Month: August 2018

Free tips: The winners keep rolling in for these experts

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Back in July, I told you about the expert tipsters providing betting advice for free to Smart Betting Club members and just how well they were faring.

Each of the featured tipsters were able to provide an ideal solution for those of you not wishing to spend money on large tipster subscriptions but keen to get started punting profitably.

Well the good news is that the combined strong form has continued with further profits bagged since my July email.

…And whilst the number of free tipsters has reduced by 1 (details on why below – its been too successful!) those continually available for free are providing a fantastic platform to kickstart your SBC membership with.

To access each of these free tipsters, simply sign-up for either a Silver, Gold or Platinum SBC membership and choose those you wish to follow via the ‘Free Tips’ section of the SBC membership website.

You can receive these free tips via email direct to your inbox or through access to the SBC members-only tipping forum.

The Betting Man: 248 Points Profit @ 26% ROI

The Betting Man has been punting successfully for over 2 decades and has a wealth of contacts and experience to add to expert knowledge of the form book and an exceptional work ethic.

Since my July email, he has grown his profit tally from 207 to 248 points with several winners and all at realistic odds – as the prices quoted are available with at least 3 major bookmakers listed on odds comparison sites.

Starting life in November 2017, The Betting Man has put up 504 tips and made a 248 point profit at 26.46% ROI with 9 winning months out of 10.

Below you can see his updated profit graph below for more evidence of this consistency…

The Betting Man Graph


Rooster Tips: +426 Points Profit Since 2014

Another top quality racing tipster on offer to SBC members is the ‘Rooster’ who has also added an extra 27 points profit since my July email thanks to several big winners over the past month and a half.

With a particular skill for highlighting big priced racing tips, his total profit now sits at 426 points profit from over 1400 bets at 26% ROI since 2014.

Averaging around 20 to 30 tips per month, The Rooster operates a selective approach to tipping, with generally a focus on some of the bigger race meetings and choosing only to bet when there is value to be had.

Depending on your level of risk, his free tips have also made substantial betting bank growth over the years (we recommend a 150 point betting bank if happy to take a slight risk, 180 points for a balanced approach and 210 points if extra cautious.)

Here is what The Rooster has made in terms of ROC (Return on Capital) to each betting bank recommendation over the years:

The Rooster Bank

Five Star Faves: 35 points profit backing favourites (Or 62 points with BOG)

Whilst the Five Star Favourites tipping service has given back a smidgen of profit since our July email (Down from 40 points to 35 points), what we haven’t mentioned is the extra profits available to those of you with Best Odds Guarantee eligible betting accounts.

Five Star Favourites as the name suggests, advises regular short priced racing tips (favourites) and has built up a tremendous record over this time.

His ‘Official’ record states that so far he has made a 35.26 point profit @ 7% ROI from his first 505 bets.

Yet, those of you with Best Odds Guaranteed available on your account, could have grown this to a 62.15 point profit @ 12.3% ROI from the same 505 bets.

This profit boost is available simply by placing these favourite bets with Best Odds Guaranteed applied, whereby you are paid out on winners at SP if that is higher than the advised price you take.

Considering this is based on backing favourites in mature markets (with tips sent around midday) and quoted odds which are widely available, this is a very impressive record from his first 14 months of tipping.


The Accountant Lays: £1875 Profit in 10 months @ Betfair SP

The Accountant and his fantastic place laying method was another tipster making extra profits in recent weeks with his betting bank profit growing from £1532.63 to £1875.94. That’s an extra £352.31 from his simple 3% staking method.

This is based on his regular place market horse lay tips, which are all settled at Betfair SP and deducting 5% commission as standard of each ‘winning’ bet.

This fine form didn’t go unnoticed though and as we recently celebrated his anniversary of supplying ‘free tips’ (he first began doing so on the 29th August 2017) he has now decided to limit access to his advice.

The primary reason behind this decision was to protect the odds availability as we noticed that stakes were significantly increasing on his selections, which in turn was impacting the final Betfair SP odds.

The decision was therefore made that after a full year of supplying tips for free, a restricted service was the only way to proceed, available to a limited number of people only.

Still, this is without doubt a huge success story as over the course of a full year, he grew a betting bank from £1000 to £2875.94 from his Betfair SP place laying tips for those SBC members that followed him in.

The Accountant is also continuing to proof another ‘FREE’ laying tipster angle – this time focusing on taking on short priced favourites, which has started very well indeed. It is available to all SBC members to follow for free via the SBC Tipster Forum.

Follow These Tipsters With A Risk-Free SBC Membership.

These tipsters mentioned above are available to follow for free each day as part of your Smart Betting Club subscription.

Simply choose the tipster(s) you wish to follow and sign-up to get their selections sent via email by following the links in the SBC ‘Free Tips’ membership section.

Alternatively, you can also follow each of their tips as they are posted on the SBC members only Tipping Forum.

So, if you are looking to get started betting with tipsters and don’t want to splash the cash on expensive subscriptions, why not consider following our free tipsters as part of your Smart Betting Club membership.

Best of all, you can now sign-up totally risk-free thanks to our 90-day money back guarantee, which ensures if you find our service (and these free tipsters) not for you, then you can get a full refund.

Meaning you have everything to gain and nothing to lose from joining our exclusive club!

Sign-up today and gain instant access to the Smart Betting Club

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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Insight Into The New BetVictor & Betfair £500 Minimum Bet Guarantee

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Earlier this week Bet Victor made a significant announcement of interest to punters everywhere with the introduction of a ‘minimum £500 bet guarantee’ for all UK and Irish horse races.

This guarantee states that, from 11am each day, anyone, even those of you who have had Bet Victor accounts closed in the past, are now eligible to win up to £500 betting on horse racing.

Here is what they had to say:

“As of today (Monday 20th August), when placing a single bet as normal, customers will be presented with the option of selecting Guaranteed Bet, a new market which will give customers the chance to win up to £500 on the ‘win’ part of a single bet. The market will appear alongside existing ‘extra markets’ on any race.

Guaranteed Bet is only available on ‘win’ and ‘each way’ single bets only from 11am on the day of the race until the race starts. Thus, a £50 ‘each way’ bet on a horse at 10/1 would qualify.”

Betfair Follow Suit…

The very next day Betfair also announced an expansion of their own £500 minimum bet guarantee to class 1 and 2 races and several other race meetings taking place in the UK and Ireland.

This offer is slightly different in that it applies an hour earlier from 10am and covers win bets only. In addition, it also included the intriguing caveat ‘Betfair reserves the right to exclude customers who, we believe, are executing trades using automated systems or software.’ Some might see that as a possible get out clause….

You can read about Betfair’s offer in more detail here and no doubt news on which race meetings will qualify for this concession will follow each week.

Step In The Right Direction

Both Bet Victor and Betfair’s announcements are the first step on the road toward a voluntary acceptance of bets from all punters, including those of us previously deemed ‘unprofitable’ due to the nature of the bets being placed.

Many customers have been closed or heavily restricted by racing bookmakers and not just those of us with a proven track-record either. There are numerous stories of loss making punters having accounts blacklisted simply for taking the wrong bet at the wrong time or with ‘standout’ odds.

This is a subject that I have covered in depth here at SBC, whether through our 2016 Better Betting Campaign, articles on keeping your bookmaker account open, or the call to action to raise awareness of the issue with the Gambling Commission back in March.

Finally, it now seems that action is being taken and that bookmakers have started to recognise that there might be a better way forward than the current mess.

HBF’s Chair Speaks

These guaranteed bet announcements come hot on the heels of discussions held by bookmakers with the Horseracing Bettors Forum (HBF), an organisation first setup in 2015 to represent the interests of those who bet on Horse Racing.

Acknowledging the depth of the account restrictions/closures issue for punters everywhere, the HBF board opened dialogue with bookmakers on a voluntary Minimum Bet Offer and these recent announcements are the result of that.

To find out more on this story I chatted to current HBF chairman, Matt Bisogno, for his thoughts on these recent developments. Here is what he had to say:

“From a punter perspective, this is obviously very good news. It should reduce the number of duplicate accounts and, far more materially than getting a bet to win £500, it means that most previously restricted punters will be able to have £20 on a 5/1 shot. It seems ridiculous that that is not the case universally, but I think that is the headline win here.

Of course, we punters cannot have our cake and eat it, and I think it is right that operators make the MBL (Minimum Bet Liability) provision on a ‘no frills’ basis, i.e. no Best Odds Guarantee offers.

Competition in the marketplace should still ensure that such concessions exist for recreational bettors: in other words, I think we’re moving towards two different punter demographics, each of which is catered for slightly differently.

My hope is that operators will see an improved turnover from MBL such that, even if their margin is slightly reduced, the absolute figure remains competitive as a result of the greater volume wagered. That will depend on how MBL is traded on both sides of the transaction, of course, and punters have a duty to ‘play nicely’ to that end.

These are interesting times, and I’m pleased HBF has been able to directly impact the landscape, hopefully for the better.”

 

Some great insight from Matt and I think most punters would agree that getting something on, even without concessions like Best Odds Guaranteed from 10/11am onwards is better than nothing at all.

More Bookies To Follow?

Whilst only 2 bookmakers are onboard so far, as per an online guaranteed bet offer, it is hoped more will join them in due time with another major firm rumoured to be close to doing exactly that.

It is also reasonable to assume that all other bookmakers will be watching the outcome of Bet Victor’s and Betfair’s new guaranteed bet offer with keen interest and will likely follow suit should it work out (i.e. if it is profitable for them).

It is more than possible that in doing so, the terms surrounding such guaranteed bets might be expanded as competition grows. Higher staking levels, earlier bet times, and even expansion into other markets and sports could feasibly follow – yet only if this early roll-out goes well.

Many punters, quite rightly, are deeply cynical about bookmaker motives and promises, yet this on the face of it does look promising so far. We must acknowledge, however, that it’s only being offered by these bookmakers because they feel it might be overall a winning venture for them.

Bet Victor Closed Accounts

One other very interesting point to raise regards those of you who have suffered closed or restricted betting accounts with Bet Victor as they are re-activating such accounts for those punters who wish to delve into their new guaranteed bet market.

I notified SBC members of this earlier this week and I have already heard from many who have had their accounts re-opened and made eligible to bet from 11am on these races.

I even heard from one member who had his Bet Victor account closed 5 years ago and, yet, was seemingly no longer registered on their system (at least they couldn’t find him!). He has now opened a fresh new Bet Victor account that can now bet on all markets.

With this in mind, it is well worth checking where you stand- to do this, Bet Victor are inviting you to email help@betvictor.com with details on your account for usage with the Guaranteed Bet market.

My early analysis of the odds also indicate that horses in the ‘Guaranteed Bet’ market with Bet Victor have identical odds to those offered to all other customers. Thus, any fears over a ‘2-tier’ odds system should be allayed.

Keeping You Updated

I will of course keep you all updated on any further developments as per these Guaranteed Bet Offers should as hoped, more bookmakers join Bet Victor and Betfair.

I am also keeping a keen eye on how these existing offers play out and how they are honoured, with all SBC members having a direct line to me to share feedback on their experiences.

Those of you on Twitter can also follow the Smart Betting Club (@sbcinfo) for the very latest news as it breaks.

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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The ‘WOW’ York Ebor Tipster (40% ROI Since 2011) Free With SBC This Week

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Jockeys, pundits, bookies…you name it – everyone is an expert when it comes to picking out racing tips, yet the only voices you want to be listening to are those with proven records of making it pay.

Proven records like the expert tipster who throughout each day of the York Ebor Festival (Which starts this Wednesday) will be providing his winning advice totally for free to Smart Betting Club members.

The reason I know this tipster is good is simple – because I have been proofing his tips since 2011, during which time he has built up an outstanding record and especially so during the Ebor Festival..

Over the course of 137 bets advised at York over the past 7 years, he has made a 55.5 point profit at a 40.50% Return on Investment. That is based on simply placing a 1 point stake to win on each horse at easily obtainable odds.

At £10 a stake, that works out at a £555 profit, £25 stakes is a £1387 profit and at £50 stakes it would have returned £2775.

Here is how it all breaks down..

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Following Up An Exceptional Cheltenham…

I ran a similar offer with this tipster during the 2018 Cheltenham Festival (where he also has a fabulous long-term record) and the results were nothing short of sensational.

Winners during the 4 days included Le Prezien (12/1), Missed Approach (10/1), Coo Star Sivola (11/2), Shattered Love (6/1) and Delta Work (11/1). There were also several placed efforts at good prices that were profitable for each way backers including Melon (18/1 advised), Vintage Clouds (9/1) & Acey Milan (7/1)

From 27 bets advised during the 2018 Cheltenham Festival, he made a 24.5 point profit at 90.74% ROI if backing all his tips to win at 1 point level stakes

For those of you betting each-way, this worked out as a 35.05 point profit at 64.90% ROI at 1 point each way level stakes.

Here is what a couple of SBC members had to tell me about their week following his tips:

“I have made a absolute fortune from your bets this week (had your three winners today in a small trixie)“

“I have very recently joined the SBC community as I am looking for an additional income stream. I am a complete novice and although I would rate myself as fairly intelligent I was completely bamboozled by this world of sports betting (my thanks to SBC for being so patient with me and answering all my “ stupid” questions)…. Anyway it was on your suggestion that I signed up for these free tips during Cheltenham and despite having a normal job (8-5pm) with the clear instructions placing the Cheltenham bets took less than a few mins everyday… Thank you for such a great week!”

How To Gain Access To These Tips

As a Platinum Smart Betting Club member you can get his entire set of tips during the York Ebor Festival for free. All will be sent each morning direct to your email account.

It’s that easy – no fuss, no hype, just some simple easy-to-follow betting tips, starting this Wednesday the 22nd August and running until the Ebor Festival finishes on Saturday the 25th.

And for those of you that prefer to bet each way, profits can be made here too. If backing all of his tips 1 point each way at York, he has made a 84 point profit at 30.53% ROI since 2011.

So, whether you back these tips to win or each-way, by following this expert, you are giving yourself every chance of success this week.

Get Signed-Up Today

Access to these York Ebor tips is only available to those with a Platinum ‘Pro Punter’ SBC membership (our complete package).

So to grab your free access to this tipster, simply register for a Platinum membership today and once signed-up, visit the Platinum members area of the SBC website. There you will find a simple form you can drop your email address in to ensure you get all of his tips free during each day of the Ebor Festival.

Not only that but you will be able to access the whole SBC package – all of our current and past SBC magazines, Tipster Profit Reports, the Best Tipster Guide & much more besides. The full lowdown on what you can enjoy with a Platinum membership can be found here.

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

 

Expert tipsters speak: Football betting tips this season & beyond

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Last week saw the release of SBC’s new season Football Tipster Guide, featuring reviews, recommendations and detailed insight into 14 of the best football tipping experts we have uncovered over the years.

Inside the guide you can also read our interviews with several of the expert tipsters, where we grilled them not only on their performance but also for their advice on what it takes to make a profit betting.

Based on some of the answers given, I have put together this neat snapshot on some of the key points raised by this gang of experts.

In no particular order then – here are some of the expert tips for profiting on football this season and beyond…

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Use Expected Goals Wisely…

Expected Goals (xG) have started to come into mainstream football conversation recently, but it’s important to know how best to use them – especially from a betting perspective.

Bear in mind that bookies and syndicates alike have been using xG for years, so on its own, using it to choose your bets is no silver bullet strategy. Mike Holden of Fox Punter had these wise words to share on xG:

“Don’t get too fixated by ‘expected goals’. It’s a helpful metric to get a feel for how a team has been performing relative to recent results but no two models are the same and making a random website your primary tool isn’t going to give you any sort of discernible edge on the market.

The big syndicates are using xG models so much more advanced than anything you will find available publicly, and their money one week will shape the market the next. If you think you’ve found an angle due to some xG quirk you’ve casually spotted, you might simply be at the mercy of an inadequate model.

By all means keep abreast of shot data and xG values, just like older punters would have kept abreast of the league tables or form guides in a bygone era. But turning shot data into a profitable system is more about the algorithm you put it through rather than the actual data itself.”

Use Social Media

One bit of modern technology you can use is Social Media as a means of gathering information to help you with your bets, as Brodders explained:

“You can never have enough information. Obviously that’s readily available for the big European leagues but trawl through Twitter and other Social Media to get info on players and teams news which may not be factored in by bookies having to offer prices a few days in advance.”

It’s not just Twitter either, but message boards and fans forums, especially at lower league level or in unfashionable leagues abroad, can be a helpful tool.

Bookies know everything there is to know about team news when Man City play Liverpool, but could they say the same for Arbroath vs Clyde?

Find The Vulnerable Early-Season Favourites…

Although we didn’t see any ‘shocks’ in the Premier League this weekend, one expert feels that value can be had looking for vulnerable favourites across the European leagues in these first few weeks of the season.

An idea put forward by football expert, Motaliz, its logic is based on the fact the World Cup finished just a few weeks ago and many teams have had a disrupted start to proceedings.

“This season comes after the World Cup which means that the transfer market and the set-up of the teams will have a later effect than usual.

This implies that the majority of top teams (the ones that had the most players in the WC) will take some time to gel and click which could generate some early season opportunities for the ones that are able to detect some overpriced favourites.”

The likes of Tottenham & Man Utd might well fall into this category but they came up against an unhappy club in Newcastle and another with its own World Cup related issues (Leicester) last weekend. It’s a strategy I will be keeping an eye over the next few weeks in England and Europe when these big teams face the right opposition.

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Tailor Your Betting To You…

Each of us has a different approach to risk. Some of us wouldn’t think twice before bungee jumping, whilst others wouldn’t get within 200 ft of a bungee cable, let alone jump.

And it’s the same when betting as some of us like to back long-shots and can handle losing runs, whilst others need regular winners and a high strike-rate.

Therefore, the way you bet needs to be tailored to your risk as Greg Gordon puts it “You need to be honest with yourself and find a style of betting that suits your temperament and allows you to flourish.”

It’s a strategy he has applied himself to good effect to avoid the pain of losing as he outlined further…

“There’s a lot to be said for a steady graph and betting in a way that minimises losing runs and keeps the heartache to the minimum. It hasn’t been too painful for me over the years and I’ve tried to make it that way, purposefully. You should too.”

Is It Value & Can It Win?

Greg also had some excellent advice on the theory of finding value, as he fears too many punters purely look at this rather than the reality of whether a bet can win or not. As he puts it:

“I don’t have any strictly price call bets anymore. I always want strong football reasons to play – rather than just a bit of theoretical value.

When you price up a bet now ask yourself two questions: 1) Is it a value price? 2) Do I think it can win? If you can’t answer yes to both questions then I’d inclined to pass.”

Some might well disagree with this statement, yet given that Greg continues to fire in the profits, season after season, he is obviously onto something.

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SBC is dedicated to finding the best tipster services out there, so as you might imagine, advice on how to do that is at the forefront of some of the advice given such as the following points…

Too Good To Be True?

Non-league tipster, Skeeve bangs a drum I regularly hit, advocating caution that ‘if a tipster’s record looks too good to be true, it’s probably fake’ and that ‘if the selections aren’t proofed to a third party (such as SBC), they’re useless. This betting world is full of crooks and scammers, so please be cautious.’

This is particularly the case with many tipsters on social media where it’s very easy to setup new accounts when the old ones start to hit a losing run. If a tipster is unable to provide proof of their results, then move on.

Ask Lots Of Questions…

Another way to avoid being caught out is to do your due diligence as Stuart from Football Investor points out:

“Do plenty of research before joining a service and don’t be afraid to ask them plenty of questions. There are many factors which could impact upon your likelihood of success following a tipster so it’s better to have this information in advance as mistakes can often prove costly.”

Longevity Matters

The length of time a tipster has been in operation is also key as Mike Lindley of Winabobatoo recommends to ‘find a betting service that you can trust and stick with them. If they’ve been around for a long time, they’re probably still here today because they get things right more often than they get things wrong’

After all – the average age of an SBC Hall of Fame service is over 3 years for a very good reason.

Don’t Quit Too Soon!

Finally, I want to wrap up todays email with some very salient advice from Chris Baier from Wisdom of Crowds who talked about ‘the single biggest mistake punters make’ – over-reacting to bad form and making key decisions based on this.

Chris wrote how he had seen this take place not just in the betting world, but also the financial world stating that:

“I recently saw the records of a very successful US Hedge Fund, that showed over 40% of their lifetime client base had actually lost money while investing with the fund!

This fund had a relatively consistent record of double digit annual gains over decades.”

What was the reason 40% of clients made a loss from this successful fund?

“Bad timing and illogical emotion” whereby those following the hedge fund bought into it when it was doing well and sold when doing poorly.

So instead of letting the markets do their thing and watching it all dispassionately, many of those who posted a loss thought they knew better and took their money out or added more at the wrong time.

I see this all the time when betting as punters flit from one winning service to another, rather than simply choosing a good one and sticking with it. And that ultimately can be very costly!

Grab Your New Season Football Guide

I hope you have enjoyed this small snapshot into the interviews as found within this new season football guide.

You can read all of the interviews in full, alongside detailed write-ups, analysis and ratings on the best tipsters to follow thoughout the guide.

Available to download the instant you join the Smart Betting Club.

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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Under the microscope: 14 of 2018/19’s best football tipsters

Posted on by Peter Ling

 

The new season is nearly upon us and to help you find the best football tipster(s), you must check out our fantastic new 2018/19 Season Football Tipster Guide!

Inside it features our take on 14 of the very best football tipsters we have uncovered with updated ratings, rankings and recommendations on the best experts for the new season.

You can also read detailed interviews with many of the tipsters including their strategies for the coming season and their tips and advice on how to make a profit football betting.

Tackling tipsters betting across the globe on leagues from Spain to Scotland and Brazil to Belgium, it’s your one-stop-shop for finding the best football betting experts.

Sign-up now to gain instant access (and the entire SBC back catalogue)

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Significant SBC Member Discounts

Inside the 2018/19 Season Football Tipster Guide you can also read details on several significant discounts available of the cost of these tipsters – exclusively available to SBC members.

You can often save more than the cost of a Smart Betting Club membership with many of these discounts combined!

The savings include:

  • £100 off the cost of a season with the ‘Hall of Fame’ Scottish football expert;
  • 15% discount on a top rated South American tipster;
  • 30% discount off your first purchase of any Pyckio.com football tipster;
  • £1 monthly subscription to an up and coming football ratings tipster;
  • Up to £40 off the cost of one of the most popular system based tipsters;
  • A £31.75 discount on the cost of the acca and free bets loophole tipster;
  • £32 off the cost of joining another long-running ratings based football service;
  • £25 discount on your first month with another ‘Hall of Fame’ European football tipster;
  • 125 Euros discount on the cost of a season with a non-league football guru.

Full details on these savings (and many others) are available to you with access to the Smart Betting Club website.

Click here to read more on other SBC member only discounts currently available.


“My Net Profit Was In Excess Of £58,000”

“I have just conducted a review of the tipster performance for 2017 and my net profit was in excess of £58,000, the majority of it coming from horse racing.”
Michael – An SBC Member For 5 Years

Read more from Michael on his profits last year

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Gain Instant Access & Save Up To £45 On An SBC Membership

If you want to know about the best football tipsters (Plus Horse Racing, Tennis, Golf, NBA, NFL, Darts & many other sports) then subscribe to the Smart Betting Club today and gain instant access to all our expert betting reports.

Best of all if joining the Smart Betting Club today you can also save up to a whopping £45 on the usual cost of membership.

This is because we have slashed the price of joining to ensure as many people as possible have access to our reports, magazines and guides.

We know we can make a difference to your punting – so why not sign-up right away and get started immediately. (There is a 90-day money back guarantee available after all)

Best Regards,
Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor

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