In this article, our friends at Football Form Lab analyse the data to find betting ideas for Arsenal vs Man City.
Arsenal v Manchester City: Sunday April 8th 16:00.
Should United beat QPR at Old Trafford earlier in the afternoon, Man City face the prospect of going to the Emirates eight points behind United in the title race. With the stakes this high, surely anything less than a win for City will spell the end of their challenge. Meanwhile Arsenal are locked in an even closer battle for third and fourth, making this a vital fixture for both teams.
So what are the Arsenal v Man City Betting Ideas?
This will be the 15th time City have travelled to Arsenal in the Premier League era and they are still looking for their first win, having lost 10/14 and scoring just five goals in total. Moreover, given City’s recent away record of four defeats in nine, with wins coming against just Aston Villa and Wigan, the Gunners win looks the best value in the match outcome market, especially given they’ve won 11 of their last 14 home matches. Arsenal can be backed at 2.5 to win.
The past two meetings between these teams at the Emirates have ended goalless and this fixture has ended with fewer than three goals in six of the past seven years, while the reverse finished 1-0 to City back in December. It’s surprising to see the bookies go odds against for -2.5 goals, especially considering the fact that City haven’t scored more than once in an away game since the start of November, nine games ago. Eight of those nine away games finished with -2.5 goals with six of the last seven having fewer than two scores. Under 2.5 goals is a generous looking 2.1.
Following on from this, just two of the last eight editions of this fixture have seen the opening goal in the first half hour, while just one goal has been scored in City’s last seven away first halves. The first goal being scored after 28 minutes can be backed at 2.1.
Matches between these two have been pretty feisty in the past couple of seasons with all five meetings since 2009/10 having at least 50 booking points and with Martin Atkinson in charge there may well be a buying opportunity.
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