Back this week with an almost full Premier League card with 8 games over the course of the weekend to work with and I have 4 Main bets that have caught my eye.

Starting up at the Britannia Stadium, I am keen on Stoke to have too much for West Brom, especially considering the 2.00 price that Hills are offering. The Potters this season have been very strong at home, winning 54% of games and they certainly will target this type of match for all 3 points. West Brom on the other hand have been very dodgy at the back in recent months and will struggle against Stoke’s aerial bombardment. They have lost 69% of away games this year and despite the arrival of Roy Hodgson, it will take some time for him to get them better organized on the road. Odds of 2.00 suggest Stoke have a 50% chance of victory, and I make it more like 55% so a bit of value here.

Talking of Roy Hodgson, his former charges Fulham continue to prosper from the work he did on making them extremely hard to beat away from home. This is backed up by the stats as they have gone under 2.5 goals in 69% of games on the road this year with a clear policy of going for the 0-0 draw in matches against the top teams. Ladbrokes are kind enough to offer 1.97 on the under 2.5 goals market, which is a 50.7% chance, whereas I again make this more of a 1.85 to 1.90 shot so value here. As an added incentive, Mark Hughes will be even more keen for Fulham to give nothing away as he returns to Man City for the first time since being fired.

The transformation of Liverpool under Kenny Dalglish has been very impressive and bookies have been quick to note how tight matches involving his charges now are, as judged by the measly 1.75 on under 2.5 goals in their game away at West Ham. My interest involves backing Liverpool to overcome a -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.93 as the Hammers under Avram Grant remain very poor and they have lost at home against all the top teams this season.  This bet gives us some cover in case of a draw and I can see a well organized Liverpool with Steven Gerrard likely to be back causing lots of problems.

One final bet on goals in the game featuring Villa and Blackburn as the away team have been very leaky on the road, going over 2.5 goals in 77% of games. Villa have improved offensively as well with Darren Bent leading the line and look a lot more threatening up front these days at home so the 1.96 on over 2.5 goals looks a good investment. I make the true odds on this market again lower than 1.90 so some value here.

Main Bets
1 pt Stoke to beat West Brom. 2.00 William Hill
1 pt Under 2.5 goals. Man City V Fulham. 1.97 Ladbrokes
1 pt Liverpool -0.25 Asian Handicap V West Ham. 1.93 Pinnacle/Canbet/SBOBet/188Bet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Aston Villa V Blackburn.  1.96 188bet

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Its fair to say February hasn’t been kind to me so far, with the midweek Birmingham bet going down for us and we are in a poor run of form. It’s perhaps good that we have only the one game this weekend in the top flight with West Brom hosting Wolves, so we can take a breather.

I never like to bet on teams who have just changed their manager such as West Brom and their opponents on Saturday – Wolves, have proven hard to pin down this season. They are just as likely to beat Man Utd 2-1, than lose 3-0 to Liverpool in the space of just 2 weeks.

No bets therefore and I will return to take a look at the 2 midweek games next week. Good luck if betting in the FA Cup this weekend!

Mike

Its fair to say February hasn’t been kind to me so far, with the midweek Birmingham bet going down for us and we are in a poor run of form. It’s perhaps good that we have only the one game this weekend in the top flight with West Brom hosting Wolves, so we can take a breather.

I never like to bet on teams who have just changed their manager such as West Brom and their opponents on Saturday – Wolves, have proven hard to pin down this season. They are just as likely to beat Man Utd 2-1, than lose 3-0 to Liverpool in the space of just 2 weeks.

No bets therefore and I will return to take a look at the 2 midweek games next week. Good luck if betting in the FA Cup this weekend!

Mike

As I suggested, it was a tough weekend of betting in the Premier League just gone with a 2 pt loss for the Main bets as Blackpool – Villa ended up 1-1 and Sunderland let a lead slip against Spurs. The seasonal tally has now dropped to 5.91 pts and a 7.13% ROI so work to be done on that front, although of course profitable betting is a marathon not a sprint so everything in its right context.

A neat reminder if one were needed however that my bets are for the best part, an experiment this season. Consider it an exercise in exploring profitability in these markets – certainly don’t judge the quality of my tips against the quality of the tipsters we focus on here at SBC. They are completely separate.

One bet that I kicked myself for not having as a Main bet last weekend was on Birmingham at 1.78 to overcome a 0 ball Asian Handicap against Stoke (I only shortlisted it). They duly won 1-0 although my reasoning for not taking was down to a lack of value in the odds – something that is less the case in Birmingham’s next fixture tonight at home to Newcastle.

You can get 1.86 on Alex Mcleish’s men in the same market against the Geordies, who are for my mind, a slightly inferior team to Stoke. Newcastle are however a slight worry in that they are very much Jekyll and Hyde as we can never be certain which team will turn up. I am going to take the 1.86 on Birmingham however as they have a strong home record and are in a good vein of form.

Main Bets
1 pt Birmingham 0 Asian Handicap V Newcastle. 1.86 Canbet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog

As I suggested, it was a tough weekend of betting in the Premier League just gone with a 2 pt loss for the Main bets as Blackpool – Villa ended up 1-1 and Sunderland let a lead slip against Spurs. The seasonal tally has now dropped to 5.91 pts and a 7.13% ROI so work to be done on that front, although of course profitable betting is a marathon not a sprint so everything in its right context.

A neat reminder if one were needed however that my bets are for the best part, an experiment this season. Consider it an exercise in exploring profitability in these markets – certainly don’t judge the quality of my tips against the quality of the tipsters we focus on here at SBC. They are completely separate.

One bet that I kicked myself for not having as a Main bet last weekend was on Birmingham at 1.78 to overcome a 0 ball Asian Handicap against Stoke (I only shortlisted it). They duly won 1-0 although my reasoning for not taking was down to a lack of value in the odds – something that is less the case in Birmingham’s next fixture tonight at home to Newcastle.

You can get 1.86 on Alex Mcleish’s men in the same market against the Geordies, who are for my mind, a slightly inferior team to Stoke. Newcastle are however a slight worry in that they are very much Jekyll and Hyde as we can never be certain which team will turn up. I am going to take the 1.86 on Birmingham however as they have a strong home record and are in a good vein of form.

Main Bets
1 pt Birmingham 0 Asian Handicap V Newcastle. 1.86 Canbet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

*Odds given were correct as time of bet release at the SBC Blog