Today sees the release of the latest SBC Magazine – Issue 132, in which we profile two profitable horse racing tipsters who both have consistent ROI’s above 15%, fair and transparent odds quoting and outstanding customer service.
With options for making a profit with bookmakers, Betfair SP and in the live Betfair market, there is also something for everyone here!
If you are looking to start following a racing tipster (or add another to your portfolio), then you can read both reviews in full by subscribing here.
Review 1 Key Points:
Explores the industry insider tipster service with a Return On Investment of 17.77% from 1,441 tips to fair bookmaker odds
AtBetfair SP prices, the ROI rises to 28.03% – suggesting a clear edge there!
Includes more data and analysis on further angles for profit in the live Betfair market
3-4 tips each day into mature markets with detailed write ups
Our odds tracking suggests a fair odds policy that means that you can match (or beat!) the recommended prices
Review 2 Key Points:
Tackles the SBC Hall of Fame service with over 10 years of profitable tips
The Tipster has hit A 16.9% Return On Investment (ROI) from over 5,000 selections
Exploring the varying subscription options, including one where you don’t pay until you have hit a profit target
Full odds tracking study highlights fair odds policy and who the service is suitable for – bookmaker players only.
HOW TO ACCESS SBC 132
To read SBC 132 (and all of our back catalogue of SBC magazines) you will require Smart Betting Club membership. Quarterly, Bi-Annual and Annual memberships are available here and with so many verified and profitable tipsters available on the site, this is the perfect time to sign up!
If you’ve recently been struggling with bookmaker restrictions and limitations then my latest article and video for SBC may help a great deal.
I recently recorded a video on the subject which you can watch here.
In this article I feature 4 Tipsters that are profitable on the Betting Exchange.
This means, no restrictions, no closures and viable long term options.
Betting on Betfair or other betting exchanges such as Smarkets, Matchbook and Betdaq can be seen as the holy grail for some sports bettors. If you can find a profitable strategy at the exchange you will not have to subject yourself to the various issues you will face when winning at the bootmakers.
Such issues as account closures or bet restrictions are commonplace for winning bettors at bookmakers. If winning at the exchange however, you will not face these problems and your experience will be very different.
Unfortunately it is not an easy thing to do and people normally find it much easier to beat the bookmakers. This is mainly due to the fact that the smartest bettors bet at the exchange so you have to beat these guys if you want to make a profit.
Luckily for us, SBC have been proofing tipsters that are profitable on the exchange for many years now. This means we have long term records for these services and we can clearly see there is potential to make money on the exchange by following some of these services.
In this article I’ve highlighted 4 services that all have long term profitable records on the exchanges.
Hopefully this will provide some valuable insight to those of you that are struggling with winning at the bookies and are looking for a viable alternative.
Ben is perhaps one of the biggest names in golf betting and tips for the betting website Sporting Life. He was reviewed by SBC in SBC Betting Magazine 119 and while the results assessment in that piece was based on bookmaker results, an odds comparison exercise was done showing that better odds could regularly be achieved at Betfair Exchange.
Pete who conducted the review mentions this in the ‘Odds Movement & Exchange Strategy’ section.
“The issue of odds movement is one that Ben freely admits to in our interview that follows. It is therefore important to be aware of this before committing to back his tips as you will find occasions when the odds on his selections have moved beyond what you should reasonably take.”
He went on to provide a previous example of this which clearly shows the better odds at Betfair. These selections were tipped for the Portugal Masters in September 2020.
Note – Coetzee won with Laurie Canter 2nd to make it a very profitable tournament!
3pts e.w. George Coetzee at 18/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 15/1 (bookmaker) and 18.5 (Betfair)
1.5pts e.w. Jason Scrivener at 30/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 30/1 (bookmaker) and 44 (Betfair)
1.5pts e.w. Wilco Nienaber at 33/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
Best odds 24 hours later: 25/1 (bookmaker) and 29 (Betfair)
1pt e.w. Laurie Canter at 70/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 66/1 (bookmaker) and 75 (Betfair)
1pt e.w. Jake McLeod at 125/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 100/1 (bookmaker) and 130 (Betfair)
The caveat here being you will not get the place concessions on the exchange like you would at a bookmaker. Bookies often will pay anywhere from 7 to 11 places rather than the standard 5 places at 1/4 odds.
We’re able to get round this by splitting our place bet between the top 5 and top 10 markets on Betfair.
If taking this course of action, here is how the returns would vary if staking £100 with either the bookmaker at 18/1 or on Betfair as per the above.
Coetzee top 7: £130 Bookmaker profit & £27.47 Betfair loss
Coetzee top 10: £130 Bookmaker loss & £27.47 Betfair loss
So here you can see slightly less money was made at Betfair but if some of the other selections had won, you would have made more. Plus, a small sacrifice of profit is well worth it when considering you won’t be losing accounts at the exchange.
Ben’s all time record as proofed by SBC stands at +1187.4 pts @ 26.5% ROI. So you can see even if you lose a small chunk of profit it’s very much worth betting at the exchange. Our findings regularly show you can get much better odds there so there’s potential to even increase this ROI.
Market conditions have to be right – odds/liquidity
All time record +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI
Discounts for SBC members
The Poacher is a football tipster that actually tips all of his bets at Betfair Exchange. This means there is no bookmaker comparison to do, no involvement with the bookie at all and the betting record that has been proofed by SBC is 100% based on exchange prices.
That betting record shows an all time record of +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI. This is going back to 2019 so it’s a steady long term profitable record, beating one of the sharpest places to bet around.
As it’s a football service the ROIs are smaller than some other sports but you’ll often find a lot more liquidity in football markets meaning you can get a lot more money down. The strike-rate is higher too so it is suitable for those of you with bigger betting banks that want reliable returns and lower variance.
The Poacher specialises in the Spanish football markets, mainly La Liga and the 2nd division.
Tips at bookies but exchange bets are possible as explored in SBC 118
Profitable at Betfair SP
Discounts for SBC members
The 3rd tipster I’ve featured is a horse racing tipster called CD Systems – Daily Bargain. SBC reviewed this service in magazine 118 and the results proofed were based on bookmaker bets and the Betfair starting price.
The bookmaker bets have shown an all time profit of +484.92 pts @ 31.02% ROI.
The Betfair SP record showed an all time profit of +147.27 pts @ 6.01%
Both these records are going back to 2012.
You can see there’s a big difference in profits here but betting at BFSP since 2012 has still shown a profit. This is very interesting and suggests Steve Jones who runs the service has an edge over the market.
This is because BFSP is seen as ‘true value’ in horse racing meaning you’d expect to break even if betting at that price over the long term.
In SBC 118 Steve mentions this point in his interview with Pete.
“Betfair SP is perhaps the closest thing we have to true chance, albeit retrospectively. Given that the aim of the game is to make bets at better than true chance, my job is to unearth bets that can be placed at prices bigger than perceived true chance.
Clearly, the most basic rule of betting is that we cannot possibly win in the long term if we don’t consistently make bets at greater than true chance odds.
On that basis, I don’t feel that producing performance stats in comparison to true-chance prices is beneficial. No professional would dream of making bets at true chance and any variation between Betfair SP (a 100% market) and true chance would only be either temporary, coincidental or the result of some outside factor (such as an influential tipster or a trader manipulating the market).”
In a nutshell – Steve is not a fan of Betfair SP betting and it is easy to understand why. Beyond setting the minimum price you can take; it doesn’t allow you to know what price you obtain until after the event – something that goes against the whole theory of value betting.
But as Steve went on to explain, there is certainly value (and sometimes huge value) in betting on his selections in the pre-race and in-play market…
“Having said all of the above, I do have plenty a number of members who successfully use the Betfair exchange in conjunction with my bets.
Their techniques involve placing unmatched money at a range of prices, upwards of the recommended minimum price and going out further than the biggest bookmakers’ prices, then selecting the ‘in-play’ option, as there are a significant number of big prices matched in-running.
All the highest matched Betfair Exchange prices can all be viewed historically on the Timeform Results site.”
A really interesting angle here then when mentioning placing bets using the ‘in-play’ option at Betfair. Often in-play prices can fluctuate wildly and winners can hit much much bigger prices in-play than their SP.
You can see how to do this in the below example…
At the very least we would advocate checking the Betfair pre-race market and requesting your bets be taken at the value odds put forward each day by Steve. It might make more sense to also request larger prices in case the bet drifts in price significantly.
As ever, the more time and effort you can put into following the Daily Bargain, the more you can make out of it. If able to take 10% better prices than Betfair SP, you can expect your ROI in turn to rise to 15.24% and if taking 15% better prices than Betfair SP, it would go up to 19.87% ROI.
This backs up when Steve also told us that “The bigger the gap between my minimum advised price (which is my idea of true chance – in other words, what SP should be) and the price you are able to secure, the better for your long-term profit.“
The final tipster featured is an SBC Premium serviceand another golf tipster in PGA Profit. It’s actually a service that I use myself at Betfair Exchange and I’ve already made huge returns from it…more on that in a minute.
For this service we’re lucky to have a big chunk of the results that have been proofed by SBC based on exchange bets. Since November 2020, the service’s record at Betfair is +498.38 pts. To put this in context, bookmaker profits from the same period stand at +524.83 points. So slightly less, but as mentioned before you should be more than prepared to take a hit on profits to be able to find a profitable strategy at the exchange.
And from a personal point of view, when I’ve used this service I’ve been able to regularly get better odds than what has been quoted in the tips. So if I had been using this service for the same period of time I may well have beaten the recorded points profits of +498.38.
Just for transparency, here is my personal betting record when using the service. I’m only 62 bets in but clearly have joined at the right time having hit 4 winners since I started following.
Here’s an example of a couple of PGA Profit’s tips which show exchange prices advised alongside bookmaker prices.
You can see that PGA Profit will tip the price in the top 5 finisher market at Betfair Exchange so the exchange points profit is based on this strategy. It’s also the strategy I’ve been following myself.
To Sum Up…
In my opinion any viable profitable strategy at the exchange is gold. If you find one, hold onto it, cherish it and put your time and resources into making the most out of it. You should be well rewarded if you do.
Hopefully this article has provided a first step into the world of betting profitably at the exchange. If you can dedicate some bankroll to any of these strategies then it is certainly worth giving it a go. It may allow you to grow your bankroll like you never have before.
The very latest SBC Magazine – Issue 118 is out now and it’s a horse racing special featuring two more winning tipsters reviewed and our major new report into the Betfair racing market.
This issue forms part of our ongoingBetting Exchange series dedicated to helping you turn a profit following tipsters on the likes of Betfair, Betdaq, Matchbook & Smarkets. Ideal for those of you blocked and limited by bookmakers for winning!
Inside SBC 118 you can read:
Tipster Review #1: The betting expert with a 9.76% ROI at Betfair SP from 7811 bets advised. 14 page detailed review & exclusive 2 week trial to the tipster available to SBC members only.
Tipster Review #2: The ‘Hall of Famer’ that’s made money with both bookies and at Betfair for more than a decade. 13 page detailed review and free month offer available to SBC members only.
Insight Article: Exploring the Betfair market, How Betfair SP compares and when to place your bets for the biggest profit.
As part of our recent focus on exchange betting, today we have published a special report exploring the Betfair racing market and exactly when you should bet to get the best value odds.
Examining the live market odds for 30,861 horses that have run so far in 2020, we have compared the best prices at several time points before the race starts and Betfair SP itself.
This analysis has identified several trends and patterns that can help you time the placement of your bets for the greatest possible profit. Ensuring you get the highest odds possible.
For example, one clear pattern was found at short prices, whereby a 9.3% increase in odds could be obtained simply by betting early.
Another trend came at larger odds where there is a clear edge simply by taking Betfair SP above a certain threshold. Yet it was also clear that Betfair SP is not always the optimal way to bet and knowing when and where can make a difference to your bet returns.
This report also threw up several other findings of note and if you bet on horse racing on the exchanges, whether it be at Betfair SP or in the pre-race Betfair market, this guide is for you
Part of our Exchange Betting Racing Special
This special report forms part of our recent focus on exchange betting, specifically surrounding horse racing tipsters who make a profit on Betfair or at Betfair SP.
Racing Not Your Thing??
If you are not interested in horse racing – don’t worry. In the next SBC Magazine, we are beginning a very special series focusing on golf betting including 2 fantastic tipsters we fully recommend! Keep your eyes peeled for information on this coming soon.
Smart Betting Club Editor
If you have any questions on this email or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via firstname.lastname@example.org. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can!
The very latest SBC Tipster Review is out now featuring our take on the racing expert with over a decade of beating the bookmaker (and Betfair SP) that we are delighted to welcome into our Hall of Fame of recommended tipsters.
It’s also yet another review from ourBetting Exchange series dedicated to helping you turn a profit following tipsters on the likes of Betfair, Betdaq & Smarkets.
Our New Hall of Famer…
Here is why we rate this particular tipster so highly:
Firstly, the main reason – PROFITS!
Over the course of a decade recording odds to VERY fair bookmaker odds, he has made a 8.56% ROI from 7811 advised bets
There is every likelihood that you would have easily improved on this ROI simply by taking better odds (and indeed our experience suggests this to be the case)
Of the past 11 years he has been active, all bar one has been profitable and overall he has made consistent returns for those following him in.
Next – Affordability, Free Trial & Customer Service
The service itself is also priced in such a way to make it accessible to as many people as possible. For example you can follow until the end of November for just £100 (£25 a month)
Best of all, exclusively to SBC you can also enjoy a free 2 week trial of this tipster. This is only available to PAID SBC members.
The customer service and quality of emails, write-ups and more from this tipster are of the highest standard.
And finally –Betting Exchange Profits
Our analysis indicates you could make a increased profit by taking Betfair SP with a 9.76% ROI to this metric (vs the 8.56% with bookmakers) over the same 7811 bets
All of the above and more can be explored in this new 14 page, extremely detailed tipster review, which is available now!
Get Instant Access To This & Our Full Exchange Series
You can access this latest review and our entire 15 year strong back catalogue of tipster reviews, reports and articles the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.
As an SBC member you can also explore our growing ‘Exchange Tipster‘ section and several other tipsters we have identified as profitable on the betting exchanges including these 3 other recent reviews as released in the last 2 months:
The 3rd review from the very latest SBC Magazine – Issue 117 is out now and focuses on yet another tipping service with a profitable record at Betfair SP.
It’s the latest review from ourBetting Exchange series dedicated to helping you turn a profit following tipsters on the likes of Betfair, Betdaq & Smarkets. Ideal for those of you blocked and limited by bookmakers for winning!
This latest racing tipster under our review microscope makes a profit to both bookmaker prices AND at Betfair SP, so you can simply pick and choose the approach that suits you best.
At level stakes, here is how their record compares over the course of the near 4000 bets advised since 2012:
Placing all bets with bookmakers: 3961 bets. 526.75 points profit @ 13.30% ROI
Placing all bets at Betfair SP: 3961 bets, 400.16 points profit @ 10.10% ROI
So whilst there is an edge if you have the ability to bet with bookmakers, there is still a decent profit to be made if only taking Betfair SP (results are also after 2% commission has been deducted).
Many SBC members who still retain some access to bookmaker accounts are also mixing up the placement of bets. Some with bookmakers, some with Betfair SP to ensure they get the highest profit possible.
Betting Only On Big Races!
The other very appealing fact surrounding this tipster is that they only advises bets during major race meetings and festivals – when bookmakers are less reactive or suspicious of winning bets struck.
In fact, the bookies are often falling over themselves to encourage you to bet with them during the likes of Cheltenham, Royal Ascot or Glorious Goodwood or during the big Saturday and Sunday race meetings.
The amount of money traded and bets placed during these races is also much larger, making it much easier to get your bets down AND much easier for any winnings made with a bookmaker to go under the radar
Get Instant Access To This & Our Full Exchange Series
Monday saw the release of the very latest SBC Tipster Review and it’s safe to say it might well be one of the most popular pieces we have ever published!
Speaking to the tipster behind it all on Wednesday, he told me that already more than 60 SBC members had signed-up to be on the restart list for the service – which is due to begin advising tips again on the 20th June.
This re-start delay is simply to ensure they only advise tips when they have enough solid recent racing form to go off, since the sport itself only began behind closed doors on the 1st June.
The reason for the popularity is easy to understand as this tipster ticks a lot of boxes such as…
Betfair & Betdaq Friendly – It can only be followed on Betfair and/or Betdaq and so is ideal for those of you suffering from bookmaker restrictions.
Automated Bot Placement – The service uses a simple betting bot to automatically place down all bets a few minutes before each race. Getting you the best odds & saving you lots of time!
Major Exchange Profits – Perhaps the most important factor is the profits made as to betting exchange prices, the service has made a 16.51% ROI from 2661 bets since March 2019.
Profitable at Betfair SP – Not only this but if following at Betfair SP, the profits rise to 19.14% ROI(and as always, this is after commission is deducted).
10% Discount For SBC Members – On top of the fact this tipster costs just £29.99 per month, you can also save a further 10% as an SBC member as part of the discounts we negotiate on their behalf.
5 Years in the making – This is also a tipster service that is based on 5 years worth of development and uses 6 different AI prediction models to generate the advice supplied.
This review is also the first in our forthcoming special on Betting Exchange Profits with several other tipsters profitable on Betfair or at Betfair SP to be published in coming weeks and months.
For those of you interested in finding out more – you can download this review and access the 10% discount the instant you become a Smart Betting Club member. Once joined, simply visit the ‘Betting Magazine’ members section to find the review in question.
See you on the inside!
Smart Betting Club Editor
If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via email@example.com. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can!
Free SBC Membership
Access 4 Free Expert Reports
Check your inbox to confirm your email and to get started right away!
“I like that the SBC is independent. I know that when they recommend a tipster, or upgrade or downgrade an existing rating, that their opinion is based on results and judgement, not on hidden commission ”