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Sportsman Racing: Princely Reward at 40/1

Posted on by Mike

In this regular Monday segment, racing expert Scott Armstrong rounds up all the action of note from this weekend’s racing for SBC Blog readers.

On Friday, Scott labelled this weekend’s feature race – the Cambridgeshire as a ‘fiendishly difficult puzzle’ and so it proved with an unexpected 40/1 winner, which was so unfancied, he wasn’t even backed by his professional gambling owners!

Scott unpacks both that race and also some of the other highlights of the weekend past, with the previously highlighted ‘Lexington Bay’ obliging at 12/1 at Haydock and an 11 strong list of horses to follow, based upon his own recent race watching analysis. Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Questioning Is The Answer

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our latest column from Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman tipster service.

Each Friday, Scott will be provide us with a rundown of all the best weekend racing action – all the key  horses to follow and those to oppose. You can also find a recap from him each Monday on the SBC Blog with his reaction to the weekend’s events. Thorough, frank and not afraid to take a contrary view Scott Armstrong is a racing man whose opinion you can’t afford to be without.

This week Scott is off to racing HQ where he casts his keen eye over all the main runners and riders in the punting minefield that is the Cambridgeshire. Scott sees value with one of John Gosden’s runners, who in racing without an expected 10lb penalty is expected to go very close at a double figure price. Continue reading →

Rugby World Cup Betting: Will England put on a cricket score?

Posted on by Dan

In a previous post on the Rugby World Cup, we highlighted the following stat:

According to the Racing Post, in the last World Cup, there were 20 pool matches featuring handicaps of 30 points or more. Eight favourites covered the handicap while 12 fell short. 

Or put another way, 12/20 underdogs beat their handicap. Therefore we decided to keep track of the big handicap games for the 2011 World Cup. A 30.50 or greater handicap means that the underdog get a 31 point head start for the game. If they lose by less than this, the bet is a winner. Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Deacon To Give Punters The Blues

Posted on by Mike

In this regular Monday segment, racing expert Scott Armstrong rounds up all the action of note from this weekend’s racing for SBC Blog readers.

This week Scott discusses Saturday’s main feature race – the Ayr Gold Cup, where he likes the look of Pastoral Player, who finished strongly and would be one to watch in similar soft conditions. Deacon Blues was another highlight of the weekend in Dubai and looks set to justify favouritism in the Qipco British Champion Sprint Stakes at Ascot next month.

Scott’s main tip of the weekend – Colonel Mak finished a credible 4th for each way backers at 16/1, whilst his other strong mention, Caspar Netscher obliged at 15/8. Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Return Of The Mak

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our latest column from Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman tipster service.

Each Friday, Scott will be provide us with a rundown of all the best weekend racing action – all the key  horses to follow and those to oppose. You can also find a recap from him each Monday on the SBC Blog with his reaction to the weekend’s events. Thorough, frank and not afraid to take a contrary view Scott Armstrong is a racing man whose opinion you can’t afford to be without.

This week Scott picks goes North of the border and pulls apart all the main contenders for the Ayr Gold Cup, with his preference for the 14/1 shot – Colonel Mak.

This weekend witnesses a blitz of valuable races with the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes and Group 3 World Trophy taking place at Newbury while a £200,000 pot is up for grabs in the Tattersalls Millions Median Auction Trophy at Newmarket. Continue reading →

Rugby World Cup Handicaps: Can the underdogs keep it up?

Posted on by Dan

In a previous post on the Rugby World Cup, we highlighted the following stat:

According to the Racing Post, in the last World Cup, there were 20 pool matches featuring handicaps of 30 points or more. Eight favourites covered the handicap while 12 fell short. 

Or put another way, 12/20 underdogs beat their handicap. So far the 30+ handicaps are 6/7 in favour of the underdog, let’s see how the latest games fare.

Last game:

Samoa vs Namibia: Namibia +30.5 @ 2.19 12bet. Samoa by more than 30.5 -1.00

Upcoming Games: 

Personally I feel we’ve had our luck with these handicaps and we may be giving the profits made as the bookies and major teams sharpen up.

Still, we’ll be tracking the performance of the 30 point handicaps for the rest of the tournament. Here are the upcoming games:

  • New Zealand vs Japan: Japan +54.50:  2.08 Pinnacle Sports.
  • England vs Georgia: Georgia +37.50: 1.91 Ladbrokes.
  • France vs Canada: Canada +31.50: 1.93 Pinnacle

There’s only one mid week handicap that qualifies, the bookies are waiting for team news before pricing up the weekend games.

Enjoy…

Rugby World Cup Betting: Underdogs beat the odds.

Posted on by Dan

In a previous post on the Rugby World Cup, we highlighted the following stat:

According to the Racing Post, in the last World Cup, there were 20 pool matches featuring handicaps of 30 points or more. Eight favourites covered the handicap while 12 fell short.

We highlighted all the 30 point handicaps, here’s how they performed:

  • New Zealand vs Tonga: Tonga +62.5 @ 1.94 Pinnacle Sports. Result….New Zealand by just 31. +0.94
  • Scotland vs Romania: Romania +35.5 @1.93 Pinnacle Sports. Scotland by 10. +0.93
  • Fiji vs Namibia: Namibia +30.5 @1.99 Pinnacle Sports. Fiji by 24. +0.95 Continue reading →

Champions League Value Bets: Can Anyone Beat Barca?

Posted on by Dan

In last year’s Champions League final, Barcelona gave Manchester United a lesson in how to play football. As good as United were, Barca were just untouchable.

As the 2011/2012 builds momentum, there is a lot of talk about how United have learned from that game at Wembley. But can they do it this time or are the Catalans just too strong?

Likely winner & value bets

To help us determine this, the guys at Dectech have calculated the % chance each team has of winning the Champions League this year. This will adjust as the season progresses, but right now, here are their predictions for the main teams and UK interests. We’ve also added the best bookie odds and whether these offer value.
Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Owen Gunning For Ascot

Posted on by Mike

In this regular Monday segment, racing expert Scott Armstrong rounds up all the action of note from this weekend’s racing for SBC Blog readers.

This week Scott picks apart the action from Saturday and the horses to watch in the future including how Brown Panther who finished a strong 2nd in the St Leger should be one to watch if stepped up further in trip Continue reading →

Sportsman Racing: Bunting Appeals In St Leger

Posted on by Mike

Welcome to our latest column from Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman tipster service.

Each Friday, Scott will be provide us with a rundown of all the best weekend racing action – all the key  horses to follow and those to oppose. You can also find a recap from him each Monday on the SBC Blog with his reaction to the weekend’s events. Thorough, frank and not afraid to take a contrary view Scott Armstrong is a racing man whose opinion you can’t afford to be without.

This week Scott picks apart the runners and riders in Saturdays St Leger, where he is looking beyond the 6/4 favourite Sea Moon and siding with Frankie Dettori’s mount Blue Bunting. He also unveils the horse to watch mentioned in Mondays column, which runs at Chester on the weekend and if drawn well, is expected to do the business. Continue reading →