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RACING: mixed results at the July Festival

Three racing services in action last week.  One (Bet Alchemist, +10.7pts) did very well, one (Northern Monkey, +0.5pts) got by despite an excellent opening day that promised much greater things, and the other (Precision Value, -5.9pts) had a poor week, although admittedly not necessarily at Newmarket.

What this all means is that Bet Alchemist pushes forward to a new profit high for the year whilst Precision Value hits a new low mark in terms of drawdown.  2021 has been a bit of a rollercoaster for the latter.  A decline across the first few months of the year, followed by a strong recovery and run of form, and now back down. The experience of many a bettor at many a time, I reckon.

Overall though, the racing portfolio is ticking along quite nicely.  We’re a man down of course, until the new jumps season is properly underway, so to be running along at an ROI of 12% is pretty satisfying.  We all know though don’t we, that that can take a sudden surge or plunge at any moment.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 288pts, +50.98pts, roi 17.7%, roc 50.98%, High: 50.98pts, CDD: 0pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 335.375pts, +40.502pts, roi 12.07%, roc 40.5%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: -8.157pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 558pts, +27.961pts, roi 5.01%, roc 13.98%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -28.0255pts, Max DD: -28.025pts.

Racing Service 1 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

Racing Totals: ROI 12.28%, ROC 29.5%

 

PS. Off away for a few days next week as a birthday treat, so Bet Diary will be back the week after.

SPORTS: Roll on the new footie season.

So it’s all over then.  Euro 2020 finally wraps up, in perhaps the most dramatically disappointing way possible, around 12 months after it should have done.  Although I’ve not seen a great deal of the tournament, having football on almost every day for the past month has at least provided something for The Poacher to get stuck into and provide some betting action.  Now I guess a quiet period is going to get even quieter.  I know he targets the Irish leagues, but until the new European domestic season starts up again in August, I reckon the turnover is going to drop.

So, as things are going to be so quiet for the sports portfolio for a few weeks, I may temporarily merge the Sports Section BD update with the golf on the Monday.  We’ll see what the boss says.

Until then, the update figures…

Sports Service 1 (30pt bank): Staked 21.75pts, +6.885pts, roi 31.51%, roc 22.95%, High: 7.295pts, CDD: -0.41pts, Max DD: -1pts.

Sports Service 2 (40): Staked 62pts, -5.384pts, roi -8.68%, roc -13.46%, High 0pts, CDD: -5.384pts, Max DD: -6.734pts.

Scottish Football Income Booster (100): Staked 88pts, -12.337pts, roi -14.04%, roc -12.33%, High: 4.394pts, CDD: -16.731pts, Max DD: -17.984pts.

The Poacher (40): Staked 245pts, +17.492pts, roi 7.13%, roc 43.73%, High: 19.068pts, CDD: -1.576pts, Max DD: -9.645pts

Sports Totals: ROI 4.19%, ROC 9.64%

GOLF: Dry run continues. But was anyone watching?

No luck on the golf this week, with just one, small, place return from Weekly Golf Value doing very little indeed to offset the losses.

The poor run of Golf Insider continues and we’ve now hit the deepest drawdown mark for the year to date.  The last couple of weeks haven’t seen one place, if I remember correctly (I may not, it’s true).  Let’s see if The Open this coming week brings a change in fortune.

Nothing by way of return from PGA Profit although that may have not been the case if I’d managed to get on with a bookie paying out on the Top 8.  I didn’t – I backed the relevant golfer with a bookie paying top 7!

And that return I mentioned from WGV…well, not enough of a return to prevent a loss there too.

So not a great week, all told.  But really, was anyone watching the golf and not the football last night?  Still at least that was something to cheer us….oh.

Guess football will have to come home next year instead.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 207pts, -52.834pts, roi -25.52%, roc -26.41%, High 14.35pts, CDD: -67.184pts, Max DD: -67.184pts

 PGA Profit (500): Staked 505pts, +82.23pts, roi 16.28%, roc 16.44%, High +178.5pts, CDD: -96.27pts, Max DD: -115.77pts

 Weekly Golf Value (2,000): 4,233pts, +1,699.83pts, roi 40.15%, roc 84.99%, High 1,928.81pts, CDD: -228.98pts, Max DD: -461.8pts.

Totals: ROI 25.32%, ROC 39.75%.

RACING: A poor week at the office.

It’s not been a great week on the nags.

Saturday was the only day that saw action from Bet Alchemist and to be honest it wasn’t really worth the wait as just short of four points were dropped.

A bad week all round for Northern Monkey, who dropped over seven points.  Going in heavy on one horse used as a lever for multiples backfired when that one failed to win, and left us playing catch up from the start of the week.  We know though, as with BA, that losses are merely lent, and we’ll come again.

Similar for Precision Value who despite one good day, also finished the week down.  One of those weeks.

This week sees the July Festival at Newmarket take place on the July course, so there’ll be plenty of top class action for the guys to set their teeth into.  I wouldn’t be surprised if see something of a fight back.  Here’s hoping.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 276pts, +40.255pts, roi 14.58%, roc 40.25%, High: 44.005pts, CDD: -3.75pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 313.125pts, +39.946pts, roi 12.75%, roc 39.94%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: -8.713pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 529pts, +33.861pts, roi 6.4%, roc 16.93%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -22.125pts, Max DD: -24.834pts.

Racing Service 2 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

RACING Totals: ROI 12.02%, ROC 27.43%.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

SPORTS: The Poacher chipping away as football (nearly) comes home.

I still haven’t seen more than five minutes of live football with England playing.  That is about to change.  Wednesday night I’ll be able to sit down and watch the match versus Denmark in full.  I’m hoping that I’ll at last, be able to tune into some of the footie fever that is gripping the nation.  Honestly, at the moment I feel like the entire Euro 2020 tournament has passed me by.

Am I that bothered?  It might be a little controversial to say, but truth be told, I’m not.  I know I’ll be in a minority here, but as a dyed in the wool Arsenal fan, I can’t “raise my game” to enjoy a Harry Kane goal, no matter who it is scored for.  It’s a bit like back in the day when I couldn’t get behind an England team that had John Terry as its skipper.

I appreciate I’m in the minority, and that I should get over myself.  But I can’t.  Some things just run too deep.

As for betting this past week, there’s very little to report.  A tiny win for Sports Service 2 and a couple of points profit secured by The Poacher.  And that is it.

Sports Service 1 (30pt bank): Staked 21.75pts, +6.885pts, roi 31.51%, roc 22.95%, High: 7.295pts, CDD: -0.41pts, Max DD: -1pts.

Sports Service 2 (40): Staked 62pts, -5.384pts, roi -8.68%, roc -13.46%, High 0pts, CDD: -5.384pts, Max DD: -6.734pts.

 Scottish Football Income Booster (100): Staked 88pts, -12.337pts, roi -14.04%, roc -12.33%, High: 4.394pts, CDD: -16.731pts, Max DD: -17.984pts.

 The Poacher (40): Staked 240pts, +14.616pts, roi 6.09%, roc 36.54%, High: 19.068pts, CDD: -4.452pts, Max DD: -9.645pts

SPORTS Totals: ROI 3.45%, ROC 7.84%

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

GOLF: Agonizingly close…but no cigar.

Last night’s golf made for painful viewing.  I’m not complaining.  We’ve had a fair share of good fortune this year betting on the golf.  If I’m to celebrate a win that was in large part down to a runaway leader having to withdraw due to a positive Covid test prior to the last round, then it would be churlish in the extreme to moan about having a player beaten in a three-way play off, as happened last night.

The agonizing part though was seeing Troy Merritt (PGA Profit) and Joaquin Niemann (Weekly Golf Value) on the last green together, each with a putt that would have won them the championship.  Each missing by a combined distance of about a foot, was irritating to say the least.

The whole last day was a frustrating one.  How Weekly Golf Value ended up making a loss on the week after having several golfers in real contention going into the last day both in Europe and the States, I don’t really know.  It took some doing.  I guess this is the ying to previous week’s yang.  Somebody has upset the golfing Gods, and if I had to put money on it (assuming the price on offer represented value, of course) I think I’d put it on being a Weekly Golf Value subscriber.

Least said about Golf Insider’s week, the better.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 198pts, -45.834pts, roi -23.14%, roc -22.91%, High 14.35pts, CDD: -60.184pts, Max DD: -60.715pts

 PGA Profit (500): Staked 486.5pts, +100.73pts, roi 20.7%, roc 20.14%, High +178.5pts, CDD: -77.77pts, Max DD: -115.77pts

 Weekly Golf Value (2,000): 4,145pts, +1,750.33pts, roi 42.22%, roc 87.51%, High 1,928.81pts, CDD: -178.48pts, Max DD: -461.8pts.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

RACING: Winners galore for Bet Alchemist!

The Racing portfolio, for the second consecutive week, has pushed on to a new profit high for the year.  This last week that has been solely down to the efforts of Bet Alchemist, which had three days to remember from Friday through to Sunday.  Well, actually two days – Friday and Sunday, with Saturday just falling short of a break even day.  Winners at big prices meant good times, and Bet Alchemist itself has hit a new high note for 2021.

Despite an incredibly busy Saturday – which brought in some profit – Northern Monkey dropped a point over the week as a whole, and Precision Value also came out just the wrong side of the profit and loss line.  Overall though, I’m really happy with how the racing portfolio is performing.  There are plenty of bets without there being too many, and the profit is coming in regularly.  Long may it continue.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 267pts, +44.005pts, roi 16.48%, roc 44%, High: 44.005pts, CDD: 0pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 301.625pts, +47.321pts, roi 15.68%, roc 47.32%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: -1.338pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 503pts, +36.861pts, roi 7.32%, roc 18.43%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -19.125pts, Max DD: -24.834pts.

Racing Service 1 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

Racing Totals: ROI 13.92%, ROC 30.59%

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

SPORTS: Lack of turnover beginning to bite

A losing week this week, and the Sports portfolio as a whole now is beginning to struggle.  The ROI at 2.88% is clearly below the target 5%, but not worryingly so.  A couple of decent weeks and that will rise.  I think the bigger issue is the relative lack of bank growth.  We’re halfway through the year, and the ROC stands at 6.41%.

I am aware that the turnover for Sports Service 1 will always be low (and we’ve not had a bet for a month, now), but add this to the lack of progress this year from Sports Service 2 and the poor second half of the football season from Scottish Football Income Booster, and overall the rate of bank growth is below where I want it to be at this stage.

At the moment I’m relying for bets largely on The Poacher, and last week at the Euros was a disappointing one.  Let’s get things in the correct context – we only dropped a little over three points.  Nothing in the grand scale of things, but enough to cause a little frustration in the overall scheme of things due to the reasons above.

Let’s hope we can kick on a bit this week…

Sports Service 1 (30pt bank): Staked 21.75pts, +6.885pts, roi 31.51%, roc 22.95%, High: 7.295pts, CDD: -0.41pts, Max DD: -1pts.

Sports Service 2 (40): Staked 61pts, -5.544pts, roi -9.08%, roc -13.86%, High 0pts, CDD: -5.544pts, Max DD: -6.734pts.

Scottish Football Income Booster (100): Staked 88pts, -12.337pts, roi -14.04%, roc -12.33%, High: 4.394pts, CDD: -16.731pts, Max DD: -17.984pts.

 The Poacher (40): Staked 233pts, +12.476pts, roi 5.35%, roc 31.19%, High: 19.068pts, CDD: -6.592pts, Max DD: -9.645pts

Sports Totals: ROI 2.88%, ROC 6.41%

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

GOLF: Keeping the faith.

A bit of a nothing week, really, for the golf.  The two small amounts of profit made by PGA Profit and Weekly Golf Value countered the wipe out losses from Golf Insider.  A losing week in all, but not by too much.

It’s feels it’s been a while since Golf Insider had an Outright winner.  This is clearly one of those spells we all talk about when we describe what following a golf tipster is like.  It’s now, when we’re on a bit of a quiet run, that we need to remind ourselves, and then remind ourselves again, that we must be patient and that the big winners will come.  We don’t know when, but they will.

PGA Profit got a couple to place over in the States, and WGV got four in the frame across the two tours.  Ladbrokes actually allowed me to ‘Boost’ the odds on one of those to finish in the frame, so my results are marginally better than the officially advised.  Always nice.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 189pts, -36.834pts, roi -19.48%, roc -18.41%, High 14.35pts, CDD: -51.184pts, Max DD: -60.715pts

PGA Profit (500): Staked 468.5pts, +92.73pts, roi 19.79%, roc 18.54%, High +178.5pts, CDD: -85.77pts, Max DD: -115.77pts

Weekly Golf Value (2,000): 3,992pts, +1,843.96pts, roi 46.19%, roc 92.19%, High 1,928.81pts, CDD: -84.85pts, Max DD: -461.8pts.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

RACING: Royal profits at Royal Ascot!

I took the weekend off.  Not deliberately.  Managed to oversleep on Saturday morning, dashed through the shower, gulped down some Cheerios (other breakfast cereals are available), and just about got to u9 cricket training in time.  Then straight off to the Wirral, which is bloomin’ miles away, to play.  Got home late (100 mile round journey!), grabbed fish and chips on the way, dumped the car, walked to the Club, drank too much beer, dragged myself home and slumped into bed.  Woke up Sunday morning – late – and thought, you know what, I’m taking some time to breathe.  There are times when you just need to pause and chill a wee bit.  Ended up having lunch out with the missus…realised I should have kept it to normal! (I joke).

Anyway, who knows how the tipsters did?  I don’t.  I was happy with their relative performances at Royal Ascot through the week, where some decent profits were had by Bet Alchemist and Northern Monkey.  It wasn’t quite Cheltenham level of profiteering, but every little helps, does it not?  All told then, we’ve reached a new year to date high for Northern Monkey, and likewise with the Racing portfolio as a whole.

If that’s not a good time to unwind a touch, then I don’t know what is.

Bet Alchemist (100pts): Staked 251pts, +29.58pts, roi 11.78%, roc 29.58%, High: 42.58pts, CDD: -13pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 280.625pts, +48.659pts, roi 17.33%, roc 48.65%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: 0pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 482pts, +37.361pts, roi 7.75%, roc 18.68%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -18.625pts, Max DD: -24.834pts.

Racing Service 2 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

Racing Totals: ROI 13.17%, ROC 27.38%

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown