November Review, Part 2.

So as promised, a run down now of those services and strategies that drew a loss through November.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 439pts, -46.62pts, ROI -10.61%, DD -122.93pts, Max DD -142.53pts.

Not much to say. Hardly a disaster.

Football Coupons: Staked 210pts, -97.58pts, ROI -46.46%, DD -97.58pts, Max DD -97.58pts.

My main target with these so far, and the reason why I’ve so far kept my stakes low, has been to find specific coupons where prices are more stable than they can be on others. In that sense, target achieved.

Consequently, come the New Year, I will be upping stakes, which may be a little counterintuitive as to date, I’m running at an overall -32% ROI. I remember seeing a Tom Brownlee video in which he said that the nature of the Football Coupons is to often go months without much by way of success and then over the course of a weekend or two make enough profit to wipe those losses out and then some. He also was at pains to say that the volatility of this strategy was high, but that he views them as a staple of his betting output.

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 1,177.5pts, -136.77pts, ROI -11.61%, DD -141.72pts, Max DD -273.75pts

Again, no catastrophe and in fact, some important context needed. The figures above relate only to November. Overall, I’m +902 pts at an ROI of 31.62%.

Simply, November didn’t see any big return. Always a waiting game for these Lucky 15s. They strike, and often enough to make a good ROI. But you can often be waiting a fair while for the bigger returns that comes from finding two or three winners or four placed horses within any one bet.

Golf Each Way Doubles: Staked 392pts, -392pts, ROI -100%, DD -392pts, Max DD -392pts

Fair to say these haven’t yet taken off, but they will. November was very much a month of getting into promising positions before everything ultimately fizzling out. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to get a couple of consecutive weeks when the big returns come in. Another strategy for which I’ll be looking to raise stakes for 2026.

So there we have it. A good month overall, and other than the continual squeeze by bookmakers in terms of restrictions, it’s been pretty plain sailing. More and more money is being bet in shops using cash, and as that bookmaker squeeze continues to tighten, this will grow more and more.

But still, exciting times ahead!

See you Friday.

November Review Part 1: Sharp Betting Football leads the way!

I didn’t post on Friday as being so close to the end of the month, I felt it better to wait and then round everything up today instead. Much neater that way, and it worked out well, as it goes.

Had I posted on Friday, the theme would have been how Sharp Betting Football had had a very poor midweek for me, giving back a very large chunk of the profit made last weekend. But then an excellent Saturday and Sunday reversed that trend and instead of being all gloomy, I can be far more upbeat with it finishing the month on an all time high.

I’ll briefly go through each service and strategy, and I’ve loads I want to write about some which I’ll keep for further posts moving forward.

Before we break the portfolio down though, here is the final position for November:

Staked: 15,554.75pts, +784.78pts, ROI: 5.04%, Bank Growth: 11.21%, Worst Drawdown: –566.46pts, Current DD: -0pts.

Always gratifying when a profitable month finishes at a profit peak! It rarely happens.

I have to be pleased with what I consider to be the most important figure, the 11.21% total bank growth. The ROI is a little lower than I would like, simply because the month lacked much by way of really big wins. A nice Weekly Golf Value winner, but other than that it was a story of near misses. Instead, the profit has been more of a steady accumulation, and Sharp Betting Football was very much to the fore with that.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 9,431.25pts, +617.84pts, ROI 6.55%, DD -0pts, Max DD -243.89pts.

This was comfortably the most profitable service through November, although all the profit came in the last ten days or so. Half way through we were looking at a fairly sizeable drawdown. The recovery has been strong.

Interestingly, only 8% of the total stakes were made up from bets on multiples (Lucky 15s and Patents), which accounted for 20% of the profit.

This is a service with which I look for volume to spark bank growth. Online restrictions mean I can’t raise stakes. I get knocked back on a lot of bets on matches from the more obscure leagues. Pretty happy at the level of volume, so one I’m content to carry on with smaller stakes whilst I still can. How much longer that will last, who knows?

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 864pts, +378.87pts, ROI 43.85%, DD -80.63pts, Max DD -80.63pts.

80/1 winner Adam Shenk contributed most to a strong month for WGV, a month which has seen very little by way of drawdown. I’m making the most of such consistency because as we know, large drawdowns are very much a part and parcel of the golf betting game.

I really hate typing this because I have a completely – but understandable – irrational fear of tempting fate by doing so, but with just one or two exceptions, I’m still free to stake as I wish on golf. I’ve taken a fair bit out of firms this year as WGV has enjoyed a strong period, and every week I expect to be greeted with that all too familiar message that essentially says, “Nice to see you again, but you’re having a laugh if you think we’re just going to carry on taking these bets!”.

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Singles): Staked 1,113pts, +239.96pts, ROI 21.55%, DD -70.42pts. Max DD -121.82pts.

Introduced this month, and pretty pleased I made that decision.

It was done to try to squeeze as much out of accounts as possible, because at the long odds I’m backing these (most are between 12/1 and 28/1), even small stakes can lead to a decent enough return. Winners at 20/1, 22/1 and 28/1 have meant that I’ve got off to a stormer, BUT…one of the two accounts I was using for this strategy closed me down completely when it comes to betting on horses. I can still get on a few of the footie bets, but I’m done now with this firm as far as the gee gees are concerned.

All of which leaves me with one online book. The plan is to start backing a few in the shops too when I get chance. It won’t be a lot, but if there’s value there to be had, I would like to take it. It will be interesting to see what money I can get down in total through December, and compare it to the month just gone. Watch this space.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 1,040pts, +126.05pts, ROI 12.12%, DD -76.98pts, Max DD -101.77pts.

Now this is a service with which I can very easily double stake size (and more), with almost all the bets I strike being done at the Exchanges. And I may well do. I feel I’ve seen enough of it now, and can accept that there will always be a few bets I opt out of because the price has gone.

The ROI is about twice what I would hope for long term, so it’s been a very good month, but it was looking so much better until a nightmare raft of selections on last week’s Champions’ League and Championship bet rota.

Bookie Bashing Darts x180 Tool: Staked 380pts, +44.74pts, ROI 11.77%, DD -14.9pts, Max DD -50.9pts.

Another I can raise stakes for. For the bigger events, the Exchange markets are fairly strong. Having said that, none of the online books I’ve struck bets with have said no. I wonder how far I can push it? Let’s see.

NFL Strategy: Staked 140pts, +34.46pts, ROI 24.61%, DD -15.54pts, Max DD -60pts.

This month could have been SOOO much better!

The strategy involves identifying the right games, having the Draw at half time, and then for full return, the favourite go on to win. Up until this month, each time I’d done this, either the scores have not been level at half time (by far the most regular occurrence), but if they have, then the favourite has indeed gone on to win.

Not this month. I’ve had two half time bets land (yipee!), and then with each, the Dog to bloody well win (booo!). One of these was last night, but I had two games I bet in. The other was 7-0 with less than a minute to go until half time. The team on nil then scored a touchdown (7-6) which meant a pretty good chance of the Extra Point and a 7-7 half time score. What happened? The team that scored the touchdown went for the two-point conversion instead of the traditional Field Goal! Muppets! The half time score was 8-7, and you just know it when I tell you the pre-match Favourites did indeed go on to win the match.

See what I mean when I say it could all have been so much better?

Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven: Staked 286pts, +14pts, ROI 4.89%, DD -236pts, Max DD -236pts.

Things started going south when Fred started to shorten the odds on Erling Haaland as First Goalscorer and some Man City games didn’t have the concession applied. It’s become a case of No Erling, No Profit.

Right, I’ll draw a line there. Next post I’ll sum up those services that lost on the month.

See you then.

If only…, Sharp Betting Football is very sharp!, and two big winners from the BB Racing Tracker.

We all know that as people that take out betting seriously, keeping a tight rein on our emotions is important. The familiar drill is we don’t get carried away with the highs, and we don’t get too down about the lows. Remembering that each are inevitable and never dropping our focus from the long term is the way to go.

But…betting should be enjoyable. And look, when we have a good win, I’m happy. When things are going badly, not so happy. I don’t swing emotionally from one extreme to the other, but nor do I try to be a robot, completely impervious to emotional involvement.

Every now and then though, a bet comes up that I do commit too mentally. One such came up yesterday.

As an Arsenal fan, having watched Liverpool and City lose the previous day, backing Bukayo Saka as a Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven pick from the Bookie Bashing Tracker held all sorts of promise. Never have I so wanted a bet to win. Playing chief local “rivals” Spu*s, can you imagine if Saka scored first and then doubled up, scoring goals in a comprehensive win!?! Heaven doesn’t come close to how I’d feel about that.

It didn’t happen of course. At least the Saka scoring bit anyway (the comprehensive win bit was still fun).

These opportunities to fully invest in a bet don’t come up too often. Shame this was one that got away. There’ll be others in the future, I’m sure.

What a week for Sharp Betting Football! The latest drawdown, that had lasted a couple of months, ended with a hugely consistent week with a solid profit made every day. These foundations were built upon too, by the few multiples I throw in amongst the singles finally paying something of a dividend over the weekend. Three winners in a Lucky 15 plus a postponed match gave a healthy return, and three winners and a loser in another the same. All told, we’re sitting on a new profit high for SBF for the month and all time.

This is a service in which I rely on volume. With dwindling bookmaker accounts getting the volume of bets down I aim for is growing a little more complicated. Because of restrictions, I have to keep my stakes fairly small, and look to make a decent profit by turning over the bank as quickly and often as I can.

The Transfer Flow had a storming Saturday with all six of the bets I struck ending up as winners! That’s not quite the full story, however. Sadly on Friday when the bets come through, I wasn’t at my laptop as is usually the case, and by the time I could look to get my money down the prices/lines had shifted on some to an extent I wasn’t happy backing at. I missed four picks, three of which were winners.

That’s a phenomenal run of form for a service with which I’d be pleased with an ROI of 5%. Remember we’re talking about betting solely in the Premier League, Championship and Champion’s League Asian lines. The strongest of all UK football betting markets. So to be at 20.5% ROI overall (24% this month so far) is way, way better than I could have dreamed. It can’t keep running so hot and I’m waiting for a correction, but I’m going to enjoy this ride whilst it lasts.

As mentioned previously, another way I’m trying to eke as much out of accounts as I can is to use the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker, backing in singles. Saturday was a memorable day as two winners hit, one at 28/1 and the other at 22/1. Again, small stakes due to restrictions, but the ROI for these bets in November so far is 23%, which is not to be sniffed at.

Just shows though, how variance can hit. The same Tracker is the source of bets to put in the Lucky15s, and that element to the portfolio is the only one to really disappoint last week. Still, it’s sitting on a longer term ROI of 33% so I ain’t complaining.

All told, it’s been a very healthy week, and bank growth for November, with one week to go, stands at just under the 10% mark I nominally use as a “target”. We’re sitting on a new high for the month and year, and there’s all to play for. Let’s see what comes next.

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Lucky 15s: Staked 877.5pts, -191.49pts, ROI -21.82%, DD -201.44pts, Max DD -268.44pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 392pts, -392pts, ROI -100%, DD -392pts, Max DD -392pts.

BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 380pts, +44.74pts, ROI 11.77%, DD -14.9pts, Max DD -50.9pts.

DD/HH: Staked 229pts, +71pts, ROI 31%, DD: -179pts, Max DD -179pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 175pts, -77.34pts, ROI -44.19%, DD -77.34pts, Max DD -77.34pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 100pts, -10pts, ROI -10%, DD: -60pts, Max DD: -60pts

BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 710pts, +167.88pts, ROI 23.64%, DD -0pts, Max DD -121.82pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 7,181.75pts, +437.11pts, ROI 6.08%, DD -0pts, Max DD -239.63pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 760pts, +183.03pts, ROI 24.08%, DD: -20pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 359pts, -6.22pts, ROI -1.73%, DD -82.53pts. Max DD -82.53pts.

Value Bets: Staked 66.5pts, +16.83pts, ROI 25.3%, DD -8pts, Max DD -15.5pts.

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 724pts, +448.87pts, ROI 61.99%, DD -10.63pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 11,900.75pts, +692.41pts, ROI 5.81%, DD -0pts, Max DD -566.46pts, Bank Growth 9.89%

Golfing sweet and sour – WGV does the biz, but no bloomin’ Doubles!

A weekend of mixed golfing emotions.

First thing to mention, a great 80/1 winner for Weekly Golf Value in Adam Shenk, who fought his own demons as well as a fierce Bermudan wind to secure victory and a fine WGV return. I’ve never seen anyone putt one-handed, but Shenk did on occasion, and all told he must have changed his putting grip several times at different times across his last two rounds. Doing that whilst trying to win a competition can’t be easy, and when he missed a five foot putt on the 17th to essentially secure the title, I thought the writing was on the wall.

But Shenk battled. He looked emotionally a complete wreck when it was all over. Not as much a wreck as I was after suffering watching his final round, I can tell you.

Anyway, all’s well that ends well, and that was the golfing sweet for the weekend. The sour came from a near miss with the Each Way Golf Doubles. On Saturday night we were in a good position to knock in a couple. As it was, we got nothing, and the lack of a return on the month continues. Only a matter of time, although that time will have to wait a little longer as there is only one tournament this week coming.

SharpBetting Football had a much better weekend and I’m almost, almost, back in the red for the month. It was actually the multiples I threw in over the weekend that dragged things back a bit. Had I not done those and stuck to singles, it would have been a great couple of days, but then if my Dad’s brother was a woman he’d be my Aunt and not my Uncle…or something.

The multiples will pay off in the long term, I’m sure.

Other than that, not much of note, really. Another close thing with the NFL Strategy with Houston Texans needing a Field Goal to make the scores level at half time, with about ten seconds of the second quarter to play. They had the ball, were 20 yards out, and didn’t go for a Field Goal when doing so would have surely banked my profit. Fine margins, and all that.

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 600pts, -95.43pts, ROI -15.9%, DD -105.38pts, Max DD -105.38pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 392pts, -392pts, ROI -100%, DD -392pts, Max DD -392pts.

BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 320pts, +28.74pts, ROI 8.98%, DD -30.9pts, Max DD -50.9pts.

DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 140pts, -49.44pts, ROI -35.31%, DD -49.44pts, Max DD -75.5pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 60pts, +30pts, ROI 50%, DD: -20pts, Max DD: -20pts

BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 270pts, -50.32pts, ROI -18.63%, DD -121.82pts, Max DD -121.82pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 5,237pts, -4.04pts, ROI -0.07%, DD -69.76pts, Max DD -239.63pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 299pts, +14.57pts, ROI 4.87%, DD -61.74pts. Max DD -80.16pts.

Value Bets: Staked 52pts, +5.33pts, ROI 10.25%, DD -15.5pts, Max DD -15.5pts.

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 630pts, +459.5pts, ROI 72.93%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 8,735pts, +179.42pts, ROI 2.03%, DD -251.23pts, Max DD -566.46pts, Bank Growth 2.53%

Volume, a great Tom B video, and a subtle change in mindset.

Starting the day on Monday, you’ll see from my last post that for November I was standing at a small loss of -84.39pts. As I write this post on Friday morning, I’m still in deficit, but to the tune of just -48.35pts. Those of you who are sharp with your mental arithmetic, will no doubt have worked out that means a profit on the week so far of 36.04 points.

Does that constitute a successful week? Dunno. Beats losing, I guess.

The point I’m making, is that it’s been quiet. Very quiet. Another negative effect of the Interlull. My turnover with SharpBetting Football has plummeted just at a time when I would have liked to have built it up in an attempt to get through the current spell of negative variance as quickly as possible.

But you can only bet when the value is there, and this is just one of those times when patience is the key.

This theme of volume is an important one to consider. If you know you are playing with an edge and your bets are overwhelmingly +EV, then the higher the turnover you can get through, the better. I filled an hour of what has been a quiet week watching a fantastic video interview posted on the Bookie Bashing YouTube channel. The subject is someone who has profited to the tune of £1m+ over the last eight to nine years, utilising the BB Tools and Trackers.

The whole interview is very much worth a watch, but the bit I found fascinating was the section where Tom and his subject were discussing securing as much +EV as possible. Fascinating to hear Tom say that there was one syndicate he knew of where its participants were rewarded on the level of EV they secured. It’s an interesting twist in terms of mindset. Instead of targeting profit each day/week/month/year, it’s posited that the better ambition is simply to secure as much +EV as you can. Do that, the profit will follow.

It’s a subtle tweak to philosophy, but I’ve got to admit, it’s a bit of a light bulb moment. I like to think that experience has taught me enough to be able to deal with the losing runs (another gem in the video is the acknowledgement that losing runs and drawdowns can last a lot longer than anyone tends to anticipate) pretty well, but this slight change in outlook I feel, could really help people. Treat a good day as one in which you’ve secured a level of +EV you’re happy with, not necessarily one in which you’ve made a profit.

If you haven’t already, go and watch the video. There’s loads of good stuff in it, useful whether you’re a Bookie Bashing member or not. Something for the weekend, perhaps.

On a practical note, the squeeze of restricted accounts is squeezing like a boa constrictor who is in the squeezing form of his life. I’m being squeezed!

It’s reached the point where I feel I’m coming to the end before transitioning to shops and cash betting entirely. I can still get on a fair amount of football bets but to smaller stakes than is ideal, making the principle of volume even more important (damn you, international break!). And I can still back some horses but again to small stakes, and in light of this I’m looking to place a few singles sourced from the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker where I can, when I can. Fewer Lucky15s, because I’m running out of books where they’re happy to take the liability.

One note – there’s been good value in the Grand Slam of Darts this week, especially on the Total 180s lines. Long may that continue. The even better news is that more of the +EV bets have won than lost, so not only have I been able to secure plenty of EV, I’ve also been able to secure the profit. Happy Days!

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 495pts, -78.79pts, ROI -15.91%, DD -83.74pts, Max DD -83.74pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 164pts, -164pts, ROI -100%, DD -164pts, Max DD -164pts.

BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 260pts, +48.74pts, ROI 18.74%, DD -10.9pts, Max DD -10.9pts.

DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 105pts, -75.5pts, ROI -71.9%, DD -75.5pts, Max DD -75.5pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 40pts, +50pts, ROI 125%, DD: -0pts, Max DD: -0pts

BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 47pts, +52.5pts, ROI 111.7%, DD -19pts, Max DD -19pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 4,423.5ptspts, -161.79pts, ROI -3.65%, DD -225.51pts, Max DD -239.63pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 239pts, -3.85pts, ROI -1.61%, DD -80.16pts. Max DD -80.16pts.

Value Bets: Staked 20pts, +13.33pts, ROI 66.65%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 358pts, +38.5pts, ROI 10.75%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 6,886.5pts, -48.35pts, ROI -0.7%, DD -477pts, Max DD -513.04pts, Bank Growth -0.69%

A profitable mistake, but a losing weekend.

One of those weekends which passed by without anything at all remarkable happening.

After what had been a really strong start to the month, we’ve hit a bit of a drawdown and November is now, just, running at a loss. There’s not a great deal t report.

Perhaps instead of following the new SBC Free Tipster service F1 Edge by paper trading, as stated in Friday’s post, I should have just jumped in. Had I, even to small stakes, then it would have been the best performing service by far for me over the weekend!

I had one golfer place in each of the two tournaments across the DPWT and PGA Tours, one at 80/1 and the other at 100/1. Sadly, one was with BetFred and the other Ladbrokes. All of which meant it was a totally blank week for the EW Golf Doubles strategy, and with no golfer in contention for Weekly Golf Value in the US tournament it all made for a rather boring golfing Sunday.

Talking of Weekly Golf Value, it was one of only two services/strategies to produce a profit over the weekend, and that was only a direct result of an error on my part. Placed golfer Angel Ayora I managed to back twice! Not sure how that happened, but happen it did.

The other profitable strategy was the backing the draw at Half Time and the HT/FT double in predicted low scoring matches. New York Jets and Cleveland Browns were drawing at half time, but the the Jets went on to win when I needed the Browns to for the double. A profit all told, but that kinda sums up my weekend.

Reached a new max drawdown on the month for SharpBetting Football and at an almost all time low water mark there, too.

Not much else to report. With a dearth of football now whilst we endure another break for internationals, it feels that the month has entered what can only be described as the doldrums. Perhaps some golf will brighten things up this week coming. Let’s see.

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 465pts, -68.2pts, ROI -14.66%, DD -73.15pts, Max DD -77.69pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 164pts, -164pts, ROI -100%, DD -164pts, Max DD -164pts.

DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 52.5pts, -52.5pts, ROI -100%, DD -52.5pts, Max DD -52.5pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 40pts, +50pts, ROI 125%, DD: -0pts, Max DD: -0pts

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 3,622pts, -136.85pts, ROI -3.77%, DD -200.57pts, Max DD -200.57pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 219pts, +16.15pts, ROI 7.37%, DD -60.16pts. Max DD -60.16pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 358pts, +38.5pts, ROI 10.75%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 5,655.5pts, -84.39pts, ROI -1.49%, DD -513.04pts, Max DD -513.04pts, Bank Growth -1.24%

200/1 excitement, wot – no Erling?, and a new sport to bet on?

Is it too reductive to say that the reason it’s not been a great midweek of betting, is because BetFred finally cut the price on Erling Haaland to be First Goalscorer in City’s match against Dortmund in the Champions’ League to a prohibitive 6/4?

I guess it is. The price didn’t represent value and so the opportunity for another successful DD/HH bet disappeared. Mind you, it was Phil Foden who scored the opener, so perhaps we can say that Fred’s traders actually saved me some money.

Plenty of Each Way Golf Doubles struck at both Ladbrokes and BetFred this week. It’s been pretty quiet on this front over recent weeks but I believe there’s a good run now of both DPWT and PGA events each week running up to the end of the year. That means there should be plenty of opportunity. There certainly was this week.

Now I’m way too long in the tooth to start looking at results at the end of Round 1 and start to project forward to enjoying my winnings. But that said, when you see a 200/1 golfer you’ve backed sit at the top of the leader board on Thursday night, it’s impossible not to have at least a vague glimmer of excitement.

(Edit: As I type, the lad has just completed his second round to sit two shots off the top in a share for third place. Go on son!)

A bit of a sticky spell now for the Bookie Bashing Football Coupons. It was really interesting to hear Tom say on the latest BashCast that these bets are his primary avenue for betting in shops. It was also interesting to hear him say that the volatility on these is big, with it often being months of steady losses before a couple of big wins make up for all that and provide the profit.

To be honest, I’m keeping stakes pretty small on these for now. In my experience it’s best to “feel” the volatility before playing to bigger staking. Start small and grow is a good ethos to have when trying out something new, I reckon.

Talking of trying something new, it was interesting to get the SBC email yesterday around a new free (to SBC members) tipster service that specializes in betting on F1 racing. That would be a first for me if I was to get involved.

I’ll join the Telegram group and see how it develops, perhaps do a touch of paper trading. The thought going through my head is that it might, potentially, be an option to utilise a still existing online bookmaker account or two. Those that have restricted me to pennies on some sports but are still allowing my normal stakes to be placed on others. Goodbye tennis and football, hello F1, perhaps?

We’ll see, but in the meantime, you can read more about it via this link.

Back to the services I am following with hard cash at present, and I could do with SharpBetting Football to rediscover a bit of form. I’ve essentially stood still for approaching six weeks now, and if I’m being honest, I’m all set and ready for another profit surge. One issue that has struck is that the book that is clearly the most prolific in terms of offering value prices picked up by the SBF model is limiting me on more and more games. Some I can still get full stakes on, others I can’t.

The only real bright spot this week has been The Transfer Flow which enjoyed another profitable round of Champions League and Skybet Championship games. I did find the Exchange markets much weaker though, compared to the weekend. Even getting decent enough prices matched for Champions League games wasn’t straightforward. Need to keep an eye on this. I did decide to opt out of betting three or four of the picks due to price, which is something I don’t enjoy having to do.

So, no issues at all with profitability so far, but still feel like this is something of a trial period for TTF.

And that’s it for this week. Let’s see what the weekend brings. May our golfers sink many a birdie, and may our bets bring home some bacon.

Have a great weekend, folks!

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 375pts, -38.53pts, ROI -10.27%, DD -43.48pts, Max DD -77.69pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD 0pts, Max DD 0pts.

DD/HH: Staked 95pts, +205pts, ROI 215.78%, DD: -45pts, Max DD -45pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 52.5pts, -52.5pts, ROI -100%, DD -52.5pts, Max DD -52.5pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 2,350pts, -65.4pts, ROI -2.78%, DD -129.12pts, Max DD -132.74pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 360pts, +86.17pts, ROI 23.93%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -16.1pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 139pts, +58.31pts, ROI 41.94%, DD -18pts. Max DD -18pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 80pts, -12.5pts, ROI -15.6%, DD -12.5pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 3,451.5pts, +180.55pts, ROI 5.23%, DD -248.15pts, Max DD -253.74pts, Bank Growth 2.65%

Erling Haaland is getting a bit silly, a great weekend for Touchdown Profit, and a karate chop to the nuts.

OK, this is getting a wee bit silly now. If you’ve read my last post – a review of October’s betting – and I tell you that the biggest contribution to a strong weekend’s profit came from the actions of one man, you’d know who I’m referring to, right?

Yup. Erling Haaland.

His brace yesterday landed the Delight bit of the only Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven bet I’d struck across Saturday and Sunday. Furthermore, I got a nice surprise when despite being lauded as 111% +EV on the relevant Bookie Bashing Tracker at a price of 2/1 to score the first goal, he was actually 5/2. I ended up winning more than I thought I would.

Two things have got to happen moving forward.

One: surely, surely (?), Haaland’s price to be First Goalscorer will contract further. We’ve got to be looking at 6/4 or 7/4, no? The fact that I believe City’s second leading scorer this season is Burnley’s Max Esteve with two own goals, kinda tells you the score when it comes to the chances of it being Haaland opening the scoring for his team.

Two: Haaland’s rate of scoring will slow. His current rate HAS to be unsustainable, doesn’t it? I appreciate my feelings on this are compromised courtesy of desperately wanting to see City lose ground in the title race, but even appraising the situation with a dose of cold, hard logic, the numbers the big lad is posting are ridiculously good. Too good.

Do I believe that? You know what? I’m not too sure I do. I never want to wish injury on a professional sportsperson, but I wish someone would injure him! But then, I think of the cash he’s won me these last few weeks, and….and….oh, I’m so conflicted. When will these voices in my head stop!?!

Great weekend for Touchdown Profit with five winners from six bets with one match/bet to play. Would have been six from seven but unfortunately I missed the line on one of the Total Points picks which ended up an easy win. I ain’t complaining, though. This was a fine weekend for the NFL expert, and well done to them!

Good start to November too for The Transfer Flow who continues to build the profit at a rate that is about as sustainable as Haaland’s scoring (I think). These bets are on the Asian Handicaps, so to be running at an ROI from the start of September of 19.3% is a bit daft. A weekend ROI of 28.8% though, is…..appreciated.

Final point around the weekend’s football. Since when has it been lawful to take a man out a split second after getting the faintest touch on the ball? As an Arsenal fan and seeing two penalties (correctly given, in my opinion) overturned by VAR this season because the offender had got a slight touch on the ball, I appreciate I may be sensitive to the issue.

But yesterday, as a neutral, seeing West Ham’s penalty award being overturned for the same reason, and then less than five minutes later see Freddie Potts clearly win the ball first before sliding into the man and although not booked, see a free kick awarded against him and given a stern talking to by the ref…I mean, what?!? So that’s a foul, unless it’s in the penalty area, and then it isn’t? There’s no rule that states getting the ball before the man is legal, so VAR getting the decision right “to the letter of the law” as one pundit said, is, err, bollocks.

Feels at the moment if you’re in the penalty area, a defender can get a little toe to the ball before karate chopping the attacker in the nuts and administering a quick blow to the windpipe, and it still wouldn’t be a penalty. Or at least it would, until VAR does what VAR does.

I say I was neutral. I had West Ham scoring two goals or more on a football coupon and at that point they hadn’t scored any. Still, all’s well that ends well, eh?

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 135pts, +4.95pts, ROI 3.6%, DD 0pts, Max DD -5.16pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD 0pts, Max DD 0pts.

DD/HH: Staked 50pts, +250pts, ROI 500%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 900pts, +63.72pts, ROI 7.1%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 160pts, +46.22pts, ROI 28.8%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 121pts, +76.31pts, ROI 63%, DD -0pts. Max DD -0pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 80pts, -12.5pts, ROI -15.6%, DD -12.5pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 1,446pts, +428.7pts, ROI 29.6%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts, Bank Growth 6.3%

October: 200/1 golf winners, four-digit Lucky 15 returns, and Erling Haaland can’t stop winning me money.

After a frustrating September, came an October long to be remembered. If ever there were two consecutive months that illustrate just how important it is to grind through the bad times, these were they.

Three things:

Weekly Golf Value putting up 200/1 winner Junghwan Lee.

A Lucky15 taken from the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker containing three double-digit priced winners.

Erling Haaland.

Combined, these three things were the dominant contributors to a month that coughed up near 30% total bank growth and an ROI of almost 16.5%, way above my target. Happy days indeed.

Funnily enough, I wrote a couple of weeks ago that October was something of an experimental month for me. The transition – for the second time in my betting career – away from using online books and more and more towards the shops meant feeling the water. What can I follow, which strategies can I use, that best fit around other commitments? Which can I follow consistently? And yes, which do I enjoy using most?

I’m going to break down thoughts in the next few posts, but for now, the only thing I should be asking myself is should I experiment more often!?!

Anyway, moving into November and I feel clear and settled on what I can and can’t do. It genuinely feels as if some fog has cleared, and at the risk of sounding like Johnny Nash, I can see clearly now.

Despite the 200/1 WGV winner, it was actually the BB Racing Tracker Lucky 15s that provided the greatest profit on the month. Yes, there was that one big bet, but there were three or four others that kept it all ticking over throughout the month. If I remember correctly, my ROI was hovering around the 15% mark before I hit that big win. Around 30% of the profit was actually from all bets other than that one.

Weekly Golf Value has obviously had a stormer, and whilst I can still get my bets on online, I’ll continue to follow. There will come a point soon where I’m going to have to use the Tracker myself and get down to BetFred, Ladbrokes and William Hill and stick down cold, hard cash. Talking of which, we’ve not yet seen the returns we expect from using the Each Way Golf Doubles strategy but it’s only a matter of time.

It really pains me to give credit to Erling Haaland but the fact is he’s been a fine contributor to the profit this month. Perhaps I should rather look at it as other City players being unable to score much, but whatever, the Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven strategy has been very kind. I know from past experience however, that it can go a long time in a state of drawdown and I’m not going to get carried away. That the largest drawdown I experienced following this September reached just -35 points tells us everything we need to know about the heat of the hot streak its been on!

Finally, I’ve really enjoyed The Transfer Flow. If you don’t want to get the bets but have an interest in football and statistics, and would appreciate reading material that doesn’t fall for the constant false narratives perpetuated by so called expert pundits, the daily email is well worth subscribing to for free.

I’ll not dig into detail on the disappointments on the month right now. The figures are below and after a month like this one, why dwell on the negative?

Let’s see what November brings.

October 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 1,510pts, +1,153.64pts, ROI 76.4%, DD -0pts, Max DD -244.62pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 231pts, -96.65pts, ROI -41.83%, DD -121pts, Max DD -121pts.

BB Darts Tool: Staked 240pts, +48.49pts, ROI 20.2%, DD: -16.78pts, Max DD: -38.05pts.

DD/HH: Staked 345pts, +427.5pts, ROI 123.91%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -35pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 385pts, -93.84pts, ROI 24.37%, DD -198.79pts, Max DD -198.79pts.

Value Bets/Enhanced Specials (Exchange): Staked 315.4pts, -112.87pts, ROI -35.78%, DD -112.28pts, Max DD -112.28pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 8,406.11pts, -131.79pts, ROI -1.56%, DD -436.6pts, Max DD -436.6pts.

The Transfer Flow (Trial): Staked 860pts, +174.56pts, ROI 20.29%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -34.51pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 380pts, -159.42pts, ROI -41.95%, DD -159.42pts. Max DD -159.42pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 684pts, +993.62pts, ROI 145.26%, DD -0pts, Max DD -218.8pts

Total: Staked 13,356.51pts, +2,203.24pts, ROI 16.49%, DD -0pts, Max DD -427.92pts, Bank Growth 28.99%

64% bank growth…in one bet!!! This time, Weekly Golf Value goes LARGE!

My last post was headlined, “56% bank growth…in one bet!!!”.

What’s it going to be in my next post? “1,000% bank growth…in one bet!!!”, as a Lucky 15 is landed with four double digit winners?

A man can dream.

But, what is no dream, is that following on from a 3 out of 4 winning Lucky 15 using the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker last week, Weekly Golf Value – taking value priced players from the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker – put up 200/1 winner of the Genesis Championship in South Korea, Junghwan Lee! I woke up to the news that a final round 64 had shot Lee to the head of the leader board, and there he had stayed. Wow!

If memory serves me correctly, and sadly I’ve reached an age where perhaps my memory is not quite as sharp as it was, that’s the biggest winner I’ve ever had on the golf. I recall a 175/1 winner a couple of years ago, with one bookmaker refusing to pay out claiming palpable error, until Bookie Bashing’s Tom Brownlee and our own Pete got on the case. That secured the pay out, but funnily enough, I wasn’t able to ever place another meaningful bet with that firm.

Still, this is a time to celebrate, and not the time to start whingeing about bookmakers!

I thought I had a good week, and then I remembered Tom’s video that he posts each week on the Bookie Bashing YouTube channel, that essentially diarises his golf betting. I knew he had Lee, not only as a single bet but also in some doubles. If you haven’t seen these videos, I strongly recommend them. You’ve heard me say before that I really enjoy Tom’s BashCasts and the videos he posts on YT are always an interesting watch. Try this link.

Without giving too much away other than the headlines, Tom’s Golf Doubles: Week 17 video will be detailing an ROI in excess of 125% since implementing the strategy, err…17 weeks ago. A figure given something of a boost by his huge win on Sunday.

Hopefully, if you’re an SBC member (and if not, why the bloomin’ heck not!?!) you’ll have seen the Each Way Golf Doubles video posted last week that was recorded by Pete, Tom and myself. It’s worth watching for one of the most torturous analogies I’ve ever made, and much more for gaining an insight into this very fun betting strategy.

If you watch that, and then watch Tom’s video very closely, you’ll understand why it might be that Tuesday is the day I need to get my ar*e down to Fred’s and Laddies, and not the Wednesday. It was a bit of a strange week and value on the Tracker was unusually scarce in the shops on Wednesday afternoon, hence why I didn’t put any Doubles down. Not so scarce on the Tuesday though, eh? Lesson learnt.

As a footnote, another WGV tip, David Ford, reached the frame for a full place pay out in the Utah Championship PGA event. His price? Why, 200/1, naturally.

Everything else that happened over the weekend feels a little overshadowed by golfing events. But an honourable mention should go to The Transfer Flow which bumped its profit up to a new high after another decent weekend.

On the negative side, I had something of a horror day on Saturday with SharpBetting Football, but a comeback on Sunday meant the weekend’s loss was tiny. It remains on a fairly significantly sized drawdown, however. And my Bookie Bashing Football Coupons came a cropper too. The more important point here though, is that the prices on the Coupon I concentrate on are staying strong. It’s unusual for me to have a team’s price cut, and I know that if I keep putting down +EV slips, the rewards will come.

Next week I’ll tell you a story about getting into a drug dealer’s car by mistake in one of the less salubrious areas of South Manchester as I came out of William Hill somewhat absentmindedly. But this week, it’s all about the golf, baby!