Should you bet to win or each way at Betfair SP? A new spin on this age-old question

Monday saw the release of the latest SBC review and the first in our series on profitable betting exchange tipsters as we honed in on the racing guru showing a fine profit at both Betfair SP and bookmaker prices.

Yet as profitable as this service is, one of the dilemmas our review threw up was the old query of – should you back a horse to win or each way?

Its a question as old as betting on racing itself as punters weigh up whether to go for broke and the big win OR to play it safe and get a payout of some kind should the horse finish 2nd, 3rd or 4th.

What is new is understanding which approach you should take when betting at Betfair SP as the each way market on the exchange is split into two – you bet into the win market and the place market separately.

Posing the updated question…

If betting at Betfair SP, should you back a horse to win or in both the win/place markets?

Allow me to help explain how we approached this dilemma in this new review…

Win only betting returns the highest points profit

Without question, the most profitable angle to follow this particular racing tipster from a points profit basis is to bet on each horse to win outright.

To outline this, below you can see the performance if backing win only at Betfair SP (after commission is deducted):

Betfair SP win only: 827 bets, 430.44 points profit @ 14.25% ROI

And then comparing that with mixing up win and place bets as directly advised by the tipster himself:

Betfair SP win/win & place mix: 827 bets, 290.68 points profit @ 9.63% ROI

On the face of it, this looks an open and shut case. Back all the tips to win and leave it at that.

Yet when we dig a little deeper, things turn out a little differently…

Next step – analysing the worst ‘drawdowns’

What the above doesn’t take into account as that bane of all punters everywhere – losing runs and specifically from our point of view, working out the worst drawdown from peak to trough.

Explained another way, a drawdown is an understanding of what the worst possible run you might suffer actually is….Should you be extremely unlucky and choose to follow this tipster on the very day they start their worst losing run.

Such drawdown figures are essential to understand because just as we always ask a tipster ‘what can i make?’ – we also need to ask ‘what can i lose?‘ should the worst happen.

Without hindsight its impossible to know when a bad run will actually hit – all it can really do is prepare you and make sure you have a bankroll to cover the worst eventuality. And if you think that losing runs don’t happen to us all, even professional punters when betting, well, think again…!

Here then are the worst drawdowns for both the win and win/place method:

Betfair SP win only worst drawdown: 154 points

Betfair SP win/win & place mix worst drawdown: 132 points

If these seem large, don’t be worried as the losses during each of these drawdowns were more then recouped simply with patience and time. No tipster, no matter how good they are is ever invincible and ALL go through drawdowns and losing runs at some time.


The method with the biggest ‘bank growth’

With the above ‘drawdown’ figures alongside the results of our in-house montecarlo simulator (which repeats the profile of each tipster several thousand times), we are then able to come up with an advised betting bank figure for each method.

This betting bank is designed to absorb drawdowns – thus ensuring you never go bust!

For the win only betting approach, we naturally need larger betting banks to cover larger possible drawdowns than the win/place method. And from this information, we can gauge exactly how much betting bank growth (or Return on Capital) we can make per method.

Here is how the 2 approaches stack up from a bank growth perspective:

Betfair SP win only: 142.04% Growth

Betfair SP win/win & place mix: 145.34% Growth

From this we can clearly see that its actually betting in both the win and place markets (effectively each way bets) which produces the most betting bank growth in this scenario. It’s only an extra 3.30% growth but every little counts.

This is because you need a much smaller betting bank if following win & place then if following win only.

And it is this higher bank growth figure you should focus on – not simply always just ‘points profit’.

Individual tipster analysis required

Although in this example, the greatest bank growth came by betting in both the win/place markets rather than win only, this is not always the case.

Such analysis needs to be performed on a tipster by tipster basis as each strategy is different and you need to understand them fully to really maximise your returns.

As ever – putting the profits made by any tipster into context is key – especially when it comes to betting banks

Which is why we pen these detailed reviews to help you maximise the revenue you can make by following any given tipster. We also perform the above analysis on all tipsters reviewed as standard.

If you would like to know more about the Betfair SP tipster featured in this example, you can access our detailed review the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

You can sign-up today at our lowest prices ever – from just £27.99 + VAT per quarter, which provides you with the ENTIRE Smart Betting Club service including all our SBC Magazine, Tipster Profit Reports, Best Tipster Guides, Pro Betting Guides & more.

It’s our best ever SBC membership deal and with our amazing money back guarantee offer you have everything to gain and nothing to lose.

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club.

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New review alert: The Betfair SP Tipster up 17.78% ROI since 2017 – don’t miss out!

The first review from our forthcoming series on profitable betting exchange tipsters has just been published – and its fair to say this is one article you won’t want to miss out on!

Inside this latest review, we explore in great detail the success enjoyed by this tipster to both bookmaker advised prices and at Betfair SP (after commission) over nearly 850 bets since 2017.

At Betfair SP alone, this tipster has generated a profit of between 374 and 543 points at 12.27% and 17.78% ROI.

The profit differences above depend on whether you wish to follow as a mix of win & place bets on Betfair (effectively mimicking a traditional each way bet) or just win bets only.

You can make more money betting win only than each way, yet as ever you don’t get a payout if your horse finishes in the place money.

If able to bet with bookmakers – to his fairly quoted odds, he has made a profit of between 768 and 1041 points at 25.16% and 34.11% ROI.

Again these differences are based on whether you prefer to bet each way or to win outright – with the latter much more profitable long-term.

Read The Full SBC Review

As well as exploring the service and its profitability with both bookmakers and the exchanges, our review also discusses:

  • The service staking plan and how it stacks up;
  • The breakdown in performance by odds & where the service makes the greatest profit;
  • A comparison of win vs each way betting to help you decide what’s best for you;
  • The recommended betting bank sizes for each method & how to make the largest growth figures;
  • How best to follow on the exchanges and a possible ‘Hybrid’ method to make the greatest return.

If interested in learning more on this tipster and reading the full 11-page review, you can access it immediately with a Smart Betting Club membership.

You can also discover how to save £97 on the cost of joining this tipster – thanks to an exclusive Smart Betting Club deal.

Get The Full SBC Membership Package For Just £27.99

If wanting to get started right away and access this review ASAP, you can now join the Smart Betting Club and take advantage of our lowest EVER membership prices for 2019.

From as little as £27.99 + VAT per quarter, you can get started immediately and access the ENTIRE Smart Betting Club service including all our SBC Magazines, Tipster Profit Reports, Best Tipster Guides, Pro Betting Guides & more.

This includes access to our full 13 year back catalogue and no quibble money back guarantee if you join and don’t like what is on offer (unlikely!).

£27.99 per quarter works out at just £2.15 per week – less than the cost of the Racing Post.

It’s our best ever SBC membership deal and with our amazing money back guarantee offer you have everything to gain and nothing to lose.

Subscribe Now to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club.

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Free Tipster Review – The Value Bettor

It’s the season for giving and goodwill – and so with that in mind, I have just put together a special new FREE download featuring my team’s detailed review of a very profitable tipster from earlier this year.

The tipster in question is called ‘The Value Bettor’ – who we have proofed since 2012, during which time he has made a Return on Investment of 35.1% from 1,305 bets advised.

More than just tips, this particular expert provides detailed write-ups to explain the reasoning behind each selection and just why he is backing it. Meet ups at race fixtures are arranged and a general love for the game shared amongst many of his like-minded members.

Already for the current, ongoing NH season (for that is his specialty), The Value Bettor is up an extra 16 points profit @ 31% ROI from his first 52 bets of the year, with more profits expected over coming months.

Our review and subsequent recommendation of The Value Bettor is a great example of how a membership of the Smart Betting Club can help provide you with everything you need to make money betting using tipsters.

You can now read our original SBC review of his service in full for free. Simply click the link below to download your special free PDF.

Download The Detailed ‘The Value Bettor’ SBC Review

 

Forensic Tipster Examination As Standard

This review is indicative as to the level of detail the Smart Betting Club team goes into when analysing a tipster we recommend.

We don’t simply put forward a tipster based on a few months results or a streak of good form, but genuinely long-term stats that demonstrate they have a clear edge on the bookmaker.

A tipster has to tick a lot of boxes to get through the Smart Betting Club review process and come out the other side with our recommendation.

After all our goal is not to help you beat the bookmaker for a few weeks or months but for several years to come.

The Value Bettor is indicative of that, having made 213.7 points profit at 35.1% ROI from 1305 bets over the past 6 years. His record is no flash in the pan and he has a clear edge over the bookmaker.

With easy to obtain odds on the tips advised, PLUS the ability to follow on the exchanges, its a great example of the type of tipster many SBC members follow in order to win at betting.

Download The Detailed ‘The Value Bettor’ SBC Review

 

20+ More Tipsters Like This In The SBC Hall of Fame

If you enjoy this review and are keen to learn more on many other tipsters just like The Value Bettor then you might like to consider a Smart Betting Club membership.

The Value Bettor is just one of many tipsters providing advice across a range of sports and markets that we track, analyse and recommend for Smart Betting Club members to follow.

Upon joining, you gain full access to our ‘Hall of Fame’ listings, which features more than 20 other recommended tipsters of high quality that we independently recommend.

What’s more, as a Smart Betting Club member, you can also enjoy a significant discount on the cost of joining tipsters like The Value Bettor, thanks to the special deals we negotiate on your behalf.

Discover more on how the SBC team can help your betting.

Best Regards

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Owner and Founder

The Heavyweight Boxing Tipster & More: SBC 103 Out Now!


Get your 2018 punting off to the very best start with your copy of the very latest Smart Betting Club Magazine (Issue 103) 

Inside it you can read an exclusive review of the heavyweight boxing tipster that’s hit a 14.4% ROI over the past 5 years and much more besides…

Sign-up now to gain instant access to SBC 103 or read on for more details…

Inside The Latest SBC Magazine:

SBC 103 Cover


The ‘Heavyweight’ Boxing Tipster Bashing The Bookies

Exclusive review of the little-known boxing tipster exploiting the bookies lack of knowledge in the ring. With a track record of 14.4% ROI over 5 years, this expert continues to stack up the profits. Best of all – he costs just £10 a month to follow in.

Expert Guide To Boxing Betting
Discover everything you need to know to make a profit boxing. Including how the boxing betting markets work, the bookies to use & more covered in this unique guide.

Racing Tipster Up 500 Points Since 2015
Delve into our exclusive review of the racing tipster with a significant edge over the bookies. Having generated well over 500 points profit and 434% Betting Bank growth since 2015, we put them under the SBC review microscope!

Grab Your Copy Today (And The Entire Back Catalogue!)

You can access your own copy of SBC 103 and our entire back catalogue of magazines the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

This includes access to every single tipster review we have ever written (there are literally hundreds available) and all of the Hall of Fame Tipsters we recommend to make you money betting.

Check out some of our latest publications.

You can also enjoy significant discounts on the cost of joining many of these tipsters via our unique Tipster Discounts – exclusively available to SBC members only.

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2018 Special Deal: Save £45 on SBC Membership

Best of all, you can also now save £45 on the usual cost of a Smart Betting Club membership as part of a special 2018 discount.

This is because I have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many of you as possible have access to SBC’s expert reports, magazines and guides.

I know that SBC can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately.

(There is a 90-day money back guarantee available after all!)

<< JOIN THE Smart Betting Club TODAY >>

See you on the inside

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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Why This Free Tipster Demands Your Attention!

It’s a common myth that when it comes to finding winning betting tips you need to spend a fortune to get hold of them. Because if you know where to look, it is easy to find some fantastic free and budget tipsters that can help you get started winning without breaking the bank.

In fact, as our independent proofing shows, many of them continue to make sums of money betting that put many expensive tipsters in the shade…So if you think you need to spend thousands of pounds in subscription fees for a good tipster…think again!

Free Winning Tips At 14/1, 10/1 & 8/1…

A great example of a profitable free tipster comes in the form of one long running SBC-recommended service, who has been flying this October. His results of late have been up there with the very best!

Tipping up one bet a day at big odds, he has picked up winners in the past 2 weeks at 14/1, 10/1, 8/1, 9/2 & 4/1 and is bang in form. Continue reading

The Inaugural SBC Racing Tipster Awards & Latest Mag

If you think it’s been a bit quiet on the SBC Blog front this week, you would be right as the team here at SBC have been beavering away on our very latest Horse Racing Magazine – released Thursday.

This is no ordinary Horse Racing Magazine though, as it’s an extra special bumper issue, complete with our very first Racing Tipster Awards.

The Inaugural SBC Racing Tipster Awards

To help our members know who the very best tipsters are to follow, our inaugural awards are ideally placed to inform them where to place their money.

These awards are based on long-term performance only (no flash in the pan types here!) and when used in conjunction with our exclusive ratings criteria, we tell you just who the top performers are in the following categories:

Continue reading

The Inaugural SBC Racing Tipster Awards & Latest Mag

If you think it’s been a bit quiet on the SBC Blog front this week, you would be right as the team here at SBC have been beavering away on our very latest Horse Racing Magazine – released Thursday.

This is no ordinary Horse Racing Magazine though, as it’s an extra special bumper issue, complete with our very first Racing Tipster Awards.

The Inaugural SBC Racing Tipster Awards

To help our members know who the very best tipsters are to follow, our inaugural awards are ideally placed to inform them where to place their money.

These awards are based on long-term performance only (no flash in the pan types here!) and when used in conjunction with our exclusive ratings criteria, we tell you just who the top performers are in the following categories:

Continue reading