Month: January 2020

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Two more services – the 2020 portfolio is good to go!

I’ve spent the last seven days (not every minute of them, you understand) thinking about adding a couple more services to the six I detailed in last week’s post.  Six didn’t quite feel enough, which is really weird when I think back to my early days of betting and following only two or three.  To many – and quite rightly – following six services would feel like a heck of a task, but when you’re used to following more it felt strange and almost as if down to the bones.

The problem I’ve had though, is that I’ve been trying to strike a very delicate balance between following services and yet freeing up more time for other stuff, you know, like living and that.  I know 2020 is going to be a stupendously busy year with all sorts of things going on and it struck me that I needed to free up some time.  The way I’ve sought to do this is by concentrating predominantly on services that involve a relatively low workload.  Indeed, of the eight now making up this year’s portfolio, only two regularly tip every day (Precision Value and Racing Intelligence), and one of those doesn’t always offer selections every day (Racing Intelligence).

Of the other racing tipsters, three of them concentrate only on the better class of race at the bigger meetings and so are predominantly weekend focused.  This is going to suit me perfectly, and of course has the added benefit of being more bookie-friendly.  Mind you, Cheltenham week’s gonna be a busy one!

So, the two additions.

First is another golf service, the currently free-to-view, SBC-available PGA Profit.  It was actually recommended to me and I like the cut of it’s jib.  More of a gamble in that it is relatively unproven, but going with gut instinct on this one.  Should hopefully still fit the criteria I set out last week in terms of giving an ROI of 12-15% minimum over time, and I’ve been assured that it’s easy to get value on the exchanges which is a bonus.

And the second – and filling a football-shaped hole – is the SBC Premium service, Scottish Football Income Booster.  Now I’m not suddenly going back on my stated reservations last week about how the footie markets seem to me at least, to be growing more and more efficient.  I still think that eking out a good level of profit in football betting is becoming harder and harder, and I’m seeing this as a bit of a last roll of the dice when it comes to betting on the (occasionally) beautiful game.  Again, a recommendation has impressed upon me that a double-digit ROI has been produced consistently, so I’m going to give it to the end of the 2020/21 season to see what can be done.  Again though, relatively low weekly workload.

I’ll be backing the PGA Profit and SFIB picks from this week – shame I missed last week as I believe both came up trumps, but there we go.  Can’t do much about that now.

Performance for January to date.

Despite the best of planning and intentions, 2020 continues to get off to a sticky start.

Bet Alchemist had a winner on Saturday but not a big enough one to produce a significant profit overall and the same can be said of Racing Service 1.  Racing Service 2 had a blank Saturday too, although A.’s frustration was evident as things really didn’t fall his way.  He went as far as to say it was one of the most frustrating afternoons of his tipping career, and I feel his pain.

Lovely start for Golf Insider who came up with goods and a 12/1 winner in the first week of the year’s betting, which is  the one really bright spot across the portfolio so far.  Having said that, Precision Value is performing solidly enough and is ticking over nicely.

Bet Alchemist (100pts bank): Staked 14pts, -3.1pts, roi -22.14%, roc -3.1%

 Racing Service 1 (200): Staked 19pts, -10pts, roi -52.63%, roc -5%

Golf Insider (400): Staked 23.5pts, +14.5pts, roi 61.7%, roc 3.63%

PGA Profit (100): n/a

Precision Value (200): Staked 39pts, +4.125pts, roi 10.57%, roc 2.06%

Racing Intelligence (200): Staked 40.5pts, -9.325pts, roi -23.02%, roc -4.66%

Scottish Football Income Booster (100): n/a

Racing Service 2 (50): Staked 4.5pts, -4.5pts, roi -100%, roc -9%

Total ROI -20.86%, ROC -2.51%

New year, new portfolio

Happy New Year!

Is it me, or does Christmas and New Year feel like a million years ago?  Now it’s just the dull, grey grind of winter.  Cold, wet, miserable.  I shall stop.  I’m in danger of talking us all into depression.  Let’s focus instead on the fact that Cheltenham is only a few weeks away, and by that time the daffodils will be out and that long, hot summer we’re bound to have (ha!) will be only a few short weeks later.

I’ve changed the make-up of the portfolio being followed by the Bet Diary.  I’m not saying that anyone should drop services that I may have been writing about last year but not this.  Remember, the Bet Diary is merely to show examples of services and how they might knit together.  This year, I’m going to see if we can raise the ROI to approach if not hit the 12-15% mark, whilst using fewer services.

In order to do this, I’ve tried to concentrate on services with an historically high ROI record.  One by-product of this is that there’s no football service in there.  I’ve a sneaky suspicion that the football markets are becoming increasingly efficient and eking out an ROI of 5% is a very real achievement nowadays.  That’s great, and there is very much a place for that in people’s portfolios, but not in this one this year.

Of the previously followed services, Bet Alchemist, Racing Service 1, Golf Insider, Precision Value, and Racing Service 2 all retain their places.  To this roster is added the SBC’s own Racing Intelligence service.  And that’s it.  Like I say, I’m seeing if we can raise ROI whilst lowering workload.  Time will tell and we’ll assess progress each week.

Portfolio performance for January to date

Well, things haven’t exactly got off to a flyer.  In fact, it’s been a poor start to 2020, but what I would say is that a smaller portfolio, and one with fewer bets too, is always going to be open and vulnerable to larger fluctuations.  More feast, more famine.  It’s inevitable.

No individual service is suffering from a disaster, but only one of the six is currently in profit – Precision Value – and that to an ROI of a measly 0.06%!  We’re yet to have a decent winner, and with Golf Insider yet to have a bet and Racing Service 2 taking last weekend off to recharge after a heavy workload festive period, it’s not been a busy time.

Bet Alchemist (Bank: 100pts) Staked 9pts, -2.7pts, roi -30%, roc -2.7%

 Racing Service 1 (200): Staked 12pts, -9pts, roi -75%, roc -4.5%

Golf Insider (500):

Precision Value (200): Staked 24pts, +0.125pts, roi 0.63%, roc 0.06%

Racing Intelligence (200): Staked 14pts, -0.55pts, roi -3.92%, roc -0.275%

Racing Service 2 (50): Staked 2pts, -2pts, roi -100%, roc -4%

Total ROI -30%, ROC -2.375%