This week we welcome back a stellar name to the SBC Hall Of Fame with the publication of the very latest in-depthSBC Tipster Review.
The Tipster in question is run by a career professional gambler, has been in operation since 1992 and performed exceptionally well ever since our first review back in 2013.
Fast forward several years and with the betting markets having changed substantially, the service took a pause to adapt their model and reframe it to work on the Betting Exchanges.
At this point we also paused their Hall of Fame entry until this was achieved and since its re-started with a majority Betfair focus, it has hugely impressed with its performance. Hence it’s re-entry to our Hall of Fame.
Best of all – with this tipster, you only pay when you win as its based on a fair policy of payments after set targets are made and there is a 50% discount on the cost for SBC members too.
With account restrictions and closures getting worse by the week, sharp bettors need tipsters, services and strategies that do not rely so heavily on access to soft bookmakers and their array of concessions.
With this in mind, we have been working on numerous projects to help you including:
Advice to help maintain bookmaker accounts
An independent bookmaker guide
Free tipsters with edges on Betting exchanges (or with sharp bookies)
Extra emphasis on exchange & sharp bookmaker performance in our tipster reviews.
To take this all one step further, we have developed a brand new section of the SBC members area that is solely dedicated to tipsters who areprofitable on Betting Exchanges like Betfair or with Sharp Bookmakers like Pinnacle who welcome winners.
No Bookmaker Accounts? No Problem!
To see a snippet of what is on offer, you can visit this page to see how we are profiling tipster services that have edges on exchanges or with sharp bookmakers.
You will find examples of two horse racing services, a golf tipster, a football tipster and a basketball specialist.
All are usable on either Betting Exchanges or with Sharp Bookmakers who don’t limit winners.
This is just a small snapshot of what we offer and as an SBC member you can access a complete listing of suitable tipsters including:
Details on the service and what they do/offer
Links to SBC reviews and further information
Results, with reference to exchange/sharp bookmaker performance
A discussion on who the service is suitable for, including level of expertise and experience
Any extra detail we can share, usually from our own usage of the service(s) in question
We have done this for over 30 services and will be adding to the list every time we profile a tipster who shows profitability without the need for soft bookie accounts.
This means that if you can’t bet with ‘soft bookmakers’, you can still make profits from your betting! You just to have to do so in a different way.
Sign Up For Full Access!
To get full access to all of these resources you will need SBC Membership.
With profit becoming harder to come by in this industry environment, we will be focussing on projects like this one moving forward, making now the perfect time to sign up for a full SBC membership!
If you have any questions about this (or any of the other things we offer), we have more information about the benefits of membership here or are happy to answer any specific questions on social media (@SBCinfo) or by email at firstname.lastname@example.org!
Well, that’s what we have for you today as I would like to introduce a brand new horse racing tipster, Achievable Value.
This service has been proofing to us since September and, as you can see below, has recorded a very encouraging 87.71 points @ 10.43% ROI during this period.
Best of all – this is at Betfair SP (after commission) and based on 841 bets during this period.
To add a further boost to these figures, the brains behind ‘Achievable Value’ is disappointed with the performance in the proofing period as it is below his historical returns!
Achievable Value’s Edge
Achievable Value is run by a professional horse racing veteran with positive results dating back as far as 2005. During this time, he has trialled various systems and strategies, honing the model that he has for you today.
This model was built to make a profit at Betfair SP, because like most shrewd punters, the tipster was long ago closed down by the bookies and Betfair SP is his only way to get bets on.
Hence the name ‘Achievable Value’ as the bets and odds are 100% Achievable!
The method behind Achievable Value’s success includes:
A concentration on horses in the ‘sweet spot’ odds range between 4/1 & 8/1
An internal handicapping system to identify undervalued horses
Video analysis of tracked horses
A constant refinement of strategies to keep what works and remove what doesn’t
To read more about Achievable Value, its record and the mechanics of how the service will work for SBC members, please click here.
SBC’s Free Tipsters
Achievable Value joins our other 8 free tipsters, who all provide excellent value for SBC Members.
Two of them – Kieran Ward’s 13/2 to 8/1 service and Pricewise with PCB will be providing their expertise during the upcoming Cheltenham Festival, making it the perfect time to get some free advice sent to your inbox each day!
In addition, we have experts on boxing, basketball and hockey with two further horse racing services that focus on their own niche markets.
If you’ve recently been struggling with bookmaker restrictions and limitations then my latest article and video for SBC may help a great deal.
I recently recorded a video on the subject which you can watch here.
In this article I feature 4 Tipsters that are profitable on the Betting Exchange.
This means, no restrictions, no closures and viable long term options.
Betting on Betfair or other betting exchanges such as Smarkets, Matchbook and Betdaq can be seen as the holy grail for some sports bettors. If you can find a profitable strategy at the exchange you will not have to subject yourself to the various issues you will face when winning at the bootmakers.
Such issues as account closures or bet restrictions are commonplace for winning bettors at bookmakers. If winning at the exchange however, you will not face these problems and your experience will be very different.
Unfortunately it is not an easy thing to do and people normally find it much easier to beat the bookmakers. This is mainly due to the fact that the smartest bettors bet at the exchange so you have to beat these guys if you want to make a profit.
Luckily for us, SBC have been proofing tipsters that are profitable on the exchange for many years now. This means we have long term records for these services and we can clearly see there is potential to make money on the exchange by following some of these services.
In this article I’ve highlighted 4 services that all have long term profitable records on the exchanges.
Hopefully this will provide some valuable insight to those of you that are struggling with winning at the bookies and are looking for a viable alternative.
Ben is perhaps one of the biggest names in golf betting and tips for the betting website Sporting Life. He was reviewed by SBC in SBC Betting Magazine 119 and while the results assessment in that piece was based on bookmaker results, an odds comparison exercise was done showing that better odds could regularly be achieved at Betfair Exchange.
Pete who conducted the review mentions this in the ‘Odds Movement & Exchange Strategy’ section.
“The issue of odds movement is one that Ben freely admits to in our interview that follows. It is therefore important to be aware of this before committing to back his tips as you will find occasions when the odds on his selections have moved beyond what you should reasonably take.”
He went on to provide a previous example of this which clearly shows the better odds at Betfair. These selections were tipped for the Portugal Masters in September 2020.
Note – Coetzee won with Laurie Canter 2nd to make it a very profitable tournament!
3pts e.w. George Coetzee at 18/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 15/1 (bookmaker) and 18.5 (Betfair)
1.5pts e.w. Jason Scrivener at 30/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 30/1 (bookmaker) and 44 (Betfair)
1.5pts e.w. Wilco Nienaber at 33/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
Best odds 24 hours later: 25/1 (bookmaker) and 29 (Betfair)
1pt e.w. Laurie Canter at 70/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 66/1 (bookmaker) and 75 (Betfair)
1pt e.w. Jake McLeod at 125/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 100/1 (bookmaker) and 130 (Betfair)
The caveat here being you will not get the place concessions on the exchange like you would at a bookmaker. Bookies often will pay anywhere from 7 to 11 places rather than the standard 5 places at 1/4 odds.
We’re able to get round this by splitting our place bet between the top 5 and top 10 markets on Betfair.
If taking this course of action, here is how the returns would vary if staking £100 with either the bookmaker at 18/1 or on Betfair as per the above.
Coetzee top 7: £130 Bookmaker profit & £27.47 Betfair loss
Coetzee top 10: £130 Bookmaker loss & £27.47 Betfair loss
So here you can see slightly less money was made at Betfair but if some of the other selections had won, you would have made more. Plus, a small sacrifice of profit is well worth it when considering you won’t be losing accounts at the exchange.
Ben’s all time record as proofed by SBC stands at +1187.4 pts @ 26.5% ROI. So you can see even if you lose a small chunk of profit it’s very much worth betting at the exchange. Our findings regularly show you can get much better odds there so there’s potential to even increase this ROI.
Market conditions have to be right – odds/liquidity
All time record +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI
Discounts for SBC members
The Poacher is a football tipster that actually tips all of his bets at Betfair Exchange. This means there is no bookmaker comparison to do, no involvement with the bookie at all and the betting record that has been proofed by SBC is 100% based on exchange prices.
That betting record shows an all time record of +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI. This is going back to 2019 so it’s a steady long term profitable record, beating one of the sharpest places to bet around.
As it’s a football service the ROIs are smaller than some other sports but you’ll often find a lot more liquidity in football markets meaning you can get a lot more money down. The strike-rate is higher too so it is suitable for those of you with bigger betting banks that want reliable returns and lower variance.
The Poacher specialises in the Spanish football markets, mainly La Liga and the 2nd division.
Tips at bookies but exchange bets are possible as explored in SBC 118
Profitable at Betfair SP
Discounts for SBC members
The 3rd tipster I’ve featured is a horse racing tipster called CD Systems – Daily Bargain. SBC reviewed this service in magazine 118 and the results proofed were based on bookmaker bets and the Betfair starting price.
The bookmaker bets have shown an all time profit of +484.92 pts @ 31.02% ROI.
The Betfair SP record showed an all time profit of +147.27 pts @ 6.01%
Both these records are going back to 2012.
You can see there’s a big difference in profits here but betting at BFSP since 2012 has still shown a profit. This is very interesting and suggests Steve Jones who runs the service has an edge over the market.
This is because BFSP is seen as ‘true value’ in horse racing meaning you’d expect to break even if betting at that price over the long term.
In SBC 118 Steve mentions this point in his interview with Pete.
“Betfair SP is perhaps the closest thing we have to true chance, albeit retrospectively. Given that the aim of the game is to make bets at better than true chance, my job is to unearth bets that can be placed at prices bigger than perceived true chance.
Clearly, the most basic rule of betting is that we cannot possibly win in the long term if we don’t consistently make bets at greater than true chance odds.
On that basis, I don’t feel that producing performance stats in comparison to true-chance prices is beneficial. No professional would dream of making bets at true chance and any variation between Betfair SP (a 100% market) and true chance would only be either temporary, coincidental or the result of some outside factor (such as an influential tipster or a trader manipulating the market).”
In a nutshell – Steve is not a fan of Betfair SP betting and it is easy to understand why. Beyond setting the minimum price you can take; it doesn’t allow you to know what price you obtain until after the event – something that goes against the whole theory of value betting.
But as Steve went on to explain, there is certainly value (and sometimes huge value) in betting on his selections in the pre-race and in-play market…
“Having said all of the above, I do have plenty a number of members who successfully use the Betfair exchange in conjunction with my bets.
Their techniques involve placing unmatched money at a range of prices, upwards of the recommended minimum price and going out further than the biggest bookmakers’ prices, then selecting the ‘in-play’ option, as there are a significant number of big prices matched in-running.
All the highest matched Betfair Exchange prices can all be viewed historically on the Timeform Results site.”
A really interesting angle here then when mentioning placing bets using the ‘in-play’ option at Betfair. Often in-play prices can fluctuate wildly and winners can hit much much bigger prices in-play than their SP.
You can see how to do this in the below example…
At the very least we would advocate checking the Betfair pre-race market and requesting your bets be taken at the value odds put forward each day by Steve. It might make more sense to also request larger prices in case the bet drifts in price significantly.
As ever, the more time and effort you can put into following the Daily Bargain, the more you can make out of it. If able to take 10% better prices than Betfair SP, you can expect your ROI in turn to rise to 15.24% and if taking 15% better prices than Betfair SP, it would go up to 19.87% ROI.
This backs up when Steve also told us that “The bigger the gap between my minimum advised price (which is my idea of true chance – in other words, what SP should be) and the price you are able to secure, the better for your long-term profit.“
The final tipster featured is an SBC Premium serviceand another golf tipster in PGA Profit. It’s actually a service that I use myself at Betfair Exchange and I’ve already made huge returns from it…more on that in a minute.
For this service we’re lucky to have a big chunk of the results that have been proofed by SBC based on exchange bets. Since November 2020, the service’s record at Betfair is +498.38 pts. To put this in context, bookmaker profits from the same period stand at +524.83 points. So slightly less, but as mentioned before you should be more than prepared to take a hit on profits to be able to find a profitable strategy at the exchange.
And from a personal point of view, when I’ve used this service I’ve been able to regularly get better odds than what has been quoted in the tips. So if I had been using this service for the same period of time I may well have beaten the recorded points profits of +498.38.
Just for transparency, here is my personal betting record when using the service. I’m only 62 bets in but clearly have joined at the right time having hit 4 winners since I started following.
Here’s an example of a couple of PGA Profit’s tips which show exchange prices advised alongside bookmaker prices.
You can see that PGA Profit will tip the price in the top 5 finisher market at Betfair Exchange so the exchange points profit is based on this strategy. It’s also the strategy I’ve been following myself.
To Sum Up…
In my opinion any viable profitable strategy at the exchange is gold. If you find one, hold onto it, cherish it and put your time and resources into making the most out of it. You should be well rewarded if you do.
Hopefully this article has provided a first step into the world of betting profitably at the exchange. If you can dedicate some bankroll to any of these strategies then it is certainly worth giving it a go. It may allow you to grow your bankroll like you never have before.
Monday saw the release of the very latest SBC Tipster Review and it’s safe to say it might well be one of the most popular pieces we have ever published!
Speaking to the tipster behind it all on Wednesday, he told me that already more than 60 SBC members had signed-up to be on the restart list for the service – which is due to begin advising tips again on the 20th June.
This re-start delay is simply to ensure they only advise tips when they have enough solid recent racing form to go off, since the sport itself only began behind closed doors on the 1st June.
The reason for the popularity is easy to understand as this tipster ticks a lot of boxes such as…
Betfair & Betdaq Friendly – It can only be followed on Betfair and/or Betdaq and so is ideal for those of you suffering from bookmaker restrictions.
Automated Bot Placement – The service uses a simple betting bot to automatically place down all bets a few minutes before each race. Getting you the best odds & saving you lots of time!
Major Exchange Profits – Perhaps the most important factor is the profits made as to betting exchange prices, the service has made a 16.51% ROI from 2661 bets since March 2019.
Profitable at Betfair SP – Not only this but if following at Betfair SP, the profits rise to 19.14% ROI(and as always, this is after commission is deducted).
10% Discount For SBC Members – On top of the fact this tipster costs just £29.99 per month, you can also save a further 10% as an SBC member as part of the discounts we negotiate on their behalf.
5 Years in the making – This is also a tipster service that is based on 5 years worth of development and uses 6 different AI prediction models to generate the advice supplied.
This review is also the first in our forthcoming special on Betting Exchange Profits with several other tipsters profitable on Betfair or at Betfair SP to be published in coming weeks and months.
For those of you interested in finding out more – you can download this review and access the 10% discount the instant you become a Smart Betting Club member. Once joined, simply visit the ‘Betting Magazine’ members section to find the review in question.
See you on the inside!
Smart Betting Club Editor
If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via email@example.com. I respond to all emails as quickly as I can!
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