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Melting into the background

I can remember the time when I was first prevented from having a bet with an online bookie as if it was yesterday.  It was a real badge of honour, the betting equivalent to coming home safely from flying the last mission in the skies above enemy territory.  I’d made it.  I had the bookies running scared.  This time next year not only would I, like Del Boy, be a millionaire, but I’d also be a “face” (it didn’t concern me that it might prove be tricky to be a “face” online, but there you go).  I was young and foolish – forgive me.

Roll on more years than I care to count, and now of course when I get the email saying that the traders, in their infinite wisdom, had decided that my business is unwanted, it’s a real pain in the a*se.  Usable accounts have become a valuable commodity, and are to be nurtured and protected.

The recent SBC pieces from the bookie insider have made for fascinating reading.  I wish I’d had the insight they provide years ago!  Still, there’s no point worrying about things that can’t be changed and to be fair, I feel I have already been doing most (but not all) of the things suggested in the articles to stay under the bookie radar.

Really, most of the right things to do are common sense.  I never, unless it’s in one of the big races of the year, place bets the night before racing.  Doing so really is asking for trouble.  You may as well send a personal email to the Head of Trading asking them to close your account because you’re going to take advantage of ricks in the market when the bookie is at their most vulnerable.

I always split my stakes so that I never place more than £30 on one bet with one book, and whenever possible, I’ll try to limit the bet to a maximum £20.  Even if using three books to strike what is effectively one bet, the effort is worth it in the long run.

On a similar note, I’ve learnt not to take an outstanding price being offered by just one or two books.  Again, by doing so, tempting though it may be, you really are going to cause the alarm bells to ring loud and clear for the bookies.  Similarly, only betting at a consistent time on one sport has to stick out like a sore thumb.  More and more have I started placing small bets on random events and laying off on the exchanges to ensure a tiny loss.  If this makes betting patterns harder to spot, it’s got to be a good thing.

So look, use your common sense.  Don’t get greedy, and do what it takes to protect those accounts for as long as you possibly can.  Next week I’ll talk about how betting high volume/small amounts might be one way to go about things to a. generate a good profit, and b. keep your accounts healthy at the same time.

Performance from Monday 11th to Sunday 17th February

It was a strange week with not one bet struck over Monday and Tuesday as the effects of Equine Flu’ continued.  All back to normal on the Wednesday though, but it was as if the tipsters need time to find their stride again.  No noteworthy individual performances this week.

Portfolio Performance

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI -10.17%, ROC -1.55%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI -3.71%, ROC -0.69%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider): ROI -6.32%, ROC -1.37%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 11pts, -2.189pts, ROI -19.9%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 3pts, -1.375pts, ROI -45.83%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 45.75pts, +0.64pts, ROI 1.39%.

Golf Insider: Staked 12pts, -1.5pts, ROI -12.5%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 16pts, -6.374pts, ROI -39.83%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 4.75pts, +2.178pts, ROI 45.85%.

Football Service 2: Staked 8.75pts, -0.019pts, ROI -0.21%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 6pts, -1.5pts, ROI -25%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 17pts, +1.85pts, ROI 10.88%.

A quiet week

Equine ‘flu is pretty nasty, from what I can gather.  Let’s face it, anyone who has suffered from the human form of ‘flu knows just how debilitating it can be.  I’m not talking about heavy colds, but full on, proper ‘flu.  I’ve only ever had it once, and that was over 20 years ago but boy, did it lay me low.  I remember literally not being able to get out of bed unaided and I lost a load of weight in just a few days.

Anyway, it’s the bloomin’ horses who got it this week, and I guess they’re not able to patch themselves up with a Lemsip and hot water bottle.  Fortunately the British Horseracing Authority have deemed the risk of a pandemic pretty small and have allowed racing to re-start, albeit under a very controlled environment.

At this time of year I suppose we could reasonably expect a prolonged spell of blank racing days due to bad weather.  Frozen tracks in February are not exactly unheard of, but this is the first major non-weather related disruption to the sport that I can recall since the Foot & Mouth epidemic that hit us back in 2001.  That caused Cheltenham to be cancelled – let’s not even go there, eh!?!

So all in all, as you can imagine, it’s been a pretty quiet week on the betting front, with our racing tipsters largely sitting at home twiddling their thumbs and wondering if they can gain an edge down the dogs at Hackney.  Meydan and the racing over in Ireland has produced some action, and well done to Racing Service 3, who had a stormer of a few days.  Winners at 7/2, 8/1, 4/1 and 15/2 have kept the gambling wolves from the betting door, an kept things ticking over despite the relative lack of action.

Portfolio Performance from Monday 4th to Sunday 10th February

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 14.93%, ROC 1.58%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 3.57%, ROC 0.61%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider): ROI 0.68%, ROC 0.15%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 12pts, +0.633pts, ROI 5.27%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 2pts, -2pts, ROI -100%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 51.45pts, +2.1pts, ROI 4.08%.

Golf Insider: Staked 12.4pts, -12.4pts, ROI -100%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 4pts, +3pts, ROI 75%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 4.75pts, +0.407pts, ROI 8.56%.

Football Service 2: Staked 4pts, -0.365pts, ROI -9.12%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 0.5pts, -0.5pts, ROI -100%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 14.5pts, +14.708pts, ROI 101.43%

Adapt or die.

I found this a fascinating read: The Inside Story of How One Bookmaker Restricts it’s Customers

For years we have pieced together some of the dos and don’ts when it comes to looking after our valuable bookmaker accounts.  The SBC have put together quite brilliant guides to keeping accounts viable for as long as possible, and various tipsters have proffered their advice on the matter too.  Time and experience has led to me being able to keep accounts open and usable for much longer than had previously been the case, but even so there was always a feeling that we were all making guesses as to exactly what would draw bookmaker’s attention to our betting activity and invite restrictions and closures, albeit highly educated guesses.

Finally though, we have a real ‘insider’s’ view and a detailed breakdown of how a typical bookmaking firm will go about assessing a customer’s betting activity and their stake factoring of that account.  The bookmaker would justify their process as ‘risk management’.  Having read this article I’d not use such politically correct language to describe their methods and approach!

The recurring thought as I read through the post however, was that as folk who bet with discipline and a strategy to make long term profit, we must adapt our betting as we go along, or die.  The information we now have enables us to really box clever when it comes to maximizing the lifespan of our online bookmaker accounts, but every boxer tires over time and no fight lasts forever.  We have to accept that ultimately, no matter how clever we are at looking after our accounts, there will come a time when we have restrictions imposed – that is a fact that we can’t ignore.

Yes, there are people who once one set of accounts are rendered useless open a new set – moving house was a godsend to me in this respect – but even then, and no matter how many times this process might be repeated, it is more savvy to look at other approaches that will allow out betting to continue ad infinitum.

I now use Exchanges more than I ever did.  The growth and development of Smarkets and Matchbook is significant and with their low rates of commission and regular ‘no’ or ‘reduced’ commission deals, these have become essential betting weapons to have in our armoury.  The traditional monopoly of Betfair is being eroded, and that can only be a good thing.  I’m finding I’m placing more and more bets on horses via Smarkets now, and being able to match officially advised odds more and more frequently.  I’ve also started to follow lay services which a year or so ago, I wouldn’t have done, simply because it involves laying.  It’s not my preferred method of betting, but like I say, adapt or die.

Look at betting on football more, perhaps, particularly into the more liquid markets, and again the exchanges are very useful here.  And as account restrictions do bite, then make sure to follow services that acknowledge the difficulties of getting on and make their betting advice as easy to follow as possible, something that Football Service 2 has done with tremendous success.

Your Comments & Questions Welcome

Mindful of the interest in the topic of restrictions – I welcome any comments or questions you might have on it and my portfolio, which I will do my best to answer or highlight in future posts. You can either comment on each post or email them to pete@smartbettingclub.com and he will forward them onto me.

 

Performance from Friday 1st to Sunday 3rd February

It’s been a decent start to the month, but only three days of betting is not enough for me to get carried away with, so at this point I’ll simply say well done for a good weekend to Racing Service 1, Football Lay Profits, Northern Monkey and Racing Service 3.

Portfolio Performance

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 24.55%, ROC 2.56%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 13.7%, ROC 1.98%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider): ROI 18.1%, ROC 2.97%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 4pts, +0.482pts, ROI 12.05%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 8pts, +9.475pts, ROI 118.43%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 44.57pts, +10.9pts, ROI 24.45%.

Golf Insider: Staked 15.2pts, -5.2pts, ROI -34.21%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 4pts, 0pts, ROI 0%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 2.5pts, +3pts, ROI 120%.

Football Service 2: Staked 3.5pts, +0.5pts, ROI 14.28%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 7.5pts, -3pts, ROI -40%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 8.5pts, +4.75pts, ROI 55.88%.

January 2019

When I was younger, I’d hear my parents, grandparents, older Aunts and Uncles all say at different times, “I don’t know where the years go”.  At that time, when on the first day of any school summer holiday the next six weeks stretched ahead of you like the Sahara Desert with no end in sight, you’d not quite feel the same way.  Now though?  Bloomin’ ‘eck!  Just where do the years go?!?  2019?  Really?

The first couple of weeks of the new year were like a betting dream.  Profits seemed to come tumbling in like making money from the bookies was the easiest thing in the world.  But then reality staged something of a fight back and although the next two weeks saw a fair chunk of that profit given back, the month still ended with a respectable amount of bank growth to show for our efforts.

Here are some thoughts…

I’m still getting used to The Accountant.  You know I liken joining up to follow a tipping service a little bit (just a little) like finding a new partner.  There’s the initial excitement as in the first stages of your relationship everything you find out about each other is new and exciting.  However it’s inevitable that as those first days and maybe weeks pass, you notice little quirks you didn’t expect in your new love which take a little getting used to and possibly small allowances need to be made.  You’re still happy together but just the first couple of questions arise over whether you truly are soul mates or not.  Before too long, there’s going to be the first argument, the first real test and either you get over it and forge on together stronger than ever, or the first cracks that ultimately will doom the relationship will appear.  If the latter, then over time things may possibly develop into perhaps the longest and strongest of marriages.  Or the final outcome is a messy divorce.  Personally I’m lucky enough to say I’ve somehow managed to find myself in the first category, but perhaps that was inevitable when before she moved in with me she met my demand of pledging lifetime allegiance to The Arsenal.

Anyway, I digress.  This month The Accountant, whilst still within the ‘finding out about each other’ phase, dropped his maximum price for a lay and formally introduced his ‘Short’ lay advice to co-exist with the ‘Long’ lay advice given up to this point.  So, I think the signs are promising, but he’s not going to be leaving a toothbrush at my place just yet.  For the record, from the start of this month, I’m going to be following the short-priced lays too.

Talking of laying, it’s been a really poor spell – the worst I remember – for Football Lay Profits.  In my so far limited experience of laying, I must say that losers can be particularly frustrating to take and I’ve realised that laying involves a completely different mindset to backing.  So, the first real bump in the road in my road to happiness with FLP, and let’s hope for a better February.

However, all of this is really insignificant to the real star of 2019 so far, Racing Service 2.  Now here is a love story to endure throughout all the ages.  If RS2 wants to play Romeo, then I’m more than happy to be his Juliet. Good grief – 51.22% bank growth through January alone!  Obviously, such form simply cannot last, but let’s enjoy it whilst it does.  The man is a Mozart (or perhaps a Shakespeare would be more apt) of tipping – a true genius.  And yes, I know that by writing this I’m dooming RS2 to a winnerless drought during which three consecutive tips reach 1.01 in running and yet fail to win, but you know what? I don’t care, because whilst tipping like he has been, RS2 has made sweet, sweet music that I shall never forget.

Right then.  The figures.

Portfolio Performance for January

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 8.4%, ROC 4.5%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 17.85%, ROC 9.65%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, Football Service 1, The Accountant, Golf Insider): ROI -15.74%, ROC -7.61%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 41pts, -0.007pts, ROI -0.01%, ROC -0.01%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 20pts, +8.9pts, ROI 44.5%, ROC 8.9%.

Football Service 1: Staked 8pts, -5.89pts, ROI -73.62%, ROC -11.78%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 121.17pts, -19.14pts, ROI -15.79%, ROC -9.57%.

Golf Insider: Staked 50.8pts, -23.926pts, ROI -47.09%, ROC -2.99%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 43pts, -1.84pts, ROI -4.27%, ROC -2.07%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 18.25pts, -3.348pts, ROI -18.83%, ROC -4.29%.

Football Service 2: Staked 24.5pts, +0.392pts, ROI 1.6%, ROC 0.98%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 17pts, +29.271pts, ROI 172.18%, ROC 51.22%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 65.25pts, +2.713pts, ROI 8.4%, ROC 4.5%.

More (Boring) Profits & Football Update

It was another successful week for the ‘Main’ portfolio, and it’s getting kinda boring (in a good way) to be mentioning Racing Service 2 yet again this month.  Another nice winner at 8s on Saturday meant the profit level was impressive again.  It’s going to be a real let down when finally a blank week strikes.

A really good performance too from MVS (Lite) which, during a very quiet week, hit enough winners to bank a nice profit and an ROI of 125%.

None of the tipsters had a particularly poor week, and January as a whole is going quite swimmingly.

I also want to update today on my post last week on Football Service 1 asthere are a couple of things that the chap who runs it (SB) drew my attention to, that I had omitted from that post.  So, in the interest of providing some context, here are a couple of further points to be made.

Firstly, SB did advise a number of differently-sized betting banks for subscribers to the service, depending on the level of risk they were happy to take on.  The officially recommended level of risk (of bankruptcy to SB’s mathematical calculations) to take on when setting a bank for the system is 1%.

At the start of the season, SB wrote that after an analysis of results through the 2017/18 season, the drop off in performance of bets issued from the beginning of March was “statistically significant”.  I know it’s been a subject for discussion for many years – as the season draws to a close, some teams’ level of motivation compared to another’s can differ wildly.  If a team is set in mid-table with nothing to gain or lose, are they going to put as much into a match as an opponent desperate to avoid relegation or which is pushing for promotion?  Can ratings allow for this factor or not? – perhaps not if results are consistently seen to be worse at this stage of the season.

Anyway, whatever the answer to the above question, SB suggested that followers taking on a 1% risk of bankruptcy (as recommended) and those who intended to stop betting the selections at the end of February should do so with a 25 point bank, and those whose plan it was to back all selections through to the end of the season set themselves up with a 35 point bank.  The 35 point bank has not gone bust at this point and SBC’s official bank recommendation is for 50 points.

SB did also recommend larger banks for those who wanted to take less than a 1% risk of bankruptcy, i.e. a 0.1% risk and of course subscriber who took up this option is still going strong.

I hope this successfully adds a little context.

For what it’s worth, my own opinion is that it is perfectly possible that the Football Service 2’s ratings are simply going through an extended slump which they will ultimately recover from.  I do genuinely hope this is the case – Football Service 2 is a professionally run service and as such, deserves to do well.

Portfolio Performance

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 25.21%, ROC 3.11%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 20.64%, ROC 3.08%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider): ROI -8.76%, ROC -1.35%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 12pts, -1.87pts, ROI -15.58%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 3pts, 4.6pts, ROI 153.33%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 45.3pts, +7.63pts, ROI 16.84%.

Golf Insider: Staked 14.4pts, -14.4pts, ROI -100%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 4pts, +5pts, ROI 125%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 2.5pts, 0pts, ROI 0%.

Football Service 2: Staked 4pts, -0.173pts, ROI -4.32%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 3pts, +6pts, ROI 200%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 23.5pts, +4.525pts, ROI 19.25%.

Drawing a line.

When you receive an email from one of your tipsters, with an opening line of “This is the email I hoped I’d never have to write”, then you know it’s not good news.

Football Service 1 has suffered a torrid season.  It started badly, hasn’t improved or recovered, and on Saturday a nadir was reached when all seven tips were unsuccessful.  This meant that the advised bank had been bust, which is a point at which I stop following.

The service owner is mulling things over in terms of how to proceed.  He has done a detailed analysis of his results in the context of deciding whether or not the 25 point recommended bank was ever really large enough. Certainly the SBC advise following with a larger bank and I do, but when the tipster himself has such obvious doubts as to the future viability of his service or system, then that is enough for me.

It’s difficult to see what Football Service 1 can do anyway, other than extend the size of the bank.  To me, I’m afraid this is a retrospective move that doesn’t sit well.  A bank is a bank.  If you’re just going to expand it once it’s been bust, you have to question the setting up of a bank in the first place.  The tipster may be considering other options of course.

As far as the portfolios are concerned, then Football Service 1 has obviously been dragging down overall performance these past few months but that’s a risk inherent in constructing a betting portfolio anyway.  The glass-half-full way of looking at this is that the diversification of the portfolio has helped absorb the losses and do a little better than break-even, which is quite an achievement in itself.  Sadly the much smaller ‘Broxchange’ portfolio performance has taken a real hit which is likely to take some time to recover from, although I’m confident that recover it will.

As for this past week, well Football Service 1’s disaster was covered by another Saturday of excellence from Racing Service 2 who is enjoying a real purple patch.  A nod of appreciation too, to the performance of MVS (Lite) last week.

Performance from Monday 7th to Sunday 13th January

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 7.31%, ROC 0.96%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 67.85%, ROC 5.59%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider, Football Service 1): ROI -48.46%, ROC -5.2%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 10pts, +1.35pts, ROI 13.5%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 5pts, -2.8pts, ROI -56%.

Football Service 1: Staked 7pts, -7pts, ROI -100%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 13.18pts, -7.46pts, ROI -56.6%.

Golf Insider: Staked 10.4pts, -10.4pts, ROI -100%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 20pts, +4.88pts, ROI 24.4%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 3pts, -0.325pts, ROI -10.83%.

Football Service 2: Staked 6.5pts, -1.824pts, ROI -28.06%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 4.5pts, +12.5pts, ROI 277.77%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 13pts, +6.438pts, ROI 49.52%.

A happy New Year!

You know I’m of an age now where I really don’t like being hungover.  I just can’t be bothered with it.  It started when I had kids.  You know that feeling when it’s Last Orders and you know you’ve already had a skinful, but you think sod it and line up a couple more?  For years I sought a reason I felt valid enough for not doing that, without success.  And then you have kids, and at last there’s a big enough deterrent.  The idea of two youngsters bounding in at first light when you’re completely the worse for wear, your tongue stuck to the roof of your mouth and in need of about two litres of water and fifteen Aspirin…  Well, it doesn’t bear thinking about.

And so it is that come New Year’s Eve, I’m a right miserable old git and go to bed at a normal time (although the kids are now too big to be “bounding” anywhere).  And then complain when the fireworks wake me up.    So generally, as the first minute of the New Year ticks through I’m being moaned at by the missus for being a right old misery.  And I go back to sleep, inwardly moaning.  There are times when I am true to my Yorkshire roots.

This year however, my mood was lifted rather by the day’s betting.  December got off to an absolute stormer, and so did January and again, it was Racing Service 2 leading the way.  We had three winners at 7s, 3s and 6s and bank growth of over 25% on the day!

Also in fine New Year form was Racing Service 1 with two big winners  and with Football Service 2 weighing in too it was a heck of a start to 2019.  Form across the portfolio wasn’t quite maintained across the rest of the week, but it’s been a strong start nonetheless.

Finally a quick word on Golf Insider.  I’m really looking forward to this year following the golfing expert.  A couple of very big winners towards the end of the year showed what is possible and although we have to be patient and it can be a long time between winners, when they come they tend to be memorable.  I’ve dabbled with golfing tipsters before, but finally feel I’ve found one I’m completely comfortable with.

 

Performance from Tuesday 1st to Sunday 6th January

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 34.51%, ROC 3.48%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 54.3%, ROC 6.36%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider, Football Service 1): ROI -4.25%, ROC -0.55%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 6pts, +1.269pts, ROI 21.16%, ROC 2.11%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 7pts, +7.5pts, ROI 107.14%, ROC 7.5%.

Football Service 1: Staked 1pt, +1.11pts, ROI 111%, ROC 2.22%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 26.3pts, -10.01pts, ROI -40.34%, ROC -5%.

Golf Insider: Staked 6.8pts, -2.176pts, ROI -32%, ROC -0.01%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 11pts, -7.75pts, ROI -70.45%, ROC -8.61%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 4pts, +1.387pts, ROI 34.68%, ROC 1.73%.

Football Service 2: Staked 10pts, +6.043pts, ROI 60.43%, ROC 7.55%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 6.5pts, +13.771pts, ROI 211.86%, ROC 22.95%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 12.25pts, -6.25pts, ROI -51.02%, ROC -5%

December Review

So how was your Christmas, then?

I’ve got to admit, I loved mine.  We did what we usually do as a family, and that is escape the madness.  Nice cosy thatched cottage on the South Devon coast, log fire, short walk to cove and pub, fresh air, good food and fine ale.  And no betting.

That last little bit is important.  When I go on holiday, I go on holiday. WiFi wasn’t great where I was anyway, and after spending 54 weeks of the year trying to get the kids off their screens, it is good to show them how it’s done.  I just couldn’t be bothered battling an internet connection that would regularly drop out, now was it fair to keep the missus and kids waiting to play cards or go out for lunch because I was waiting for some email to come through.  Not what Christmas is all about.

The result is getting back into it all refreshed and ready and raring to go.  So just a short post this week, with last month’s figures posted.  I don’t want to comment on individual service performance as obviously there’s 10 days or so of betting action missing.  What I experienced as a bad month for a service might not actually have been that bad by the time December 31st was over, and vice versa for any service that performed well.

All the best for the New Year – may 2019 be a prosperous one for you with much profit.

See you next week.

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 8.08%, ROC 3.72%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 5.05%, ROC 3.93%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider, Football Service 1): ROI 4.24%, ROC 3.05%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 74pts, +0.433pts, ROI 0.88%, ROC 0.75%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 14pts, +1.425pts, ROI 10.17%, ROC 1.42%.

Football Service 1: Staked 14pts, -3.666pts, ROI -26.18%, ROC -7.33%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 138.4pts, +15.14pts, ROI 10.93%, ROC 7.57%.

Golf Insider: Staked 31.2pts, +66.35pts, ROI 212.66%, ROC 8.79%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 29pts, +1.055pts, ROI 3.63%, ROC 1.18%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 14.4pts, +3.641pts, ROI 25.28%, ROC 4.55%.

Football Service 2: Staked 8pts, -1.01pts, ROI -12.62%, ROC -1.26%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 25.25pts, -0.584pts, ROI -2.31%, ROC -1.02%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 38.25pts, +31.275pts, ROI 81.76%, ROC 15.63%.

Happy Christmas!

Yep, it’s nearly here.  Just a few short days away and then we can really sit back, relax and enjoy it all.  We can pour a wee dram, a sweet sherry, or a real ale – whatever your choice of cheeky snifter may be – and sit down with our feet up in our favourite armchair in front of the fire.  Maybe a mince pie, or a newly opened tin of Quality Street to graze on.

We can forget the chaos of shopping and the difficulties of wrapping presents.  We will have forgotten the frustration that last task brings when no matter how carefully we concentrate and the excruciating effort we put in, we still can’t cut the paper straight and the gifts we give look like they’ve been wrapped by an overly enthusiastic three year old let loose with Sellotape for the first time.

And no matter how old we may now be, how mature and how we now appreciate the joy on our children’s or grandchildren’s faces at this magical time of the year, we can’t help but feel that little tingle of excitement ourselves.  Go on, be honest with yourself – Christmas brings out the child in us too.

Why does it?  Why do we feel such glorious, childlike anticipation?

I’ll tell you why, shall I?  Because Christmas Day was yesterday, the overexcited kids who were a bloody nightmare all day have finally worn themselves out, the bloomin’ in-laws you have nothing in common with have buggered off home, and the King George is about to start on the telly!  THIS, is the true meaning of Christmas…racing from Kempton.  And fingers crossed, there could be a good match on the box later too…

Happy Christmas!

Portfolio figures for Monday 10th to Sunday 16th December

‘Main’: ROI 1.69%, ROC 0.28%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, The Value Bettor, Northern Monkey): ROI 6.04%, ROC 1.57%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider, Football Investor Combo): ROI 10.8%, ROC 2.94%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 31pts, +5.351pts, ROI 17.26%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 6pts, -2.137pts, ROI -35.62%.

Football Service 1: Staked 9pts, -5.074pts, ROI 56.38%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 27.6pts, +2.6pts, ROI 9.42%.

Golf Insider: Staked 9.2pts, +71.35pts, ROI 775.54%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 7pts, +4.75pts, ROI 67.85%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 6.65pts, +4.578pts, ROI 68.84%.

Football Service 2: Staked 7pts, -3.5pts, ROI -50%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 6.5pts, -6.5pts, ROI -100%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 10.75pts, -0.65pts, ROI -6.04%.

On a serious note, please do have a lovely and relaxing Festive break.  I’m away down in Devon for the week now and so the next post will be the first week of January.  Have a good one!

Just perfect.

I hate to think how many blog posts I’ve written over the years around the subject of losing runs, or bad weeks, or acutely horrible days.  And usually, a part of such a post is the stated reminder to remember that particularly good months, weeks and days do happen too, and that the ups and downs are all part of the game.

The thing is though, it is so easy to dwell on the bad days and almost forget the good ones.  And so, when a day like last Saturday strikes, it’s perhaps a good thing to write about it, just to show to readers who are constantly being reminded to exercise patience in their betting exploits that the red letter days really do happen too.  Occasionally, just every so often, the planets align.

First, a little context.  Saturday’s betting saw eight services in the portfolio offer up bets.  All eight turned a profit.  The ROC generated from the full portfolio on this one day, was 5.63%!

Here’s how it went…

Football Service 2 went for a couple of doubles that came in without a moment’s sweat, whilst Football Lay Profits advised five lays, all of which were successful.  Wrapping up the footie action, Football Service 1 – which has really struggled this season – hopefully took the first step on the road to prolonged recovery by picking two winners from three.  One of the winners was at odds greater than 4.0.

And so on to the racing.  MVS (Lite) replicated Football Service 2’s record of two winning bets from three at 2/1 and 9/4.  Racing Service 1 struck with an 8/1 winner, and Racing Service 3 struck with two from two at odds of 8/1 and 7/2.

Northern Monkey set up a double with a 10/1 winner on the Friday, the second leg running on Saturday, which duly obliged at 11/8.  It would be churlish to bemoan another double that wasn’t landed that would have given up 20+ points additional profit!

And finally, Racing Service 2 decided to knock in a 20/1 winner.

It’s very true.  Days like these don’t happen very often, but when they do, it’s worth just giving yourself a little pat on the back for retaining faith when things look dark and you feel like you’re backing nothing but loser after loser.  Patience does pay – Saturday is proof enough of that.

I’ll give you the month to date figures next time.  For now, here are the numbers for Saturday…

Racing Service 1: Staked 3pts, +4.875pts.

Football Service 1: Staked 3pts, +3.408pts.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 23pts, +4.9pts.

MVS (Lite): Staked 3pts, +3.25pts.

Northern Monkey: Staked 3.25pts, +5.124pts.

Football Service 2: Staked 3.5pts, +1.27pts.

Racing Service 2: Staked 3.25pts, +7.25pts.

Racing Service 3: Staked 2.5pts, +13.25pts.

ROI 114.91%, ROC 5.63%.