SBC Helps Punters Sting The Bookies @ Cheltenham (4 Big Success Stories)

 

It was a Cheltenham Festival to remember for us all at the Smart Betting Club, with a whole host of winners from many of the tipsters we recommend though our reviewsreports and magazines.

It’s probably safe to say we helped sting the bookmakers for some significant sums indeed over these past 4 days, including £9k won from a free bet!

It’s little wonder the bookies dislike us so much. Below you can find just a few of the highlighted success stories and how SBC can help you with your betting.

(Plus read on for details of how you can save an extra 10% on the cost of Smart Betting Club membership in a limited-time offer)

1. SBC Analyst, Nick Wins £9000 With Sun Bets On Day 1!

SBC’s very own Nick Ward won a massive £9000 courtesy of Sun Bets on Day 1 of Cheltenham after picking 6 winners from the first 6 races as part of the Sun Bets Seven predictor game. Completely oblivious to his success until Sun Bets called him ahead of the 7th and final race, he managed to cash out to take home approx £9000 seconds before his 7th selection ran (it fell early on)

Nick was interviewed by the Sun on his success, although I got the lowdown from him earlier today on how he used SBC to help select his tips…

“I largely restrict my betting to big races, especially festivals and particularly the big handicaps. I use a combination of SBC recommended tipsters, market signals, the Racing Profit Maximiser and other information in the process of making my selections and assigning related staking.

On Tuesday, I had three good Racing Profit Maximier strategy bets (which were mentioned in The Sun article), and then took a position on the three races with strong favourites (I sided with both Footpad and Buveur D’Air, but against Apples Jade, who I thought was vulnerable and tactically would help “set me out from the crowd” in the competition). That just left the last race which, in all honesty, I hadn’t got any strong feelings on. Thank goodness, Sun Bets rang and alerted me to the option of cashing out all or part of the potential winning pot just before that one ran.

 

2. SBC’s Rowan Has A Cheltenham To Remember. 81%, 107% & 34% ROI!

Nick wasn’t the only SBC team member that made a monster profit at Cheltenham, as Rowan, who writes the SBC Bet Diary Blog on his tipping portfolio has had a festival to remember.

And no doubt those of you following the tipsters Rowan writes about (which is the central point of the Bet Diary) would have enjoyed similar results too.

Here are the results from his first 3 days…

On Day 1, Rowan made a 81.57% ROI. Read his day 1 post

On Day 2, Rowan made a 107.59% ROIRead his day 2 post

On Day 3, Rowan made a 34.67% ROIRead his day 3 post

His Day 4 post will be up Saturday morning on the Bet Diary, at which point he will also post a summary of his entire festival performance.

Whatever happens on this final day (and I believe its been another winning one), its safe to say its been one hell of a profitable Cheltenham for him. Best of all, you can easily copy Rowan’s tipster portfolio (as many do) and make it pay for you too!

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3. SBC Free Tipster Fires In The Winners (90% ROI from 27 bets)

Last week I told you all about the amazing Cheltenham tipster who in a special deal would be supplying all his advice for free to SBC members for each of the 4 days of the festival. His pedigree at Cheltenham was second to none as since 2012, he had made a 57% ROI from 179 bets.

Well the great news is that it was another very successful week and his fantastic record at Cheltenham continued apace.

Winners during the 4 days included Le Prezien (12/1), Missed Approach (10/1), Coo Star Sivola (11/2), Shattered Love (6/1) and Delta Work (11/1). There were also several placed efforts at good prices that were profitable for each way backers including Melon (18/1 advised), Vintage Clouds (9/1) & Acey Milan (7/1)

From 27 bets advised, he made a 24.5 point profit at 90.74% ROI if backing all his tips to win at 1 point level stakes

For those of you betting each-way, this worked out as a 35.05 point profit at 64.90% ROI at 1 point each way level stakes.

Here is what a couple of SBC members had to tell me about their week following his tips:

“I have made a absolute fortune from your bets this week (had your three winners today in a small trixie)

“I have very recently joined the SBC community as I am looking for an additional income stream. I am a complete novice and although I would rate myself as fairly intelligent I was completely bamboozled by this world of sports betting (my thanks to SBC for being so patient with me and answering all my “ stupid” questions)…. Anyway it was on your suggestion that I signed up for Kieran’s free tips during Cheltenham and despite having a normal job (8-5pm) with the clear instructions placing the Cheltenham bets took less than a few mins everyday… Thank you for such a great week!”

If you are interested in this tipster – there is a special offer available to Smart Betting Club members keen to follow him in all year-round.

 

4. Hall of Fame Tipster Makes £1517 Profit From Just 31 Bets

Finally, I want to squeeze in a quick word for one of the Hall of Fame tipsters we recommend.

You can read our detailed review of this service (including who they are!) in this sample SBC magazine (download in PDF form here) and I also wrote about their fantastic start to 2018 in this January blog post.

Well their 2018 just got a whole load better – thanks to a whole series of winners at Cheltenham, including Le Prezien (16/1), Blue Berry (28/1), Summerville Boy (12/1) & Rathvinden (7/1).

At £50 stakes, they ended up £1517.50 in profit from just 31 bets over the festival itself.

Proof positive how the tipsters we recommend in our Hall of Fame can make you money betting!

More on this tipster and many more like this can be obtained with a Smart Betting Club membership.

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Save An Extra 10% On SBC Membership Before Midnight Sunday

So there we have it – a few highlights from what has been a hugely profitable Cheltenham for many SBC members.

The bookies have well and truly been taken to the cleaners this year.

Yet, whilst the famous festival is over for another year, the profitable opportunities for us don’t stop there.

For those of you keen to see how an SBC membership can help you make money betting, I have knocked a further 10% off the cost of joining.

This extra 10% is on top of the already discounted 2018 membership prices and will be available until Midnight this Sunday the 18th March.

To save 10%, simply use this coupon code ” CHELT18 ” during your subscription process and a further 10% will be deducted off the cost.

But hurry as this extra 10% offer WILL expire at Midnight on Sunday.

Click here to subscribe NOW!

Best Regards,

Peter Ling

Smart Betting Club Editor

pete@smartbettingclub.com

How Much Can A Tipster Really Make You?


That is the question I was posed recently by a punter intrigued by what we do here at SBC, yet ultimately unsure on just how much they could make betting with our help.

After all, once you take into consideration tipster fees and the time and effort getting your bets on – is it worth your while?

Judging by the frequency I hear this question, it appears to be something on a lot of punters minds.

So I thought I would tackle this question today, using some examples from our latest Tipster Profit Report, such as the tipster that made a £12,707 clear profit from just a £2,000 starting point in the past 12 months.

…And the combination of 15 tipsters that made £35,137 in 12 months AFTER all tipster subscription fees were taken into account. Let me reveal more:

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A World Away From Backing 5/4 Horses Each Way

The first thing to make clear about the tipping world is that it has moved on significantly since the Smart Betting Club first started way back in 2006.

Forget the prehistoric tipsters putting up 5/4 shots each way or advising you to ring their premium £1.99 a minute hotline for their latest odds-on tip.

Whilst you might still find a few of these prehistoric types advertising in the Racing Post (a topic for another day), the tipster world has moved on. Nowadays, there are many highly professional and well regarded tipster services with a history of genuinely achievable profits behind them, generated over several years.

They put their customers first, settle their bets at realistic odds and best of all – are simple to follow.

The very best tipsters can be found in what we term our ‘Hall of Fame’ – which are those tipsters we recommend as offering an excellent level of service at reasonable prices, which are best of all profitable.

The ‘Suggested Profits’ You Can Make With Tipsters

So to go back to the original question and just how much a tipster can make you?

To explore this, it’s worth checking out the ‘Suggested Profits’ tables we publish in each Tipster Profit Report – an example as taken from the last report I have copied below.

These reports gives you the latest on the best tipsters and just how much they have made on an ongoing basis. Enabling you to find the best, in-form experts and those consistently ahead of the bookie.

There are currently 15 racing tipsters in our Hall of Fame (we list a separate table dedicated to sports tipsters) and here are the Suggested Profits for each of them from the past 12 months:

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I have had to remove the tipster names as this is for Smart Betting Club members only (sorry – that’s the secret bit) but as you can see the profits on offer are vast.

As a combination of all 15 they have made a profit of £35,137 for a monthly outlay of £863 per month (not that I would expect anyone to follow all of them)

Here are some other key figures:

• ‘Tipster 14’ enjoyed the best profit, making a mind-boggling £12,707 profit from a £2,000 starting point after membership fees over the past year.

• Also impressing is ‘Tipster 10’ who made a £4,310 profit from a starting bank of £2,000 for an outlay of just £50 per month.

• 11 of the 15 tipsters made a profit in the past 12 months. Ideally it would be all 15, but at least you know this table is realistic because not every tipster wins over a rolling 12 month period.

• Of the 4 tipsters that made a loss – these were in general very small deficits (e.g. £20, £34 and £40). Crucially all 4 have excellent long-term records.

• The average age of a Hall of Fame racing tipster is over 5 years – showcasing how long these services have been advising bets and why they can be trusted.

Realistic Profits AFTER Fees Are Deducted

The suggested profits table above should also help answer another common question, namely:

Exactly how much money can you make after you pay for a tipster in the first place?

All the profits listed above are AFTER fees have been deducted from the final sum. So for example, the £2,632 profit made by ‘Tipster 1’ is after the £27 monthly fees have been removed.

In terms of what you can expect to pay for a top tipster, the average cost sits around the £30 marker, although this does depend on many factors. Generally, the more exclusive a tipster service (i.e. those that keep membership numbers very low to protect odds) then the higher the subscription cost.

It is worth pointing out that as an SBC member you can benefit from several exclusive discounts and free trials to many of these tipsters, which reduces these costs further too.

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You Don’t Need Huge Sums To Get Started

One thing you shouldn’t be is put off by the size of the suggested betting banks on offer in the table above.

We put these together as an example, but many people can and do follow these tipsters with much less. You certainly don’t need £5,000 to get started betting profitably – far from it!

Many SBC members enjoying success from their betting started off with much smaller amounts initially and gradually built up their betting banks with the profits recouped.

After all, betting for profit is not a sprint – you should take your time to get it right.

Give Us A Try – Risk Free For 90 Days

The best news is that you can now sign-up to the Smart Betting Club risk-free courtesy of our 90-day no quibble make-money guarantee.

This ensures you can join today and if not happy for any reason whatsoever with our service, you can get a full refund within your first 90 days. Ensuring you can test us out with full peace of mind.

You can gain instant access to the latest Tipster Profit Report and everything else we offer here at the Smart Betting Club as soon as you start your membership.

Join The Smart Betting Club & Get Started Immediately

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Founder

Pete_HeadShot_SMall

Betting: Master The Game / Tipsters To Make You A Real Edge

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Betting: Master The Game

Discover which tipsters can make YOU a real edge 

Keen to learn how you can make money betting with tipsters?

Then make sure you grab your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report, featuring ratings, rankings and reviews for 61 of the very best betting tipsters the SBC team have uncovered since 2006.

Sign-up now to gain instant access or read on for more details on how this report can help you and your betting.

INSIDE THE TIPSTER PROFIT REPORT

Highlights include:

Tipster 1: The 5* rated racing tipster hitting over 100% ROI in each of his last 3 months. This expert has the bookies on toast with a 56% ROI over the last 12 months too!

Tipster 2: The football tipster that keeps racking up the profits with a 22.7% ROIover the last 12 months alone. He has made a fine profit in each of his last 6 seasons.

Tipster 3: The free racing tipster that made over 50 points profit in the last 2 months alone. Adding to his profitable record long-term, he is very much one-to-follow

Tipster 4: Another football tipster off to a flyer for the 2017/18 season with 47 points profit from 316 bets since August. All at a fantastic 15.7% ROI

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Find The Best Tipsters For You!

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long-term period of time.

To help with this we breakdown the 61 tipsters into different categories so you can easily compare and contrast them.

So for example you can find comparison tables detailing:

  • The best horse racing & sports tipsters (football, golf, tennis, us sports etc..)
  • The most profitable tipsters
  • The best tipsters from the last 12 months
  • The best low cost tipsters
  • The best free tipsters
  • The best betting bank growth tipsters
  • The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices)
  • And much more besides…

We also know that its not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

  • The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – how their profits stand up if betting often 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if worried about not getting the advised prices!)
  • Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – how much money you need to risk and how much you can make betting. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic.

Best of All – Save Up To £38 On An SBC Membership!

You can pick up your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report, the instant you join the SBC service with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Best of all, you can now join and save up to £38 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately. (There is a 90-day money back guarantee available after all!)

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

pete

Bash The Bookies: 60 Of The Best Tipsters Revealed

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SBC’s latest Tipster Profit Report has just been published, featuring ratings, rankings and reviews on 60 of the very best betting tipsters we have uncovered since 2006.

The report includes details of the 24 tipsters holding a ‘Hall of Fame’ rating – our list of the very best in the tipping world – those we recommend to bash the bookies with.

So if you are interested in betting for profit with tipsters, then this report includes everything you need to get started!

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue) or read on for more…

INSIDE THE LATEST TIPSTER PROFIT REPORT

Bash The Bookies: 60 Of The Best Tipsters Revealed Including…

Tipster 1: The on-fire expert hitting a 106% ROI in just the last 6 months! An incredibly easy to follow service.

Tipster 2: The racing guru that’s made 3558 points profit over 13 years tipping. Consistently excellent.

Tipster 3: The service that’s made an easy 336% Bank Growth over the past year.

Tipster 4: The football expert with a 9.9% ROI edge over the bookies since August 2016. Outstanding form!

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Proud To Be Different – 100% Independent Stance

Best of all – the 60 tipsters included in this report have been independently evaluated and ranked with no affiliate links or kickbacks (unlike so many ‘tipster review’ websites).

The Smart Betting Club has a unique, 100% independent reviewing policy so when we say a tipster is good – its because it truly is and not because someone is paying us to say to. Read more on our stance and why we are different

Find The Best Tipsters For You!

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long-term period of time.

To help with this we breakdown the 60 tipsters into different categories so you can easily compare and contrast them.

So for example you can find comparison tables detailing:

  • The best Horse Racing & Sports tipsters
  • The most profitable tipsters
  • The best tipsters from the last 12 months
  • The best low cost tipsters
  • The best free tipsters
  • The best betting bank growth tipsters
  • The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices)
  • And much more besides…

We also know that its not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

  • The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – how their profits stand up if betting often 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if worried about not getting the advised prices!)
  • Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – how much money you need to risk and how much you can make betting. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic.

Save Up To £38 On An SBC Membership!

You can pick up your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report, the instant you join the SBC service with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Best of all, you can now join and save up to £38 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

Making it a great time to sign-up and see how we can help you and your betting!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

pete

 

Sports Tipster Profit Report: 24 Football, Tennis & US Sport Experts

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To help you find the best, most profitable tipsters, here at SBC we have just released our latest Sports Tipster Profit Report, featuring everything you need to know about making money betting on the likes of Football, Tennis, NBA, NFL, Baseball & Darts.

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue)

INSIDE THE SPORTS TIPSTER PROFIT REPORT

24 Of The Best Sports Tipsters Rated, Reviewed & Ranked Including….

Tipster 1: The highly recommended football tipster system up 17.1% ROI last season (Save up to £40 on joining them thanks to SBC savings)

Tipster 2: The Baseball expert averaging 133% betting bank growth each year.
(20% bonus membership available to SBC members)

Tipster 3: The new Hall of Fame Tennis tipster hitting a 10.5% ROI from 1480 tips (20% bonus membership available to SBC members)

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The release of this Sports Tipster Profit Report forms Part 1 of our 5-Part Essential Football Betting Compendium for the 2017/18 season – Parts 2, 3, 4 & 5 will be unveiled in coming weeks.

Plus: 34 Of The Best Horse Racing Tipsters Revealed!

Combine with our latest Horse Racing Tipster Profit Report for the complete rundown on the best betting experts

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Full access to all Tipster Profit Reports available with your SBC membership

Unique Tipster Comparison Tables

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long-term period of time.

To help with this we breakdown the 24 tipsters into different categories so you can easily compare and contrast them.

So for example you can find comparison tables detailing:

  • The best overall tipster
  • The most profitable tipsters
  • The best tipsters from the last 12 months
  • The best low cost tipsters
  • The best free tipsters
  • The best betting bank growth tipsters
  • The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices)
  • And much more besides…

We also know that its not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

  • The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – how their profits stand up if betting often 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if worried about not getting the advised prices!)
  • Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – how much money you need to risk and how much you can make betting. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic.

Save Up To £38 On An SBC Membership!

You can pick up your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report, the instant you join our service with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Best of all, you can now join and save up to £38 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

Making it a great time to sign-up and see how we can help you and your betting!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

pete

Racing to Victory: 34 Top Tipsters Reviewed & Rated

Today has seen the release of a special new Horse Racing Tipster Profit Report, which features everything you need to know about making money betting on the sport of Kings including:

  • Details on 34 of the best racing tipsters we have uncovered in 11 years tracking
  • The 13 racing tipsters holding our renowned ‘Hall of Fame‘ recommendation
  • Ratings on the best racing tipsters advising achievable and fair odds
  • Betting bank and staking plans suggestions for each tipster.

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue) or read on for more…

INSIDE THE RACING TIPSTER PROFIT REPORT

34 Of The Best Racing Tipsters Rated, Reviewed & Ranked Including….

Tipster 1: Averaging 6X Betting Bank Growth Annually! – This Racing Expert Is On-Fire!

Tipster 2: The Free Service Up £2713 Since June 2016. Hitting A 40.9% ROI In 2017!

Tipster 3: 499 Points Profit In The Last 12 Months (Trial For 60 Days For Just £1!)

Tipster 4: 30% ROI Achieved Over 13 Years For This Long-Term Winner. Non-Stop Profits!

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Unique Tipster Comparison Tables

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long-term period of time.

To help with this we breakdown the 34 tipsters into different categories so you can easily compare and contrast them.

So for example you can find comparison tables detailing:

  • The best overall tipster
  • The most profitable tipsters
  • The best tipsters from the last 12 months
  • The best low cost tipsters
  • The best free tipsters
  • The best betting bank growth tipsters
  • The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices)
  • And much more besides…

We also know that its not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

  • The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – how their profits stand up if betting often 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if worried about not getting the advised prices!)
  • Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – how much money you need to risk and how much you can make betting. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic.

Save Up To £35 On An SBC Membership!

You can pick up your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report, the instant you join our service with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Best of all, you can now join and save up to £35 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

Making it a great time to sign-up and see how we can help you and your betting!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

pete

4 Way Bookie Attack: Tipster Quartet Making Serious Profits

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If you are interested in making money betting with tipsters, then SBC’s latest Tipster Profit Report features everything you need to know to become a profitable punter.

Inside we reveal the 4 new recommended tipsters making mincemeat of the bookies, plus the latest on a further 20 tipsters in our ‘Hall of Fame’ and 33 other ‘Shortlisted’ experts.

You can view updated results, rankings, ratings, league tables and recommendations, which make it simple to discover not just who the best tipsters are, but who the right tipster is for you.

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue) or read on for more…

INSIDE THE LATEST TIPSTER PROFIT REPORT

The New ‘Hall of Fame’ Tipster Quarter Making Serious Profits Including….

1. The racing expert that’s turned £2000 into £10,528 (after subscription fees) in the past 12 months

2. The horse racing guru hitting a 39% Return on Investment over the last year!

3. The South American Football tipster that’s made a 186% betting bank growth in the past 12 months (again after fees)

4. The ‘big-race meeting’ specialist averaging 129% betting bank growth year-on-year since 2013

Find The Best Tipsters For You!

Each Tipster Profit Report is designed to help you find the very best betting tipsters – those that have proven themselves to be successful over a long-term period of time.

To help with this we breakdown the 57 tipsters into different categories so you can easily compare and contrast them.

So for example you can find comparison tables detailing:

  • The best Horse Racing & Sports tipsters
  • The most profitable tipsters
  • The best tipsters from the last 12 months
  • The best low cost tipsters
  • The best free tipsters
  • The best betting bank growth tipsters
  • The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices)
  • And much more besides…

We also know that its not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

  • The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – how their profits stand up if betting often 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if worried about not getting the advised prices!)
  • Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – how much money you need to risk and how much you can make betting. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic.

How We Can Help Your Betting

Save Up To £35 On An SBC Membership!

You can pick up your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report, the instant you join our service at the Smart Betting Club with full access to our exclusive members-only area.

Best of all, you can now join and save up to £35 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

Making it a great time to sign-up and see how we can help you and your betting!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

pete

Our Top Ten Tipster ‘Hall of Fame’

A question that we regularly get asked here at the Smart Betting Club, is just who the best performing and most reliable tipsters actually are?

After all knowing exactly who you should follow with your own hard earned cash is critical to making money betting.

Well the good news is that here at SBC, we regularly publish full stats on what we believe to be the elite list of betting tipsters.

These are those services that make it into our Hall of Fame, which is our fully vetted and recommended list of tipsters for you to use. We update this each month based on all the proofed results records we keep – to ensure its always fully accurate and up to date.

To help illustrate just how well our Hall of Fame tipsters perform, below we have published the all-time profit figures from the top ten SBC rated services. Continue reading

Our Top Ten Tipster 'Hall of Fame'

A question that we regularly get asked here at the Smart Betting Club, is just who the best performing and most reliable tipsters actually are?

After all knowing exactly who you should follow with your own hard earned cash is critical to making money betting.

Well the good news is that here at SBC, we regularly publish full stats on what we believe to be the elite list of betting tipsters.

These are those services that make it into our Hall of Fame, which is our fully vetted and recommended list of tipsters for you to use. We update this each month based on all the proofed results records we keep – to ensure its always fully accurate and up to date.

To help illustrate just how well our Hall of Fame tipsters perform, below we have published the all-time profit figures from the top ten SBC rated services. Continue reading

A Drunkard’s Betting Walk

The next time you stagger home from the pub a little worse for wear and you receive ‘that look’ from your nearest and dearest, if all else fails, you could try explaining that you were giving yourself a valuable lesson in probability theory.

I’ve recently been caught up in a new book called ‘The Drunkards Walk’ which explores the concept of randomness and how it impacts us in everyday life. The phrase ‘a drunkard’s walk’ was coined by a certain Albert Einstein to explain how in many things in life from the movements of tiny molecules to weather patterns are as predictable as the individual steps of a drunk person on their way home from the pub.

What interested me most of course is how randomness affects us all from a betting perspective and how as humans we regularly make the wrong calculations or assumptions based on our poor understanding of it.

A lot of it applies to betting and the world of tipsters and systems so let me explain with some key concepts.

The Gamblers Fallacy

The gamblers fallacy is one such term explained by the book that is relevant to betting (one of many), which most of us at one point will have fallen victim to. Consider if I tossed a coin 100 times and picked heads only 44 times out of 100. Our natural thinking is to assume that there is likely to be more tails than heads in the next 100 to catch up.

Right? …. Well wrong actually as this is the fallacy in action as the coin will not develop a bias towards tails to catch up. The coin itself doesn’t have a clue that it’s flipped more tails than heads – it’s a coin after all! On the 101st throw it will still remain a 50/50 chance it will be either tails or heads.

While that may make sense to most of us when we observe the simply coin flipping analogy, unwittingly we sometimes unconsciously fall foul to this mistake on a regular basis when we consider being in or out of form. A run of good form doesn’t mean a period of bad form is due and vice versa.

Over the fullness of time and stats (perhaps 10,000 throws) you will get closer to the 50/50 exact outcome but over short samples – randomness rules!

Expert or Just Plain Lucky?

I also found the book explained another term applicable to the betting and tipster world called the ‘hot-hand fallacy’. This theory basically states that if enough people try their hand at predicting something, someone by chance will be extremely successful.

The example the book uses is the American pundit who correctly predicted turns in the stock market in 18 out of 19 years. An outstanding record that beat many ‘experts’ hands down!

What was his secret you may ask?

Well nothing more than basing his predictions on what team won the US Superbowl that year…or in other words, pure luck! What this means now that the Green Bay Packers just won this year’s – who knows!

Perhaps this is why we see some tipsters or systems have an amazing burst of form, which they are then never able to maintain long-term. They simply got lucky at the start and were no more a betting expert than I am on the intricacies of cross stitch knitting.

How Do We Avoid These Traps?

How therefore do we avoid getting caught up following a system or tipster that has simply got lucky like the ‘Superbowl pundit’ above?

Well the answer is fairly boring in that it’s often nothing more than….

  • – Observing a large number of bets.
  • – Observing performance over time.
  • – Professional statistical analysis.
  • – Expert judgement.

All these things combined can help protect you as much as possible from falling prey to lucky tipsters or systems. It can take time and effort though to apply all of this, which is where we come in at the Smart Betting Club.

We only recommend services that have

  • – Proven themselves over many hundreds if not thousands of bets.
  • – Proven themselves over at least a 12 month period (with very rare exceptions).
  • – Proven themselves over different conditions (especially relevant for horse racing tipsters).
  • – Handled losing and winning runs in a professional manner.
  • – Undergone our full statistical analysis of performance.
  • – Had all aspects of their service thoroughly reviewed.
  • – Offer real value for money.

Those services that tick the right boxes for all these questions and more help to make up our Tipster Hall of Fame, which is currently 16 services strong. We believe therefore by following them, they offer you the best opportunity to make money betting.

Gain access to our Hall of Fame instantly by taking up a Smart Betting Club membership today.