I’ve had a couple of people contact me recently with questions around odds and the results I attain. One saying that he can’t seem to match my results with one racing service in particular, another wondering where some profit had vanished to as his results for a service he was following were better than mine. The answer to both was the same – don’t try to compare your results too closely with mine. They’re never going to match.
Why is this? Well, for starters I imagine our available roster of bookmaking accounts don’t exactly mirror each other. Take for example, the golf services I follow on here. Increasingly so, I’m finding that I can’t place bets with a bookie offering six or seven places on the recommended each way bets. More and more of my golf betting has now to be done through Bet365, which for most events only offer five places. I’m also starting to use the Exchanges more and who knows what prices I’ll be taking there? I imagine some will be better and a few will be worse than the advised odds, so another avenue for inconsistency.
I’m also not as precious as I used to be in terms of placing bets, which leads to picks being missed. Until relatively recently, it used to freak me out a little if I missed a bet. Back in the day I’d even religiously look to place each and every selection whilst I was away on holiday. It took years for me to relax a little and let things flow over me somewhat. Now, I’ll not blink if I miss a day’s tips from a service because I happen to be out and about doing something I enjoy doing. Come the summer (which doesn’t half feel like a long way away at the moment, eh?) and I know for a fact I won’t be able to place bets issued on a Saturday morning.
The net result of this is quite naturally, that if you follow some of the same services as I report on in these pages, it’s likely we’ll have broadly similar results but they’re certainly unlikely to be identical.
My Relaxed Approach!
Something I’ve come to realise over the years is that a more relaxed approach to betting is advisable if you want to be in it for the long term. And look, I’m not talking about being completely carefree and reckless. Don’t get me wrong, I still try to get on as many picks as I can, and I always look to get the best odds I can as consistently as I can. It’s just I’ve come to realize that by being completely uptight about things all of the time, then burn out becomes a very real possibility.
If you recognize that you might have a bit of what I call Betting OCD, my advice would be to try to relax a little. Do things properly and professionally, but if you’re out with the kids, or the missus or going for a coffee or beer with a friend, chill and enjoy the experience and don’t stress about missing bets. There’s more to life, and let’s face it, deep down we know that missing a few bets here or there won’t make that much difference to the bottom line over time.
My Deliberate Mistake
Finally for this week – a deliberate (*cough*) mistake. I’ve been operating the PGA Profit service to a 300 point bank (which has been pointed out to me is inadequate – and from the beginning of March will be amended to 500 points, plus I’ll also be following the official variable staking plan and come away from my level staking approach), but somehow managed to put 100 points as the bank size in last week’s summary. Whoops. My excuse?….ummmm….err….other than being a bit dopey, not sure I really have one. Doh!
Performance for February to date…
I’m only going to say one thing this week…
PGA Profit – Patrick Reed – 50/1. Get in!
Bet Alchemist (100 point bank): Staked 25pts, -6.975pts, roi -27.9%, roc -6.98%
Staked 47pts, -5.575pts, roi -11.86%, roc -5.58%
Racing Service 1 (200): Staked 22pts, -1pt, roi -4.55%, roc -0.65%
Staked 57pts, +6.4pts, roi 11.23%, roc 3.2%
Golf Insider (400): Staked 29.2pts, -10.8pts, roi -36.99%, roc -2.7%
Staked 74.3pts, +2.3pts, roi 3.1%, roc 0.58%
PGA Profit (300): Staked 41pts, +61.7pts, roi 150.49%, roc 20.57%
Staked 52pts, +76.06pts, roi 146.27%, roc 25.35%
Precision Value (200): Staked 53pts, -5.792pts, roi -10.93%, roc -2.9%
Staked 139pts, +16.999pts, roi 12.23%, roc 8.5%
Racing Intelligence (200): Staked 93pts, +18.375pts, roi 19.76%, roc 9.19%
Staked 220.5pts, +26.473pts, roi 12%, roc 13.24%
Scottish Football Income Booster (100): Staked 37pts, +7.65pts, roi 20.68%, roc 7.65%
Staked 51pts, +11.75pts, roi 23.04%, roc 11.75%
Racing Service 2 (50): Staked 12pts, -1.5pts, roi -12.5%, roc -3%
Staked 22.75pts, -7pts, roi -30.77%, roc -14%
Total for February to date: roi 12.71%, roc 3.84%
Total for 2020 to date: roi 12.09%, roc 7.38%