The Tipster Making £2,378 Annually From 16 Bets Per Month

If there is one thing we are known for at the Smart Betting Club it’s our Hall of Fame of the best tipsters to follow – effectively those proven to make you money betting.

Yet if you are like most people you will likely have 2 key questions you want answering before you start following the best tipsters…

1. How Much Money Will It Make You?
And
2. How Much Time Will It Take?

Allow me to quickly answer both questions and show you how easy and profitable it can be if following the right tipster, including how one tipster supplying just 16 bets a month makes an average profit of £2,378 a year. Continue reading

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Bets

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Bets

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.

Fink Tank Ratings & Value For The Easter Weekend

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.

Fink Tank Ratings & Value For The Easter Weekend

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.

Cheltenham Festival Preview: Paul Jones on the Fred Winter Handicap

With Cheltenham just around the corner, we’re keeping tabs on a number of festival previews. Paul Jones comes with a good reputation and we’ll be previewing his antepost service and Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide in our February edition.

Paul has kindly sent us an extract from his Cheltenham Festival guide, focusing on the Fred Winter Novices’ handicap. The full book is available at www.bettrends.co.uk and costs £12.95 + £2 post and packaging. We hope to preview the full book in the February edition. Here’s the excerpt with analysis of the Fred Winter taking place on Wednesday the 16th.

FRED WINTER JUVENILE HANDICAP HURDLE

(GRADE 3)

OVERVIEW

Although the ‘Fred Winter’ is developing a number of very strong patterns so early in its existence (remarkably I’ve found as many as 12 worthy of being listed in the Trends Summary), I am aware that this may come across as a blatantly obvious statement but, trying to finding the handicap blot is key here and, boy, was there one last season as Sanctuaire left his rivals stone motherless dead. Paul Nicholls knew it beforehand. All he would say when discussing the race at the Sandown Preview Evening was: “He’ll win” and not a word more. French-bred hurdlers have really come to the fore in this race but take note of the top-rated horses from the Flat too as they have won or finished second in three of the six runnings. No new trends to add this season, only a strengthening of existing ones which is what I like for winner-finding purposes and Sanctuaire ticked virtually every main box 12 months ago hitting the crucial ones square on the head.

THE LAST 5 WINNERS WON LAST TIME OUT

Yet another 1-2 for last-time-out winners in last year’s race so that is three years in succession now, and the fifth consecutive year that the winner had also won its previous outing. In fact, the only ‘Fred Winter’ winner not to have been successful on its previous start was Dabiroun in the inaugural running (and he was beaten in a Grade 2 hurdle) but the race has now found its feet. On average, one-third of the field come into this race off the back of a win so it is not like the Weatherbys Champion Bumper, for example, where most contenders are coming off the back of a victory so I will be making this my number-one priority before I start looking at other factors. The success rate of last-time-out winners is also very much in-keeping with the Festival handicap hurdles in general since 1993 where almost half of such races (27-55) were won by last-time-out winners from under 20% representation.

ALL 6 WINNERS WERE BEATEN ON THEIR FIRST TWO STARTS OVER HURDLES

Sanctuaire fitted the profile on so many factors last season, another being the curious stat that every ‘Fred Winter’ winner had been beaten on its first two starts over hurdles. In fact, the first three horses home last season had been beaten on their first two juvenile hurdle races. That’s some stat when we consider that five of those six winners then won on their final start before the Festival which is remarkably similar to the chasing equivalent race at this meeting, the Cententary Novices’ Handicap Chase (formerly the ‘Jewson’). Perhaps it is not so curious a stat given that well-handicapped horses tend Continue reading

12 Questions to Ask Before You Subscribe to a Tipster or System

Over recent weeks, I have noted a real feeding frenzy when it comes to the promotion of some of the latest betting system and tipster products that have hit the market. The number of e-books, bots, laying systems and the like that are released these days can be mind-boggling. Many are backed by some well co-ordinated marketing campaigns, all of which are designed to reel in as many punters as possible.

Ultimately though it’s not the marketing that matters, but the actual profitability of the product and proof that what is being claimed is accurate.

Sadly many of these products (the systems especially) leave a lot to be desired and if not careful you can find yourself out of pocket both from purchasing their wares and from betting losses incurred when following.

All is not lost though as we have some guidelines to share with you to help you navigate this, with 9 helpful questions (and 3 extra for systems) for you to ask anyone who wants your money!

9 Questions to Ask a Tipster

1 ) Does your service have a live website and how regularly is it updated?
2 ) How long has your service/system been in operation?
3 ) Is there a full breakdown of your results available either online or via email?
4 ) How much results data is available?
5 ) Are your results proofed? – KEY QUESTION
6 ) If results are proofed, whom are they proofed to and does the proofing service have a transparent copy of detailed performance for me to view?
7 ) If results are not proofed, why is this and why should I believe the results being claimed as accurate?
8 ) What odds are your results calculated to?
9 ) If your betting advice is to be placed on Betfair, what level of Betfair commission do you deduct from winnings?

We have also 3 extra questions for those services selling a system, as far too often this is one area that is being abused. With a system it is easy to muddle past results by making it complicated to view past performance and any good system vendor will be able to provide proof of actual past performance.

3 Extra Questions for System Sellers

1 ) Has your system been historically proven and are you able to provide accurate results to verify this?
2 ) Are your results able to be back-tracked and how much past data is available?
3 ) If your results are not able to be back-tracked, what evidence can you provide to backup the results claimed?

If you don’t get accurate or convincing replies to these questions, you have every right to be cautious and our motto is ‘If In Doubt, Leave it Out’!

If this whole area leaves you scratching your head, help is at hand as a Smart Betting Club member. Our A to Z list at www.secretbettingclub.com/info contains details on lots of our past reviews of many popular products. If you can’t find a review for a product you are interested in, do also try the “Search The Site” option.