4 Tipsters Profitable On The Betting Exchange

If you’ve recently been struggling with bookmaker restrictions and limitations then my latest article and video for SBC may help a great deal.

I recently recorded a video on the subject which you can watch here.

In this article I feature 4 Tipsters that are profitable on the Betting Exchange.

This means, no restrictions, no closures and viable long term options.

Betting on Betfair or other betting exchanges such as Smarkets, Matchbook and Betdaq can be seen as the holy grail for some sports bettors. If you can find a profitable strategy at the exchange you will not have to subject yourself to the various issues you will face when winning at the bootmakers.

Such issues as account closures or bet restrictions are commonplace for winning bettors at bookmakers. If winning at the exchange however, you will not face these problems and your experience will be very different.

Unfortunately it is not an easy thing to do and people normally find it much easier to beat the bookmakers. This is mainly due to the fact that the smartest bettors bet at the exchange so you have to beat these guys if you want to make a profit.

Luckily for us, SBC have been proofing tipsters that are profitable on the exchange for many years now. This means we have long term records for these services and we can clearly see there is potential to make money on the exchange by following some of these services.

In this article I’ve highlighted 4 services that all have long term profitable records on the exchanges.

Hopefully this will provide some valuable insight to those of you that are struggling with winning at the bookies and are looking for a viable alternative.

Ben Coley

Service highlights

Ben is perhaps one of the biggest names in golf betting and tips for the betting website Sporting Life. He was reviewed by SBC in SBC Betting Magazine 119 and while the results assessment in that piece was based on bookmaker results, an odds comparison exercise was done showing that better odds could regularly be achieved at Betfair Exchange.

Pete who conducted the review mentions this in the ‘Odds Movement & Exchange Strategy’ section.

“The issue of odds movement is one that Ben freely admits to in our interview that follows. It is therefore important to be aware of this before committing to back his tips as you will find occasions when the odds on his selections have moved beyond what you should reasonably take.”

He went on to provide a previous example of this which clearly shows the better odds at Betfair. These selections were tipped for the Portugal Masters in September 2020.

Note – Coetzee won with Laurie Canter 2nd to make it a very profitable tournament!

3pts e.w. George Coetzee at 18/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 15/1 (bookmaker) and 18.5 (Betfair)

1.5pts e.w. Jason Scrivener at 30/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 30/1 (bookmaker) and 44 (Betfair)

1.5pts e.w. Wilco Nienaber at 33/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
Best odds 24 hours later: 25/1 (bookmaker) and 29 (Betfair)

1pt e.w. Laurie Canter at 70/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 66/1 (bookmaker) and 75 (Betfair)

1pt e.w. Jake McLeod at 125/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 100/1 (bookmaker) and 130 (Betfair)

The caveat here being you will not get the place concessions on the exchange like you would at a bookmaker. Bookies often will pay anywhere from 7 to 11 places rather than the standard 5 places at 1/4 odds.

We’re able to get round this by splitting our place bet between the top 5 and top 10 markets on Betfair.

If taking this course of action, here is how the returns would vary if staking £100 with either the bookmaker at 18/1 or on Betfair as per the above.

  • Coetzee wins: £1080 Bookmaker profit & £1042.23 Betfair profit
  • Coetzee top 5 finish: £130 Bookmaker profit & £85.73 Betfair profit
  • Coetzee top 7: £130 Bookmaker profit & £27.47 Betfair loss
  • Coetzee top 10: £130 Bookmaker loss & £27.47 Betfair loss

So here you can see slightly less money was made at Betfair but if some of the other selections had won, you would have made more. Plus, a small sacrifice of profit is well worth it when considering you won’t be losing accounts at the exchange.

Ben’s all time record as proofed by SBC stands at +1187.4 pts @ 26.5% ROI. So you can see even if you lose a small chunk of profit it’s very much worth betting at the exchange. Our findings regularly show you can get much better odds there so there’s potential to even increase this ROI.

The Poacher

Service highlights

  • SBC Premium service
  • Specialises in Spanish football markets
  • All tips are advised at the exchange
  • Market conditions have to be right – odds/liquidity
  • All time record +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI
  • Discounts for SBC members

The Poacher is a football tipster that actually tips all of his bets at Betfair Exchange. This means there is no bookmaker comparison to do, no involvement with the bookie at all and the betting record that has been proofed by SBC is 100% based on exchange prices.

That betting record shows an all time record of +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI. This is going back to 2019 so it’s a steady long term profitable record, beating one of the sharpest places to bet around.

As it’s a football service the ROIs are smaller than some other sports but you’ll often find a lot more liquidity in football markets meaning you can get a lot more money down. The strike-rate is higher too so it is suitable for those of you with bigger betting banks that want reliable returns and lower variance.

The Poacher specialises in the Spanish football markets, mainly La Liga and the 2nd division.

CD Systems Daily Bargain

Service highlights

  • https://www.cdsystems.uk.com/
  • All time record +484.92 pts @ 31.02% ROI
  • Tips at bookies but exchange bets are possible as explored in SBC 118
  • Profitable at Betfair SP
  • Discounts for SBC members

The 3rd tipster I’ve featured is a horse racing tipster called CD Systems – Daily Bargain. SBC reviewed this service in magazine 118 and the results proofed were based on bookmaker bets and the Betfair starting price.

The bookmaker bets have shown an all time profit of +484.92 pts @ 31.02% ROI.

The Betfair SP record showed an all time profit of +147.27 pts @ 6.01%

Both these records are going back to 2012.

You can see there’s a big difference in profits here but betting at BFSP since 2012 has still shown a profit. This is very interesting and suggests Steve Jones who runs the service has an edge over the market.

This is because BFSP is seen as ‘true value’ in horse racing meaning you’d expect to break even if betting at that price over the long term.

In SBC 118 Steve mentions this point in his interview with Pete.

“Betfair SP is perhaps the closest thing we have to true chance, albeit retrospectively. Given that the aim of the game is to make bets at better than true chance, my job is to unearth bets that can be placed at prices bigger than perceived true chance.

Clearly, the most basic rule of betting is that we cannot possibly win in the long term if we don’t consistently make bets at greater than true chance odds.

On that basis, I don’t feel that producing performance stats in comparison to true-chance prices is beneficial. No professional would dream of making bets at true chance and any variation between Betfair SP (a 100% market) and true chance would only be either temporary, coincidental or the result of some outside factor (such as an influential tipster or a trader manipulating the market).”

In a nutshell – Steve is not a fan of Betfair SP betting and it is easy to understand why. Beyond setting the minimum price you can take; it doesn’t allow you to know what price you obtain until after the event – something that goes against the whole theory of value betting.

But as Steve went on to explain, there is certainly value (and sometimes huge value) in betting on his selections in the pre-race and in-play market…

“Having said all of the above, I do have plenty a number of members who successfully use the Betfair exchange in conjunction with my bets.

Their techniques involve placing unmatched money at a range of prices, upwards of the recommended minimum price and going out further than the biggest bookmakers’ prices, then selecting the ‘in-play’ option, as there are a significant number of big prices matched in-running.

All the highest matched Betfair Exchange prices can all be viewed historically on the Timeform Results site.”

A really interesting angle here then when mentioning placing bets using the ‘in-play’ option at Betfair. Often in-play prices can fluctuate wildly and winners can hit much much bigger prices in-play than their SP.

You can see how to do this in the below example…

At the very least we would advocate checking the Betfair pre-race market and requesting your bets be taken at the value odds put forward each day by Steve. It might make more sense to also request larger prices in case the bet drifts in price significantly.

As ever, the more time and effort you can put into following the Daily Bargain, the more you can make out of it. If able to take 10% better prices than Betfair SP, you can expect your ROI in turn to rise to 15.24% and if taking 15% better prices than Betfair SP, it would go up to 19.87% ROI.

This backs up when Steve also told us that “The bigger the gap between my minimum advised price (which is my idea of true chance – in other words, what SP should be) and the price you are able to secure, the better for your long-term profit.“

PGA Profit

Service highlights

  • SBC Premium service
  • Tips PGA Tour only
  • +498.38 pts on the exchange since November 2020
  • Provides bookmaker and exchange prices
  • Featured in SBC 121
  • SBC discounts available

The final tipster featured is an SBC Premium service and another golf tipster in PGA Profit. It’s actually a service that I use myself at Betfair Exchange and I’ve already made huge returns from it…more on that in a minute.

For this service we’re lucky to have a big chunk of the results that have been proofed by SBC based on exchange bets. Since November 2020, the service’s record at Betfair is +498.38 pts. To put this in context, bookmaker profits from the same period stand at +524.83 points. So slightly less, but as mentioned before you should be more than prepared to take a hit on profits to be able to find a profitable strategy at the exchange.

And from a personal point of view, when I’ve used this service I’ve been able to regularly get better odds than what has been quoted in the tips. So if I had been using this service for the same period of time I may well have beaten the recorded points profits of +498.38.

Just for transparency, here is my personal betting record when using the service. I’m only 62 bets in but clearly have joined at the right time having hit 4 winners since I started following.

Here’s an example of a couple of PGA Profit’s tips which show exchange prices advised alongside bookmaker prices.

You can see that PGA Profit will tip the price in the top 5 finisher market at Betfair Exchange so the exchange points profit is based on this strategy. It’s also the strategy I’ve been following myself.

To Sum Up…

In my opinion any viable profitable strategy at the exchange is gold. If you find one, hold onto it, cherish it and put your time and resources into making the most out of it. You should be well rewarded if you do.

Hopefully this article has provided a first step into the world of betting profitably at the exchange. If you can dedicate some bankroll to any of these strategies then it is certainly worth giving it a go. It may allow you to grow your bankroll like you never have before.

As always, if you have any questions I’m happy to answer them at alex@smartbettingclub.com

New: The ‘Hall of Fame’ tipster affordably priced with a 2 week free trial & profitable with either bookies or Betfair

The very latest SBC Tipster Review is out now featuring our take on the racing expert with over a decade of beating the bookmaker (and Betfair SP) that we are delighted to welcome into our Hall of Fame of recommended tipsters.

It’s also yet another review from our Betting Exchange series dedicated to helping you turn a profit following tipsters on the likes of Betfair, Betdaq & Smarkets.

Our New Hall of Famer…

Here is why we rate this particular tipster so highly:

Firstly, the main reason – PROFITS!

  • Over the course of a decade recording odds to VERY fair bookmaker odds, he has made a 8.56% ROI from 7811 advised bets
  • There is every likelihood that you would have easily improved on this ROI simply by taking better odds (and indeed our experience suggests this to be the case)
  • Of the past 11 years he has been active, all bar one has been profitable and overall he has made consistent returns for those following him in.

Next – Affordability, Free Trial & Customer Service

  • The service itself is also priced in such a way to make it accessible to as many people as possible. For example you can follow until the end of November for just £100 (£25 a month)
  • Best of all, exclusively to SBC you can also enjoy a free 2 week trial of this tipster. This is only available to PAID SBC members.
  • The customer service and quality of emails, write-ups and more from this tipster are of the highest standard.

And finally – Betting Exchange Profits

  • Our analysis indicates you could make a increased profit by taking Betfair SP with a 9.76% ROI to this metric (vs the 8.56% with bookmakers) over the same 7811 bets

All of the above and more can be explored in this new 14 page, extremely detailed tipster review, which is available now!

Get Instant Access To This & Our Full Exchange Series

You can access this latest review and our entire 15 year strong back catalogue of tipster reviews, reports and articles the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

As an SBC member you can also explore our growing ‘Exchange Tipster‘ section and several other tipsters we have identified as profitable on the betting exchanges including these 3 other recent reviews as released in the last 2 months:

Review 1 – The extremely popular racing tipster up more than 16.51% ROI at Betfair since March 2019. All automated through a simple bot.

Review 2 – The Betfair SP and bookmaker profitable racing tipster with a proven edge on the big races and meetings.

Review 3 – Is this pound-for-pound the best racing tipster out there? It could well be – read why here!

See you on the inside!

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via pete@smartbettingclub.com. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can!

Another Betfair SP tipster to follow in – the latest in our Betting Exchange Tipster series reveals all….

The 3rd review from the very latest SBC Magazine – Issue 117 is out now and focuses on yet another tipping service with a profitable record at Betfair SP.

It’s the latest review from our Betting Exchange series dedicated to helping you turn a profit following tipsters on the likes of Betfair, Betdaq & Smarkets. Ideal for those of you blocked and limited by bookmakers for winning!

You can access this latest review and our entire 15 year strong back catalogue of tipster reviews and articles the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

Profitable at both Betfair SP & With Bookies

This latest racing tipster under our review microscope makes a profit to both bookmaker prices AND at Betfair SP, so you can simply pick and choose the approach that suits you best.

At level stakes, here is how their record compares over the course of the near 4000 bets advised since 2012:

  • Placing all bets with bookmakers: 3961 bets. 526.75 points profit @ 13.30% ROI

  • Placing all bets at Betfair SP: 3961 bets, 400.16 points profit @ 10.10% ROI

So whilst there is an edge if you have the ability to bet with bookmakers, there is still a decent profit to be made if only taking Betfair SP (results are also after 2% commission has been deducted).

Many SBC members who still retain some access to bookmaker accounts are also mixing up the placement of bets. Some with bookmakers, some with Betfair SP to ensure they get the highest profit possible.

Betting Only On Big Races!

The other very appealing fact surrounding this tipster is that they only advises bets during major race meetings and festivals – when bookmakers are less reactive or suspicious of winning bets struck.

In fact, the bookies are often falling over themselves to encourage you to bet with them during the likes of Cheltenham, Royal Ascot or Glorious Goodwood or during the big Saturday and Sunday race meetings.

The amount of money traded and bets placed during these races is also much larger, making it much easier to get your bets down AND much easier for any winnings made with a bookmaker to go under the radar

Get Instant Access To This & Our Full Exchange Series

If interested in reading more on this tipster, you can read this review in full the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

As an SBC member you can also explore our growing ‘Exchange Tipster section and several other tipsters we have identified as profitable on the betting exchanges.

Including this extremely popular racing tipster (possibly our most popular review ever!), which has made a 16.51% ROI at Betfair since March 2019.

See you on the inside!

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

£90 In Free Bets – Special Smarkets Offer For Both New & Existing Customers.

As a follow-up to my focus on the betting exchange Smarkets last week, I wanted to highlight an exceptional offer they have for both NEW and EXISTING customers, whereby you can earn a £10 risk-free bet every week up to the 10th February 2020 betting on the English Premier League.

With 9 rounds of games remaining in this qualifying period – you could enjoy up to £90 in free bets via this superb offer.

The terms of this offer are simple – place 5 bets of £10 or more on Premier League matches (outright markets excluded) to receive £10 risk free the following week. To qualify for this offer simply opt-in via this page and place your bets each week.

There are no minimum odds and both back and lay bets qualify – although any lay bets must have a liability of £10 or more. You can read the full lowdown on the terms of this offer via this page.

So if interested in enjoying up to £90 in risk-free bets each week (whether a new or existing Smarkets customer) make sure you opt-in for this offer today and place 5 bets of £10 or more.

Want To Know More On Smarkets? Read SBC’s Review & Interview

 

2019 Betting Exchange & Bet Broker Guide Out Now

Discover the best ‘lesser-known’ places to bet with SBC’s 2019 ‘Betting Exchange & Bet Broker Guide’

Tackling 6 different firms – this guide avoids all the usual bookies you already know about and focuses on the lesser-known places that the professionals use to get the best odds.

Alongside all the usual detailed SBC analysis and recommendations, you can also read exclusive interviews with the firms included in the guide.

They might not be household names or bombard you with adverts every time you watch sport on TV, but what they do offer you is the chance to get better value odds on the bets you strike.

You can access this special Betting Exchange & Bet Broker Guide the instant you join the Smart Betting Club. Sign-up now to gain instant access.

Ideal If You Suffer Betting Restrictions

Each of the 6 firms included in this guide also represent options for those of you suffering from having your bookmaker accounts closed or restricted.

All 6 firms actively welcome winners as they make their profit either based on betting turnover or the commission they charge you on each bet. So whether you win (or lose) they will never ban you from their service – unlike so many of the ‘big-name’ bookmakers who welcome losers and restrict winners.

Offering solutions for punters on all sports including but not limited to Horse Racing, Football, Golf, Tennis, Greyhounds and all major US Sports like NBA or NFL, this guide will help show you the best firms to bet with to make long-term sustainable profits.

You can access your copy of the 2019 Betting Exchange & Bet Broker Guide with a Smart Betting Club membership

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club and gain instant access

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor


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