betting systems

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Bets

Posted on by Dan

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory. Click on the image below for the weekend’s qualifiers

Qualifying bets for the fink tank rating test

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Club could help you.

Fink Tank Ratings & Value Bets

Posted on by Dan

Here are the latest value bets according to the latest Fink Tank Ratings. You can find some background on this test here.

Fink Tank provide predictions on football games based on their model which is roughly based around shot on target. The Fink Tank team found that shots on target was the best predictor of the outcome of a football game and when you rate this for various attributes you can have a reliable prediction model. For our test, we use the predictions from Fink Tank and only bet when the predicted % chance is better than the predicted chance implied by the available bookmaker odds. The bigger the difference, the bigger the value on offer in theory. Click on the image below for the weekend’s qualifiers

Qualifying bets for the fink tank rating test

For more tests of ratings services like this in sports from football to horse racing, check out how membership of Smart Betting Club could help you.

How To Bet On Corners

Posted on by Dan

We wanted to share an excellent article written by Scott Armstrong of The Sportsman service back on January 10th about betting on corners in the English Premier League. He regularly advises bets in this market for his subscribers and uses his own research and stats on this market to pick out value bets that the bookmakers offer.

If you are looking to make money betting, you could do a lot worse than specialise in such a market, or follow an expert like Scott!. There are plenty such experts in our Smart Betting Club Hall of Fame.

Over to Scott and his corner market analysis of the action just a few weeks ago…

A return to looking at Premier League sides corners statistics this week as I pinpoint some recurring areas to look for profit. 11.5 is the line I am using for the over’s and under’s corners mark. Tottenham with the marauding Gareth Bale are proving to be Kings of the over’s. In 16 Premier League matches Spurs have gone over on 11 occasions, a 69% strike rate. They are especially prevalent at home with 6 from 7 League matches at the Lane going over. Conversely there’s not a great deal of corner action at the DW stadium where all 9 of Wigan’s home matches have went under 11.5 corners.

With half the season almost gone in the Premier League it looks safe to say that Wolves tremendous corners record is not merely a freak occurrence. With 16 matches played the team who sit 2nd bottom of the league have gained corners supremacy in 8 games, drawn 6 and lost just 2. The best way to make a profit from this knowledge looks to be to play them gaining a corners handicap against the League’s elite sides. At Stamford Bridge they drew with Chelsea on the corner count 8-8. Away to Manchester United they lost only 2-3 and at home to Arsenal they out cornered the League leaders 5-3.

Two teams to oppose on corners markets are Blackpool and Blackburn. Blackpool love an open match although their total match corners have not been particularly high. From 15 matches they have only won corners supremacy 4 times and have particularly struggled at Bloomfield Road gaining most corners in only 1 match from 6.

Of the promoted sides West Bromwich Albion with the likes of Chris Brunt and Graham Dorrans are faring best when it comes to racking up corners winning corners supremacy in 7 matches from 8 a 88% strike rate.

Bets to look out for: Spurs over the 11.5 corners line at around 10/11. Wigan under 10.5 corners around evens at the DW and Wolves on the corners handicap +4 against the elite sides in the league at evens/11-10. Oppose Blackpool at home on the corners count and side with West Brom corner supremacy at home.

This is just one excellent niche betting strategy that many of the recommended tipsters we feature at the Smart Betting Club help to make money.

12 Questions to Ask Before You Subscribe to a Tipster or System

Posted on by Mike

Over recent weeks, I have noted a real feeding frenzy when it comes to the promotion of some of the latest betting system and tipster products that have hit the market. The number of e-books, bots, laying systems and the like that are released these days can be mind-boggling. Many are backed by some well co-ordinated marketing campaigns, all of which are designed to reel in as many punters as possible.

Ultimately though it’s not the marketing that matters, but the actual profitability of the product and proof that what is being claimed is accurate.

Sadly many of these products (the systems especially) leave a lot to be desired and if not careful you can find yourself out of pocket both from purchasing their wares and from betting losses incurred when following.

All is not lost though as we have some guidelines to share with you to help you navigate this, with 9 helpful questions (and 3 extra for systems) for you to ask anyone who wants your money!

9 Questions to Ask a Tipster

1 ) Does your service have a live website and how regularly is it updated?
2 ) How long has your service/system been in operation?
3 ) Is there a full breakdown of your results available either online or via email?
4 ) How much results data is available?
5 ) Are your results proofed? – KEY QUESTION
6 ) If results are proofed, whom are they proofed to and does the proofing service have a transparent copy of detailed performance for me to view?
7 ) If results are not proofed, why is this and why should I believe the results being claimed as accurate?
8 ) What odds are your results calculated to?
9 ) If your betting advice is to be placed on Betfair, what level of Betfair commission do you deduct from winnings?

We have also 3 extra questions for those services selling a system, as far too often this is one area that is being abused. With a system it is easy to muddle past results by making it complicated to view past performance and any good system vendor will be able to provide proof of actual past performance.

3 Extra Questions for System Sellers

1 ) Has your system been historically proven and are you able to provide accurate results to verify this?
2 ) Are your results able to be back-tracked and how much past data is available?
3 ) If your results are not able to be back-tracked, what evidence can you provide to backup the results claimed?

If you don’t get accurate or convincing replies to these questions, you have every right to be cautious and our motto is ‘If In Doubt, Leave it Out’!

If this whole area leaves you scratching your head, help is at hand as a Smart Betting Club member. Our A to Z list at www.smartbettingclub.com/info contains details on lots of our past reviews of many popular products. If you can’t find a review for a product you are interested in, do also try the “Search The Site” option.