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RACING: 150% annual ROC in one bet!!! And some random thoughts…

Yes, you read that correctly.  150% bank growth…from one bet.

This happened last week.  A Lucky 15 winning bet.  Four horses, three winners (and a loser, would you believe?).  25/1, 14/1, 17/2.  I thought I’d write down some very random thoughts about all this.

  1.  Bloody Hell!!!!  Get in you absolute stonker you!!!
  2. I discovered a part of me I don’t like too much.  You see, the 25/1 winner actually won at 40s.  And the 17/2 winner at 10s.  “If only I had BOG”, I thought.  Well, greed is one of the Deadly Sins, and if you’ve seen Se7en, you’ll understand I’m not too keen to commit to many of those too often.  Am I a horrible person for thinking this way, even if it was only for a moment?
  3. Bookie Bashing is ace.  To be completely honest, I knew this already.  And genuinely, sincerely, I don’t think that because of the results I’ve enjoyed from the Racing Tracker.  Seriously, this Tracker is only a small part of what they offer.
  4. Continuing the Bookie Bashing theme, if ever there was a case of putting more in to get more out, this is it.  Sure, you can scratch at the surface and do well, but just a little bit of thought and a little bit of effort goes a long way.  I’m seeing this away from the Racing Tracker, which brings me on to…
  5. At some point, I am inevitably going to be shut down by the bookmakers.  I’m trying to make the Racing Tracker a staple part of a much more well balanced Bookie Bashing diet. I’m still at the early stages, but my aim is to create something sustainable, and this means exploring other angles, edges, and strategies.  No doubt, in the fullness of time, I’ll be reporting back on those in these posts.
  6. My ROI for the Racing Tracker is now stupid!  And unsustainable.  Put it this way, I’m not suddenly going to increase my stakes fivefold or anything daft like that.  I do intend to get to that point, but slowly, slowly does it. I appreciate that I have been blessed by the Gods of Randomness and Variance, but they can be a fickle pair and I’m not going to do anything to upset them.  Not deliberately anyway.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 205pts, +0.585pts, roi 0.28%, roc 0.58%, High 0.58pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -24.338pts

Northern Monkey (80): Staked 378.375pts, -52.58pts, roi -13.89%, roc -65.72%, High 0pts, DD -58.589pts, Max DD -58.589pts

The Value Bettor (40): Staked 9.75pts, +1.46pts, roi 14.97%, roc 3.65%, High 2.71pts, DD -1.25pts, Max DD -2pts

BB Racing Tracker (100): Staked 430pts, +561.256pts, roi 130.52%, roc 561.25%, High 561.256pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -13.388pts

Racing Totals: ROI 52.78%, ROC 160.09%.

SPORTS: Solid start to the season for Touchdown Profit

It wasn’t the best of weeks with both On The Oche and The Poacher suffering losses.  To be fair to OTO, such has been their remarkable consistency this year that the 2.27 points dropped represents its biggest fall during this year to date!

However, Touchdown Profit found two winners from three for a profit and it’s been a very solid start to the new NFL season.  If we can keep that ROI above the 10% mark, not only will it be a remarkable feat bearing in mind the strength of the markets being tipped into, it will also lead to a very enjoyable series of winter Sunday evenings in front of the fire and the telly!

Tune in tomorrow for news of a truly spectacular win on the nags.

On The Oche (30pt bank): Staked 64.5pts, +9.145pts, roi 14.17%, roc 30.48%, High 11.415pts, DD -2.27pts, Max DD -2.27pts

The Poacher (40): Staked 204.5pts, +1.619pts, roi 0.79%, roc 4.04%, High 7.407pts, DD -5.844pts, Max DD -7.075pts

Touchdown Profit (50): Staked 22pts, +2.87pts, roi 13.04%, roc 5.74%, High 2.87pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -4pts

Ports Totals: ROI 4.91%, ROC 12.23%

GOLF: Nothing to see here.

very quiet week on the golf, with no PGA Tour event for our guys to have a go at.

With just Golf Insider and Weekly Golf Value in action, and each picking one to place from their respective selections, it was just a very small loss for each and overall.  That doesn’t quite tell the whole story as WGV’s pick, George Coetzee, was joint top of the leaderboard when triple bogeying the 4th hold from home.  What. A. Muppet!

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 341pts, -56.235pts, roi -16.49%, roc -28.11%, High 29.24pts, DD -85.475pts, Max DD -92.525pts

PGA Profit (500): Staked 677.5pts, -13.86pts, roi -2.04%, roc -2.77%, High 119.24pts, DD -133.1pts, Max DD -136.1pts

European Tour (500): Staked 81.5pts, -65pts, roi -79.75%, roc -13%. High 0pts, DD -65pts, Max DD -65pts

Ben Coley (600): Staked 496pts, -110.79pts, roi -22.33%, roc -18.46%, High 79.93pts, DD -190.72pts, Max DD -190.72pts

Tour Tips (150): Staked 171.5pts, -29.52pts, roi -17.21%, roc -19.68%, High 19.614pts, DD -49.55pts, Max DD -79.25pts

Weekly Golf Value (2000): Staked 3,776.5pts, +971.56pts, roi 25.72%, roc 48.57%, High 1,464.65pts, DD -493.09pts, Max DD -493.09pts

The Rainmaker (400): Staked 1010.5pts, -400.08pts, roi -39.59%, roc -100.02%, High 5.2pts, DD: -405.68pts, Max DD -405.68pts

Golf Totals: ROI -11.89%, ROC -22.96%.

RACING: Dilemmas, dilemmas, dilemmas…over a growing concern.

I hate a negative title, but this Bet Diary feature is supposed to reflect the realities of betting and the sad fact is that it cannot always be sweetness and light.  My growing concern is over Northern Monkey. 

Now let me be 100% clear.  I am NOT concerned about Wayne’s ability as a tipster.  What I AM concerned about is misrepresenting him in these posts.  The fact is my drawdown is pretty deep – over 70% of the 80 point betting bank allocated to the service.  BUT, and it is a big but…that wouldn’t be the case had I not missed a lucrative day not so long ago that netted a big number of points (40ish, if I remember correctly, which admittedly I may not be but I’m pretty sure it was there or thereabouts).  That wasn’t Wayne’s fault, it was mine.  And ‘fault’ is perhaps too harsh a word.  I was enjoying a couple of days off and away living it up with my lovely, but long-suffering, wife.  I had deliberately chosen to switch off completely from betting so that the time we spent together was totally relaxing and I did the only decent thing which was to be properly present during our mini-break.  Some things, like The Arsenal, I suppose the kids (now that they’ve grown up and beyond the nicely dependent stage), and definitely the missus are more important than betting ever will be.

But those who come to read the Bet Diary, and see my figures for NMP may not make that connection.  And that is doing Wayne and what he does and how he performs a real disservice.

So what do I do?  After all, these pages are supposed to represent and chronicle my experiences, and my results.  But at the same time I don’t feel I’m being fair.

In the meantime, I’m just hoping NMP hits another big day, and that this time I’m on.  And to be perfectly honest, if that were to happen my first thought won’t be for my own gain.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 194pts, -2.265pts, roi -1.16%, roc -2.26%, High 0pts, DD -2.265pts, Max DD -24.338pts

Northern Monkey (80): Staked 359.375pts, -58.589pts, roi -16.3%, roc -73.23%, High 0pts, DD -58.589pts, Max DD -58.589pts

The Value Bettor (40): Staked 9.75pts, +1.46pts, roi 14.97%, roc 3.65%, High 2.71pts, DD -1.25pts, Max DD -2pts

BB Racing Tracker (100): Staked 394pts, +390.051pts, roi 98.99%, roc 390.05%, High 390.051pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -13.388pts

Racing Totals: ROI 36.7%, ROC 104%.

 

SPORTS: Touchdown for Touchdown Profit!

Before I sum up how the sporting tipsters fared through the week just gone, I need to get something off my chest…

Does anyone actually listen to the so called ‘expert’ pundits when watching football on telly?  I always used to, but I find increasingly now that it is really difficult to find anyone who gives any level of insight or proper analysis that I’m prepared to listen to.  Even co-commentators get on my nerves now, as for most of the time it is clear they have either gone into a game wishing to push a certain narrative for which they then desperately seek some level of confirmation from what they watch, or they just make up sh*t.  Seriously, the number of times now I hear and see some muppet say something that is simply factually incorrect, or at the very least is a conclusion drawn from complete ignorance of context, is ridiculous.

And I’m not saying I have to agree with what a pundit says for him not to be a muppet.  I’m quite happy to disagree provided the argument or point they are making can be backed up with something stronger than an assumption or stereotype.  I don’t know about you, but I now find ‘fan media’ means that rarely do I now listen to anyone in the mainstream.  I find blogs and podcasts more insightful, funny, thought-provoking and entertaining.  And critical too, when occasion arises…but critical based on opinions formed through proper analysis.

Right, rant over.  You may agree or disagree.  But thought I’d raise it.

On The Oche did again what it seems to be doing every week at the moment, picking out a solitary bet (and sometimes two) which wins and pushes the profit high for the year to date just a little bit higher.  I so hope it has a strong end to the year, because if it does, 2022 will be one for OTO to be proud of.

Good to see Touchdown Profit go 3-1 and produce a good profit for the week.  Small sample of bets I know, but it’s good to see the ROI hit the 10% mark.  If that can be sustained through the season, then I’ll be one happy chappie.

Not such good form for The Poacher though who found negotiating last week’s European action a little tricky.

On The Oche (30pt bank): Staked 60.5pts, +11.415pts, roi 18.86%, roc 38.05%, High 11.415pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -2.25pts

The Poacher (40): Staked 200.5pts, +2.581pts, roi 1.28%, roc 6.45%, High 7.407pts, DD -4.882pts, Max DD -7.075pts

Touchdown Profit (50): Staked 19pts, +1.96pts, roi 10.31%, roc 3.92%, High 1.96pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -4pts

Sports Totals: ROI 6.14%, ROC 14.7%

GOLF: Golf Insider hits a Homa run!

Max Homa did the business for Golf Insider by picking up the first tournament of the new (!) PGA Tour season yesterday at odds of 14/1.  I can never quite get my head around the concept of a new season starting in mid-September, but there we are.  With 66/1 shot Victor Perez finishing in the frame too it was a good week for GI.

Overall however, we ended up with a small golfing loss.

PGA Profit finished just slightly in the black thanks to Rickie Fowler placing in the same Fortinet Championship at 100/1, but blank weeks for Tour Tips and Weekly Golf Value not quite getting the rub of the green, was enough to wipe out the Golf Insider profits.

Weekly Golf Value now sits on its deepest drawdown (to my figures) for the year to date.  Going into the the final rounds yesterday things looked pretty promising but a wipe out on the LIV tournie – where stakes were generally higher – meant a loss despite finding golfers to place in the PGA and DP World Tour events.  Nothing to worry about with WV though.  It’s still by far the best performing golf service I’ve followed this year and running at a pretty darned decent 26.3% ROI.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 335pts, -52.335pts, roi -15.62%, roc -26.16%, High 29.24pts, DD -81.575pts, Max DD -92.525pts

PGA Profit (500): Staked 677.5pts, -13.86pts, roi -2.04%, roc -2.77%, High 119.24pts, DD -133.1pts, Max DD -136.1pts

European Tour (500): Staked 81.5pts, -65pts, roi -79.75%, roc -13%. High 0pts, DD -65pts, Max DD -65pts

Ben Coley (600): Staked 496pts, -110.79pts, roi -22.33%, roc -18.46%, High 79.93pts, DD -190.72pts, Max DD -190.72pts

Tour Tips (150): Staked 171.5pts, -29.52pts, roi -17.21%, roc -19.68%, High 19.614pts, DD -49.55pts, Max DD -79.25pts

Weekly Golf Value (2000): Staked 3,728.5pts, +982.06pts, roi 26.33%, roc 49.1%, High 1,464.65pts, DD -482.59pts, Max DD -482.59pts

The Rainmaker (400): Staked 1010.5pts, -400.08pts, roi -39.59%, roc -100.02%, High 5.2pts, DD: -405.68pts, Max DD -405.68pts

Golf Totals: ROI -11.7%, ROC -22.46%.

SPORTS: Bit of an anticlimax

Well after all that build up, the first weekend of the NFL season passed without very much happening for Touchdown Profit who had two wins and two losses from their four bets.  I didn’t even get to watch whatever matches Sky were showing either. I was out all day Sunday, and most of the evening after my glorious u19s cricket team won the Cheshire County Cup T20s Finals Day.  I’ve never had a drink from a trophy before.  I can recommend it!

Being out all day meant that after the passing of the Queen meant there was no betting action on Friday, Saturday being a normal summer season Saturday when I’m out playing cricket all day, and then Sunday…there isn’t very much to report.

On The Oche does what it seems to be doing every week by adding around about a point’s worth of profit, and I’m looking forward to the day they land one of their tournament-winner bets.

A fine weekend on a personal level.  But not much happening on the betting front.  Let’s see what next week brings.

On The Oche (30pt bank): Staked 59.5pts, +10.685pts, roi 17.95%, roc 35.61%, High 10.685pts, DD 0pts, Max DD -2.25pts

The Poacher (40): Staked 186pts, +6.158pts, roi 3.31%, roc 15.39%, High 7.407pts, DD -1.305pts, Max DD -7.075pts

Touchdown Profit (50): Staked 15pts, +0.21pts, roi 1.4%, roc 0.42%, High 0.66pts, DD -0.45pts, Max DD -4pts

Sports Totals: ROI 7.05%, ROC 15.79%.

RACING: An unexpected break

As mentioned previously this week, the death of the Queen last week had a direct impact on sport, including horse racing, which was cancelled in the UK last Friday.  With Northern Monkey not putting up a bet in the first part of the week, and with my not being able to place any bets at all on either Saturday or Sunday, it’s felt like an unexpected holiday from betting presented itself.

Can’t say I’m sorry.  Like I said on Monday, betting can often become something of a grind, and the odd break from it is no bad thing.  The upshot of course, is that there’s very little to report.

No reason why we won’t be back to normal next week.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 191pts, -1.365pts, roi -0.71%, roc -1.36%, High 0pts, DD -1.365pts, Max DD -24.338pts

Northern Monkey (80): Staked 340pts, -48.714pts, roi -14.32%, roc -60.89%, High 0pts, DD -48.714pts, Max DD -48.714pts

The Value Bettor (40): Staked 9.75pts, +1.46pts, roi 14.97%, roc 3.65%, High 2.71pts, DD -1.25pts, Max DD -2pts

BB Racing Tracker (100): Staked 381pts, +375.75pts, roi 98.57%, roc 375.75%, High 0pts, DD -11.993pts, Max DD -13.388pts

Racing Totals: ROI 37.74%, ROC 102.84%

GOLF: Are you not entertained?

OK, let’s call a fish a fish.  Betting can be a wee bit of a grind.  Am I right?  I am, aren’t I?  There is more grind than an overzealous waiter with one of those oversized pepper thingymejigs you used to find in Italian restaurants.

I found myself wondering if it’s entirely healthy, grinding away at something day after day.  Can’t be, surely.  I know it’s kinda necessary, but why can’t we make parts of it a more enjoyable experience?  If the advice, which it so often is, is to make sure you don’t get too high on the betting highs, nor too low on the lows, then you can over time effectively be living life like Randle McMurphy following his electro-therapy treatment.

(Not going to say which tipster is Nurse Ratchet)

It was in this frame of mind that a Tweet aimed at Tom Brownlees of Bookie Bashing caught my eye this evening.  The lad tweeting may well have been tongue in cheek.  I couldn’t quite tell.  But, if he was being serious, his point was very, very wrong.

Basically, he was asking Tom to cut the “small talk” out of his podcasts (or ‘Bashcasts’) and concentrate only on the actual betting content instead.  No, no, no, no, NO!  What are you on, man!?!  Listening to Tom’s tales of the scrapes and “situations” in which he finds himself are an excellent preamble to the betting insights and analysis.  They’re funny.  And like I said at the top of this post, there isn’t enough fun in the world at the moment, and generally speaking, not much fun in that daily betting grind.

All of this to say, has taken my mind off another damp squib of a golf betting weekend.  The less said about that, the better.  To go into too much detail would be a grind indeed.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 325pts, -58.835pts, roi -18.1%, roc -29.41%, High 29.24pts, DD -88.075pts, Max DD -92.525pts

PGA Profit (500): Staked 659.5pts, -16.86pts, roi -2.55%, roc -3.37%, High 119.24pts, DD -136.1pts, Max DD -136.1pts

European Tour (500): Staked 81.5pts, -65pts, roi -79.75%, roc -13%. High 0pts, DD -65pts, Max DD -65pts

Ben Coley (600): Staked 496pts, -110.79pts, roi -22.33%, roc -18.46%, High 79.93pts, DD -190.72pts, Max DD -190.72pts

Tour Tips (150): Staked 165.5pts, -23.52pts, roi -14.21%, roc -15.68%, High 19.614pts, DD -43.55pts, Max DD -79.25pts

Weekly Golf Value (2000): Staked 3,518.5pts, +1,033.56pts, roi 29.37%, roc 51.67%, High 1,464.65pts, DD -431.09pts, Max DD -435.75pts

The Rainmaker (400): Staked 1010.5pts, -400.08pts, roi -39.59%, roc -100.02%, High 5.2pts, DD: -405.68pts, Max DD -405.68pts

RACING: Waiting for the next biggie.

You may recall my saying after the last big Bookie Basher Racing Tracker Lucky 15 I had that it could well be a while until the next.  As far as ‘whiles’ go, so far this has been just a ‘little while’.  A month, six weeks perhaps since that last big return?  No time at all, really.  Could be a lot bigger of a ‘while’ yet before the next one comes along.

This last week saw a bit of profit added to the bank with a Lucky 15 that netted just a shade over 8 points of profit last Thursday.  My only slight concern however is that I am beginning to lose viable bookie accounts.  Not because of BB Racing Tracker, you understand.  It’s just that inevitable stage of proceedings most if not all have grown familiar with.  First the restrictions, then the eventual process of redundancy.  I’m going to have to go down the cash route, and that is going to cause logistical issues.  Where there is a will, however, there is a way.

Talking to the SBC’s very own Head Honcho Pete this week, he compared horse racing as a gateway drug, offered up by the bookies to get people to sign up, start betting, and then be drawn through tempting offer after tempting offer into the online casinos.  That’s where they want you.  It’s all a rather sad state of affairs, but I like the analogy.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 189pts, -3.365pts, roi -1.78%, roc -3.36%, High 0pts, DD -3.365pts, Max DD -24.338pts

Northern Monkey (80): Staked 336.75pts, -46.664pts, roi -13.85%, roc -58.33%, High 0pts, DD -46.664pts, Max DD -48.009pts

The Value Bettor (40): Staked 9.75pts, +1.46pts, roi 14.97%, roc 3.65%, High 2.71pts, DD -1.25pts, Max DD -2pts

BB Racing Tracker (100): Staked 367pts, +381.11pts, roi 103.84%, roc 381.11%, High 0pts, DD -6.455pts, Max DD -13.388pts

Racing Totals: ROI 39.28%, ROC 104.71%