6 Tips For Following Racing Tipsters On Betting Exchanges

It is common knowledge these days that if making money betting on horse racing, you will at some point encounter difficulty with either your stakes being restricted or your bookmaker account being closed.

There is hope that this may change in the future with the discussions surrounding a minimum bet law, which are certainly gaining traction in 2018.

Yet until such a time as bookies either agree or are compelled to lay all punters a decent bet, one of the most popular places to bet without issue are the betting exchanges.

So, to help you understand more on how to maximise this, I have put together this updated guide featuring 6 tips for following racing tipsters on betting exchanges…

1) UNDERSTAND WHEN MONEY HITS THE RACING EXCHANGE MARKETS

As an exchange-only racing punter, it’s important to understand that the vast majority of money only starts to flow into most racing markets approximately 10 to 15 minutes before the off.

(I say most as there are some obvious exceptions such as at Cheltenham or other big race meetings, which will see larger sums traded earlier)

To showcase this, compare the amount of money traded on Betfair for each of these 5 races that took place on a pretty standard Monday afternoon’s racing.

I simply noted down the amount of money traded at 3 time points: 21 minutes, 11 minutes and 1 minute before the off for each of the 5 races, which you can see below:

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Without exception, the most trading took place in the 11 minutes before each race started.

Take the 4.30pm race as one example – at 4.19pm, there was £60,925 traded yet come 4.29pm, this had jumped to £495,057.

Within 10 minutes an extra £434,132 had been traded – 87% of the entire market!

The knock-on effect of this is two-fold.

Firstly, it’s an understanding that most of the trading takes place during this time and when your exchange bet is most likely to be matched.

Secondly, it’s the knowledge that prior to the final 10 minutes, it is harder to get your racing bet accepted, especially if it’s based on advice coming from a popular tipster.

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2) CONSIDER BETFAIR SP TIPSTERS

One of the simplest angles to make a profit on the exchanges is by following tipsters that make a profit at Betfair SP (after commission of course!).

They offer the easiest, most simple approach as once a tip comes in – you simply place the bet, stick in your stake at Betfair and walk away.

Although the number of profitable Betfair SP tipsters is growing, it’s a fairly small pool to choose from currently.

One profitable Betfair SP tipster I rate highly is the free ‘place laying’ tipster providing their advice for free to SBC members currently. The tipster is called ‘The Accountant’.

Simply put, he recommends you lay their horses NOT to finish in the place money in any given race. That is not to finish in the first 2, 3 or 4 of a race depending on the number of runners.

Over the course of more than 800 lays and risking no more than 3% of your betting bank on any advised price lay, this tipster has grown a bank of £1000 to in excess of £2,500.

This is after 5% Betfair commission has been deducted from each profitable lay.

Providing one simple angle for those of you after a simple exchange tipster for you to follow.

3) DON’T BET IF THE VALUE HAS GONE

One of the most fundamentally important points to consider when betting is that of obtaining value.

All successful punting is based on the concept of value betting and the idea that the odds for any particular bet are priced in your favour.

Therefore, the odds you take on a bet really matter.

If you can get 5/1 on a horse that should be 4/1, then you have a strong value bet.

Yet if the same tipped up horse at 4/1 is only available at 3/1 – the opposite applies.

If you constantly are taking too short a price on a horse, you will lose money.

Which is why it’s important to ONLY bet if the value is still there.

Many good tipsters recognise this and put up minimum value odds to make you aware of where the value cut-off point actually lies. They recognise that a tip might see market support and if it does, you know where to draw the line.

If restricted to exchange betting, look out for this and stick to the minimum value thresholds – they are there for a reason and they will guide you as to the prices to take.

And whatever you do – never place a bet if the value has gone.

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4) RECOGNISE YOU WILL WIN SOME, LOSE SOME

Mindful of the need to take a value price, if exchange betting you must accept that sometimes you will miss out on a bet if the odds are too low.

Yet on the flipside, you might also get BETTER odds on other bets when the odds drift.

Whilst on occasions, you might miss out on a winning bet because you can’t get the right odds, on other occasions you will enjoy a bigger payout through this strategy.

If and when this happens, remember the logic behind it all and try to be as phlegmatic as possible.

All gamblers HATE missing out on winning bets, especially if they feel they should have been on it, yet they very rarely remember the times they missed out on a bet that lost.

My suggestion here is to consider keeping a record of each occasion you miss out on a bet (both winners and losers) or get a greater value price than you might have originally. Through this, you can track the ups and downs and see at a glance exactly how you have fared overall.

5) DON’T WORRY ABOUT DRIFTERS

Flowing on from this last point – don’t also get too bogged down by the idea that a ‘drifter’ (a horse whose odds get bigger as the race draws nearer) is no longer worth backing.

Racing pundits like to bang on about horses being weak or friendless in a market, yet the reality is they have no idea if this market move is significant or not. They are often just filling airtime.

If market support was so telling – everyone would simply lump on a horse at the first sign of it being backed in. Market support is no guarantee a horse is a ‘good thing’.

Unless there is clear evidence a horse has something wrong with it before a race, don’t be unperturbed by backing a ‘drifting’ bet.

Look at it instead as a chance to get better value. If you can get 10/1 about a tip advised as value at 6/1 earlier in the day – take it!

After all, unless the horse in question has a major problem – if a tipster you trust said that 6/1 is a value price, then 10/1 will represent a massive increase.

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6) CAN’T GET MATCHED STRAIGHT AWAY? PUT IN A REQUEST

If you can’t get on a bet earlier in the day at a value price, you might also like to consider putting in a request to get matched on the exchanges later on that day.

There are two ways you can do this – requesting a price pre-race and also in-play.

Pre-race betting is easy – you set the odds you want to take and put the request into the market to hopefully be matched. If come the start of the race it isn’t matched, the bet is cancelled.

Putting a bet in the in-play market is different as it ensures the bet will also remain available throughout the race as it takes place.

When doing this, it’s important to be aware that you will ALWAYS be matched in-play on any bet that loses the race BUT there is no guarantee you will be matched on a winner.

Therefore, you do have to approach in-play betting with caution and it is best when used in conjunction with watching a race live and an understanding of racing in general.

You also might only want to leave a bet to be matched in-play, when the odds pre-race are very close to those you wish to take OR perhaps risking only half stakes.

Equally if you have a good knowledge of racing, you might want to make judgements based on the competitiveness of each race, the merits of each horse (does it prefer setting the pace or being a backmarker) and the distance run.

MORE HELP EXCHANGE ONLY BETTING

I do hope over the course of this article, I have helped provide some answers to questions you might have about betting on the exchanges.

Here at the Smart Betting Club we have a burgeoning members section devoted to exchange-only betting.

Within this exchange section you can read our detailed reviews and analysis of a handful of profitable betting exchange-friendly tipsters.

Ideal for those of you either unable to bet with bookmakers or simply looking to bet on the exchanges as much as possible.

So, if you are you looking for a solution to help you turn a profit using the betting exchanges (or indeed the Asian football betting markets), you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership.

Join The Smart Betting Club.

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Are You Sitting On A Multiple Betting Goldmine?

If you subscribe to and/or follow a tipster service, then there is every chance you might be missing out on making extra profits, simply by using a multiple betting strategy.

It’s a topic I have banged on about previously, whether it’s the £1600 made from a £54 outlay or the £46,500 another SBC member made last year (Both true – click the links to see the bet slips) – there is huge potential when it comes to multiple betting.

And just last week, this once again came true for me when 4 out of 5 bets won on the same day. Winning £228.80 from just a 20p bet.

Because that is one of the joys of multiple betting. You don’t have to bet big to win big – as long as you have the right strategy. Allow to explain…

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Why You Should Bet On Multiples – The Theory

All told it’s a really simple concept.

If you are making money betting on singles then there is every chance you can make more with multiples.

The basic logic goes like this…

Say you follow 2 tipsters, both profitable in their own right.

  • Tipster 1 tips a horse at 3/1. You place £50 on it to win
  • Tipster 2 tips a different horse in a different race at 4/1. You place £50 on it to win.

Now in this instance, you will make £150 if Tipster 1’s bet wins and £200 if Tipster 2’s bet wins. £350 in total from £100 staked. All well and good.

But what if both win? This is where you can squeeze more value out.

Say you placed a £20 double on both the 3/1 and 4/1 tip to win. In this instance when they both oblige, you will pick up a £380 profit from just £20 staked.

“Setting Me Up For Success”……

Following a fantastic start to 2017, so far I am up £35,210 in 23 months (since joining the Smart Betting Club) Thanks guys!!! SBC was undoubtedly the biggest single factor in setting me up for success”

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This Multiple Strategy In Action (How a 20p bet won £228.80 last week)

It needn’t just be doubles that you consider as a multiple bet. You might like to try bets like Trebles or Trixies (as this chap did to such good effect!) or as I did last week, also add in the occasional 4 or 5 fold.

Of course, the greater the number of bets in your accumulator, the lower the chance it will win. Yet also, the lower the stake you need risk.

After all, you might only need to risk a total of £1 to £2 on a 4 or 5-fold to make a significant return.

To prove this point, last Thursday, I put 5 tips supplied by 5 different expert tipsters into a variety of multiple bets.

As well as placing them all as singles, as each tipster putting them forward is so good individually, I also chucked them in a variety of long-shot multiples at small stakes.

I placed the following:

10 X trebles.
5 X 4-fold.
1 X 5-fold.

The result? 4 out of the 5 tips went onto win at 9/2, 5/2, 7/1 & 9/2.

So, as well as 4 of the higher stake single bets winning, so too did several of the trebles and 1 of the 4-folds. The potentially lucrative 5-fold went down but it was a close run thing.

The only losing tip was very unlucky after being hampered in running 4 out from the end when looking handy. Having backed him early at 20/1, he went off at 10/1 and on another day may well have obliged!

Still, I couldn’t complain as across several bookies, the singles and multiples reaped a significant reward.

I don’t want to reveal too much about my betting accounts (for fear of them being identified and closed – most bookies hate SBC!) but you can see the return from the winning 4-fold below.

I placed 5 of them at 20p stakes so the one that won effectively returned £228.80 from just a 20p outlay.

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All You Need To Make It Work!

I have shared the details on my winning bets above, not to be boastful, but to encourage those of you yet to consider multiple betting to really give it some thought.

It’s simple to do, won’t break the bank and with patience it often reaps significant rewards.

To make it work, you need 2 things:

  1. To know the best tipsters to follow – those making money betting predominantly on singles;
  2. An understanding of multiple betting in more depth, the theory and the strategies you should follow.

As a Smart Betting Club member, the first thing we can help you with is sourcing the best tipsters, whether through our Tipster Profit Reports or the 2017 Best Tipster Guide. There are plenty for you to choose from!

You can also access our special Magic of Multiples Report, which provides example strategies and ideas on how you can start to implement your own Multiple Betting approach.

Best Of All – Save £35 Currently!

So if you want help whether it be single or multiple betting – we can help you.

Best of all, you can currently save up to £35 on the cost of joining the Smart Betting Club. We have slashed the price to ensure as many as you as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

After all, we want you to win more betting!

See you on the inside.

Gain Instant Access To The Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

“90-Day 100% Satisfaction Money Back Guarantee”……

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P.S. A Word To The Wise On Multiples…

Before you rush off to place a whole host of multiple bets, I do have 2 words of advice to share:

Firstly – no double, triple or accumulator can help if your bets are poor value as singles. Combining bad value single bets into multiples will long-term simply increase your losses.

Secondly – multiple betting does take patience to wait for the big return to come in. When it does, it makes it all worth it, so don’t expect instant riches.

Racing Profits Maximiser: Your Questions Answered

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Last week we released our ground-breaking new report – the Racing Profit Maximiser, which judging by interest levels has caused quite a stir in the betting and tipster world!

Several of you have been in touch with questions as to how exactly it can help your betting so to help clarify all of this, I have tackled some of the most common queries below.

Download the Racing Profit Maximiser with a Smart Betting Club subscription.

What is the Racing Profit Maximiser?

The Racing Profit Maximiser (or RPM for short) is our examination of a simple strategy that can help you bet more efficiently on the best value horses. Enabling you to bet less and make more.

Put very simply, the RPM strategy evaluates what happened when 2 or more high quality tipsters put forward the very same tip on any given day.

The logic behind it all was simple – If 2 or more tipsters independently pick out the same horse as a bet, then it increases the value. You should then focus on or stake more on these ‘multiple’ tips.

So what did you find out?

To find out if this theory was accurate – we built up a database of 52,177 tips as put forward by 21 of the best tipster services we have proofed from the past 3 years.

Each of these tipsters has a long-standing profitable record of picking out good value racing tips.

We then isolated those bets put up by only 1 tipster and compared these results to the tips put up by 2 or more tipsters. The findings were stark with the ‘single tips’ making 11.9% ROI compared to 22.9% ROI for those which were ‘multiple’ tips.

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So simply by focusing in on these ‘multiple’ tips you could make much more profit from a lot fewer bets. Or as some punters prefer to do – simply by staking more on them.

What happened when 2, 3 or 4 tipsters picked out the same horse…Did the profits increase?

Indeed, they did as there was a gradual increase in ROI dependent on whether 2, 3 or 4 tipsters independently picked out the same horse. The strike-rate for success also grew from 17.2% up to 32.7% if 4 tipsters were on as showcased by our findings:

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This all looks good – but what happens to the odds on a tip if 2 or more tipsters are giving it out, can you still make a profit if you take a lower price…even at Betfair SP?

Getting value odds was a key part of the RPM strategy as after all – you won’t know a tip is a ‘multiple’ until the 2nd tipster has put it forward, by which time the odds might well have moved.

So to tackle this we ran performance analysis set against 4 different types of odds for all multiple bets as follows:

Maximum Odds: The highest odds available as quoted by any tipster
Average Odds: The average (mean) odds of those quoted by all tipsters
Minimum Odds: The lowest of the odds quoted by all tipsters
Betfair SP Odds: Betfair Starting Price minus 5% commission

Our findings revealed that whilst the 31.3% ROI on Maximum Odds might be unrealistic, you could still enjoy 22.6% at Average Odds and 14.2% at Minimum Odds. Most fascinating of all, at Betfair SP you would still have enjoyed a 5.6% ROI!

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Recent Smart Betting Club Publications (Click each image to read more!)

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Sounds great, but how can I follow this in practice – what tipsters should I use and how much might they cost?

In the RPM we have put forward 6 pre-built ‘Tipster Portfolios’ for you to consider, each featuring a selection of top tipsters we proof and recommend.

Portfolio 1 is an ideal option for those of you keen to keep costs down as it features either free or low-cost tipsters to make it as affordable as possible.

In total it includes 8 tipsters and over the past 3 years – would have made 7.1% ROI from 14,865 ‘single’ bets and an impressive 21.8% ROI from 923 ‘multiple’ bets as follows:

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Best of all though, the odds for this portfolio also showcase a very fine profit at Minimum Odds (10.9%) and Betfair SP (9.8% ROI) from 923 bets.

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Do I need to follow all 8 tipsters to make a profit?

Not at all – you can simply select those you wish to use – those that are suitable to your betting preferences, be it cost, time of tip release or number of bets.

You can also add in other tipsters to your portfolio from those we recommend and make your own custom-build. The key point being to ensure that any tipster you do follow as part of this strategy is a genuinely profitable one.


How can I find out more and get started?

You can pick up a copy of the Racing Profit Maximiser the instant you join us at the Smart Betting Club.

Through our independent and honest tipster ratings and reports, you can also find the very best betting tipsters to follow as part of this strategy.

 

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Racing Profits Maximiser: How To Bet Less & Make More

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Hot off the press today at SBC we have just published our ground-breaking new report: The Racing Profits Maximiser – which features a unique racing strategy we know will change the way many of you bet.

Based on analysis of over 52,000 tips from the past 3 years – the Racing Profit Maximiser is a strategy the SBC team have long used for our own personal betting…. And now for the first time ever we have dug into the stats to provide evidence of exactly why it works and how you can use it to improve your own racing profits!

Sign-up now to gain instant access to the Racing Profits Maximiser (and our entire back catalogue) or read on for more details on this game-changing report!

Racing Profits Maximiser (RPM)

Learn how to bet less and make more in our ground-breaking report including:

• How to easily identify the most profitable racing tips using the RPM Strategy.

• Discover how this strategy turned a 11.9% ROI into 22.9% (11% increase).

• Understand how you can use it to make a profit betting at Betfair SP.

• PLUS view 6 ready to use Racing Profits Maximiser ‘Tipster Portfolios’ for you to get started with…

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A Major Game-Changer For Racing Punters Everywhere

If you currently bet on Horse Racing then its safe to say the Racing Profits Maximiser will be a major game-changer for you.

Not only will it help you understand how to make money betting on horse racing in the first place but also and most crucially of all – how to bet more efficiently by targeting the very best tips.

After all, by knowing which bets provide the greatest profit – you can stake more on them and increase your overall betting profit.

Sign Up Now Risk-Free & Save £16

You can gain instant access to the Racing Profits Maximiser Report with a Smart Betting Club Membership, which comes with a cast-iron 90 day money back guarantee. Enabling you to sign-up and try out our service absolutely risk-free.

Best of all – you can also save £16 on the cost of ALL subscriptions as part of our 10 year anniversary celebrations (But be quick as this discount will end this weekend!)

Sign-up now for instant Smart Betting Club access.

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Political Betting: Expert Insight Into How To Make It Pay (Full Interview)

Exclusive Interview With A Political Betting Expert

One of the biggest gambling growth markets at the moment is without a doubt – Political Betting with vast sums of money now being traded on all major political events.

In the UK, the recent ‘Brexit’ Referendum had over £100 million traded on Betfair alone(the highest volume traded on any Betfair market) so it’s fair to say Political Betting is here to stay and has captured the imagination of the betting public.

To help understand more about Political Betting, I recently spoke with Paul Krishnamurty – a freelance journalist and professional gambler who specialises in these markets. Paul provides political tips for Betting.Betfair and also via his own Political Gambler website so is well qualified to talk on the topic.

As part of this interview, I wanted to understand what is behind the surge of interest in these markets, how a newcomer can get involved and of course – the performance of Paul’s tips (plus his advice for the US and Labour Leader elections!).

SBC: Political Betting has certainly grown in the past few years with huge sums of money now being traded on all major markets. What do you feel is behind its newly found appeal?

Paul: Political betting is relatively new. I encounter people all the time that knew nothing of it – including politicos (political aficionados). I think it attracts a different type of punter, one whom may bet on nothing else.

For me, the attraction is nuance. Unlike say football where millions have access to and can understand the basic information, politics is geared towards the expert.

I know future leadership candidate’s years before many have heard of them. And, my results keep me keen as I’ve never lost overall on a leadership election and have had 25/1+ wins on Iain Duncan Smith, Michael Howard and Jeremy Corbyn, as well as 16/1 about David Cameron.

It seems to me that real-world betting is less luck-driven than sport – the same doubtless applies to other novelties like Sports Personality Of The Year and X Factor.

SBC: Where there is lots of information available such as in the US or UK Elections, we would expect an efficient market with very accurate prices available. What do you look for when weighing up a political betting market?

Paul: The more nuanced the market, the less likely we’ll see accurate odds but this can also be the case from time to time in the bigger markets.

Opening lines don’t seem to be very accurate.

For example, Jeb Bush was priced at 5/4 for GOP Nomination at the start, yet is now 9/1. With multiple other favourites in the betting being overhauled so far, often the early market favourites are too short, compared to their chances.

If we look at the historical markets for the next Tory leader, in the UK, every single opening favourite in the past 50 years last lost.

Personally, I couldn’t understand how Liz Kendall was the 11/4 favourite when the next Labour leader market opened in 2015. It seemed as though she was so short in the betting, because the UK newspapers (influenced by the Tory party) had hyped her so much. Anyone who know Labour supporters, know they are the direct opposite of Tory supporting newspapers, and Liz ended up with just 4% of the vote.

SBC: It’s been a huge year for political betting with Brexit, Labour & Conservative leader markets and of course – the ongoing US Presidential election. How have your political betting tips fared this year and what have been the highlights?

Paul: It’s been the busiest year ever, pretty much non-stop on either or both sides of the Atlantic. In particular, I published an extensive portfolio via www.politicalgambler.com for the Republican Nominee, EU referendum and Conservative Party Leader markets.

Brexit was the highlight, both in terms of success and relatively short work. By backing a combination of a narrow Remain win (50-55%) and Leave, that portfolio earned 170 units profit.

I also made 87 units on the Republican nominee but it felt like losing as Trump was the worst result by miles. I made money from laying Jeb Bush when he was a 35% favourite, backing Ted Cruz when a 3% outsider and Paul Ryan at 0.5%, partly cashing the last two out for a nice profit. However I didn’t think Trump would win and timed my cover badly.

Likewise on the Tory leadership, a mixed bag of results over a long period yielded an overall profit of 80 units. My early bets were perfect, backing Theresa May twice at 8% and 10%, Boris Johnson at 20%, and earning a profit from backing George Osborne at 11%, then laying at 33%.

However when the race started, I was blindsided by Boris Johnson’s withdrawal, 24 hours after I’d placed 80 units on him. I clawed 45 of them back by getting on May again at odds-on.


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SPECIAL SBC REPORT:

8 FREE TIPSTERS UNDER THE

MICROSCOPE

Interviews and analysis with 8 profitable betting experts – all of whom supply their advice and tips for free

Markets covered include: Football, Golf, Horse Racing, Cricket, Tennis, Politics, Reality TV & much more besides

Available now to ALL Smart Betting Club members 


SBC: Looking back historically – how have your tips fared in years gone by? Do you have any numbers you can share for example in the last US Election, the 2015 UK General Election or the Brexit referendum?

Paul: Prior to the above 3 big markets…

2015 Jeremy Corbyn to be Next Labour Leader: 180 units profit. Backed him at 4%, laid at various upwards of 13%.

2015 UK General Election: 30 units profit from a massively outlay across dozens of markets. A bad result. I predicted the Tories would beat Labour roughly 280-270, instead it was 330-232. Big losses on the overall majority market, but covered by wins on UKIP seats and several constituency bets.

2012 US Election: 300 units profit. Backed Obama at 52% two years earlier, never laid back. Also made a good profit from backing him to win over 300 electoral college votes. Small loss laying Mitt Romney to be Republican nominee.

SBC: There is huge interest in the US Election with £29 million matched on Betfair already in the next President market. What advice would you give to those keen to get involved in trading this market?

Paul: The odds are shrinking fast on Clinton, but don’t oppose her. If you don’t like backing 80% chances, check out the side markets, such as state voting, percentages of vote share and the distribution of electoral college votes.

SBC: You are on record as stating you don’t believe Trump will win – Can you outline why and what positions you currently have (and might also recommend!).

Paul: I’ve been against Trump from the start and have laid him several times from 18% to 31% in the Next President market. He is a unique, historically poor candidate who only won the nomination due to a bizarre set of circumstances in the GOP race and monopolising the media coverage. He consistently records over 60% unfavourable ratings and has turned the race into a referendum on his suitability. His ceiling is well below the required 50%. The closer swing voters consider him, the more they’ll turn away.

Obviously, the odds on Clinton are prohibitive, but there could still be some value in other markets. I think she’ll win at least 330 electoral college votes, taking all or nearly all the toss-up states won by Obama (who got 332). Plus due to Trump’s unelectability, several Republican states are coming into play – Arizona, Georgia, Utah, for example. I haven’t bet yet but am tempted to lay Trump if short odds-on in some of these. He has no ground game to speak of, and could be overwhelmed if current trends are maintained.

SBC: How about the other active Political market – the Labour leadership contest. What is your take on this given the current markets and what positions do you hold?

Paul: I have 30 units on Jeremy Corbyn at 1.9, and no plans to lay back at present. I think he could have been vulnerable to a heavyweight opponent but Owen Smith is a bizarre choice, and no more electable than Corbyn (the fundamental reason stated for challenging him).

If Corbyn wins to stay in post, the ‘next’ Labour leader market stays live. Here I have existing bets on Lisa Nandy, Clive Lewis, Tom Watson and Stephen Kinnock. I’m particularly interested in the first two.

SBC: Finally, what resources (e.g. newspapers, pollsters, blogs, social media) would you recommend to help inform those keen to bet on politics?

Paul: A wide-range, including on the extremes of the argument even if you disagree with them. The narratives pumped out on Fox News or MSNBC will influence Right and Left voters respectively.

Build a Twitter timeline full of Republican or Democrat supporting sites – Breitbart, Commentary, Salon, Huffington Post.

Once you have this good bank of grassroots opinion, add all the less partisan sites. Washington Post and Politico are superb resources. The Hill is a great up-to-the-minute Twitter follow if you don’t mind a lot of click-bait. For polling, Realclearpolitics is peerless.

CNN is a good centre-ground TV alternative to Fox/MSNBC, and does an outstanding election night show.

More From Paul & Other Free Tipping Experts

My thanks go to Paul for taking the time out to answer these questions. If interested in reading more from him, be sure to check out his Free Betfair columns and Political Gambler website. You can also find him on Twitter via @paulmotty

Paul is also featured in our recent special report on free tipsters, where we interviewed and analysed the results from 8 betting experts with proven track records across a variety of markets and sports. Its safe to say there are some very good free tipsters out there if you know where to look!

You can pick up your copy of this free tipsters report, the instant you join our service at the Smart Betting Club with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Not only this but as an SBC member you can also gain full access to our monthly Betting Magazines, Practical Punter Reports & enjoy the peace of mind of our 90 Day Money Back Guarantee if not satisfied once joining!

Save £16 on all SBC Subscriptions

More ‘Multiples’ Magic: The Punter Up 46.5K Betting On Trixies

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Hot on the heels of the release of our Magic of Multiplesspecial report last month, there have been some notable ‘multiple betting’ successes that I want to share with you today – Starting with the serial ‘Trixie’ winner who made over 27k profit last year…

The Trixie Punter Up £46.5K Since 2015

Last month I revealed how my own personal multiple betting strategy on Trixies had made me over £1600 from just 3 bets – and following this article, one SBC member got in touch to share details on his own success placing his own Trixies and the fantastic sums he had racked up.

If you are not familiar with the idea of a Trixie – its where you take 3 tips and combine them to make 3 doubles and 1 treble. All bookmakers offer it and it can generate a serious payday when all 3 selections win, plus a decent return if just 2 of the 3 come in.

Here is what he had to say about his strategy:

“I have been doing this bet for around 5 years now and my [Trixie] stakes vary from £4 to £8. I also always put 3 win singles on for between £25 to 50 depending on prices. This year I have had 15 winning Trixies and a further 12 Trixies with 2 winners” 

He told me that his net profit so far this year stood at £19,400, whilst he made £27,100 last year using this methodology.

To prove his success, he shared with me screengrabs from 5 of his own recent winning Trixies – where all combined he had staked £144 and returned £2876.72. You can view each of these using the links below:

Trixie 1. 3 Winners at 11/4, 3/1 & 9/4
Staked £24 and Returned £472.20

Trixie 2. 3 Winners at 11/4, 3/1 & 3/1
Staked £28 and Returned £742

Trixie 3. 3 Winners at 5/2, 10/11 & 9/4
Staked £32 and Returned £585.45

Trixie 4. 3 Winners at 5/2, 6/4 & 5/2
Staked £28 and Returned: £466.27

Trixie 5. 3 Winners at 5/2, 3/1 & 2/1
Staked £32 and Returned £610.80

STOP PRESS!

….And just after I wrote this email he also got in touch to share yet another winning Trixie yesterday where he scooped £671.12 from £28 staked in total. This was after Abingdon & Seventh Heaven won at York (9/4 & 4/1) and Pied Du Roi at 9/4 at Fontwell. Here is his betslip.

The Magic of Multiples cover

SPECIAL REPORT:
The Magic Of Multiples

Learn how you can increase your profits by utilising some very simple multiple betting strategies including:
  • The theory behind successful multiple betting
  • How betting in multiples can keep you under the bookies’ radar
  • The best multiple bet strategies to follow (how and why they work)
  • Real-life evidence of when multiple betting works


Tipsters Using Multiple Strategies

Understanding how multiple bet strategies can work for you is one thing, but how do you go about finding tipsters that can help you make the most of it?

Well one simple approach (and something that many people do) is to simply combine tips in various multiple bets as they come through. For example, if you receive 2 single tips from 2 different tipsters, you might want to place a simple double bet to a lower stake in case both win. If you get 3, you might like to consider a Trixie bet.

If you wanted more dedicated advice, then there are also a number of tipsters that advise multiple bets where they see value for you to follow.

Take one of SBC’s Premium Tipsters – Jason James as a case in point, because not only does he have a great record betting on singles, from time to time he also puts up a number of doubles when he sees value.

For example, on the 29th July – Jason put up 3 tips and as well as backing each horse as a single, he also felt there was value in adding a win double for 2 of the horses. All told it was a great day with all 3 horses winning and a 43.16 point profit from just 7 points staked. 
The win double itself featured two horses at 3/1 and 11/4 and for 2 points staked returned 28 points in total. Here is the email Jason sent that day.

A similar story unfolded on the 7th August where again he put up 3 single tips alongside a win double. All 3 horses won to generate 21.13 points profit from just 6.5 points staked. Again here is his email from that day.
The win double on this occasion featured two horses at just 2/1 and 5/4 and the 1 point win double here returned 8.63 points in total.

Jason doesn’t put up double tips all of the time, but instead advises them selectively when he feels there is value in taking the bet on. It’s a really simple but effective way of building up profits. Find out more on Jason and his very successful Quantum Racing service.

A Word To The Wise…

Before you rush off to place a whole host of multiple bets, I do have 2 words of advice to share:

Firstly – no double, triple or accumulator can help if your bets are poor value as singles. Combining bad value single bets into multiples will long-term simply increase your losses (its the same for staking plans – they cant turn a bad strategy into a good one!)

Secondly – multiple betting does take patience to wait for the big return to come in. With my own Trixie bets, I have plenty of occasions whereby none or perhaps just 1 of the bets come in and I take a loss. Yet, these are often made back and them some when all 3 come in. You also get a good return when 2 out of 3 bets win as well – enough to keep you ticking over usually.

The Magic of Multiples

If you are interested in learning more about this topic, then do be sure to pick up our special ‘Magic of Multiples’ Report as published just last month.

It should provide a number of example strategies and ideas on how you can start to implement your own Multiple Betting approach.

You can access The Magic of Multiples Report the instant you sign-up for a Smart Betting Club membership.

Save £16 on all SBC Subscriptions

5 Simple Tips To Help Avoid Bookie Restrictions & Closures

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Earlier this month I announced the launch of our 2016 Restrictions & Closures Survey – where you can help share your experiences as per unfair bookmaker limitations on your betting.

(If yet to take this – please do so as it should only take a few minutes of your time and you can enter a prize draw to win a brand new laptop computer once its complete!)

The results of this survey will be published next month as part of a major FREE SBC Report ‘Getting On’, which will be tackling the issue. First of all, in terms of unravelling the depth of the problem but also talking to those involved (both punters and bookies) and most crucially of all putting forward some solutions for you as punters impacted by it.

Because whilst bookie account restrictions are a fact of life – there are plenty of punters out there still able to get on, especially on sports such as horse racing where the biggest issues lie.

And as part of this quest to understand some of the ways you can get on, I have been talking to a number of experts on just what they do and their tips to avoid unwanted bookmaker interest.

Below you can read a cross section of some of the advice being put forward so far by this panel of experts so far with 5 tips to share…

Take SBC’s 2016 Restrictions & Closures Bookie Survey

Help us to highlight the issue of bookmaker restrictions/closures and name and shame the very worst culprits for limiting how much you can win betting. Our survey takes just a few minutes to fill in and once complete you can also enter a free prize draw to win a brand new Toshiba Chromebook Laptop

 

1. Try to build up an account history gradually

“If you are opening new bookmaker accounts, it isn’t ideal if you hit the jackpot straight away and go steaming in and maxing out your stakes and winning big. On the flip side, I would try avoid suddenly ramping up stakes if you have maintained a previous level of staking. If you are normally a £20-a-bet punter and suddenly you have £200 on a 33/1 shot and it wins, there is the possibility that the result may arouse suspicion. Some traders are scared of their own shadow and may think you have access to inside information that means you are a risk to them. If you are fortunate they might think you just got lucky and let you off.”

2. Laying off on the Exchanges 

“There is one stand out bit of advice I would offer anyone looking to prolong an account: After you make a profit on one bet, you should consider laying the money made off on the exchanges.

I do this and look for bets at odds of around 1/2 to evens to place with the bookmaker and lay off. I might take a tiny hit on the trade but it’s a great way to move profits from the bookmaker to your exchange account. Of course sometimes trying to find losers at short prices can be hard and I once had a run of 5 winning bets on the bounce – I just kept going until I lost the lot in one go.  If you have any historically solid accounts, the above method should help preserve them.”

3. Spread stakes about as much as possible.

“This is one of the key things for me. I try and not have a liability of any more than a few hundred pounds with any one firm. It isn’t always ideal if there is a busy punting day and it takes time to get all the bets on, but, generally speaking, the more stakes can be spread (even if it means taking a point or two less or forsaking BOG at times), the better. If you can lower your liabilities with any one firm, you become less risky to traders. I guess it is finding the balance between coming across as low risk and also spreading stakes to a practical level for yourself as many punters have jobs and other commitments and don’t want to be sat at their PC all day placing bets.”

Awesome Foursome - SBC97

4. Be wary of each way doubles on two short priced selections.

“Bookies hate taking these bets and consider them to be ‘bad’ bets. For example, if you back two 5/2 shots, both probably have strong chances of winning and they also have excellent chances of placing. Even if one gets beat you stand a good chance of getting two placers and covering the bet. I would back such bets away from any sensitive online accounts. “

5. Be careful with bonuses & use shops.

“In terms of bonuses and promotions (e.g. enhanced prices and enhanced places) if you use them too often or more often than normal bets you’ll get flagged up straight away. Bookies hate bonus abusers with a passion. If you want to play bonuses get to BetFred shops on big race days and use Paddy Power shops for enhanced places if there is something you really fancy.

When placing bets in shops keep the liability of your stake to under £500. Shop staff should accept bets that do not pay out more than £500 without referring said bet to the trading team. If you get referred 3 times and beat the odds 3 times then there is a good chance they will refuse your custom.”

Save £16 on all SBC Subscriptions

More Advice On The SBC Site Now

The 5 tips posted above are extracted from a series of expert interviews available to read now in the Smart Betting Club members area. In the run-up to the release of our special report on this topic, we are publishing one new interview each Friday full of content like this on how to ‘Get Your Bets On’!

If interested in learning more on this topic, you can access all of these interviews with a Smart Betting Club membership.

Look out for a lot more from myself and the SBC Team on this topic in coming weeks and months, including the release of our special ‘Getting On’ Report.

P.s. You can also check out more on my take on the issue of Restrictions & Closures via a number of articles and interviews in which I have been involved (links below).

BBC Radio 5 Live
BBC News
Gambling Insider Magazine

Magical Multiples: £54 Staked Over 3 Bets = £1600 Profit

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The latest in a series of special Smart Betting Club Reports has just been published and this time out we are looking at how you can increase your profits by utilising some very simple multiple betting strategies.

Using similar multiple betting strategies helped me make £1600 from just £54 staked on 3 bets earlier this year (more on this shortly) and partly inspired by this, the team at SBC have put this special report together.

Entitled ‘The Magic of Multiples’ – this special report reveals the following:

  • The theory behind successful multiple betting & how you can utilise it to good effect;
  • How betting in multiples can keep you under the bookies’ radar and extend the longevity of your accounts;
  • The best multiple bet strategies to follow (how and why they work)
  • Real-life evidence of how multiple betting has worked for us at SBC (and the tipster tearing it up with a simple doubles strategy)


£54 Staked Over 3 Bets = £1600 Profit

I know that multiple betting is a strategy that works as I utilise it myself personally (As I know several other shrewd punters do as well)

To prove this success, I have copied some screenshots from my bookmaker accounts that highlight a few recent big ‘multiple bet’ winners.

First of all, you can view the simple £10 Trixie (3 Doubles and 1 Treble) bet from the end of March that returned a £778.20 profit when all 3 horses won.

betslip

Secondly, here is another Trixie from the 28th May where once again all 3 horses won to return a £374.07 profit from just £20 staked.

trixie

And finally, yet another Trixie from the 16th June, which returned £448.50 from £24 staked.
trixie-b

All 3 of these screengrabs are taken from my own betting accounts and are 100% correct (I would be happy to put together a video showcasing this should anyone be in any doubt!!)

The Best Tipster Guide - SBC

All told – for £54 staked over these 3 bets, I made a £1600.77 profit.

Now of course, not every multiple bet I have placed has won and there have been losses during this period as you would expect. Still I remain hugely in profit overall from this strategy so far in 2016 alone.

It is a method that requires patience at times but ultimately if willing to think strategically and be disciplined, it does reap the rewards.

Best of all you don’t need huge stakes to make a good return in this fashion, making it ideal if some bookies have limited how much you can stake.

Don’t Miss Out On Multiple Betting Profits

If you are looking to add another string to your betting bow then you must check out ‘The Magic of Multiples’ report and see how it can help you.

It could well be that you are missing out on some easy extra profits – simply by considering some of the multiple betting strategies we outline.

You can access The Magic of Multiples Report the instant you sign-up for a Smart Betting Club membership.

Awesome Foursome - SBC97

My Simple 77/1 Winning Bet Strategy

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One of the common questions I invariably get asked when discussing my job is ‘What’s your biggest winning bet’?

Usually, I struggle to recall a huge winning bet as most of my winners come at ‘normal’ prices but this week I picked up a 77/1 winning bet (more about this later on) which has inspired my column today.

This big winner was based on a simple ‘multiple’ betting strategy I have adopted for some-time and one which I feel many other punters might also benefit from. Allow me to explain…

Comparing Single & Double Bet Value

Firstly, I want to set the scene with some mythical fixtures and prices to compare the profits from both single and double bets.

For ease of explanation, let’s imagine that this weekend my beloved Everton are priced at evens (2.0) to beat Man Utd and Leicester are also evens (2.0) to beat Southampton. Effectively they are 50/50 shots.

Therefore, if you are able to get anything above 2.0 (evens) on those matches, then you’ve got a value bet and should make a profit in theory.

A quick check at the fictional odds available at the bookies shows that both Everton and Leicester are available at around 2.20 (6/5).

My options if I wanted to back both are as follows:

  • 2 Single Bets: Back Everton & Leicester at 2.20 as 2 single bets. Potential profit if both win: 2.40 points.
  • 1 Double Bet: Back Everton & Leicester at 2.20 as 1 double bet. Potential profit if both win: 3.84 points

As you can see the double bets will ultimately provide the greatest profit and long-term a 21% Return on Investment. This compares well with the 10% Return on Investment to be had simply backing single bets.

The main difference here comes in the strike-rate as the double bet will only win 1 in 4 times, compared to the 1 in 2 strike-rate the single bets have.

Ultimately it’s this strike-rate for success (50% for single bets vs. 25% double bets) that can make all the difference and really test your patience when doubling up.

The question to ask is if you’re willing to accept the risk of taking a longer losing run in exchange for higher profits?

March2016_468x60

Treble & Trixies

Whilst I draw the line at placing big accumulators I am also a fan of placing Treble bets or Trixie bets when you have 3 value selections.

It might be unlikely for a 10-fold accumulator to come in, yet it is more than reasonable to expect 3 bets to win or place (if placing an each way treble) every now and then.

For those of you looking to be even more creative, if you have 3 value tips, you might like to try a Trixie bet, which is actually 4 bets in 1: 3 doubles and 1 treble.

You needn’t risk huge stakes on such bets, but they are a nice way to compliment single bets you place and can often pay out big on the occasions they come in.

Which leads me back to my bet earlier this week, where one of my regular trixies came in at decent odds. I placed a £1.25 each way Trixie on 3 horses at 7/1, 9/2 & 4/1, which all duly came in. Thus my £10 staked became £778.20. Click here to see my betslip

Admittedly I got a little lucky as my 7/1 winner was uplifted to 14/1 – but even if paid out at the lower odds, it more than made up for any losses incurred by past losing trixies. As I usually bet them each way, very often I get a few place and wins to make a few quid back and tick me over until these big wins come in!

Bad Single Bets = Bad Multiple Bets

Before you rush off to place a whole series of multiple bets – it’s important to make clear that Doubles, Trebles & Trixies betting is only as good as the bets you are placing or the tipsters you are following who advise the tips.

If your bets don’t make a profit as a single, they won’t magically make a profit when bet as a multiple.

Many mug punters roll up short priced football bets in an attempt to push up their returns with no concept of value. This is why bookmakers sometimes love you betting on doubles and trebles – If not used correctly, they can multiply your losses as well as profits.

My own Trixie selections on the above winning bet were based on tips put forward by some of the high quality tipsters we work with here at the Smart Betting Club (step forward Jason JamesOddsbeater).

With access to a number of these tipsters, alongside placing all the single bets they put forward, it’s also sometimes worth the occasional multiple bet when the odds remain in your favour.

For those of you with the patience and foresight to ride the losses in anticipation of the winners when they come, it can add another string to your betting bow.

I do hope you have enjoyed my article today – hopefully its provided some food for thought and options for your betting moving forward.

For even more betting advice and expertise, do consider a Smart Betting Club membership. Last year, over 85% of our members reported they made a profit from their betting – so why not sign-up today and see how we can help you!

 

Compound Staking: Turn £1565 into £2968 With This Simple Plan


Our goal here at the
Smart Betting Club is to help you make money from your betting, whether it be for the first time ever or by adding to what you are already making.

(We seem to be achieving this goal too as 85.1% of members reported they made a profit last year)

Yet once you start making money betting – how then can you best keep doing so and most crucially of all…maximise the profits you are making?

The answer often lies in your staking…as by doing so shrewdly, you can make your profits go that much further. After all, the money you put on the right bets from the right tipster, the more you will make.

Yet when exactly should you increase your staking and how and when should you do this?

Allow me to explain just one example way to do so whereby a simple tweak in staking following one tipster could have made a major difference to your profits…

Make Money Betting Today with Smart Betting Club

The 1-Bet-A-Day Tipster & Its Profits…

As part of an in-depth racing tipster review due to be published in the next SBC Magazine (Issue 96 out next week) we spent some time analysing the different staking plans you could use if following their advice and how to maximise your profits.

To set the scene first of all, this racing tipster has a profitable record dating back to 2009 as follows:

1betaday-tipster

It’s fair to say the record is OK with only a 5.2% ROI and 156% ROC (AKA betting bank growth) over 2,400 bets. Certainly it isn’t the flashiest of services, yet does appeal to some due to the steady profits made, consistency and professionalism.

After all, how many tipsters have been going since 2009 and have consistently made a profit from a simple 1 bet a day strategy?

Yet it is this 1 bet a day strategy and the strike-rate of 34.9% that made us take a look at alternative ways of staking when following this tipster, including a method called compounding.

Compounding is effectively where you re-invest your profits to make your stakes bigger. When done right it can be highly effective and equally when done badly – very damaging so you need to know what you are doing.

There are many different ways to compound your stakes but we chose 4 simple and logical example methods as part of our analysis. Below you can find what out exactly what we uncovered.

For each of our calculations we used a £1000 financial starting point and an 80-point betting bank – which is what we advocate for this tipster.

One Tipster, Four Different Ways To Profit

1. Level Stakes = £1565 Profit (156.5% ROC)

For this first method, we wanted to see how much money would be made if we put the same fixed stake on every bet since 2009.

Your profit through this method would be £1,565 or 156.5% ROC and you can see some of the other key calculations such as max drawdown (the biggest drop at any point) in the table below.

level-stakes

2. Compound Stakes = £1999 Profit (199.9% ROC)

In this second method, we calculated what would happen if you adjusted your stakes after every bet. The stake would be 1/80th of your ongoing betting bank.

This method would have made you a much larger profit of £1,999 (199.9% ROC) although the worst drawdown would be that much greater at £1,809. As your profit grows, so does the risk.

compound

3. Compound Stakes 100 = £2379 Profit (237.9% ROC)

In this third method, we calculated what would happen if you adjusted your stakes after every 100 bets. The stake would be 1/80th of your ongoing betting bank.

This approach would have grown your profits further to £2,379 (237.9% ROC) and the max drawdown increases only slightly.

compound100-takes

4. Compound Stakes 25 = £2968 Profit (296.8% ROC)

In this final method, we calculated what would happen if you adjusted your stakes each time your bank grew by 25%. The stake would be 1/80th of your ongoing betting bank.

Taking this approach would have made the most profit with £2,968 (296.8% ROC).

compound25percent

 

The Tipster Profit Train

 

Greater Risk, Greater Reward

Although these compounding methods do increase your profits, it is worth noting this does come at the expense of extra risk. The max drawdown more than trebles for each compounding method compared to fixed staking and you do need to be prepared for this. As with any investment, the greater the reward, the greater the risk.

Of the 4 methods above, the Compound 25% approach came out on top in terms of overall bank growth and would be our suggested approach if you wanted to move away from level staking.

Its appeal likes in the fact that you only increases stakes after a 25% profit has been made. The downside of the other methods such as the Compound 100 is that you are adjusting your stakes after 100 bets, whether or not you have made a profit or not.

More Professional Tipster Analysis

If you enjoyed this analysis, you can read the full rundown of our findings when SBC 96 is published next week. Alongside this review, we are also featuring 3 other tipsters across a variety of sports and each with a profitable history of making money betting.

For each tipster we review we provide betting bank and staking plan analysis – to enable you to set your betting up in the most professional and profitable manner possible.

So if you are looking for the best advice on how to make money with tipsters – sign-up for a Smart Betting Club membership today.