The tipster with a clear edge betting on short priced favourites as low as 1/5 (1.2 in decimals!)

In the latest SBC Magazine – Issue 129, my team and I explored the unique Tennis Tipping service as offered by Winner Odds – a service we have tracked and used personally for several years.

Winner Odds is undoubtedly a tipster challenging preconceptions, not least that you can make money betting using tipsters, but also that you can make money betting odds-on.

Including betting as short as 1/5 or 1.2 in decimals!

So, if you thought that betting odds-on, including at some very short prices was a mugs game. Well, think again.

Let me reveal more on the edge that Winner Odds has including at short prices….

Download SBC 129 and the entire SBC Back Catalogue of Reviews, Reports & More with a SBC Membership.

€5,678.49 PROFIT USING WINNER ODDS

I have been personally using the Winner Odds service for a couple of years now, having added the service to my portfolio back in late 2019/early 2020.

As of the date of writing the Winner Odds review, my profit stats are as follows with a screengrab taken directly from my Winner Odds account:

Now over a usual 2 ½ year period, it is entirely likely you would see a lot more bets being placed, however its important to make clear the disruption that Covid caused from early March 2020 into 2021.

We had circa 4-5 months without any live Tennis action and even when it did return, there were issues such as players unable to travel, train properly or with full motivation and a lack of discernible form to work from.

As such, Winner Odds wasn’t active or charging subscribers for a long period during this time – which is certainly something to bear in mind! The average tally therefore of 5.42 bets per day is likely a lot higher in reality in terms of active days tennis that was available to bet on via Winner Odds.

WEEKLY PROFIT & LOSS

Exploring these stats further, you can see the profit by week in the chart below and the proportion of profitable (green) vs loss-making (red) weeks over time.

The majority of weeks I made a fine profit, apart from a few periods including one 2-week run which lost circa €1500. As disappointing as that was at the time, I stood firm and that loss was soon made back with extra profit on top in subsequent weeks and it was quickly forgotten.

PROFIT AT LOW, LOW ODDS

Onto the point I raise at the top of this article and my profit at various odds ranges, which you can see in the next graph.

A full €4247.14 of my total €5678.49 profit has come on bets priced between 1.01 and 1.2, with another €1744.27 at those between 1.2 to 1.4.

Who says you can’t win betting heavy odds-on?

Everything is possible with the right edge and these stats prove it!

You can also see the Yield or ROI from each odds range below, with a 5.05% ROI at those between 1.01 and 1.2.

TRACKING PERFORMANCE

The following hitrate/odds range chart also backs up how I am underperforming somewhat in a few areas.

The dashed line shows what you would expect long-term over a larger set of data (look how smooth it is!), yet my strike-rate on a couple of odds ranges is a bit lower, including at 3.5 (5/2) and 4.0 (3/1) and over.

At 4.0 and over I have only achieved a 15.56% strike-rate from 90 bets, yet long-term this should hit just over a 25% strike-rate. So, I am about 10% down on what I could reasonably expect, although from just 90 bets, which is clearly a very small sample.

I am also tracking at just a 44.83% strike-rate for bets between 1.8 and 2.0, where I should be at about 52 to 53%.

Again, this backs up my confidence that over time my ROI figure will improve when my sample size at these odds ranges increase, especially when you consider that the higher ROI returns for the service come at bigger odds.

MANY WAYS TO SKIN A BETTING CAT!

My experience over the years is that there are many ways to make a profit betting.

Some punters and tipsters make a profit betting odds-on, some at single figure odds and others even at triple figure odds.

Some swear by single bets only whilst others do doubles, trebles, lucky 15’s or even yankees to make their edge.

There are many ways to skin a betting cat and its good to challenge your preconceptions at regular intervals!

So next time you hear from someone who says “You cant make a profit betting odds-on” – you know they are completely missing the point!

 

READ THIS REVIEW NOW!

If you enjoy this small excerpt from our review of Winner Odds, you can read the full in-depth review as a Smart Betting Club member.

This includes a detailed look at the average user results across thousands and thousands of data points from Winner Odds customers, with an ROI of 5.61% since 2016.

  • Review based on several years actively using and monitoring Winner Odds Tips
  • Explore our own real-life results and how we made €5678.49 over 2336 bets using Winner Odds
  • Explore the strong betting bank growth stats and staking analysis for optimal returns
  • Full rundown on how the service works include how to customise it to the bookmakers you have available
  • Monte-carlo simulation results
  • Exclusive €50 SBC member discount on the cost of joining Winner Odds

Winner Odds Review: The A.I Focused Tennis Tipster With A Superb Record

The latest SBC Magazine – Issue 129 has just been published and it contains a major new review exploring the popular Winner Odds Tennis service.

Winner Odds has been running since 2016 and with well over 50,000 tips generated by its artificial intelligence tennis betting algorithm, our independent review goes in-depth to investigate the profits made.

With a 50 Euro discount available for SBC members on the cost of joining Winner Odds and details of our own real-life profitable experiences using it (where we made €5678.49 over 2336 bets), no stone has been left uncovered in this review.

Download SBC 129 and the entire SBC Back Catalogue of Reviews, Reports & More with a SBC Membership.

KEY REVIEW FACTS

  • Review based on several years actively using and monitoring Winner Odds Tips
  • Explore our own real-life results and how we made €5678.49 over 2336 bets using Winner Odds
  • Detailed ‘average user’ results based on bets logged by all Winner Odds customers with an ROI of 5.61% since 2016.
  • Explore the strong betting bank growth stats and staking analysis for optimal returns
  • Full rundown on how the service works include how to customise it to the bookmakers you have available
  • Monte-carlo simulation results
  • Exclusive €50 SBC member discount on the cost of joining Winner Odds
  • Insight into its profitability at all odds ranges including its potency backing at very short odds!

READ THIS REVIEW NOW!

To read this review and also our huge back catalogue of past issues and reports, a Smart Betting Club membership is required.

Best of all – SBC memberships are currently at super low prices, starting from as little as £37.99 + VAT for 3 months.

When you consider you can save €50 on the cost of Winner Odds as an SBC Member, you can effectively join us with no real outlay.

Plus we’re so confident that you’ll love our subscription that we’ll give you your money back, no questions asked for up to 90 days, depending on your membership term.

If you have yet to make a profit betting OR if you are looking to add more profit on top of what you already make, then the time to get started is right away.

As soon as you sign-up you are given INSTANT access to the Smart Betting Club members area and all of our expert betting content.

Subscribe here and take your betting to the next level

Tipster update: ROI jump from 32% to 42% for this in-form racing expert

What a last few weeks it’s been since we reviewed Hanbury Racing!

Since the cut-off point for our latest review that featured the prolific racing tipster, Hanbury Racing’s ROI has jumped from 32% to over 42%!

That’s another 400 points profit in just a few weeks

Better still, that ROI has shot up to 44% at Betfair SP!

We never like to go overboard on short-term form, but given the interest in this latest review and service, we felt it was fair to pen a full update.

HANBURY DISCOUNT BOOST FOR 3 DAYS!

Not only can you read a full results performance update in this latest review, but there is also an extra discount boost Hanbury Racing is now offering SBC members…

SBC member’s exclusive discount has now been boosted from 25% to 33% on the cost of all Hanbury Racing subscriptions.

That’s a whopping £144 off a full year’s membership!

Full details on this discount is available to SBC paid members as a perk of being in the club.

This huge discount is not available for long. In fact this flash sale will end at midnight on Thursday. So now is the time to join…

Best of all as an SBC member you can read our updated review on this tipster and of course our huge back catalogue of reviews and reports too.

Start profiting today here

Hanbury Racing – A 32% ROI with bookmakers and 37.7% ROI at Betfair SP.

What do you think makes a great horse racing tipster service?

  • How about one with a long term profitable record of 32.36% ROI to advised prices over the past 2 years?
  • How about one that is not only profitable at the bookmakers but also at betting exchanges, including to Betfair SP?
  • How about one that is currently offering a huge 25% discount for those with a Smart Betting Club membership?

Well the service examined in our latest Tipster Review ticks all 3 of those boxes.

That service is called Hanbury Racing and with 2 years worth of profits behind it, our detailed review confirms it’s a tipster that is really doing the business for followers

Hanbury Racing is run by Richard Hutchinson, the owner of the Mega Tipsters platform, which he launched after winning the Tote Ten to Follow competition back in 2020 when he won £188,000. Richard has a real talent for finding value at big prices, including another 66/1 winner just last week.

Richard’s tips are also lucrative at Betfair SP, where over the same bets during the past 2 years he has posted a 37.77% ROI after commission is deducted.

That’s a considerable increase on the 32.36% ROI at advised bookmaker prices.

To put the icing on the cake, Richard has also agreed to provide SBC members wishing to join his Hanbury Racing service with an exclusive 25% discount. This is exclusively available to SBC paid members only as part of the special trials and discounts we negotiate on their behalf.

All this amazing info can be found in the latest SBC tipster review which is only accessible to SBC members.

Learn more and join SBC here

Lies, damned lies and statistics in the tipster world

In the crazy world we live in currently, the collection and analysis of data is never far from the headlines.

Whether it be examining political polls, interest rates and inflation or the spread of Covid-19, the ability to interpret complex data and make informed decisions from it is key.

As we have seen from the different approaches to Covid-19 across the world, many ‘experts’, especially the uninformed ‘sound-bite’ variety, struggled to interpret data correctly and made often perhaps well-meaning, yet flawed decisions.

Yet, what you may ask – does that have to do with betting?

The reality is that whatever field you work in, interpreting data and its outputs is vitally important, including in SBC’s world of tipster reviews and recommendations.

Yes, we can review a tipster from the basics of data. Pick out what they made over the last 3 months or simply pile in on one that made the most money in 2021, but would that be right?

That is what many simpler tipster review sites do though. Follow a tipster for 3 or even 6 months and say “Yep, this one is good – click this link to join them and we get a 40% share of any memberships you purchase”

The issue with this approach is two-fold.

Firstly the fact these affiliate review sites get paid for who they refer to a tipster (a topic for another day), and secondly, because they are simply recommending those who are hot or enjoying a purple patch over a short-term period.

These is no guarantee that any bettor or tipster enjoying a good 3 or even 6 months, will also be the best option for years to come. They might have simply got lucky.

Let’s be clear on this point because the goal of what we do here at SBC is to outline the tipsters that can make you money betting not just tomorrow, or next month, but for years to come.

Hence why we never go overboard on say just 3 months of results or small sample sizes – or even for that matter use affiliate links in our review, which financially compel us to give positive reviews to something we might not believe in.


Digging Really Deep Into A Tipster

Our quest to get the most detailed, accurate data on a tipster, has informed what we term our ‘Advanced Tipster Analytics’ that now form a standard part of every SBC tipster review.

Much of the work in these Advanced Tipster Analytics has been ported over from other investment worlds and the outputs provided help us make more informed decisions on just which tipsters offer the best chance to make you a profit betting.

To explain briefly how they work – effectively when the SBC team reviews a tipster, alongside reviewing the live, proofed data we have, we also run ‘Monte Carlo simulations’, which replicate the profile of the service over many million data points.

So rather than calculate what might happen when analysing 1000 or 2000 live bets from a tipster, we do so over say 90 million – a much more useful data set.

The results of these simulations can help to answer key questions for any given tipster such as:

  • Is a betting record more likely to be based on luck or skill?
    Getting to the heart of whether you want to risk your money following them…
  • What kind of losing runs or drawdowns might you realistically expect?
    Helping you cope with them when a bad run hits!
  • How do their live results compare to their simulation results?
    Very useful in identifying a tipster that might be lying about their live results
  • Have they benefited from some freak results and outliers that are unlikely to be replicated?
    I.e. Have they got really lucky with a big 100/1 winner or 500/1 each way double?
  • What size betting bank do you REALLY need?
    Because betting professionally is about building a bank!

No Complex Maths Knowledge Required

The good news is that you DO NOT need to understand any complicated mathematics to benefit from exploring these advanced outputs or ‘scores’ we publish as standard in each tipster review.

All you need to do is to simply follow the easy to understand explanations we give and the context to the scores published.

To further help with this, as an SBC member you can also read the Advanced Tipster Analytics Guide we have published that explains things in a simple manner.

Again – no difficult maths knowledge is needed beyond an understanding what each rating means and how a tipster scores in context and if this is good or bad (or in-between)

And naturally, the scores we see from a tipster, then directly contribute to whether or not the SBC team deems them worthy of a Hall of Fame recommendation.

I.e. The tipsters we advocate you should follow based on all the evidence in front of us.

Detailed Tipster Analysis As Standard

All SBC tipster reviews now undergo the Advanced Analytics treatment whereby we run a Monte Carlo simulation to really get to the bottom of just how good they actually are (or not!)

Ultimately though, whether you use this extra detail or not and simply just follow the SBC team’s recommendations, you can have peace of mind that no stone has been left unturned in our quest to make the most accurate predictions of which tipsters you should follow.

So, if you are interested in learning more on tipsters including the ones we recommend following and all of our reviews, reports and analysis on the tipping world, why not sign-up for a SBC membership today!

See you on the inside…

Best regards,

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Editor

If you have any questions on this article or a Smart Betting Club membership in general, you can contact me directly via pete@smartbettingclub.com.

New Podcast, Video & Tipster Review: Golf Betting Club – The 2 brothers beating the bookmakers (and exchanges)

The latest SBC members-only Tipster Review is out now and focuses on the profitable pre-event and in-play golf tips provided by the Golf Betting Club service.

Golf Betting Club is run by two brothers, Duncan and Neil Campbell who also balance running the service with long held careers as professional golf bettors.

SBC has been tracking their performance for sometime and this detailed review explores the profitability of their service including our odds availability study (bookmakers and exchanges), betting bank/staking plan analysis, monte carlo simulations and much much more!

There is also a £50 discount available on the cost of joining Golf Betting Club for SBC members interested in joining. Learn more about SBC member discounts.

Listen To The SBC Podcast Interview With Golf Betting Club

Those of you keen to know more about Duncan and Neil and the Golf Betting Club service can also listen to my interview with them in the latest SBC Podcast out today.

You can listen to it now via Apple / Spotify and all other major podcast directories (search Smart Betting Club)

You can also watch my interview with both of them on the SBC YouTube channel.

If you enjoy them – please subscribe to both the podcast feed and YouTube channel.

Read This Review & More With An SBC Membership

To read the detailed Golf Betting Club review and obtain the exclusive £50 discount, a Smart Betting Club paid membership is required.

Memberships are currently at super low prices with subscription starting from as little as £32.99 + VAT.

Not only can you read our independent review of this service, you will get all the other great aspects of joining the Smart Betting Club including…

  • SBC Magazines & Independent Tipster Reviews (Hundreds & Hundreds more like Golf Betting Club!)
  • Tipster Profit Reports
  • Bet Diary Pro – Real life tipster portfolio reports
  • Free Tipster Access
  • Pro Betting Fundamentals Guides & Insight Articles
  • Back Catalogue Access
  • Unique Tipster Savings & Trials
  • Bookmaker Restrictions Help
  • How I Make Money Betting Interviews

And don’t forget about our money back guarantee which guarantees you your money back up to 90 days (dependent on subscription) if you are not satisfied.

So why not join today and see what a difference an SBC membership can make to your betting.

Click here to get started right away!

 

New Tipster Review: The Free Golf Site Up 44% ROI Since 2019

The latest SBC Tipster Review is out now and explores a golf service run by 2 anonymous experts with a fantastic track record on the PGA Tour.

The tipsters behind the site tell us they need to remain nameless because if their true identities were known, then they would be very familiar names to golf betting enthusiasts in the bookmaking world!

Their golf expertise is backed up by the performance we have tracked, which include a 102% ROI since March this year, when we started backing the tips with our own money.

Better still, we managed a 120% ROI placing them mostly at the Betfair Exchange!

Not to mention that…THESE TIPS ARE 100% FREE.

That’s right..a hugely profitable golf tipping service that gives out their tips for free.

In this detailed review we take a deep dive into the service and cover all you’ll need to know, including…

  • The betting record dating back to 2019 which showcases a 44% ROI and 321 point profit to date.
  • The betting record at betfair which shows a 120% ROI since March! That beats the bookmaker ROI of 102% and our thoughts on how easy it is to match the quoted odds.
  • Staking and bankroll management recommendations with a focus on the exchange – including SBC Editor, Pete’s top tip for the each-way markets at Betfair.
  • The progressive re-investment strategy that compounds your profits meaning bigger returns.

For a free service this is certainly worthy of our attention…

Discover More On What It Takes To Win Betting With SBC….

You can access this review in full with a Smart Betting Club membership, available currently at super low prices starting from as little as £32.99 + VAT.

As the golf tipping service we feature above is 100% free, the only commitment you need to make to access our in-depth review is the SBC membership fee.

Plus as a member you will get all the other great aspects of joining the Smart Betting Club including…

  • SBC Magazines & Independent Tipster Reviews
  • Tipster Profit Reports
  • Bet Diary Pro
  • Free Tipster Access
  • Pro Betting Fundamentals Guides & Insight Articles
  • Back Catalogue Access
  • Unique Tipster Savings & Trials
  • Bookmaker Restrictions Help
  • How I Make Money Betting Interviews

And don’t forget about our money back guarantee which guarantees you your money back up to 90 days (length is dependent on subscription) if you are not satisfied.

So why not join today and see what a difference an SBC membership can make to your betting.

Click here to get started right away!

4 Tipsters Profitable On The Betting Exchange

If you’ve recently been struggling with bookmaker restrictions and limitations then my latest article and video for SBC may help a great deal.

I recently recorded a video on the subject which you can watch here.

In this article I feature 4 Tipsters that are profitable on the Betting Exchange.

This means, no restrictions, no closures and viable long term options.

Betting on Betfair or other betting exchanges such as Smarkets, Matchbook and Betdaq can be seen as the holy grail for some sports bettors. If you can find a profitable strategy at the exchange you will not have to subject yourself to the various issues you will face when winning at the bootmakers.

Such issues as account closures or bet restrictions are commonplace for winning bettors at bookmakers. If winning at the exchange however, you will not face these problems and your experience will be very different.

Unfortunately it is not an easy thing to do and people normally find it much easier to beat the bookmakers. This is mainly due to the fact that the smartest bettors bet at the exchange so you have to beat these guys if you want to make a profit.

Luckily for us, SBC have been proofing tipsters that are profitable on the exchange for many years now. This means we have long term records for these services and we can clearly see there is potential to make money on the exchange by following some of these services.

In this article I’ve highlighted 4 services that all have long term profitable records on the exchanges.

Hopefully this will provide some valuable insight to those of you that are struggling with winning at the bookies and are looking for a viable alternative.

Ben Coley

Service highlights

Ben is perhaps one of the biggest names in golf betting and tips for the betting website Sporting Life. He was reviewed by SBC in SBC Betting Magazine 119 and while the results assessment in that piece was based on bookmaker results, an odds comparison exercise was done showing that better odds could regularly be achieved at Betfair Exchange.

Pete who conducted the review mentions this in the ‘Odds Movement & Exchange Strategy’ section.

“The issue of odds movement is one that Ben freely admits to in our interview that follows. It is therefore important to be aware of this before committing to back his tips as you will find occasions when the odds on his selections have moved beyond what you should reasonably take.”

He went on to provide a previous example of this which clearly shows the better odds at Betfair. These selections were tipped for the Portugal Masters in September 2020.

Note – Coetzee won with Laurie Canter 2nd to make it a very profitable tournament!

3pts e.w. George Coetzee at 18/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 15/1 (bookmaker) and 18.5 (Betfair)

1.5pts e.w. Jason Scrivener at 30/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 30/1 (bookmaker) and 44 (Betfair)

1.5pts e.w. Wilco Nienaber at 33/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
Best odds 24 hours later: 25/1 (bookmaker) and 29 (Betfair)

1pt e.w. Laurie Canter at 70/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 66/1 (bookmaker) and 75 (Betfair)

1pt e.w. Jake McLeod at 125/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7)
Best odds 24 hours later: 100/1 (bookmaker) and 130 (Betfair)

The caveat here being you will not get the place concessions on the exchange like you would at a bookmaker. Bookies often will pay anywhere from 7 to 11 places rather than the standard 5 places at 1/4 odds.

We’re able to get round this by splitting our place bet between the top 5 and top 10 markets on Betfair.

If taking this course of action, here is how the returns would vary if staking £100 with either the bookmaker at 18/1 or on Betfair as per the above.

  • Coetzee wins: £1080 Bookmaker profit & £1042.23 Betfair profit
  • Coetzee top 5 finish: £130 Bookmaker profit & £85.73 Betfair profit
  • Coetzee top 7: £130 Bookmaker profit & £27.47 Betfair loss
  • Coetzee top 10: £130 Bookmaker loss & £27.47 Betfair loss

So here you can see slightly less money was made at Betfair but if some of the other selections had won, you would have made more. Plus, a small sacrifice of profit is well worth it when considering you won’t be losing accounts at the exchange.

Ben’s all time record as proofed by SBC stands at +1187.4 pts @ 26.5% ROI. So you can see even if you lose a small chunk of profit it’s very much worth betting at the exchange. Our findings regularly show you can get much better odds there so there’s potential to even increase this ROI.

The Poacher

Service highlights

  • SBC Premium service
  • Specialises in Spanish football markets
  • All tips are advised at the exchange
  • Market conditions have to be right – odds/liquidity
  • All time record +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI
  • Discounts for SBC members

The Poacher is a football tipster that actually tips all of his bets at Betfair Exchange. This means there is no bookmaker comparison to do, no involvement with the bookie at all and the betting record that has been proofed by SBC is 100% based on exchange prices.

That betting record shows an all time record of +46.88 pts @ 4.03% ROI. This is going back to 2019 so it’s a steady long term profitable record, beating one of the sharpest places to bet around.

As it’s a football service the ROIs are smaller than some other sports but you’ll often find a lot more liquidity in football markets meaning you can get a lot more money down. The strike-rate is higher too so it is suitable for those of you with bigger betting banks that want reliable returns and lower variance.

The Poacher specialises in the Spanish football markets, mainly La Liga and the 2nd division.

CD Systems Daily Bargain

Service highlights

  • https://www.cdsystems.uk.com/
  • All time record +484.92 pts @ 31.02% ROI
  • Tips at bookies but exchange bets are possible as explored in SBC 118
  • Profitable at Betfair SP
  • Discounts for SBC members

The 3rd tipster I’ve featured is a horse racing tipster called CD Systems – Daily Bargain. SBC reviewed this service in magazine 118 and the results proofed were based on bookmaker bets and the Betfair starting price.

The bookmaker bets have shown an all time profit of +484.92 pts @ 31.02% ROI.

The Betfair SP record showed an all time profit of +147.27 pts @ 6.01%

Both these records are going back to 2012.

You can see there’s a big difference in profits here but betting at BFSP since 2012 has still shown a profit. This is very interesting and suggests Steve Jones who runs the service has an edge over the market.

This is because BFSP is seen as ‘true value’ in horse racing meaning you’d expect to break even if betting at that price over the long term.

In SBC 118 Steve mentions this point in his interview with Pete.

“Betfair SP is perhaps the closest thing we have to true chance, albeit retrospectively. Given that the aim of the game is to make bets at better than true chance, my job is to unearth bets that can be placed at prices bigger than perceived true chance.

Clearly, the most basic rule of betting is that we cannot possibly win in the long term if we don’t consistently make bets at greater than true chance odds.

On that basis, I don’t feel that producing performance stats in comparison to true-chance prices is beneficial. No professional would dream of making bets at true chance and any variation between Betfair SP (a 100% market) and true chance would only be either temporary, coincidental or the result of some outside factor (such as an influential tipster or a trader manipulating the market).”

In a nutshell – Steve is not a fan of Betfair SP betting and it is easy to understand why. Beyond setting the minimum price you can take; it doesn’t allow you to know what price you obtain until after the event – something that goes against the whole theory of value betting.

But as Steve went on to explain, there is certainly value (and sometimes huge value) in betting on his selections in the pre-race and in-play market…

“Having said all of the above, I do have plenty a number of members who successfully use the Betfair exchange in conjunction with my bets.

Their techniques involve placing unmatched money at a range of prices, upwards of the recommended minimum price and going out further than the biggest bookmakers’ prices, then selecting the ‘in-play’ option, as there are a significant number of big prices matched in-running.

All the highest matched Betfair Exchange prices can all be viewed historically on the Timeform Results site.”

A really interesting angle here then when mentioning placing bets using the ‘in-play’ option at Betfair. Often in-play prices can fluctuate wildly and winners can hit much much bigger prices in-play than their SP.

You can see how to do this in the below example…

At the very least we would advocate checking the Betfair pre-race market and requesting your bets be taken at the value odds put forward each day by Steve. It might make more sense to also request larger prices in case the bet drifts in price significantly.

As ever, the more time and effort you can put into following the Daily Bargain, the more you can make out of it. If able to take 10% better prices than Betfair SP, you can expect your ROI in turn to rise to 15.24% and if taking 15% better prices than Betfair SP, it would go up to 19.87% ROI.

This backs up when Steve also told us that “The bigger the gap between my minimum advised price (which is my idea of true chance – in other words, what SP should be) and the price you are able to secure, the better for your long-term profit.“

PGA Profit

Service highlights

  • SBC Premium service
  • Tips PGA Tour only
  • +498.38 pts on the exchange since November 2020
  • Provides bookmaker and exchange prices
  • Featured in SBC 121
  • SBC discounts available

The final tipster featured is an SBC Premium service and another golf tipster in PGA Profit. It’s actually a service that I use myself at Betfair Exchange and I’ve already made huge returns from it…more on that in a minute.

For this service we’re lucky to have a big chunk of the results that have been proofed by SBC based on exchange bets. Since November 2020, the service’s record at Betfair is +498.38 pts. To put this in context, bookmaker profits from the same period stand at +524.83 points. So slightly less, but as mentioned before you should be more than prepared to take a hit on profits to be able to find a profitable strategy at the exchange.

And from a personal point of view, when I’ve used this service I’ve been able to regularly get better odds than what has been quoted in the tips. So if I had been using this service for the same period of time I may well have beaten the recorded points profits of +498.38.

Just for transparency, here is my personal betting record when using the service. I’m only 62 bets in but clearly have joined at the right time having hit 4 winners since I started following.

Here’s an example of a couple of PGA Profit’s tips which show exchange prices advised alongside bookmaker prices.

You can see that PGA Profit will tip the price in the top 5 finisher market at Betfair Exchange so the exchange points profit is based on this strategy. It’s also the strategy I’ve been following myself.

To Sum Up…

In my opinion any viable profitable strategy at the exchange is gold. If you find one, hold onto it, cherish it and put your time and resources into making the most out of it. You should be well rewarded if you do.

Hopefully this article has provided a first step into the world of betting profitably at the exchange. If you can dedicate some bankroll to any of these strategies then it is certainly worth giving it a go. It may allow you to grow your bankroll like you never have before.

As always, if you have any questions I’m happy to answer them at alex@smartbettingclub.com

Our latest tipster review looks at a service with a 12.7% ROI at Pinnacle!

The latest SBC tipster review is out now and focuses on a tennis tipster with a ROI of over 12% taking on one of the sharpest bookmakers around – Pinnacle.

Beating a sharp bookmaker like this is one of the hardest things to do in betting so when someone has done it for nearly 3 years and achieved such a high % ROI then it really makes you pay attention!

The tipster in question is called Aidan and he is a tipster available on the Pyckio website.

He has been seeking out value in the tennis markets since he wrote his dissertation on the efficiency of tennis betting markets at university.

Since then he has come a long way and now has a profitable public record of bets dating back to 2019.

His overall record now reads as follows…1092 bets, 139 points profit @ 12.7% ROI.

Looking at this in terms of bank growth, your bank would have grown a healthy 231% since 2019!

Impressive stuff seeing as all his bets are advised at Pinnacle.

Explore in full via the SBC Tipster Review

In this detailed review of his service we explore what is on offer including:

  • Overall performance figures analysis
  • Performance by bet type. E.g. Moneyline, Handicaps and Set betting
  • Performance by circuit – compare results from the ATP vs the WTA.
  • Betting bank advice and how to increase profits via a progressive reinvestment strategy
  • Monte carlo simulations on the risk/reward analysis of this service
  • Odds movement monitoring
  • Bookmaker requirements and suggestions

Its a deep dive into all aspects of this service, both from a theoretical and practical perspective and is exclusively available to Smart Betting Club members.

Get a 30% bonus with an SBC membership

Aidan’s service is hosted on the tipster site Pyckio and there is a special bonus offer available to Smart Betting Club members who take up a subscription with them for the first time.

Those of you keen to sign-up to any PRO Pyckio tipsters (such as Aidan) can enjoy an extra 30% in credits when making your first subscription to them.

For example, if you purchase 1000 credits, you will get a further 30% (300 credits) added to your tally.

You’ll need an SBC membership to gain exclusive access to this discount.

You’ll also need a Pinnacle account if following Aidan, so, as always, make sure this service fits your circumstances.

If interested in reading this review and getting hold of this exclusive discount, why not sign-up for an SBC membership today – and start your profitable betting journey right away!

The Spanish football tipster with an 8 year profitable record betting at Pinnacle

Betting and being profitable at Pinnacle is perhaps the holy grail (or pinnacle) of sports betting for shrewd bettors who understand the complexities of betting with normal bookmakers.

Reason being is that Pinnacle does not follow the same business model of UK bookmakers and actually encourages winners to bet on their site meaning no limitations and the opportunity to bet large stakes.

Plus, as it’s one of the sharpest bookmakers around, it means you are clearly doing something right if you are able to make money there.

This is why the latest SBC Tipster Review of the Serpa Bets service is so fascinating as its a football tipping service that has made a profit to Pinnacle quoted odds for several years.

Sergio, the expert behind Serpa Bets is also regularly beating the closing line (i.e. odds at Kick Off) at Pinnacle which, if you know a bit about betting, is the goal you should be aiming for and will secure you profits in the long run.

What does this mean for followers of Serpa Bets?

Well it means 2 things…

  1. If you have access to Pinnacle, either as a non-UK resident or through a broker, you have a ready-made, profitable strategy to use with no limitations or restrictions to face at the bookmaker.
  2. If you do not have access to Pinnacle, you can often get these odds at other more ‘UK-friendly’ bookies/exchanges meaning you too can regularly beat the closing line.

This latest review looks into exactly how the service is essentially beating the ‘sharp’ bookmakers and illustrates how it is beating the closing line.

The numbers are there to prove it as well…since 2013 the service has shown a 5.03% ROI over 1996 bets. That’s a profitable record over 8 years of betting!

Plus, until the end of 2021, Serpa Bets’ tips will be free to SBC members.

You can read this review and sign-up to follow Serpa Bets for free as a Smart Betting Club member. Subscribe now for instant access!

More On Serpa Bets

Sergio Perez of Serpa Bets is a Spanish football betting expert, providing followers with betting advice from the Primera (La Liga) and Segunda leagues.

Over the years Sergio has built up an impressive body of work, initially via the tipping platform Blogabet (2014 to 2021) and since the start of 2020 as one of the SBC’s stable of free to follow tipsters. The focus lies on the Asian Handicap markets and the Over/Under goal lines, where Serpa Bets has achieved very solid long-term ROI figures.

So solid in fact the long term figures show a Return on Investment of 5.03% over 1996 bets. That‘s profits spanning 8 years which clearly indicates a long term edge.

It is fair to say that Serpa Bets has evolved over the years. Although today the service concentrates solely on the two main Spanish leagues, it initially mixed this with bets on international games, Champions’ League and Europa League matches too.

Gradually however, Serpa Bets became more and more Spanish-centric. In 2016 the two current leagues plus the Segunda B (third tier Spanish division) became the sole focus. The latter has been subsequently dropped due to an increasing lack of liquidity in the market which meant that it was difficult for followers to get anything like a meaningful bet on without crushing the odds.

Nowadays the service simply focuses on bets in the top 2 Spanish Leagues and a mix of Asian Handicap, 1X2 and Over/Under bets.

Detailed Review Analysis

In the SBC Serpa Bets Tipster Review we have extensively analysed the service and how it has made profits spanning 8 football seasons.

There are 3 main areas of analysis that I wanted to highlight to you in this email. There is of course a lot more analysis to be read in the Tipster Review.

Firstly, amongst the analysis we discovered some edges of note including how profits were broken down by bet type.

We see here that both Asian Handicap and 1X2 bets are the most profitable with over/under bets being the least profitable (but still in profit).

There’s also significance in the performance by bookmaker table which clearly demonstrates Sergio’s edge at ‘sharp’ bookmakers Pinnacle and SBOBET.

This table shows every bet at every bookmaker since 2013. In recent years Sergio has cut all but Pinnacle/SBObet from his selections and since 2020 he has just advised bets at Pinnacle.

Odds That Are Available

Then perhaps most importantly for non-Pinnacle bettors, the below two tables show the odds tracking analysis we performed which monitored the odds movements on bets advised.

The tracking was done over 116 random bets and looks at advised prices, the odds when the bet was received, 60 minutes later, and the closing line odds, i.e. those at kick off time.

It also incorporates 2 sets of bookmakers, the likes of Pinnacle and SBO Bet and then a more “UK-friendly” set of bookies (Bet365, BetVictor and the Exchanges)

What this shows is that while you can get better odds at Pinnacle, the ROI differences are minimal, suggesting that even if unable to bet with Pinnacle, you can benefit from Serpa Bets without taking too much of a hit to your ROI, especially if able to get on within an hour of bet release.

Crucially it indicates a clear edge over closing prices too.

The odds movement analysis was a small subset of the service’s bets but if we assume the pattern remains for the overall picture then we can also assume we will be profitable taking these bets at UK-friendly bookmakers.

So if betting at Bet365, BetVictor and the Exchanges you are still beating the closing line (great) and ROI differences are only minimal when comparing the odds movements against betting at the sharps.

As an example then, you could take these bets at Betfair Exchange, still be profitable and not face restrictions and staking limits that you would get from the usual UK bookie.

Which makes Serpa Bets a tipster that you should certainly consider adding to your betting portfolio!

 

Get Started With Serpa Bets & SBC

Serpa Bets is currently free to follow for SBC members until the end of 2021.

To qualify for these free tips and to read the full in-depth Tipster Review on Serpa, check out our memberships starting from as little as £29.99 + VAT for 3 months.

Plus all our memberships our 30 day and 90 day no quibble money back guarantees.

Learn more about SBC memberships and get started immediately

Kind regards
Pete

Smart Betting Club
Owner and Founder