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The Three Top Performers of 2024 so far, and tipsters changing with the times.

I’m very aware that a number of readers have been good enough to email me over the last week/ten days or so with questions and comments.  I will be getting back to each email and address questions within these posts, so please bear with me if you are one of those that have.  There was no Bet Diary post last week, as I was given the starkest of lessons in just how much we take for granted good health, how precious life is, and how short it can be.

All of which meant that the day-to-day betting went out of the window for a few days.  The weekend just gone was back to normal, and it proved to be the most profitable of 2024 so far, dragging the overall ROI up to a level of respectability, if still lagging a bit behind where I would want and expect it to be long-term.  This despite the only bets that were placed during the week – on golf – proving to be fruitless.

2024 Betting: Total ROI 6.8%

 

Still rattling along in the lead of my 2024 tipster and strategy league table are the Value Bets taken from the Bookie Bashing Bet/Combo Bets Tracker.  Occasionally you see bets that carry BIG value, and not always those gained by Odds Boosts or the like.  Take this Sunday when a bet on the corners market offered on a Spanish Liga 1 match was landed, sourced from the William Hill #YourOdds offers.  Not only are these the sort of bets that online books like to see you take, but when the perceived value is at 115%+ and the price at 2/1, it means a sizable stake.  They don’t all win of course, but over time I’m more than confident these will make a decent profit, and so it is proving this year so far.  I’ve taken 81 bets since January 1st, many using cash at  the shops, and others online as described above.  My only filter is that I need to see a minimum perceived value of 105%.  32 winning bets later, and the ROI is at a ridiculous 34% and bank growth of 33%.  I appreciate the sample is very small.  I appreciate that level of ROI is clearly unsustainable (I’m hoping for 5-6% long term).  But just now, I’m enjoying the ride.

Bookie Bashing Value/Combo Bets Tracker: Staked 1,449pts, +494.43pts, ROI: 34.12%, ROC: 32.96%

 

In second place is the Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker, and the strategy of putting four teams in Lucky 15s, and placing 5 Lucky 15s down per day.  This clearly provides high turnover, with the aim of reducing variance.  So far the tactic has worked extremely well, and Saturday saw four teams come in, including one at a price of 15/2.  My natural caution means that my approach is to look to have one team at odds of 3/1 or higher in each set of four, and three at any price up to 3/1; very similar to the way I look to structure the Lucky 15s I stick down on the horses (albeit at different odds bands).  The full house on Saturday landed just over 22 points profit, with all the other Lucky 15s generating a very small loss between them.  This very neatly illustrates the strategy – look to tick over, making a little, losing a little, waiting for the big win which will inevitably come if you give it long enough.

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 2,265pts, +413pts, ROI 18.23%, ROC 27.53%

 

The last few months have been a testing period for Sys Analyst and I’m still a fair way from my last previous high which was back in the autumn.  But, to say there are signs of a recovery is something of an understatement as a consistent supply of winners in 2024 sees me rattling along at an ROI for the year of 50%!  In an email to members this week, Allan pointed to an above average numbers of near misses that has badly affected returns, whilst acknowledging that this is all part of the game and at other times the breaks go for you and not against you.  This is where experience in any tipster you follow can be invaluable.  An ability to adapt, to continue to trust in the methodology, to not panic and remain calm is paramount.

Allan lowers his stakes a little whenever a particularly bad run hits, but from this week he is raising them back up to the “normal” level.  Reading his email made me think of old favourite The Value Bettor, and how focus on tipping realistically achievable prices in markets holding sufficient liquidity is necessary as the bookmaking environment we’re operating in is so poor.  This one factor is shaping how honest tipsters work.  Those that are happy to simply quote headline prices which no-one is going to be able to either get consistently or if they somehow manage to, keep their accounts open for any length of time, can get in the bin.  Those like Allan, and many others monitored by the SBC and who find themselves in the Hall of Fame, are to be cherished.  This quote from Allan’s  email sums it all up: “I have evolved the service continually to change with the times, and these days, it’s OK to bet on the big races early, but the low class, low hanging fruit type races may be easy to make a big profit on, but no good for winners as they are account closers.”

Sys Analyst: Staked 504.9pts, +254.04pts, ROI: 50.31%, ROC: 16.93%

 

That’s all for now.  Next post will see more results and a question answered on dealing with a busted bankroll.

Until then…

Head just above the water, a nice Lucky 15, a winner for GBC and Sys Analyst excels!

After a reasonably profitable week – nothing spectacular mind – I’ve managed to haul myself back above the break even line for 2024.  Just.  An ROI of 0.5% seems like not much return for a lot of running around.  In reality of course, five weeks of betting is nothing in the wider context of things.

Most of the profit came from one Lucky 15 bet from the Bookie Bashing Early Payout Tracker which returned 16 points.  It was one of many such Lucky 15s struck last week, with the vast majority of them producing a deficit, but much like the horse racing Lucky 15s it’s about waiting for the good one to hit home, and one was enough to see us nicely into the black.

Golf Betting Club found 14/1 winning favourite Joaquin Niemann in the LIV Golf event.  I’m not too sure what happened there, but Niemann went off like the clappers but did something to merit being punished with a two shot penalty.  Fending off Sergio Garcia in a play off the odds were landed, and further profit was made by 100/1 in play bet Ockie Strydom who landed the place spoils by finishing in a tie for 4th.  Got to admit, halfway through the final round on Sunday the South African was tying for the lead and just one or two hopes were allowed to creep in.  Alas, not to be, but a solid all round week for GBC.

It is still the Value Bets from the Bookie Bashing Bet Tracker leading the way for profit this year so far, and the ROC figure for these has now reached 20%.  I can’t help feeling that a “correction” of sorts is due, as the 33% ROI is about 25-28% higher than I would expect it to be long term.

And finally for notable contributions, it was fantastic to see Sys Analyst enjoy a really good day on Saturday with a couple of very nice winners.  Over the past week or so it’s gone from enduring a period of relative struggle to a service now boasting an ROI of just shy of 50% for the year to date.  How quickly fortunes can change!

Betting 2024

Account Angel: Staked 470pts, +82.1pts. ROI 17.46%

AI Football: Staked 792pts, -4.84pts, ROI: -0.61%, ROC: -0.48%

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 1,380pts, +122.84pts, ROI 8.9%, ROC 8.18%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 707.5pts, -132.98pts, ROI: -15.81%, ROC: -7.45%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 150pts, -150pts, ROI -100%, ROC -15%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 1,365pts, -425.1pts, ROI: -31.14%, ROC: -28.34%.

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 908pts, +300.88pts, ROI: 33.13%, ROC: 20.05%

DD/HH: Staked 124.5pts, -3.5pts, ROI: -2.81%, ROC: -0.35%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 302.5pts, -69.74pts, ROI -23.05%, ROC -5.81%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, ROC: 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 289pts, +143.53pts, ROI: 49.66%, ROC: 9.56%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, ROI: 62.86%, ROC: 7.54%

TOTAL ROI: 0.51%

AI Football, and getting prices.

I’ve not yet been out to do the rounds of the bookies and pick up returns for bets struck over the weekend, so the results post will have to wait, as is usual, until Wednesday.  In the meantime however, folk have started to email in questions after last week’s appeal, so I thought I’d drop a quick post to answer the first of them.

Moving forward, I’ll attack each emailed question chronologically, so if you do email in, please don’t worry if there’s a short wait before I address yours.  I’ve already a (small) backlog, but the interaction is very welcomed and hopefully benefit the wider readership.  So if you have any queries, send them through.

So, issue No.1, and Nathan has asked about AI Football.  Nathan joined the service as it sounded promising but found that the selections came through very early (UK time), which they do, and that as a consequence he was finding it really difficult to get the quoted prices.

To be honest, I know where Nathan is coming from.  When I first started following I was finding it often tricky getting the quoted prices, but to be fair AI Football does quote a minimal acceptable price, and getting on above that level I found straightforward a lot more times than not.  From memory, there were only a couple of instances when I wasn’t able to get at least the minimum price, and nine times out of ten, above it, if a couple of ticks short of the quoted odds.

However, I’ve found things have changed a bit since then, and sadly a likely consequence of performance not being what I imagine AI Football would like it to be.  The past couple of months have been fairly challenging and we’ve seen something of a drawdown.  This year to date hasn’t seen any real losses, but nor has it made any profit as you’ll see from the weekly figures update.  Since September, the service is around 15 points down to level stakes with November being particularly tricky.

These runs happen of course, and I’m not calling time on it just yet, or anything like it.  The track record until the autumn was a strong one and it has earnt time.  But – and I’ve seen this happen with other services over the years when they encounter a difficult period – with a drawdown comes people losing faith, and with that process comes quoted prices that are easier to get because fewer people are backing the tips.  I don’t know, but I think this is probably what has happened with AI Football.  Certainly my own experience is telling me that I’m generally achieving the quoted prices on most tips fairly easily, and with teams from the bigger leagues, I’m often getting higher than the quoted odds.

I very much hope AI Football will return to form.  There are no guarantees, naturally, but to put things into context, the drawdown is still only around 20% of the recommended bank, so we’re a long way from panic stations just yet.

Not so Lucky 15s! January review…

So, time to take a look back at Month 1 of 2024…

Right, that’s that done.  Let’s concentrate on what comes next.  See you next week.

 

You may have gathered, January has not been a great month.  After essentially breaking even for the first three weeks, the past week has seen a bit of nightmare for the Bookiebashing Racing Tracker-derived Lucky 15s (-34.44% ROI, -21.7% ROC).  It’s been typical of what happens when you go on a bad run.  Plenty of second places (although always it feels, on different Lucky 15 slips), horses finishing a close 4th when the place part pays out on the first three, fifth when the pay out is first four, etc.  The month wasn’t helped by bad weather forcing the abandonment of meetings and it’s noticeable that the number of Lucky 15s I’ve placed is lower than usual.  There have been some promising signs that things are picking up over the last few days in terms of bet numbers, although nothing promising about the results!

The month could have been so much better, if just one or two of the bazillion second place finishes on Sunday afternoons and evenings in the golf had instead finished first.  I have never had so many second place finishes in such a short space of time.  It’s been brutal.  For bets placed by my lad using his accounts, with which we can exploit the value in the place prices and terms from the Bookiebashing Golf Tracker, losses have been contained (-8.27% ROI, -3.06% ROC).  Finishing second is not much use for the bets placed win-only on the Exchanges though, eh?

It’s not all been bad.  Touchdown Profit have had one heck of a season, and with five of the six bets I’ve placed in January winning, the ROI of 62.86% (ROC 7.54%) has been incredible.  Shame this is by far the lightest staked service/strategy I follow.  I have to be thinking of upping the betting bank/stakes next NFL season.

The big winner has been the Value Bets taken from the Bookiebashing Bet Tracker and from using some of the tools found on the site to find some value myself.  The total for January sits at an ROI of 31.7% and ROC of 16.97%, and was largely down to a couple of winners that were showing as carrying big value (and therefore, relatively big stakes).

So, a losing start to the year.  Let’s see what happens in February.

AI Football: Staked 720pts, -13.21pts, ROI: -1.83%, ROC: -1.32%

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 960pts, -48.61pts, ROI -5.06%, ROC -3.24%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 555.5pts, -45.95pts, ROI: -8.27%, ROC: -3.06%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 150pts, -150pts, ROI -100%, ROC -15%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 945pts, -325.55pts, ROI: -34.44%, ROC: -21.7%.

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 803pts, +254.63pts, ROI: 31.7%, ROC: 16.97%

DD/HH: Staked 74.5pts, -74.5pts, ROI: -100%, ROC: -7.45%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 198.5pts, -127.74pts, ROI -64.35%, ROC -10.64%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, ROC: 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 241.45pts, +22.91pts, ROI: 9.48%, ROC: 1.52%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, ROI: 62.86%, ROC: 7.54%

TOTAL ROI: -5.52%

 

Clarity for the NFL Strategy, and I want questions!!!!

You know, I’d love for the second Bet Diary post of the week to become something of a Q&A session.  Anyone can email me at rowan@smartbettingclub.com if they have any queries or comments, and I can then address them in here.  I can’t think there would be too many questions that at least a few others wouldn’t mind asking, so please don’t be shy.  It may even open up healthy debate that would benefit everyone and provide food for thought, which is never a bad thing.  So please, do feel free to get in touch.

This past week has seen David getting in touch to ask about the NFL Strategy I use, under the misapprehension it is actually a service.  This is my fault.  I did explain many posts ago where this strategy is from and what it’s based on, but have neglected to do so since, so it’s understandable that there may be some confusion.

In short, the NFL Strategy is free for anyone to read over on the Bookiebashing site (here, in fact).

The strategy is based on finding matches for which the bookies are setting the Total Points line at a fairly low mark, and then using simple maths to identify the value.  The post I’ve pointed you towards explains far better and more clearly than I ever could, so go read.  All I would add is that for a bet that statistically should be around the 5/1 mark, it’s easy to get 8 or 9/1 on the Exchanges and often 10/1 to 12/1 in the bookies, and for a Full Time bet that should be around 10/1, I’m usually getting 15/1 – 16/1 on the Exchanges.

It’s pretty volatile, and the issue is that there isn’t that much action across a full season so you really are at the mercy of variance.  But the fact is that if you’re mentally prepared to accept that it could be a couple of years before the profit comes through, come through it will.  The NFL season is not far off complete now, so I’ll produce an end of season report in a couple of weeks or so.

One NFL service that is a service (!), is Touchdown Profit, and if you’ve been following the Bet Diary recently you’ll know how impressive their season has been.  Fingers crossed they can finish strong.  The service deserves to finish this NFL year on a high.

Right, then.  I’m expecting questions from now on.  Lots and lots of questions.  So get at it!

 

Not another second, a watery grave to the hopes of a big win, and introducing Golf Betting Club.

News first of a new addition to the Bet Diary portfolio – SBC Premium Service Golf Betting Club.  You can read a lot more about the service, how it works, the people behind it etc, here.  You can also listen to an insightful interview with the two brothers who run GBC with Pete in the latest SBC Podcast.

I’ll be  writing more about it shortly, with first impressions and such like, but for now, suffice to say I saw Golf Betting Club as providing something different – a slightly different angle to my golf betting, and that is In-Play tips.  Sure, they do give out pre-tournament advice but historically a strong source of profit has been derived from bets sent following the end of each round.  Like I say, a different angle.

Not the most auspicious of starts last week, with my missing a winning final round 2-ball pick, but I think that now I’m into the swing of things (see what I did there!) that sort of thing won’t happen again.

The week as a whole has been a profitable one but it hasn’t exactly swung the needle too much.  I’ve gone from being just shy of break even for the month to just a shade above break even.  As I mentioned last week, it could all have been so much different had second placed finishers every week so far just found (literally) one or two shots to win instead.  Well,  guess what?  Last week was another painful one – yet another second placer on the DPWT Tour.  That however, wasn’t the most painful golfing result.  Over in the States on Sunday evening, we had Sam  Burns leading the way with two holes to go, before hitting his tee shot on the 17th into the water, and then hitting his tee shot on the 18th…err…into the water.  What. A. Nob.

Poor time of it for my Bookiebashing Racing Tracker inspired Lucky 15s recently, and am currently standing at -12% bank “growth”.  Nothing unusual in this.  Have suffered much worse drawdowns in the past and then one Lucky 15 takes you to an all time profit high.  I do feel that lack of turnover is exaggerating short term variance though.  Need it to warm up a bit and the weather to play ball so not so many meetings are abandoned.

The Ying to that Yang though,  has been the various Value Bets taken from the Bookiebashing Bet Tracker.  Win Both Halves bets have gone on a bit of a tear – well, four wins  from the last six bets.  Aberdeen on Friday night was ridiculous value when I struck my bet, which meant a relatively hefty stake.  Happy days.  12.7% bank growth and 47% ROI, which is frankly stupidly high and unsustainable.  That figure will come down.  If it doesn’t, I’m retiring by Christmas!

Interestingly, Bookiebashers released a blog post a few days ago about the WBH bets after receiving a question about them.  The post explores the relationship between the Expected and Recorded results – Worth a read/watch.

Back tomorrow.

Betting 2024

AI Football: Staked 227pts, +27.11pts, ROI: 11.94%, ROC: 2.71%

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 720pts, +52.55pts, ROI 7.29%, ROC 5.25%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 374.5pts, -13.85pts, ROI: -3.69%, ROC: -0.69%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 122.5pts, -122.5pts, ROI -100%, ROC -12.25%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 495pts, -180.3pts, ROI: -36.42%, ROC: -12.02%.

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 536.5pts, +255.5pts, ROI: 47.62%, ROC: 12.77%

DD/HH: Staked 74.5pts, -74.5pts, ROI: -100%, ROC: -7.45%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 86pts, -40.8pts, ROI -47.44%, ROC -3.4%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, ROC: 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 140.4pts, -5.18pts, ROI: -3.68%, ROC: -0.51%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 80pts, +54.66pts, ROI: 54.66%, ROC: 5.46%

TOTAL ROI: 0.75%

 

A summary of Matchday Profits…

Quick post tonight (can you believe that pre-season cricket training starts for me tonight!?!  It may be indoors, but I need to get there, and it’s currently about -6 degrees…I’m far too old.  WHAT am I doing?).

Anyway, reader James emailed to ask how my lad is getting on with Matchday Profits and whether or not he would recommend it.

I don’t post results for this service in the Bet Diary.  It doesn’t really have an influence at all on my betting and unfortunately I don’t have the soft online bookmaker accounts needed to take advantage.  I suppose there is a tenuous link in that Joe is using the service to contribute towards growing something of a betting bank, which he then merges with my funds, but other than that like I say, it doesn’t have much impact on me.

The opinion of my son is that Matchday Profits has been a really good service to get into right at the start of his betting journey.  Not only does it help that bank develop, but it also gets you used to the way the bookmaking sites work, different types of bet to place, and even how to start spotting opportunities yourself.

Personally speaking, I think anyone with a semi-decent level of betting experience under their belt would soon be able to seek out the sort of opportunities Matchday Profit seeks to exploit, but at the very least the service takes away the time needed to do that.  What I would say too is that I know it is run by Paul Ruffy, and from my own experience of following a successful horse racing service called Winning Racing Tips for a number of years, which was also run by Paul, that the man at the helm of Matchday Profit is a sensible, canny bettor with a good eye for making a profit.

I guess in summary, MP is a service that provides a very low risk entry into profitable betting and my lad is happy with it.  It’s not time consuming to follow, and whereas it’s never going to provide the sort of rate of return that some of the best tipsters provide, it is going to produce steady, long term profits, and is ideal for helping to develop a betting bank.

Hope that helps, James.  And if anyone wants me to address any topics or issues in the Bet Diary, leave a comment or email into rowan@smartbettingclub.com.

Now, where are my gloves…

Dreadful outbreak of Seconditis, can’t be doing with the weather, but a ray of sunshine from Sys Analyst

Can’t say that the past week has hit the right notes.  It hasn’t even, as Eric Morecambe once said, hit the right notes, but not necessarily in the right order.  Apart from Sys Analyst all the notes have been duff ones.

Adding to the frustration has been a severe case of Seconditis on the golf.  I was on Thriston Lawrence at a nice enough price for the Dubai Invitational – he finished a shot second.  This follows on from, remember, the previous week’s second by one shot Theegala, and continuing the pattern I had Russell Henley on Sunday night who failed to make a play-off by, yep you’ve guessed it, one stroke.

Overall this month has just dipped ever so slightly into the red, but oh how different it could have been!

What has been notable is the relative lack of turnover.  With the cold weather biting, forcing the abandonment of a number of race meetings, I’ve placed just a small handful of Lucky 15s and those have been as miserable in their returns as the grey clouds and biting winds we’ve had round these parts.  On top of that, I’ve not had one single DD/HH bet, nor anything last weekend for the NFL Strategy (and this weekend coming looks likely to blank here too).

As mentioned, the only bright point came from Sys Analyst on Saturday, who gave a very nice 33/1 winner.  A winner was needed to be fair, but to get the year’s first in such style brought a rare ray of sunshine to proceedings.  Let’s hope this sparks Sys Analyst into a bit of a better spell.

Below are the YTD figures, and I’ll be back soon (hopefully tomorrow) to answer a query about Matchday Profits, a service my lad is (still) using to help build up his betting bank.  There’s also news soon of a new addition to the portfolio, and a heads up to the new SBC free offering, Account Angel.  Read more about that in the meantime, here.

AI Football: Staked 176pts, +46.01pts, ROI: 26.14%, ROC: 4.6%

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 412.5pts, +29.65pts, ROI 7.18%, ROC 2.96%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 222pts, +7.05pts, ROI: 3.17%, ROC: 0.35%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 44.5pts, -44.5pts, ROI -100%, ROC -4.45%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 345pts, -103.5pts, ROI: -23.06%, ROC: -5.36%.

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 197.5pts, -43.75pts, ROI: -22.15%, ROC: -4.37%

DD/HH: Staked 49.5pts, -49.5pts, ROI: -100%, ROC: -4.95%.

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, ROC: 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 105.4pts, -22.2pts, ROI: -21.06%, ROC: -2.22%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 60pts, +56.04pts, ROI: 93.4%, ROC: 5.6%

TOTAL ROI: -1.52%

 

A quiet start to the year, golf is back, but I still can’t get no Sahithfaction!

Week 1 of the new year has been notable by its absence of very much betting action at all.  With the weather forcing the abandonment of race meetings, opportunities to get Lucky 15s down was somewhat restricted.  So ultimately turnover was lower than it is usually, but I’m not complaining about an 8% ROI achieved.  You won’t find me complaining at the end of any week that shows a profit!

Leading the way was the Half Time/Full Time NFL Strategy with wintry weather in parts of the US affecting the Total Points line that this method revolves around.  There were five games that qualified, and although only one produced the goods, that was enough for a very healthy profit overall.  There’s a lot of volatility attached to this, so who knows when the next winner will be.  To be fair though, I thought we were a little unlucky not to get at least another one landed, with how the games panned out.

Without hitting any spectacular winners the Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker provided most of the action and a decent amount of profit.  It’s only been four weeks I’ve been using this, but it’s quickly become a firm favourite.

Touchdown Profit’s ridiculously good form continued with another winner, although they tipped another which I managed to miss, somewhat frustratingly.  All my own fault.  Anyway, as remarked upon last week, the form so far this NFL Regular season has been nothing short of immense.  Let’s hope it continues through the Play Off season.  If it does, it will have been a vintage year for TP!

At the other end, Sys Analyst has yet to tip a winner in 2024, but let’s remember it’s early days yet!  It was a somewhat underwhelming end to 2023 too, so I reckon that upswing will arrive soon.

Finally, golf was back and it was good to get some bets down.  No win-only bets from me last week, but managed to get three that placed from the Bookiebashing Golf Tracker which meant a marginal profit.  It could have been a lot better.  Those of you following the SBC ‘X’ account and the bets Josh, Pete, Tom and I have placed will know that we were all on Sahith Theegala.  Our man sent his putt on the last hole of the final round within millimetres of the cup, but instead it lipped out.  That would have forced a play off at least, but it wasn’t to be.  So near to a wonderful start to the golf betting year, but so far.

Week 1’s figures:

AI Football: Staked 75pts, +28.64pts, ROI: 38.18%, ROC: 2.86%

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 180pts, +53.24pts, ROI 29.57%, ROC 5.32%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 130pts, +21.08pts, ROI: 16.21%, ROC: 1.05%

Golf (Win Only): n/a

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 180pts, +23.92pts, ROI: 13.28%, ROC: 1.59%.

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 147.5pts, -41.25pts, ROI: -27.96%, ROC: -4.12%

DD/HH: Staked 49.5pts, -49.5pts, ROI: -100%, ROC: -4.95%.

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, ROC: 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 70.6pts, -70.6pts, ROI: -100%, ROC: -7.06%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 40pts, +38.21pts, ROI: 95.52%, ROC: 3.82%

TOTAL ROI: 8.32%

The Bet Diary run down for 2024, get the latest SBC podcast into your ears, and (possibly) leaving my wife for a tipster!

Everything is in place.  Here is what we’ll be betting on in here through 2024:

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker (Lucky 15s)

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s)

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker

Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven strategy

NFL Half Time + Half Time/Full Time strategy

Sys Analyst

Touchdown Profit

In addition, Joe is going to do the £1k/2.5% stake “growth plan” with AI Football, and I’ll post exactly where we’re up to with this each week.

Some thoughts…

Overall, I’ve had to be aware of the time I have to hand, and when I can bet.  This means there are plenty of exceptionally strong tipsters and services out there, fully reviewed by the Smart Betting Club, and which carry our full confidence that in an ideal world I would love to follow, but which in reality I would struggle to do so.  As ever therefore, this Bet Diary mustn’t ever be viewed as a prescriptive way to make money from betting.  It’s just the chronicling of one person’s attempt to do so, in a way that suits him (or them, I suppose, this year).  You do it your way.

Tremendously excited although I can see issues arising down the line.  Few of these will likely be new to anyone.  We’re talking about account closures and ability to get on, but as we all know, that’s all just part of the game nowadays.  But the fact I still get excited at the prospect of a new year’s betting tells me the fire hasn’t and isn’t going out.  It’s still all good fun, and surely that’s exactly how it should be.

A couple of things to round off this week’s posts.

Firstly, please do follow the picks for each week’s golf tournaments this month, put up by myself, Pete and Josh representing the SBC, and Tom of Bookie Bashing.  Keep an eye out on ‘X’ (@SBCinfo) for that, and if you haven’t yet listened to the SBC Podcast we did on golf betting (and if not, why not!!!???), then do.  Capisce?

And finally, it would be remiss of me not to mention Touchdown Profit’s remarkable tipping record this NFL season.  The man is on fire, and after going 4-0 for winning picks over the last two weeks of December and flying along at an incredible 20%+ ROI for the season to date (which is truly remarkable bearing in mind the nature of the markets he’s tipping into), I think if he asked me to at this point, I’d probably leave my wife for him.