The racing tipster up 87% ROI from 1035 bets (25% ROI at Betfair SP!) Can they continue this form? Latest SBC review out now

Although it remains a very uncertain time across the world in many facets of life, here at SBC we are mindful of the fact that many of you are looking for interesting content to both occupy and inform you from a betting perspective.

So with that in mind, we are pressing ahead with the release of a large number of reviews, reports and special features we have lined up in coming months, starting today with the publication of our latest horse racing tipster review.

Given that horse racing continues in the UK and Ireland and that the racing tipster reviewed in question has made a 87% ROI from 1035 bets over 2 years, it’s an ideally timed release!

Although the 87% ROI headline figure is rightly attracting a lot of attention, in our review we delve deep beneath the surface of this tipster and explore:

  • Performance on the 2 different strategies employed by this tipster;
  • Performance based on yearly and seasonal trends;
  • A full odds movement study – how quick are the advised prices available?;
  • Betfair SP analysis – we estimate a 25% ROI has been made to this metric;
  • Betting bank and losing run analysis;
  • Monte Carlo simulation results and key variables such as p-value, capital & risk ratios

 

£10 Monthly Memberships Thanks To SBC Discounts

For those of you keen to join this racing tipster, you can also enjoy a 50% discount as an SBC member and join them for just £10 a month. There is equally a very large discount available for those of you wishing to join for a full year.

This is just one of many discounts on top tipsters we offer as a perk of Smart Betting Club membership. Very often you can find yourself saving more than the cost of joining the Smart Betting Club with some of these discounts!

Explore The 14-Year Strong SBC Back Catalogue

As an SBC member, you can access your own copy of this new review and our entire back catalogue of magazines and reports – dating back a full 14 years!

From as little as £27.99 + VAT per quarter, you can get started immediately and enjoy all our SBC Magazines, Tipster Reviews, Tipster Profit Reports, Pro Betting Guides, Betting Interviews, Monte Carlo Simulation Guides & a whole lot more.

It’s our best ever SBC membership deal and with our amazing money back guarantee offer you have everything to gain and nothing to lose.

Sign-up today and see how we can help you.

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

 

 

Part 2: Odds Availability & How It Impacts Your Real-World Betting Profits

Last week in part 1 of my article on why odds availability is so important when judging a tipster, I discussed the help that odds tracking can bring when figuring out how much real world profit you can actually make.

Today, I want to take this a step further and showcase some of the easy comparison tables that put these odds tracking studies into the context of £££’s!

We do this at SBC via 2 different Profit Adjustment Tables – one for racing and one for other sports based tipsters, which compare just how the claimed profits by each tipster stand up after a minimum of 15 minutes have elapsed from the time a tip was advised.

Allow me to show an example of how each Profit Adjustment Table works from a positive perspective for 3 different sports tipsters.

Before we get into the examples, it’s important to be clear that we use something called Annualised Profit for comparison purposes. This is simply the average yearly profit you would make if using a £2000 betting bank to follow each tipster. You don’t need a £2000 figure to get started betting, it is simply a good measure to compare and contrast with. Don’t get hung up on the need for £2000!

To explain this table, in the original SBC review of Service 1, we found there to be an actual increase of 2% ROI when compared to the quoted odds settled by the tipster. In a nutshell – you could easily beat their claimed profits if betting within the first 15 minutes after they are advised.

Based on this 2% ROI jump – an projected Annualised Profit of £2,956 for Service 1 could well increase by as much as £771 to £3,726, simply by taking better odds.

It’s a similar story for Service 2, whereby the increase was found to be 2.5% – which would turn the Annualised Profit from £1958 to £2576. An increase of £618.

Service 3 is very interesting as whilst there was a 0.5% reduction in odds within 15 minutes, the difference is just £809 less. Taking the Annualised Profit from £12,766 to £11,957.

When Odds Are Odd

Where these Profit Adjustment Tables are equally vital is when they illustrate the changes on the negative side – i.e. tipsters who quote odds that get smashed in very quickly. Those tipsters who claim a profit you are unlikely to match in the real world.

I have copied 3 examples from the Horse Racing Profit Adjustment Tables below that show this in play below:

Starting off with Service 4, we noticed a swing of -4.5% ROI within 15 minutes of the bets being advised. That is reflected in the drop of £1020 if waiting 15 minutes to get your bets on, which takes the profit from £4216 to £3196. It isn’t the biggest move but still its enough to be of concern.

Service 5 raises this up a notch and the 10.82% change within 15 minutes is huge and represents a £2472 swing against you. This would take a profitable service on paper (£982) to a losing one (-£1490) in reality.

Finally, the biggest extreme we have found is Service 6, which continues to quote completely unrealistic odds. That takes a supposed profit of £2,688 down to a loss of £307 due to the 24.5% ROI swing!

The reason for this big swing is that this Service 6 is a racing tipster who continues to take very early, big prices in the racing market which get quickly hammered in. It is for that reason we do not currently recommend Service 6 to SBC members and won’t do so until they start quoting fairer odds.

Red-Flags That A Tipster Is Quoting Unrealistic Odds

In the 6 examples above you can see the two sides to the need for odds tracking – highlighting those tipsters quoting both fair and unfair prices.

Far too often I see too many tipster reviews and recommendations, which do not tackle this issue and simply look at the claimed profit level or ROI without giving it a second thought. It is a genuine problem and it upsets me no end as they are not being straight with you on the real world profit figures.

Whilst I can’t advise you on every tipster out there and how their prices stack up, you can read the odds tracking results for the majority of the 60 tipsters included in each Tipster Profit Report and in every SBC review now published.

Yet for those of you concerned about this area – here are a few ‘red-flags’ that a tipster might be quoting unfair odds:

  • They are regularly backing already well supported bets. Effectively they are highlighting ‘steamers’ or those shorter in price on the exchanges than with bookmakers and hoping to jump on the back of a move in price.
  • Racing tipsters who put up bets the night or evening before the race itself takes place. There is very little trading money around at this time and you often see huge moves downwards for even the slightest amount of support for a horse.
  • Tipsters in very niche markets where it takes not a lot of money to move the odds down. Bookies get spooked if you win large sums in sports or markets where they can’t lay off their liabilities.

This is by no means is that an exhaustive list and ultimately the only real way to get a handle on this is to track the odds and work the data. All of which we do in each review.

Want To See More?

Over the past 14 years, the SBC team have reviewed hundreds and hundreds of tipster services – with the very best and most profitable tipsters listed in the Hall of Fame and featured in our Betting Magazines.

We also report back on their ongoing form of each service in our Tipster Profit Reports.

Most importantly – our Hall of Fame listing section is based on those tipsters we feel make a clear edge in the real world. I.e. Not those quoting imaginary prices.

You will hear me say that phrase regularly ‘Real World Profits’ as we won’t recommend a tipster to you that we don’t feel can make a realistic return for you.

So, if you want to know and see more, including the fair tipsters with proven long-term records of making a profit, you will want to join us at the Smart Betting Club.

Sign-up today and get started on your profitable betting journey.

The most important, yet overlooked fact when judging a tipster (part 1)

After 14 years working at the coalface of monitoring, tracking and reviewing tipsters, I like to think I have learnt a thing or two about what exactly a genuine, winning tipping service looks like.

Firstly, it needs to be profitable and showcase a winning record going back a decent amount of time. That is a given.

On top of that it needs to be well run, have a solid consistent strategy, send bets at reasonable times, use a workable staking plan and of course to be affordable after any subscription fees are deducted.

Speaking of which – I heard about one scam recently in the States where a guy was charging $100 to get tips priced at odds of 1.08. The mind boggles!

Yet, one vitally important point that many people overlook – including all other ‘review’ websites (at least as far as I can tell) is the question of odds availability.

Can you match the odds a tipster quotes and settles at?

  • If they quote 10/1 on a tip – how long does that 10/1 stay available for?
  • Is it 9/1 in seconds and 8/1 within 5 minutes?
  • OR does the 10/1 stay widely available for a while with even some 11/1 or 12/1 on offer elsewhere?

Because if you keep taking 8/1 when a tipster is claiming 10/1 – you need to know if that is an approach that will make or lose you money.

Understanding odds availability of a tipster is also critical in today’s age of bookmaker restrictions whereby if you consistently beat the market, you will find yourself closed down.

It doesn’t matter if your bets win or lose – simply the fact you are taking ‘sharp prices’ will see your account red flagged on a regular basis.

SBC’s Solution – Odds Tracking & Profit Adjustment Tables

To tackle this problem head on, in each SBC tipster review, you can also read the results of our detailed odds tracking study exploring the movement in odds.

This compares the average odds quoted by the tipster against:

  • The best odds available if placing the bet immediately
  • The best odds available if placing 15 minutes later
  • The best odds available if placing at 10am
  • The best odds available at kick-off (if a football tipster)
  • The odds available at Betfair SP (if a racing tipster)

The goal with this analysis is to help identify the best and worst tipsters when it comes to odds movement.

Highlighting those you can follow in the real world and not just in theory.

A Recent Odds Tracking Example

Allow me to show exactly how this works by using an example from a recent SBC Magazine, where my team and I tracked the odds from a popular racing tipster, who put up tips each morning at 9am by email and SMS.

In total we tracked the odds movement from a random collection of 200 bets supplied.

As part of this tracking we compared the advised odds by the tipster against those available with a panel of bookmakers (Bet 365, Betfair Sportsbook, Bet Victor, Black Type, Coral, Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, SkyBet, Tote and William Hill) at the time received, after 15 mins and at 10am.The exercise also encompassed both Industry and Betfair SPs.

Below you can see the results with the important figures the ROI difference in the far right column, as this highlights the drop in ROI at the different time periods.

Please ignore the P/L figures and fact this service made a loss during this random collection of 200 bets. What is of most importance is the ROI difference!

A 4.09% ROI Boost Immediately Available!

From the above we can see that getting on as quickly as possible is advised with this tipster. If able to bet as soon as the tips are released, then with a fair set of viable bookmaker accounts you stand a chance of bettering the official ROI figures by 4.09% ROI. This clearly demonstrated to us that this tipster is putting up fair odds at the time of advice.

However, as time passes the quoted prices come under pressure as within 15 minutes there is a drop of -6.19% ROI against the advised prices. The average odds went from 13.71 to 12.22 – a major move and this is reflected by the drop in points profit. Instead of losing just 27.48 points, you would have lost 39.85 points.

Furthermore, if betting just an hour after release at 10am, the impact on ROI is significant at -13.5% ROI and you would be 27 points worse off.

The average odds at 10am are just 11.07, so they have gone from a little under 13/1 to a little over 10/1 in 60 minutes.

You will notice as well that at Betfair SP, the ROI difference bounces up to -4.18%, which is better than the -6.19% ROI after 15 minutes. This is despite the average odds rising up to 15.74 – better even the average odds available when the tips are advised. It hints at some potential following at Betfair SP.

Bet365 The Go-To Bookie

As part of our odds tracking study, we also provide details on which bookmaker accounts you need to maximise your time with each service.

In terms of the accounts needed to follow this tipster – Bet365 are essential with the Stoke-based bookmaker either offering top price or equal top price on just over half of the selections.

Paddy Power, Bet Victor & Betfair Sportsbook all were required for more than 40% of bets as well.

Look Out For Part 2 Next Week

Odds availability is a huge topic so look out for Part 2 of this article coming next week.

In this second article I will explore how to use ‘Profit Adjustment Tables’ to work out exactly how the odds movement study above impacts the real world money you might make with any tipster.

If you are after dedicated expert help on sourcing the best tipsters to make you a profit betting – then you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership.

From as little as £27.99 + VAT per quarter, you can get started immediately and access the ENTIRE Smart Betting Club service including all our Tipster Reviews, Tipster Profit Reports, Free Tipster Access, Pro Betting Guides & more.

Membership also includes access to our full 14 year back catalogue and no quibble money back guarantee if you join and don’t like what is on offer (unlikely!).

Sign-up today and get started on your profitable betting journey immediately!

Read the detailed SBC review of the Wizard of Big Odds tipster service

Fresh off the press today at the Smart Betting Club is our detailed tipster review of the Wizard of Big Odds horse racing service.

Available via the Tipsters Empire network, the SBC team have been actively monitoring and tracking the Wizard of Big Odds service for some time in order to compile this most thorough and detailed review. Inside it you can read….

  • Analysis on the 264 points @ 26% ROI achieved so far and the likelihood of future profitability;
  • The results of our odds movement study – evaluating how quickly the advised odds change;
  • Betting bank and staking plan analysis;
  • Performance at Betfair SP;
  • The bookmaker accounts required to follow;
  • Exactly who the service is suitable for.

For those of you interested in joining the Wizard of Big Odds, you can also enjoy an exclusive 50% discount on all membership options. Just one more major tipster saving deal available to Smart Betting Club members.


What Is The Smart Betting Club?
Read our FAQ to learn more on exactly what SBC offers and how we can help you


Access This & All Other SBC Reviews Immediately

You can access the review of Wizard of Big Odds and the entire SBC back catalogue of tipster reviews the instant you join the Smart Betting Club. Providing access to more than 13 years of tipster reviews and expertise on what it takes to make money betting with tipsters.

If you are looking to find profitable tipsters – the Smart Betting Club is here to help you!

You can sign-up now for as little as £27.99 + VAT for a quarterly membership as part of our lowest prices ever. All memberships also come with a money back guarantee to ensure your total satisfaction.

Join The Smart Betting Club Now!

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

Act now to snag a exclusive 25% discount on this ‘ideal-for-small-stakers’ tipster service / Expires Midnight Saturday

If you are interested in obtaining the exclusive 25% discount available on the excellent Matchday Profits football betting service – then do be aware that it expires tomorrow night – Saturday the 31st August.

This discount is available ONLY to Smart Betting Club members as part of the unique tipster discounts & trials you can enjoy as part of our service. A normal season membership to Matchday Profits costs £127, yet with this 25% discount you can join for just £95.25. A saving of £31.75!

And it’s worth pointing out too that this £31.75 saving is LESS than the cost of joining SBC at just £27.99 per quarter. You don’t have to be Albert Einstein to figure out the benefits here!

Matchday Profits is also a service ideally suited to those of you who might consider yourselves ‘tipster newbies‘ or for those of working to a small betting bank.

Because as my recent post on Matchday Profits outlines – the majority of their tips can be followed at usually £5, £10 or £12.50 bet stakes. Making it very easy to follow for most punters.

If you had followed Matchday Profits in over the past 2 seasons,you would have made just short of an average £2000 annual profit, so from just a very low base, you can easily multiply your investment several times based on historical standards.

The 2019/20 season might have only just started but already MDP has made a fine profit with £51.21 profit from just £57.50 risked on 8 accas and £118.19 from 58 free bets. The stage has been set for another winning season!

So, if their service interests you, then make sure you read the very detailed Matchday Profits review available now to all Smart Betting Club Members and take up the 25% discount that expires on Saturday night whilst you can!

Sign-up to SBC now to gain instant access to this review and discount

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

Matchday Profits Tipster Review – Ideal for football punters on a budget

Fresh off the press today is the very latest Smart Betting Club Tipster review – our detailed analysis of the Matchday Profits football betting service.

Matchday Profits is a service like no other as it guides you on how to take advantage ofbookmaker offers such as free bets, money back offers, enhanced prices and other specials to lock in guaranteed profits.

Coupled with proven expertise in a few other markets such as with acca’s and antepost betting, Matchday Profits has been churning out regular profits for its followers for 4 seasons now.

Best of all, courtesy of a limited time offer you can also save 25% on the usual cost of Matchday Profits as a Smart Betting Club member. This takes the usual seasonal price of Matchday Profits from £127 to £95.25 – a saving of £31.75 exclusive to SBC.

…And when you realise that you can join us at the Smart Betting Club for as little as £27.99 – if this review and service interests you (and it should) then you can sign-up to SBC today and actually be better off if joining Matchday Profits through us.

Although be warned, this 25% Matchday Profits discount is only available until the end of August 2019 so don’t miss out!

Sign-up to SBC now to gain instant access to this review.

Why Matchday Profits Appeals

As a Matchday Profits member you receive regular, easy to follow advice on how to take advantage of 4 main different bookmaker offers – accas, free bets, promo prices & antepost bets.

To take the accas as one example – these are usually advised as 4 or 5 team accumulators for an average outlay of £5 to £10 and often with a bookmaker providing ‘acca insurance’ whereby if one leg loses you get your stake back or a free bet of some kind.

Matchday Profits then use a very neat strategy to advise the right type of bets to take advantage of these kind of acca offers. It’s all above board – and is simply based on the expertise of those behind the service, coupled with the generosity of the bookmaker(s) in question.

As proof of their edge, here is what Matchday Profits have made profit wise over the past 4 seasons:

Ideal For New Punters Or If On A Budget

A service like Matchday Profits is also ideally suited to those of you either working to a small budget or new to betting.

For those of you with budget concerns – you can follow the advice with no need for a large size betting bank as they are relatively low risk bets in the first place.

If you have a starting budget of £400 – you can pay to join for a year for just £95.25 (with the SBC discount) and use the remaining £305.75 to fund your following of the service.

Following all of his bets in the past 2 seasons has made just short of an average £2000 annual profit, so with just £400, you can easily multiply your investment by 4 to 5 times itself in a year, judged on historical standards.

Even if you simply follow in half of the bets, based on the 2018/19 stats, this would have made you a £992.25 profit for just this £95.25 subscription. More than 10 times your subscription fee.

One other angle to consider for those of you unsure if you can get on all the bets advised – if you simply followed the free bets alone – they have returned over £2500 profit for little over £2300 staked over the past 2 seasons.

Get Started Right Away (& Grab Your 2019/20 Season Guide Too!)

If you want to know more, you can grab your copy of our detailed Matchday Profits review as a Smart Betting Club member.

Not only will you also gain access to the £31.75 discount on the service but also access to our 2019/20 Season Football Tipster Guide.

It features our take on 16 of the very best football tipsters we have uncovered over the past 13 years with updated ratings, rankings and recommendations on the best experts for you to follow this season.

Highlighting the experts with a proven history of making money for those shrewd enough to follow their football tips.

Best of all, you can now sign-up totally risk-free thanks to our money back guarantee, which ensures if you find our service not for you, then you can get a full refund.

Meaning you have everything to gain and nothing to lose from joining our exclusive club!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club and gain instant access

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

New review alert: The Betfair SP Tipster up 17.78% ROI since 2017 – don’t miss out!

The first review from our forthcoming series on profitable betting exchange tipsters has just been published – and its fair to say this is one article you won’t want to miss out on!

Inside this latest review, we explore in great detail the success enjoyed by this tipster to both bookmaker advised prices and at Betfair SP (after commission) over nearly 850 bets since 2017.

At Betfair SP alone, this tipster has generated a profit of between 374 and 543 points at 12.27% and 17.78% ROI.

The profit differences above depend on whether you wish to follow as a mix of win & place bets on Betfair (effectively mimicking a traditional each way bet) or just win bets only.

You can make more money betting win only than each way, yet as ever you don’t get a payout if your horse finishes in the place money.

If able to bet with bookmakers – to his fairly quoted odds, he has made a profit of between 768 and 1041 points at 25.16% and 34.11% ROI.

Again these differences are based on whether you prefer to bet each way or to win outright – with the latter much more profitable long-term.

Read The Full SBC Review

As well as exploring the service and its profitability with both bookmakers and the exchanges, our review also discusses:

  • The service staking plan and how it stacks up;
  • The breakdown in performance by odds & where the service makes the greatest profit;
  • A comparison of win vs each way betting to help you decide what’s best for you;
  • The recommended betting bank sizes for each method & how to make the largest growth figures;
  • How best to follow on the exchanges and a possible ‘Hybrid’ method to make the greatest return.

If interested in learning more on this tipster and reading the full 11-page review, you can access it immediately with a Smart Betting Club membership.

You can also discover how to save £97 on the cost of joining this tipster – thanks to an exclusive Smart Betting Club deal.

Get The Full SBC Membership Package For Just £27.99

If wanting to get started right away and access this review ASAP, you can now join the Smart Betting Club and take advantage of our lowest EVER membership prices for 2019.

From as little as £27.99 + VAT per quarter, you can get started immediately and access the ENTIRE Smart Betting Club service including all our SBC Magazines, Tipster Profit Reports, Best Tipster Guides, Pro Betting Guides & more.

This includes access to our full 13 year back catalogue and no quibble money back guarantee if you join and don’t like what is on offer (unlikely!).

£27.99 per quarter works out at just £2.15 per week – less than the cost of the Racing Post.

It’s our best ever SBC membership deal and with our amazing money back guarantee offer you have everything to gain and nothing to lose.

Subscribe Now to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club.

Pete_HeadShot_SMall

How to check if a tipsters quoted odds are fair and realistic

One of the most important questions facing those of you using racing tipsters these days is that of odds availability.

Specifically…Can you as a punter realistically obtain the odds that a tipster quotes?

For some of the most popular free tipsters like Hugh Taylor or Andy Holding it’s always been an issue as the weight of money behind their tips forces the odds in very quickly. The fact they both supply their tips for free means there are lots of punters trying to lump on their bets.

Odds movement is also now a growing issue for other less well-known tipsters too – especially horse racing experts that put up bets into early markets which are very price sensitive.

Whilst it might make sense to follow a tipster snapping up the earliest value – in reality, it can cause you all kinds of problems. From the fact you will be making less profit (and possibly losing so much value you might be in deficit by doing so) to being increasingly vulnerable to betting restrictions being applied to your bookmaker accounts.

In short, its a major issue and one you need to be acutely aware of if following a tipster.

The Evolution of Racing Bookmaking

To help explain the current issue with ‘early odds’, it’s worth a quick walk down memory lane to understand how betting on racing historically worked.

Back in the good old days, most major bookmakers employed large teams of racing traders who would price up each race meeting and manage a traditional racing book.

As money flowed in a market, the odds for each horse would change as each firm managed their liability and tried to work an overall profitable position.

Occasionally, some bookmakers would find themselves getting filled in and taking a hit if getting it wrong, yet their in-built over-round always ensured that long-term, they would usually make a profit with a modicum of skill.

With the introduction of betting exchanges, all of this changed.

Nowadays, large-scale racing trading teams are a thing of the past, with almost all bookmakers basing their odds on what happens on Betfair.

If money comes in for a horse on Betfair – the bookie slashes its prices to reflect that. The opposite rings true on horses that drift in price although generally bookies are much slower to put their odds up than down.

Ultimately, the art of building a racing book has been lost by all major firms. They simply track Betfair.

Which in turn has impacted how we as punters get on and how the markets react to shrewd money.

Why Odds Are Odd When Betting Early

This sea change in the world of racing bookmaking has had a major knock-on effect for those punters keen to bet early such as the night before or the early morning of racing.

For most horse races these days, you can expect to see the first odds start to appear around 4 to 5pm the day before racing is due to take place from a handful of bookies.

As the evening wears on, a few more firms will start to quote odds until there are a smattering of bookmakers pricing up each horse in a race.

This continues into the morning of racing and it is not until 10 to 1030am when the markets really start to form, with the vast majority of money actually only hitting the market around 10 minutes before a race actually starts.

The problem for us punters is that when taking ‘early’ prices prior to the market forming – these prices are based on a very small amount of Betfair trading – usually not much money at all.

A horse that is 10/1 at 9am, which suddenly sees a rush of support can send the bookies running for cover and be as short as 5/1 within 20 to 30 minutes.

This is because without a decent Betfair market to guide them at this time and with very little ‘racing expertise’, the bookies know they are vulnerable to shrewd punters who try and snap up the value odds on any overpriced horses at this point.

Therefore, even moderate sums of money coming in for a horse (especially at big odds) will see its price collapse in no time and the accounts of those placing such bets eyed with suspicion.

Want to red flag your account to a bookmaker as one for restriction? Simply place lots of bets on popular horses that quickly shorten in price and that usually does the trick.

Sometimes it matters not one jot if your bets go onto win. The simple act of regularly betting horses that shorten in price is enough to see many bookmakers limit your account.

20/1 Advised into 8/1 SP…

It is this issue of slashing odds that causes such a problem for tipsters who post up bets into these early betting markets.

The general logic is that the earlier a tipster puts up a tip, the greater chance its odds will move downwards*

*Although it’s important to make the distinction here that betting in the major race meetings such as Cheltenham or on the big Saturday/Sunday featured races won’t see the same level of movement.

For those tipsters with a large subscriber base, there is zero chance the quoted odds will hold up.

It’s all too common to see a price of 20/1 quoted by a tipster, yet within minutes it’s a best 16/1 or 14/1. Come the morning of the race its 10/1 and it starts at 8/1 SP.

Considering betting profitably is all about value, even a change from 20/1 to 16/1 can and does make a major difference to your bottom line.

Taking 8/1 or 10/1 on a 20/1 shot isn’t worth thinking about neither – and by doing so you are actually more likely to turn a loss than a profit.

 

 

The Tipster With Rapid Odds Movement Issues

To give you an example of the type of movement I regularly see on this front, I wanted to share with you stats from some ongoing odds monitoring we are currently undertaking on a popular racing tipster.

I won’t name the tipster in question as this odds monitoring is still ongoing, but I have seen several very positive reviews of his service as published by several other ‘review’ sites already – yet none of them mention his odds movement, which I fear is a major oversight.

This racing tipster advises his tips either the night before racing (8-9pm) or early in the morning of racing (8.30-9am) and to gauge how his prices stand up, we are tracking and comparing the best odds across 3 different metrics as follows:

  • The odds he advises
  • The odds after 15 minutes have elapsed from the time the tip was sent
  • The odds at 10am

Below you can see what the average odds look like in decimal format at each of these 3 metrics so far:

  • The odds he advises: 13.96
  • The odds after 15 minutes have elapsed from the time the tip was sent: 11.96
  • The odds at 10am: 10.85

Exploring these stats further, you can quite clearly see a major drop in the average odds available from those advised and those available after 15 minutes. From 13.96 to 11.96 in 15 minutes is a significant move.

By 10am, these odds have dropped even further down to 10.85 and it has quickly become apparent that they are being extremely well supported.

In terms of profit differences, you would be -9.35% ROI worse off if taking the best price after 15 minutes and -21.78% ROI worse off at 10am.

There is no suggestion that the odds quoted by this tipster are not accurate at the time they send the tips (our tracking also gauges this) but clearly they are going to prove to be very difficult to obtain.

Even if you did get on within the first few minutes of the bets being advised – most bookies would take one look at your betting history and quickly restrict or close your account.

If there is one thing that will get a bookies attention it is constantly backing a horse that drops significantly in price after you get on.

 

Why Odds Tracking Is A Must In ANY Review

The above outlines very neatly exactly why every genuine tipster review MUST feature an element of odds-tracking.

We perform this as standard for every major tipster we review and whilst it is hard-work and time-consuming, it is hugely valuable.

By doing so we can quickly identify those tipsters putting up genuine odds and inform you as to how achievable the odds are (or not).

The tipster I reference above will be reviewed in a forthcoming SBC Magazine once we complete our detailed odds tracking, and as things stand it does seem odds availability is a major issue – something that will prevent us recommending them to our members.

And whilst other reviews published on this tipping service might skirt this issue – we will not as it’s a fundamental problem that needs to be addressed if they wish to be taken seriously as a service.

The good news is that there are several Hall of Fame rated tipsters, whom we rate and recommend here at SBC that do play fair by the odds they quote for subscribers.

If you are keen to find out more on who they are and how they can help you, then you can find more details within our Hall of Fame listings and reviews, which you can gain access to with a Smart Betting Club membership.

Whatever you do though, be very wary of any tipster quoting results based on tips sent the day before racing. Very often you simply can’t match their results in practice!

P.s. If ever in doubt as to whether a tipster puts up genuine odds – be sure to ask them exactly when they put up their tips and how they settle their results. If they are putting them up the evening before racing and making no adjustments for odds movement, I would advise you to give them a miss!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club.

 

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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How this Tipster uses Artificial Intelligence to bag winners

Monday saw the start of Wimbledon 2019 and if you are looking for a top tennis betting tipster to follow – then you simply must read our review of the Tennis Tipster with a phenomenal record as featured in the latest SBC magazine.

Although when I say ‘Tennis Tipster‘ I really should say ‘Tennis Algorithm‘ as this service uses a complex model based on Artificial Intelligence to generate value betting tennis tips on a daily basis.

Developed by Miguel – who used his background in both civil engineering and professional poker to produce the Algorithm, it crunches the numbers for each tennis match and works out the true betting odds for each player. If the odds available on any given player are larger than the Algorithm’s calculations – it becomes a bet.

…And you as a subscriber to this Tennis Service receive a notification of the bet, which in turn you can place with either a bookmaker or exchange.

1941.42 Points Profit Since 2016

Having observed this service for a lengthy period of time, we published our findings in the extremely detailed review now available in SBC 111.

This review highlights the profitability of the service including the key record of performance since 2016, whereby over 23142 bets, the service at ‘Average Odds’ has made a profit of 1941.42 points @ 8.39% Return on Investment (ROI)

You can view the full breakdown of performance below:

Over 19 X Bank Growth = Outstanding Profits

Even more impressive is the fact this profit has been generated at simple 1 point level stakes on each bet placed.

To such a simple staking plan, our recommendation is for a 100 point betting bank, which in turn has generated some huge Return on Capital (ROC) figures as illustrated by the table below.

The reason why such a high ROC figure is impressive as this is a direct way of calculating how much a betting bank will have grown – which in this case is 1941.4%.

So if you started with a fund of £500 in 2016 when the Tennis Tipster started, this £500 will have grown 19.41 times bigger,

In this case, that £500 would now be worth £9,705!!

Of course, this would rely on you placing every single bet during that period at the average odds, so in reality your figures will differ.

You will have missed some bets, got better or worse odds at times and possibly adjusted just how much you stake in £ on each bet during this period.

Yet the bottom-line is that this is a seriously impressive ‘Tipping’ service and one all aspiring punters should check out – whether you like Tennis or not.

Read This Review With Instant SBC Membership Access (& Save 40 Euros)

You can access our exclusive review of this Tennis Service in the latest SBC magazine – Issue 111 with a Smart Betting Club membership.

This includes access to every single tipster review we have ever written (there are literally hundreds available) and all of the Hall of Fame Tipsters we recommend to make you money betting.

Check out some of our latest publications.

Best of all, if interested in joining this Tennis Service, you can also save €40 on the cost of a subscription to the service as an SBC member, thanks to the major Tipster Savings we negotiate on your behalf.

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club.

 

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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Save up to £102.36 with this 43.55% ROI racing tipster before Midnight Friday

It is very rare to find a tipster who is able to maintain an Return on Investment (ROI) of 40%over an extended period of time, yet that is exactly what has happened with one top racing tipster as featured in the latest SBC Tipster Profit Report.

And best of all – if joining this tipster before Midnight on Friday you can enjoy a 50% boost on your membership terms as part of an exclusive ‘Tipster Savings‘ deal available only to Smart Betting Club members.

The top ROI figure for 2018, by quite some way, was supplied by this one-tip-a-day-racing service with 42% ROI on the year. Even more significantly, this service has been able to hold that level of performance over the more extended recent period of 28 months (Jan 2017 – Apr 2019) as follows:

2017
Bets: 310 (1pt win)
Level Stake Profit: +139.30 points
ROI: 44.94%

2018-19 (to end Apr 2019)
Bets: 429 (1pt win)
Level Stake Profit: +182.50 points
ROI: 42.54%

Summary: Jan 2017 – Apr 2019
Bets: 739 (1pt win)
Level Stake Profit: +321.80 points
ROI: 43.55%

The service in question was also one of the first internet-based professional racing advisory services. It launched at the start of 2000 and now, in its twentieth year, it is stronger than ever.

20th Year Exclusive SBC Offer – Save Up To £102.36

To celebrate this tipster’s 20th year of operation, I am pleased to report that I have been able to secure a one-off special deal for those of you interested in joining him with an extra 50% applied to all subscriptions taken up before Midnight on Friday.

E.g: So if you buy 6 months, you get 9 months and if you buy 12 months you get 18 months.

A 6 month membership costs just £139.26 (£23.21 per month) so you would effectively save £69.93 if taking this option.

12 months membership costs even less at just £204.72 (£17.06 per month), which equates to a saving of £102.36!

This special deal is available thanks to the combined power of the Smart Betting Club, where through our unique contacts and independent funding model, we are able to negotiate exclusive deals on the cost of joining several top tipsters for our members.

If interested in joining this tipster – simply join SBC now and visit our special members only ‘Tipster Savings’ page for instructions on how you can secure your savings.

But don’t delay as this 50% offer expires Midnight this Friday!

Please note – we are not affiliated with this tipster in any way beyond our independent tracking and monitoring of the tips they provide. We are able to negotiate and offer these discounts due to the unique membership model we utilise. Read more about why the Smart Betting Club is different to all other review sites.

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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