We told you this football strategy was good…here is the proof (3 X betslips)

In the latest SBC Magazine – Issue 124, my team and I published a very detailed review of the winning football betting strategy for usage within bookmaker shops.

Well the good news is that its been working well since football returned and I have several winning bet slips from the weekend just gone to prove this to you!

First of all, I want to show you the best returning betslip (which I placed) – one that hit 6 out of 7 winners and netted a cool £1,463.18 profit.

Only the shortest priced bet of all – West Ham let us down after throwing away a lead twice!

And there was more!

As if more proof was needed, we also obtained some slips from another bettor using the strategy who made a £865 & £1014 in profit respectively from the following betslips

 

Skin in the Game

So there you go – real life evidence of the strategy in action and SBC’s skin in the game following it ourselves.

Don’t forget – these bets are placed in bookmaker shops meaning no name given, no account restrictions and the opportunity to get more money down.

It really is an amazing strategy that I am loving using!

Find out more about it here – https://smartbettingclub.com/winwithfootballcoupons/

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

Video: How SBC’s 6-Part Football Compendium Can Help You This Season

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In his latest video, SBC Editor, Peter Ling discusses how the Smart Betting Club’s amazing 6-part ‘Essential Football Betting Compendium’ can help you during the 2016/17 season.

The Essential Football Betting Compendium will help you whether a total newcomer or experienced campaigner when it comes to profitable football punting!

Check out all 6 parts of the Compendium below:

All 6 parts of the Essential Football Compendium are available to download the instant you subscribe to the Smart Betting Club.

Your 2016/17 Season ESSENTIAL Football Betting Compendium

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Parts 1 & 2 of SBC’s 2016/17 Season Essential Football Betting Compendium are out now featuring everything you need to know on making a profit betting on the beautiful game!

The new football season starts in just 10 days’ time and our 6-part guide will help you find the best tipsters, systems, bookmakers & exchanges to make it a success for you.


PART 1) SPORTS TIPSTER
PROFIT REPORT

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  • The Best All Time Sports Tipster;
  • The Best Sports Tipster Of The Past 12 Months;
  • The Best ‘Betting Bank Growth’ Sports Tipster & several more ‘Tipster Tables’

PART 2) FOOTBALL TIPSTERS: 2016/17 SEASON GUIDE

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  • Exclusive Interviews With 13 Top Rated Football Tipsters;
  • Detailed Individual Tipster Ratings;
  • Our ‘Hall of Fame’ New Season Recommendations;


Both Parts 1 and 2 are out now, whilst parts 3, 4, 5 & 6 of the Essential Football Betting Compendium will be released in the next fortnight.

Save £16 on all SBC Subscriptions

What’s Coming In Parts 3, 4, 5 & 6!

Parts 3, 4, 5 & 6 of the Essential Football Betting Compendium will be released in the next few weeks and cover all bases. Here is what is inside each:

Part 3: Tipster Review 1: Our exclusive review of the fantastic Brazilian Football Tipster we have been tracking for 18 months – during which time he has scooped a 7.5% ROI from more than 750 Asian Handicap bets.

Part 4: Tipster Review 2: Another exclusive review, this time of the FREE Football Tipster with a fantastic 12% ROI record in the European Leagues – especially in the Correct Score markets. We have a full interview with him plus details on how you can follow for free during the whole of the 16/17 season.

Part 5: Tipster Review 3: Our third and final review hones in on the amazing Football ‘Loophole’ Tipster, who made £2302 profit from just £3006 staked in 2015/16. He utilises bookie specials, accas and shrewd low-risk bets to make easy profits. It’s an ideal service for new SBC members and for those of you looking for something different.

Part 6: Best Bookmaker Report: Read about the betting exchanges and brokers you need to use – those that offer the best, most competitive odds and lowest commission rates. Includes exclusive interviews, reviews and analysis on each option.

Sign-Up Now & Gain Instant Access

The only way to pick up all 6 parts of this unique compendium is with a Smart Betting Club membership.

The instant you join you gain full access to the full SBC service and give yourself the best possible foundations to make this coming season a betting success.

If taking up either a Gold or Platinum subscription you can also enjoy the peace of mind of our 90-day Money Back Guarantee if not satisfied once joining! Ensuring you can sign-up totally risk-free, with everything to gain and nothing to lose.

Read more on how SBC can help you make money betting

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

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Why The First 6 Weeks Of The Season Matter – 23% ROI From 449 Bets


The new football season is nearly upon us.  The television companies are cranking up the hype, there are pull out guides galore, and football bettors the world over are full of hope and optimism as they prepare for the imminent battle against the bookmakers.

(Speaking of which, make sure you get SBC’s 6-part Essential Football Betting Compendium for the new season – the most concise guide to betting and winning in 2015/16)

Football Compendium Guide

Seasoned followers of The Fink Tank Football Service go a step further, for they are full of expectation too, especially given its form during the first 6 weeks of the season, which stands at 23% ROI from 449 bets over the last 7 seasons (But more about that soon!)

Yet betting during the first 6 games of the season is frowned upon by many gamblers as a rule – something I wanted to investigate further to find out exactly why…


Is the beginning of the season not a tricky time for football bettors?

There is no form to go on.  Teams are still wheeling and dealing in the transfer market.  Players are not all properly match fit.  You’re backing a team that has lost all their pre-season friendlies, etc. etc.

On the face of it, there are a lot of reasons why so many bettors believe it wise to wait a few weeks before putting on their betting boots.  Give it a few weeks for the form to settle down, for new players to settle in, for squads to be finalised before the transfer window closes.

But what if we consider that to create an edge in the betting markets we need to go against crowd thinking?  This is what the best gamblers do, and the best betting systems…and we believe our Fink Tank Systems are amongst the very best!

Fink Tank Service

 

The first 6 weeks – why the Fink Tank bucks the trend…

Back in our 2013/14 Season Fink Tank System Guide, we highlighted a potentially interesting area of strong performance – the fact that first few rounds of the season had generated particularly good profits.

At the time we said “profitability to date has been excellent (ROI 19.2),” but we suggested we needed “to see if the early season pattern holds up over a larger sample size as we gather more results this season and beyond”.

With two more seasons under our belt, we returned to this analysis in our 2015/16 Fink Tank Guide, and found that our theory that the first six weeks of the season are very profitable indeed was bang on!

Take a look at the following table.  It shows the results of backing each of our Win Value 15 Fink Tank System bets through the first six weeks of each season:

win_value_15_finktanksystem

As you can see from this table, in total there have been 449 bets that qualify, which have generated a profit of 103.4 points at an outstanding 23% Return On Investment!!!

Some seasons have been better than others but there is a clear pattern of strong performance over a pretty solid number of bets. Those of you skipping the first six weeks of the season with this system are clearly missing out!

Why does The Fink Tank do so well, when everyone else is running scared?

In these early games, the Fink Tank Systems have to rely more on data from the previous season, and it would appear that they do this to great effect.

One possible theory to support this finding relates to the early season hype we traditionally see both in the media and with supporters. Whilst longer-term evidence suggests most teams see only modest changes in their accumulated points and league position from one season to the next, perhaps the market over-reacts to the excitement of the summer signings and ongoing transfer talk during those opening weeks of a new season.

Certainly this would explain why the Fink Tank Systems are so powerful at this early stage of the season.  It’s like we said above, it’s the ability to go against the crowd that creates an edge.  From what we’ve seen, our Fink Tank Systems do this perfectly!

Beyond the first six weeks – how much money can I make through the season?

We feel it is essential to sign up to our exclusive Fink Tank Systems before the new season gets underway, so that you can take advantage of what has proven to be a particularly lucrative first six weeks of the season.

But what about the rest of what is a long season?  We’re sure you don’t want to make a load of profit at the beginning of the season, and then lose it all over the remainder!

Here is a table that shows how much money you would have made from following each of our fourFink Tank Systems through each season since 2008/09, if starting with a simple £2,000 bank:

Fink Tank All-Time Profit

How do I get access to The Fink Tank Systems?

You can now follow the Fink Tank exclusively with the SBC during the 2015/16 season, via our new Fink Tank Football Betting Service.

By signing up you will receive all the best value bets highlighted by the powerful Fink Tank ratings including all the bets from our four systems, every Friday and Monday of the season.

What’s more – those of you with either a Gold or Platinum SBC membership can save up to £50 on the cost of following the Fink Tank this season.

If keen to get started, the first Fink Tank bets are coming this Friday at Midday so make sure you sign-up right away to avoid missing out!

Full details can be found at the Fink Tank Football Service page.

Fink Tank Football Service

 

How To Combine Tipsters & Boost Your Betting


Earlier today we released the 4th part of our new football season guide in the form of our much anticipated ‘Combo Tipster Report’.

It is essential reading for anyone who follows football tipsters (or just tipsters in general) as it showcases just how you can improve your betting profits by using just one simple strategy.

So if you are keen to find out how the Combo Tipster Report can help you, read on for more details!

Make Money Betting - Join the Smart Betting Club today

What is the Combo Tipster Report all about?

The Combo Tipster Report looks at one key aspect of using football tipsters to make profit namely…

What happens when more than 1 tipster puts up the same team as a bet?

We have all heard of the phrase “2 heads are better than 1” and we wanted to put this to the test by analysing 4 top tipsters across all 4 top English leagues to see what happened when they put up the same tip.

We spent hours plugging the data in and researching this question, yet it was well worth the effort as the findings were impressive to say the least!

Tell me about what you uncovered?

We found that there was a clear pattern of boosted performance, especially when 3 of the 4 tipsters put up the same team as a bet.

This happened more regularly than you might think with 918 such bets from the past 4 seasons alone showcasing some impressive performance. Here is what we discovered…

Tips put forward by just 1 tipster: 2320 bets, 121.9 pts profit and a 5.3% ROI

Tips put forward by 3 or more tipsters: 918 bets, 135.9 pts profit and a 14.8% ROI

All told, by following this Combo Method, you would have made an extra 14 pts profit from 1402 fewer bets. Critically this boosted your ROI by 9.5% as well.

…And so on the back of this knowledge, we have put together 6 recommended ‘Combo Tipster’ Systems for the new season, which are also listed in the report.

What are these Combo Tipster Systems and how can they help?

The basic theory here is that by either focusing in on these ‘Combo Tipster’ selections alone or by staking more on them we can massively improve our betting.

Each of the 6 Combo Systems therefore take a different approach when it comes to staking.

For example Combo System E (which is my favourite) suggests staking 1 point on any tips highlighted by 1 to 2 tipsters, and staking 2 points on any tips highlighted by 3 to 4 tipsters.

Had you done this over the past 4 seasons, you would have placed 4998 bets with a profit of 378 points and ROI of 6.4%.

Best of all though is the Betting Bank Growth (or ROC as we often term it) which stands at 378% over the past 4 seasons. Averaging 94.5% per season.
Fink Tank Service

Exactly how can punters put these findings into practice?

It can help you in 2 different ways.

Firstly if following any of the 4 football tipsters we feature in the Combo Report, you can apply it straight away. All 4 tipsters are very popular and profitable in their own right but when put together they really shine. If keen to follow any of these 4, there are significant discounts available on all of them for Smart Betting Club members (Read all about our Big Tipster Discounts!)

Second of all, punters can benefit by applying this Combo Tipster theory to their own betting.

Do you follow more than 1 tipster and wonder what to do when they back the same horse or team?  Well our research shows that if they are genuinely good individually, together they will perform even better.

What else is in the Combo Tipster Report?

Alongside a full rundown on all of the Combo Systems & Analysis above, in the report you can also find:

  • How the odds compare if taking an early price on a football bet, set against the odds at kick-off. Is it better to bet early or late? Our research reveals all.
  • Which method of football betting will make you the most bang for your buck – Asian Handicap or Win only? We have another article devoted to this topic.
  • How the top tipsters perform by league – find out where they make money and where they struggle!
  • Which bets you should cut out from your football betting and why – our odds analysis reveals the least profitable bets you can do without.

You can grab your copy of the Combo Tipster Report PLUS our full 5 part new football season guide with a Smart Betting Club membership.

football_compendium

The SBC Guide To Betting On The Copa America

Last Saturday’s Champions League final between Barcelona and Juventus might have signaled the traditional end of the European football season, yet will be still be plenty of action to bet upon over in South America this June and July – with the start of the Copa America tournament.

Featuring all the South American heavyweight teams and players, the Copa America starts on Thursday the 11th on June and is taken deadly seriously in South America – its effectively their equivalent of the Euros, thus ensuring there will be plenty of competitive football for us to bet upon for the next month.

Already the bookies are getting busy putting together all kinds of special offers and deals but for those of you unfamiliar with South American football and the Copa America, we have put together a special guide to help explain it all.

Download Our Free Copa America Football System

If you are having a bet in the Copa America this June and July, first of all make sure you download our free Copa America Football Betting System!

Proven to work and make a profit on International Football (It has made £457 at £25 stakes in the last 2 World Cup’s combined) it is available catch-free to all!

Simply visit our special Copa America Football Betting page to grab your copy now!


The SBC Guide To The Copa America

If you’re not familiar with the Copa America tournament, then I hope you soon will be. It encompasses talent, passion, skill, rivalry and all the colour of a World Cup, with some South America flair.

This year’s edition will be held in the wonderful country of Chile, and it’ll be the 44th edition of the competition. It’s a particularly exciting time to start following the Copa, as this is the first of two tournaments taking place in the next 12 months.

With 2016 due to be the 100 year celebration of CONMEBOL, the federation has organised a second Copa America to take place in the United States of America, and unusually it will feature 16 teams from two federations.

This year’s edition features just 12 teams, with two of those being guests from the North American region governed by CONCACAF. Mexico and Jamaica are the special guests of this year’s Copa, but it’s hard to expect much from either nation.

History

Whilst it may not be as well covered as the likes of a World Cup or the Euros over here, the Copa is huge. It was first hosted all the way back in 1916, 100 years ago. It is the oldest active international continental football competition.

The first edition of the competition saw just four teams compete in a round robin format. Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Uruguay were the competitors, and it was the Uruguayan’s who lifted the trophy on Argentinean soil.

It was the first of many trophies for a nation that has exceeded all expectations for its size, and Uruguay went on to add a further 14 Copa’s to their trophy cabinet, including the most recent edition in 2011.

In the earlier years, the competition was almost a yearly event with the same four teams competing. On occasion, Paraguay would replace Chile. Since the continual group of the tournament, it’s become a four yearly event that’s not featured on the FIFA Calendar.

It took Chile until 1926 (10 Copa tournaments) to register their first win in the competition, but as hosts of this year’s event, hopes are high.

Format

It’s no secret that Brazil are one of the most successful nations in the history of our wonderful sport, but that aside, the South American region continues to grow stronger and stronger. At the start of play, four of the 12 sides featured rank in the World Top 10.

Argentina (2), Colombia (3), Brazil (6) and Uruguay (8) are the big four here, but the draw dictated that Chile could only meet two of those at best, avoiding Argentina and Brazil.

The host nation, as is tradition, earned the right to enter themselves in to pot one of the draw along with the two highest ranked teams, Argentina and Brazil. That means they cannot meet each other in the group stages, and the draw went as follows.

Group A is home to the hosts, and Chile arguably have the easiest group as the home nations conveniently often do. They will meet Mexico, Bolivia and Ecuador.

Group B has pitted tournament favourites Argentina against Uruguay, Paraguay and Jamaica, making their progress a foregone conclusion also.

Group C has Brazil facing Colombia, Peru and Venezuela. On paper you’d think qualification will be easy for the Brazilians and, well, you’d be right.

The group stage naturally follows in to a knockout competition where we’ll see the following matches.

Winner of Group A vs. Third Place Group B/C
Runner Up Group A vs. Runner Up Group C
Winner Group B vs. Third Place Group A/C
Winner Group C vs. Runner Up Group B

From there, the semi-finals, final and third place playoff game are played until we have our winner and runners ups.

The Teams

Argentina: Argentina are everyone’s favourites to win the tournament, and the bookmakers support that thought. There are three teams capable of topping the favourites, though, so it’s not a foregone conclusion. It has to be noted they haven’t won the Copa since 1993, and on four occasions since haven’t even made the final four. Their squad this year is indeed a terrific one, but it’s been a very long season for the likes of Mascherano and Messi, and I do question the quality of their defence.
Prediction: Group B Winners with potential to win it all

Brazil: If Argentina are to exit the competition, then Brazil will naturally become the favourites. Again, you can see why, but I’m not convinced. They have 7 Copa titles which is second to only Uruguay, but big tournament failings have been a problem during recent tournaments. Elimination to Paraguay in the last Copa and embarrassing failings in their own World Cup leave Brazil with plenty of questions to answer.
Prediction: Group C Runner Up with potential to win it all

Bolivia: Bolivia are sandwiched between Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Colombia in our preview. There’s probably a joke to be made there, because they’ll be nothing more than an irrelevant piece of the puzzle stood in the way of Chile, Mexico and Ecuador in their group. They aren’t bad enough to label whipping boys, and they may even had a surprise in them. In reality, this group belongs to Chile and Bolivia will have a tough task against both Ecuador and Mexico as they battle for points and goal difference to secure second place. Bolivia did recently come close to stunning Chile in Antofagasta, but I don’t expect that with the stakes this high. Bolivia tend to concede too many goals and only prosper in ridiculous altitude.
Prediction: Fourth in Group A

Chile: The hosts are going to come in to this tournament as considerable underdogs to Brazil and Argentina, but they have what it take to beat them. They fell narrowly short against Brazil in the World Cup, but they gave it a real good go. On their own turf I think they have the beating of them. This is a team that has been improving for years and building towards this tournament, and they could push themselves in to the World’s Top 10.
Prediction: Group A Winners with potential to win it all

Colombia: Much like Chile, I think this team is undervalued going in to the tournament and they’ll be happy about it. Rodriguez is obviously the man of the moment, but it’s full of electric pace and raw attacking talent. Colombia have more options that ever with the continual emergence of their stars in Europe. Ramos, Rodriguez, Cuadrado, Sanchez, Guarin and Quintero all have a part to play. They’re in particularly good form having won six games coming in to this, and they’re more than a contender to win the competition.
Prediction: Group C Winners with potential to win it all

Ecuador: Ecuador are one of many in a group of teams that it’s hard to expect that much from. We’ve seen in recent years that it’s not always easy to write off the true underdogs in this competition, but they’re in a tough group and they have a big job on their hands. I do however think they present some value, as Mexico shouldn’t be favoured to finish above them in the group stages. Qualification for the knockout stages isn’t out of the question, but don’t expect anything more.
Prediction: Second in Group A followed by elimination

Jamaica: Entering the tournament as the lowest ranked team, Jamaica’s fate is sealed. I understand how it all works when it comes to inviting special guests, but if you’re going to invite teams from CONCACAF with any expectations, you need to be inviting two of Mexico, USA or Costa Rica. They’re in a group with the world number two and whilst I expect hearty performances that epitomise Jamaican spirit, I expect them to go home on the back of zero points and some rather harsh results.
Prediction: Fourth in Group B in calamitous style

Mexico: The Mexicans have long been the dominant force of the CONCACAF region, but I believe that un-official title has been under threat by the United States for several years now. Mexico are still a strong team with the ability to compete at this level, but I think they’re truly out of their depth against the likes of the big four. They’ve been handed a group where qualification is possible and they’ve even favourites to take second. Despite that, I think they’ll fall short against Chile and Ecuador, but they’re a very entertaining side that should provide us with plenty of drama.
Prediction: Third in Group A, facing elimination if they do qualify

Paraguay: It wouldn’t be the first time Paraguay pulled off a shock in winning the Copa America, but it would be just that this year – a monumental shock. They’re facing an up-hill task from the start as both Uruguay and Argentina will want to be on maximum points before facing each other in game two. Recent failures to score against Mexico, Costa Rica and the UAE, coupled with conceding multiple goals against China, Korea and Peru demonstrate Paraguay just aren’t good enough.
Prediction: Third in Group C, likely to see off Jamaica

Peru: Much like Paraguay, the best Peru can probably hope for is a result against Venezuela to try and steal the third place in the group, which could be enough to qualify. They’ll likely be the next best thing as Brazil and Colombia finish on at least six points and battle it out to win the group. Despite that though, Peru lost to Venezuela just seven weeks ago, and the recent head to head has seen them win back to back games against Gareca’s men.
Prediction: Favoured to pinch third, but the winner of Peru vs. Venezuela decides that

Uruguay: The defending Champions have a record 15 titles to their name. Unfortunately for them, their draw means there is no chance of them slipping under the radar. They’ll do well to finish above Argentina, and a meeting with Brazil or Colombia is likely. It won’t phase them and they’re capable of beating any of those teams on the way to another title. However, it’s a big ask to conquer all of those teams in the process. The good news is they can say they’ve won their last meetings with Chile, Argentina and Colombia. The bad news is they’ve lost their last five meetings with their most likely knockout opponent, Brazil.
Prediction: Group B Runner Up, tough ask after that

Venezuela: Whilst they aren’t the lowest ranked team in the tournament, they’re by far the lowest ranked team in their group. As we’ve already mentioned, first or second is out of the question. Goal difference could be crucial to make a push for third place in the group, and they’ll be glad their recent meeting with Peru ended in victory. Being that goal difference is so decisive, I wouldn’t fancy them to qualify even if they did finish third. It should be a competitive meeting with Peru, and goal difference obtained in the remaining games should be damaging.
Prediction: Could potentially steal third, but won’t qualify

The Verdict

It’s going to be a fantastic tournament as always and whilst Argentina and Brazil are the favourites to lift the trophy, I really do think the winner could come from one of Colombia, Uruguay or Chile.

This tournament never fails to deliver and despite Brazil and Argentina having double figures in titles between them, there’s always a surprise to be had, even in the final. I don’t see any true outsiders making a run this year, but Ecuador or Mexico are the ones with potential should they sneak through in second place.

As a betting man, I wouldn’t want to bet against the likes of Argentina or Brazil, but I wouldn’t want to bet on them either. I think when all is said and done, Chile will do no worse than win the third place play-off on home soil.

Whoever wins or whoever you’re betting on, it promises to be another wonderful Copa America tournament.

Download Our Free Copa America Football System

If you are having a bet in the Copa America this June and July, first of all make sure you download our free Copa America Football Betting System!

Proven to work and make a profit on International Football (It has made £457 at £25 stakes in the last 2 World Cup’s combined) it is available catch-free to all!

Simply visit our special Copa America Football Betting page to grab your copy now!

114% Football System Profits [Special Discount]

Free Football System For SBC Members

The Fink Tank system is heading for a strong close for the season. Find out more and how you can get a 10% discount for this week only.

This season we’ve been banging the drum for the free football system that we make available to the Smart Betting Club members. Our core mission is to help punters find the very best tipsters, but offer a select number of free systems as nice bonus.And as we enter the final month of the season, it looks as though SBC members will be taking this nice bonus all the way to the bank!

Special 10% Discount

Before we update on the system, we recognise that we’ve just a month of the regular football season remaining, so we’re offering a 10% discount for this week only so you can test out the free system (amongst other things!) ahead of next season.

To take advantage of this discount, plug in one of the following codes to receive 10% off at checkout.

 

The Combo Systems - SBC92

 

114% Profits This Season

Our football system is based on the excellent free Fink Tank ratings and you can follow these yourself should you wish.

What Smart Betting Club members have exclusive access to is our short list of value bets, saving you the time and complication of working out the raw ratings.

There are four different methods available to follow the ratings, but the jewel in the crown so far this season has been the AH15 Value Method. This system only picks bets if there is at least 15% value in the available odds and uses Asian Handicap to reduce any volatility in betting returns.

Here’s a summary of all the different systems we track:

performance_summary_1415

  • P/L: Is the points profit to level stakes betting
  • ROI: Is the profits divided by the total amount staked (profit on turnover)
  • ROC: Is the Return on Capital which measures your return on your original starting bank. So £1,000 would now be worth £2115.00
Here’s how the season chart looks to date:
ahvalue15

We Do The Work For You

We also highlight the best odds and the next best bookie if those odds have gone. For UK focused punters, we supply a UK bookmaker only spreadsheet. ‘PIN’ stands for Pinnacle and ‘B365’ standing for Bet365.

If you’re new to Asian Handicap betting, fear not. Another valuable bonus of joining the Smart Betting Club is our comprehensive pro betting guide which covers all the basics you need to know such as Asian Handicap betting and other betting essentials.

Get all the qualifiers

We’d like to stress again that the Smart Betting Club is not a tipping service and these bets are put up as a value added extra to our core offering of comprehensive tipster reviews. As ever, there are no guarantees with the tips we’ve put up, but we hope they do give you an idea of how the system could work for you.

If you want to access all the qualifiers this weekend and the other benefits of membership, then join us at the Smart Betting Club today.

To take advantage of 10% discount, plug in one of the following codes to receive 10% off on checkout.

Why Asian Handicap Isn’t Always Best

Maximise your football betting profits

Over the last few months we’ve slowly been revealing the intricate details of our powerful football betting combo method to our subscribers.

The general idea is to examine tips from a select group of profitable tipsters and pay particular attention to any tips that overlap. If more than one tipster or ratings service is going for the same team, the more likely it is that you’ll make money.

We’ve explored this strategy from various angles and this month we tackled a key question for our subscribers –

Should you bet with Asian Handicap or Home/ Draw/ Away?

For the initiated, Asian Handicap can be used to take out the draw. This means you might win or get your money back if there’s a stalemate instead of losing. There’s more to it than this, but the general gist is that you tend to sacrifice bigger odds in return for the security of covering the draw.

But is this always the right strategy? No! & here’s why…

First we’re going to set a baseline figure by revealing all bets selected by at least one of the four tipsters over the three seasons 2011-14.

All Qualifiers Win vs Asian Handicap

All Qualifiers Win vs Asian Handicap

Win = Home/ Draw/ Away betting

AH = Asian Handicap

You can see from the table above a fairly consistent pattern for both the Home and the more profitable Away bets – strike rates are increased with Asian Handicap, but profit (in ROI terms) is reduced by using the Asian Handicap option. There are no real surprises here; we’ve sacrificed a higher return on investment for a smoother more reliable path to profit, BUT …

… the key point is what this means in terms of Return on Capital (ROC), the bottom line measure of how much our “betting investment” is expected to return over time?

As it turns out, they end up almost identical for this group of selections, a ROC of around 385% over three seasons, equating to an annualised ROC of 128-129%, i.e. more than doubling our bank in the average year:

All Qualifiers – Return on Capital

All Qualifiers - Return on Capital

However, this only tells part of the story, because what we’re really interested in are the qualifiers that are picked out by multiple tipsters more than once. 
Let’s find out…

The Combo Systems - SBC92

Now we’re specifically looking at those bets which are picked by more than one tipster.

Multiple Qualifiers – Basic Performance Statistics

Multiple Qualifiers - Basic Performance Statistics

Now we can see another dramatic drop off in ROI performance with Asian Handicap betting, particularly with the home bets.

Multiple Qualifiers – Return on Capital

Multiple Qualifiers - Return on Capital

It seems that this time round we’ve also had to sacrifice some Return on Capital if using the AH approach to betting these selections. The straight Win bet approach has produced an annualised ROC of around 115%, but betting the Asian Handicap reduced this to around 91% per year, averaged over the three seasons 2011-14.

Why is this, and why did we not see this lower ROC for the earlier, wider group of all qualifying selections?

One possible reason, and something that certainly fits intuitively, lies in the nature of the two groups of bets. The bets which “don’t make the grade”, when moving from all qualifiers to the combo bets, are those which are selected by one tipster only. We’ve also observed that a disproportionately high number of low odds bets were flagged by one system only.

Another key reason is that performance of away bets. These are quite often at bigger odds and it seems that taking Asian Handicap in these cases dramatically erodes the value available.

Should you drop Asian Handicap

We’ve highlighted again the importance of using Return on Capital as the primary measure of a betting investment. We found that, for all qualifiers, the ROC was very similar whether you use Win or AH betting (128-129% per year over our 2011-14 sample), but this equated to a drop from 6.2% ROI (Win bets) to only 3.6% for the AH bets.

How best to utilise them may well come down to personal choice and your individual betting circumstances. Do you prefer the smoother, more predictable route to profit that Asian Handicap betting normally provides, or are you sufficiently comfortable with the greater highs and lows associated with the riskier, but apparently more rewarding, win betting approach? Have you been restricted by, or are unable to access, a number of bookmakers offering the stand-out prices on Win bets? Are you a more experienced, high roller wanting to take advantage of the greater liquidity and larger betting limits offered in the Asian Handicap markets?

This is just a snapshot of the analysis we undertake in our Smart Betting Club editions. If you want more sign up here.

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Goal Betting Profits: 120% Bank Growth!


The Smart Betting Club Magazine has been released today! Once again it’s jam-packed full of expertise, tipster reviews and analysis to help you make money betting..

Sign-up here to gain instant access to your copy of our latest issue or read on for more details…

SBC Issue 92 - The Combo System

 This Month:

FOOTBALL: When to use Asian Handicap… And when not to!

 Using our ground breaking football tipster combo method we show you when Asian Handicap betting can increase profits (and when it can’t)

RACING Review: High Turnover Profits – 214% bank growth in 14 months

 Our analysis digs deep into this busy tipster with long term potential

FOOTBALL Review 2: 120% Profit From Goal Betting

 We reveal the maths based tipster that we’ve been tracking since 2012

BOOKMAKER Special: Which Bookies Are Best For Football Betting?

 When to place football bets and where to get the best profits

The Combo Systems - SBC92

Grab Your Copy Immediately

You can pick up your copy of this magazine, the instant you join our service at the Smart Betting Club with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Not only this but as a Gold SBC member you can also gain full access to our monthly Tipster Profit Reports,  Practical Punter Reports & enjoy the peace of mind of our Money Back Guarantee if not satisfied once joining!

Read more on how SBC can help you make money betting

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Yet Another Good Weekend For This Free Football System…

It’s been a tough start to the current football betting season for many, yet there is one free football system that continues to buck the trend – our very own ‘Fink Tank’

So far this season, this Fink Tank Football System has made a £2,427.50 profit at £25 stakes if following it in across the top 4 English Leagues (correct as of 1st December 2013).

…And this weekend just gone, in the Premier League alone it highlighted some big priced winners such as Newcastle, Crystal Palace, Norwich & Stoke. A simple £25 on each of its Premier League picks would have netted you an extra £317.75 profit.

This is from simply backing either side home or away that offered more than ‘5% Value’ as per the average odds available on Friday at 5.30pm. See the table below for exactly how this shaped up…


Best of all, we are giving this amazing system away totally for FREE to anyone who wants a copy in our special guide.

Within this you can also read about results this system has achieved historically (featuring results data going back more than 5 years) and also for the current 2013/14 season.

Access your updated Fink Tank System Guide here

Believe me, this is one freebie you won’t want to miss out on!