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Euro 2012 Castrol Ratings Round Up

Posted on by Dan

For the last 10 days, we’ve been testing Euro 2012 value bets according to Castrol’s ratings as well as picking out some value bets of our own. Castrol ratings are powered by the Detech, the same team behind the powerful Fink Tank Ratings.

See Monday’s post here:

Update: 

Tuesday’s value bets were not as successful as the previous weekends to put it mildly with a lack of under dog victories hurting the record. We covered the draw well enough though and the damage could have been a lot worse if the ratings hadn’t picked out the value here as well.

Still, things could be a lot worse with the record from the current campaign as follows:

26 bets
26 points staked
+4.24 points
+16.31% ROI.

Our bets: 

Not much luck with the highlighted bets so far with the wrong handicap choice hurting us again. This time we should have gone with the Double Chance instead of the Draw No bet.

Latvia vs Greece: Latvia Draw No Bet @ 3.75 Bet 365. Draw. Stake Returned. 
Malta vs Georgia: Malta Draw No Bet @ 3.65 Expekt. Draw Stake Returned. 
Denmark vs Norway: Norway Draw No Bet @ 3.00 William Hill. Home Win, Loss. 

The next Euro 2012 games are in October, so next up for the Castrol ratings/ Fink Tank test will be Champions League fixtures next week.

For more tests of ratings, tipsters and systems like this, join the Smart Betting Club. 

Grab This Tasty Special Offer For The Rugby World Cup

Posted on by Dan

The rugby world cup kicks off tomorrow with the hosts and tournament favourites, New Zealand taking on the friendly islands of Tonga (Population 100,000) in the opening game.

Picking the winner essentially comes down to whether you think New Zealand have the bottle to do it this time. Currently trading at 1.67 ish, the All Blacks are certainly the red hot favourites, but they don’t have a track record of converting ability into success. Since winning the world cup in 1987, they have managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in subsequent tournaments.

It would be nice to see New Zealand have something to celebrate this year after the devastation caused by the Christchurch earthquake, but ultimately only the All Blacks themselves know if the All Blacks can do it this time.

Paddy Power Treble The Odds:

If you do want to have a punt on the Rugby World Cup, Paddy Power (08000 565 265) have a very special offer for new customers Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Just Out Of Breath!

Posted on by Mike

In this regular Monday segment, racing expert Scott Armstrong rounds up all the action of note from this weekend’s racing for SBC Blog readers.

This week Scott picks apart the action from Saturday’s Sprint Cup at Haydock including how his 7/1 each way shot fared in a photo finish. He also highlights some of the weekend’s other horses of note, including a juvenile requiring further and one to watch if upped in trip next time out. Continue reading →

Welsh Dragon to roar? Not likely according to Castrol’s ratings

Posted on by Dan

Last Friday we looked at value bets according to Castrol’s ratings as well as picking out some value bets of our own. Castrol ratings are powered by the Detech, the same team behind the powerful Fink Tank Ratings.

The ratings managed to pick out some huge value in the Euro 2012 fixtures, with a profit of +6.83 points from the 12 points wagered. Highlights include Latvia beating Georgia at 5.68 and Hungary beating Sweden at 4.50. Continue reading →

Welsh Dragon to roar? Not likely according to Castrol's ratings

Posted on by Dan

Last Friday we looked at value bets according to Castrol’s ratings as well as picking out some value bets of our own. Castrol ratings are powered by the Detech, the same team behind the powerful Fink Tank Ratings.

The ratings managed to pick out some huge value in the Euro 2012 fixtures, with a profit of +6.83 points from the 12 points wagered. Highlights include Latvia beating Georgia at 5.68 and Hungary beating Sweden at 4.50. Continue reading →

England favourites to beat Bulgaria…But there’s no value in it.

Posted on by Dan

The bookies have England as hot favourites to beat Bulgaria away tonight, but according to Castrol’s ratings, there’s more value in backing Bulgaria.

Last summer we used the Castrol ratings to find value bets in the World cup and had a happy time of it. The final total was +10.49 points from 32 points staked. Click here to check out this tracking experiment.

So for the remainder of the Euro2012 qualifiers, we’ll be tracking where the value lies according to Castrol’s ratings and picking out some value bets of our own. Castrol ratings are powered by the Detech, the same team behind the powerful Fink Tank Ratings.

First here’s the % chances given to the UK’s home nations:

Bulgaria vs England: England 52% chance.
Scotland vs Czech Republic: Scotland 34% chance.
Wales vs Montenegro:  Wales 33% chance.
Northern Ireland vs Serbia: Northern Ireland 16% chance.
Ireland vs Slovakia (Not UK of course, but lots of interest here as well):  Ireland 55% chance. Continue reading →

England favourites to beat Bulgaria…But there's no value in it.

Posted on by Dan

The bookies have England as hot favourites to beat Bulgaria away tonight, but according to Castrol’s ratings, there’s more value in backing Bulgaria.

Last summer we used the Castrol ratings to find value bets in the World cup and had a happy time of it. The final total was +10.49 points from 32 points staked. Click here to check out this tracking experiment.

So for the remainder of the Euro2012 qualifiers, we’ll be tracking where the value lies according to Castrol’s ratings and picking out some value bets of our own. Castrol ratings are powered by the Detech, the same team behind the powerful Fink Tank Ratings.

First here’s the % chances given to the UK’s home nations:

Bulgaria vs England: England 52% chance.
Scotland vs Czech Republic: Scotland 34% chance.
Wales vs Montenegro:  Wales 33% chance.
Northern Ireland vs Serbia: Northern Ireland 16% chance.
Ireland vs Slovakia (Not UK of course, but lots of interest here as well):  Ireland 55% chance. Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Bated Breath at Haydock

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our latest column from Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman tipster service.

Each Friday, Scott will be provide us with a rundown of all the best weekend racing action – all the key  horses to follow and those to oppose. You can also find a recap from him each Monday on the SBC Blog with his reaction to the weekend’s events. Thorough, frank and not afraid to take a contrary view Scott Armstrong is a racing man whose opinion you can’t afford to be without.

Flush from his 12/1 winner Mehdi last Saturday, This week Scott has turned his attention to the Sprint Cup at Haydock, where he picks apart each of the main contenders and highlights a 7/1 shot he fancies as value to claim the title of ‘King of the Sprinters’. Continue reading →

Racing Re-cap: Mehdi Holds On At 12/1

Posted on by Mike

In this regular Monday segment, racing expert Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman service, rounds up all the action of note from this weekend’s racing.

Scott had a day to remember on Saturday after successfully advising a lay of Poet’s Voice in the Celebration Mile and highlighting the 12/1 winner Mehdi at Newmarket.

Dubawi Gold scooped the £57,000 pot when winning the Celebration Mile at Goodwood. The official winning distance was half a length though in truth he could have won by a lot further. Richard Hannon’s three-year old colt was given a supremely confident ride by the ever classy Richard Hughes, being allowed to settle at the rear of the field before quickening impressively to seal the race. Connections are looking at a Group 1 race for Dubawi Gold with the Prix Du Moulin looking the favoured option or possibly the QEII. I would be surprised if he proved good enough to land either of them. Excelebration hammered Dubawi Gold by over seven lengths in the aforementioned Hungerford Stakes and the Prix Du Moulin looks his for the taking on September 11th. Continue reading →

The Sportsman: Losing Voice At Goodwood?

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our latest column from Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman tipster service.

Each Friday, Scott will be provide us with a rundown of all the best weekend racing action – all the key  horses to follow and those to oppose. You can also find a recap from him each Monday on the SBC Blog with his reaction to the weekend’s events. Thorough, frank and not afraid to take a contrary view Scott Armstrong is a racing man whose opinion you can’t afford to be without.

This week Scott has turned his attention to Saturdays main race, the Betfair Celebration Mile at Goodwood and why he is taking on the 11/8 favourite Poet’s Voice in a field reduced to just 7 runners due to ground conditions.  Continue reading →