free football picks

Final Fink Tank Ratings & Value Picks

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

Update:

It was a storming weekend for the Fink tank ratings, picking up Villa, Spurs and Fulham to win away. The season’s total now stands at 52 points with an ROI of 17%. Not bad at all!

 

This weeks:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game. The ratings have thrown up some big value in certain games this weekend, but they are probably best taken with a pinch of salt with a very different United team likely to run out against Blackpool.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Club could help you.

 

Final Fink Tank Ratings & Value Picks

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

Update:

It was a storming weekend for the Fink tank ratings, picking up Villa, Spurs and Fulham to win away. The season’s total now stands at 52 points with an ROI of 17%. Not bad at all!

 

This weeks:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game. The ratings have thrown up some big value in certain games this weekend, but they are probably best taken with a pinch of salt with a very different United team likely to run out against Blackpool.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Club could help you.

 

Mikes Football Bets 14th May

Posted on by Mike

A little later with my bets for this weekend as I have been on a mini-break, which has given me lots of time to mull over all the best options for the penultimate football weekend of the season.

Once again I am keeping my powder relatively dry with 3 shortlist bets and just the 1 main bet in the match between Liverpool and Spurs where I expect goals. The away team have to attack and Liverpool have been irresistible in recent months so the 1.91 on over 2.5 goals looks worthy of a 1pt stake.

The other 3 shortlist bets may well have qualified as main bets in a normal part of the season but with question marks over motivation for some teams and the often bizarre results we can get in May, its wise to keep things tight here.

Good luck with all your bets this weekend!

Main Bets
1 pt Liverpool V Spurs. Over 2.5 goals. 1.91 Stan James

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Sunderland (+0 Asian Handicap) V Man City. 2.06 12Bet
1 pt Chelsea (-1.75 Asian Handicap) V Newcastle. 1.91 Stan James
1 pt Birmingham (-0.25 Asian Handicap) V Fulham. 1.96 Pinnacle

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Picks

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Not a bad week last week with Everton & Newcastle nice value picks. Stoke beating Arsenal was the icing on the cake. Season’s total stands at new equity high of 40.22, with an ROI of 14%. Not bad at all.

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Club could help you.

 

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Picks

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Not a bad week last week with Everton & Newcastle nice value picks. Stoke beating Arsenal was the icing on the cake. Season’s total stands at new equity high of 40.22, with an ROI of 14%. Not bad at all.

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Club could help you.

 

Mikes Football Bets 5th May

Posted on by Mike

This weekend’s fixtures look incredibly tricky with so many different angles to consider, whether it be teams happy to play out a draw or sides with nothing to play for against those fighting relegation. Second guessing a lot of these games is tough as often form, statistics and worst of all – logic goes out the window. With this in mind I am just settling on a few shortlist bets as I have concerns over each for various different reasons. They each to my mind represent value but knowing the motivations and concerns for each team makes it very hard to lump on with big stakes!

Aside from these bets, it will be fascinating to see how the Ante-post line up goes because as it stands we are showing 4.13 pts profit from the 9 pts staked in this section at the moment. A number of bets are touch and go however, such as the 0.5 pt on West Brom to be top newcomer advised at 9/4. Those of you who prefer to lock in profit, may well want to take some of the 6/5 on Newcastle to be top newcomer with VCbet. It will be between the two of them for this honour, although after much consideration I will be holding firm and not trading this just in for now.

Good luck with all your bets this weekend!

Main Bets
None

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Fulham (+0.25 Asian Handicap) V Liverpool. 1.78 Ladbrokes
1 pt Everton (+0 Asian Handicap) V Man City. 2.09 12Bet
1 pt Wolves V West Brom. Over 2.5 goals. 1.88 12Bet

Mikes Football Bets 29th April

Posted on by Mike

Only a brief message today, but I have found 5 bets, which I feel offer value for this weekend’s action.

Bolton are the first main bet and although a bit Jekyll and Hyde lately, I feel are under-valued away at a Blackburn side in free-fall who are ridiculously short at 2.10 to win. My Liverpool bet is similar to the winning one last Saturday against Birmingham and with Newcastle safe, this to me looks an easy home win for the revitalised Merseysiders. I don’t rate Alan Pardew one bit and Liverpool’s home form is extremely solid, with Suarez really catching the eye. The final main bet is pretty straightforward and looking for at least 3, if not 4 goals in the Blackpool – Stoke City game. The Tangerines are going to have to go for a win here and the goals stats for both teams at home and on the road suggest the 2.06 from Ladbrokes is very generous.

Good luck with all your bets this weekend!

Main Bets
1 pt Bolton (+0.5 Asian Handicap) V Blackburn. 1.92 188bet/12bet
1 pt Blackpool V Stoke City. Over 2.75 goals. 2.06 Ladbrokes
1 pt Liverpool (-1 Asian Handicap) V Newcastle. 1.90 12Bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Sunderland (0 Asian Handicap) V Fulham. 1.87 Pinnacle
1 pt West Brom V Aston Villa. Over 2.5 goals. 1.88 Pinnacle

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Bets

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Bets

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.

Fink Tank Ratings & Value For The Easter Weekend

Posted on by Dan

You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory.

This week’s bets:

Note, if a game isn’t listed, it means there’s no value at all in that game.

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Clubcould help you.