 months only;
  • The best low cost tipsters;
  • The best free tipsters;
  • The best betting bank growth tipsters;
  • The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices);
  • And much more besides…

We also know that it’s not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

  • The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – Discover how each tipsters profits stand up if betting 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if you are worried about not getting the advised prices)
  • Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – Discover how much money you need to risk on each tipster to make a profit – and how much you can make if doing so. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic

Grab Your Copy Now & Cheapest Ever Memberships Now Available

You can access your own copy of the Tipster Profit Report and our entire back catalogue of magazines the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

This includes access to every single tipster review we have ever written (there are literally hundreds available) and all of the Hall of Fame Tipsters we recommend to make you money betting.

You can also enjoy significant discounts on the cost of joining many of these tipsters via our unique Tipster Discounts – exclusively available to SBC members only.

You can also now join the Smart Betting Club and take advantage of our lowest EVER membership prices for 2020.

From as little as £29.99 + VAT per quarter, you can get started immediately and access the ENTIRE Smart Betting Club service including all our SBC Magazines, Tipster Profit Reports, Free Tipsters, Pro Betting Guides & more.

This includes access to our full 15 year back catalogue and no quibble money back guarantee if you join and don’t like what is on offer (unlikely!).

£29.99 per quarter works out at just £2.31 per week – way less than the cost of the Racing Post.

It’s our best ever SBC membership deal and with our amazing money back guarantee offer you have everything to gain and nothing to lose.

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club and gain instant access


Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via pete@smartbettingclub.com. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can!

September SBC in-house tipster update: 10.71% ROI from 260 bets

September was another fine month for SBC’s in-house tipsters with another 40.91 points profit made at 10.71% ROI from a total of 260 bets advised.

Highlights included the fine profits made by both of Kieran Ward’s racing tipster services and the start of the NFL season from Touchdown Profit who made a 17.12 point profit from his first 26 bets.

You can see the full rundown for September below:

September: 260 Bets +10.71% ROI

Long-Term: 12004 Bets +10.62% ROI

Of course, what matters more than just short-term figures like this is what has been achieved over the fullness of time, which is where once again, each of the 9 tipsters have a fantastic record as follows:

How Can You Follow These Tipsters?

Access to all of the above tipsters is provided exclusively to Smart Betting Club members. Sign-up to the service and visit our ‘Free Tipsters’ section for instructions on how to sign-up to each of them.

How Are The Tips Sent?

All of the tips are sent via email directly to you. You can simply sign-up for those that interest you the most!

Why Do SBC Offer These In-House Tipsters?

We do so as its an ideal solution for those of you not sure where to start OR wary about spending money on subscription fees to a tipster service. Instead you can get all of the above as part of your Smart Betting Club membership.

How Quickly Can You Make A Profit?

Betting profits never come in a straight line so we make no bones about stating you will need patience and discipline to profit long-term from these tipsters. We can’t guarantee (nor can any tipster) that you will make a definitive profit within 1 week or even 1 month, yet what we can show you is that given time these tipsters have made a clear profit. If you join with that realistic mindset, you will go far!

Where Can I See More Detailed Results?

We keep a detailed log of all results at this online results spreadsheet. Please explore the individual tipster results sheets to see a full breakdown of performance.

Sign-up Today

You can sign-up today as a Smart Betting Club member and get started straight away by signing-up to the tipsters you want to follow

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club and gain instant access