Month: April 2012

April's Smart Betting Club Magazine Out Now

Posted on by Mike

The very latest Smart Betting Club magazine (Issue number 71) has just been published – and once again contains the very latest on what makes money betting.

Whether you are interested in tipsters, systems, free strategies or insight from professional gamblers, it has something for you.

Contents of SBC 71 Include:

  • The only review you are likely to read of the new racing tipping service from a proven professional gambler. Feared by bookmakers, we have been exclusively proofing his bets and with a 244 pt profit (45% Return on Investment) in the past few months alone, it’s easy to see why he is so highly-rated. Memberships for his service are being snapped up – so make sure you pick up our review now, whilst you can still join him!
    .
  • Reviews of two new racing tipster services from Bet Advisor, both with a mightily impressive set of profits. Our main review focuses on one tipster who since August 2011 would have grown your betting bank by a crazy 313%! All proofed and checked as accurate. Currently his service is full to protect odds but SBC members get 15% off all Bet Advisor prices as standard when new spaces become available.
    .  
  • The third part of our ‘How to Bet On Greyhounds’ services from dog racing expert and pro gambler Dan James. This time around he focuses on the main greyhound trainers and how knowledge of the main movers and shakers here can help you pick out value Greyhound bets. It’s how he picked out the winner of last year’s English Derby at 40/1!
    • Dan has also been proofing all his greyhound racing tips on our SBC members’ forum since June 2011 to prove his expertise. Just this week he broke through the 100 pt profit barrier (over 50% Return on Investment) in a little over 10 months. Great tipping and all free for SBC members.
      . 
  • The second part of our interview with the Betting Zone racing expert – Ben Linfoot, whose free betting column has been outperforming the likes of Pricewise Extra over the past 2 years. We find out what makes him tick and some of the secrets behind his tipping success.
    .
  • SBC member ‘Kodagira’ has made +47.49 points trading football this season, which is over £2,374 profit to £50 per point from low risk strategies on Betfair. All bets and trading methods have been available to SBC members on our forum. This month Kodagira reveals the secrets of his success with his guide to Betfair football trading success.
    .  
  • The Premier league is heading for an exciting finale, but the football season isn’t over yet! The summer leagues of Scandinavia, Japan and the USA’s MLS are just getting started. Our friends at Football Form Labs reveal how to profit from these hidden summer goldmines. Find overlooked teams like the Norwegian club with an incredible home record thanks to their extreme northerly position.
    .  
  • Plus much, much more besides including all the latest stats, reviews and updates on the best sports betting tipsters, plus all the free strategies and systems for you to download or follow on our members forum.
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Gain instant access to SBC71 and our entire back catalogue by joining the Smart Betting Club today

 

 

April’s Smart Betting Club Magazine Out Now

Posted on by Mike

The very latest Smart Betting Club magazine (Issue number 71) has just been published – and once again contains the very latest on what makes money betting.

Whether you are interested in tipsters, systems, free strategies or insight from professional gamblers, it has something for you.

Contents of SBC 71 Include:

  • The only review you are likely to read of the new racing tipping service from a proven professional gambler. Feared by bookmakers, we have been exclusively proofing his bets and with a 244 pt profit (45% Return on Investment) in the past few months alone, it’s easy to see why he is so highly-rated. Memberships for his service are being snapped up – so make sure you pick up our review now, whilst you can still join him!
    .
  • Reviews of two new racing tipster services from Bet Advisor, both with a mightily impressive set of profits. Our main review focuses on one tipster who since August 2011 would have grown your betting bank by a crazy 313%! All proofed and checked as accurate. Currently his service is full to protect odds but SBC members get 15% off all Bet Advisor prices as standard when new spaces become available.
    .  
  • The third part of our ‘How to Bet On Greyhounds’ services from dog racing expert and pro gambler Dan James. This time around he focuses on the main greyhound trainers and how knowledge of the main movers and shakers here can help you pick out value Greyhound bets. It’s how he picked out the winner of last year’s English Derby at 40/1!
    • Dan has also been proofing all his greyhound racing tips on our SBC members’ forum since June 2011 to prove his expertise. Just this week he broke through the 100 pt profit barrier (over 50% Return on Investment) in a little over 10 months. Great tipping and all free for SBC members.
      . 
  • The second part of our interview with the Betting Zone racing expert – Ben Linfoot, whose free betting column has been outperforming the likes of Pricewise Extra over the past 2 years. We find out what makes him tick and some of the secrets behind his tipping success.
    .
  • SBC member ‘Kodagira’ has made +47.49 points trading football this season, which is over £2,374 profit to £50 per point from low risk strategies on Betfair. All bets and trading methods have been available to SBC members on our forum. This month Kodagira reveals the secrets of his success with his guide to Betfair football trading success.
    .  
  • The Premier league is heading for an exciting finale, but the football season isn’t over yet! The summer leagues of Scandinavia, Japan and the USA’s MLS are just getting started. Our friends at Football Form Labs reveal how to profit from these hidden summer goldmines. Find overlooked teams like the Norwegian club with an incredible home record thanks to their extreme northerly position.
    .  
  • Plus much, much more besides including all the latest stats, reviews and updates on the best sports betting tipsters, plus all the free strategies and systems for you to download or follow on our members forum.
    .  

Gain instant access to SBC71 and our entire back catalogue by joining the Smart Betting Club today

 

 

Tipster Analysis: Just How Can You Profit Betting By Following A Tipster Service?

Posted on by Mike

Betting in today’s world is becoming ever popular, with everything from the likes of Cheltenham and the Grand National to IPL Cricket and the US Golf Masters attracting more punting attention than even before.

Its why we are seeing more newcomers to betting joining us here at SBC with very often one common question: Just how can you make money betting with a tipster…as a newcomer..and on a budget?

Today I want to tackle that issue head-on with some professional advice and by using a real-life example from my own betting portfolio, whereby one budget tipster I road-tested proved how they could make £2,377.50 in the next 12 months. Continue reading →

Schalke vs Dortmund Bet Ideas

Posted on by Dan

In this article, our friends at Football Form Lab analyse the data to find Schalke vs Dortmund bet ideas AKA the ‘Revierderby’

Schalke 04 v Dortmund: Saturday April 14th 14.30. 

Dortmund beat Bayern in midweek to move to the brink of back-to-back Bundesliga titles. They now lead the Bavarian powerhouse by six points with four games remaining. However, this weekend they travel to Gelsenkirchen for the “Revierderby” with Schalke sitting third in the table and desperate to stop their bitter rivals from taking another championship. Continue reading →

Free Football Bets: The Fink Tank Value System Update

Posted on by Dan

If you’re looking for some decent free football bets, then you don’t have to look much further than the excellent Fink Tank ratings.

As we did last season, we’ve been closely tracking the football ratings from Dectech (AKA The Fink Tank Column in the Times).

We tested the Fink Tank ratings on the EPL last season using the same value betting approach and found some very positive results. Click here for a summary of the results and an outline of how we identified a value bet from the ratings.

We’ve been tracking all the qualifiers this season for our members on our forum [membership required] and the results so far have been absolutely superb. Big winners recently include:

Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips Part 5: The Shortlist

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts at the Smart Betting Club delve into the stats to unearth the top five Grand National 2012 tips for finding a winner in the big race.

In Part four of our Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips series, we looked at the importance of jockey & trainer trends In this article, we bring everything together

For more top Grand National 2012 tips including bets from expert tipsters, make sure you check out the FREE SBC Grand National 2012 tips package.  

Grand National 2012 Tip #5: Top Tips

We’ve covered a number of variables in this series, now it’s time to bring it all together.

As a recap, here are our important findings:

  • Age: 9 & 10 year olds perform best.
  • Odds: The front twelve in the betting market have an edge.
  • Weight: Be wary of horses the top five or bottom ten weights rank.
  • Jockey/ Trainer: Ruby Walsh riding is a big tick in the box for your selection. Timmy Murphy, AP McCoy, P Carberry, Barry Geraghy and Ruby Walsh all have fine national records.

There are no horses that meet all these criteria, but what we can do is give a point to each time one of the criteria is met. We expanded the odds to include the top 15 to account for late withdrawals. This means that we don’t discount any strong contenders just because they run against a negative statistic like being 11 years old.

Awarding points in this way, we get the following shortlists:

All horses with three stars:

  • Chicago grey.
  • Seabass.
  • Shakalakaboomboom.
  • West End Rocker.
  • Cappa Bleu.
  • Arbor Supreme.
  • Killyglen.
  • Becauseicouldnsee

Horses with four stars:

  • Synchronised (15/2 ew, 5 Places, 888 Sport)
  • On His Own (16/1, 5 places Blue Square)
  • Sunnyhillboy (20/1, 5 places various bookmakers)

In our Grand National 2012 tips pack: http://www.grand-national-tips-2012.com we also award points for any horse given a positive write up by the two featured racing experts Scott Armstrong and PCB. Doing so we get a more refined short list of five star horses.

To get this full Five Star list, get your Grand National Tips pack today.

For the record, we’ll be putting some money on ‘On His Own’ at 16/1 with Blue Square paying out 5 places with some exposure to the other five star tips.

If you want more tips like this, including bets that expert tipsters are following, make sure you download our FREE Grand National 2012 Tips Pack. This pack will also highlight all the horses currently meeting the criteria for the top five tips.

Our expert Grand National 2012 Tips Profit Pack is out now. .

Grand National 2012 Tips Series: 

Smart Betting Club. With thanks to Pro Form Professional, an excellent horse racing analysis tool.

Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips Part 4: Jockey & Trainer Trends

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts at the Smart Betting Club delve into the stats to unearth the top five Grand National 2012 tips for finding a winner in the big race.

In Part three of our Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips series, we looked at the importance of the the handicap weight. In this article, we look at jockey & trainer trends.

For more top Grand National 2012 tips including bets from expert tipsters, make sure you check out the FREE SBC Grand National 2012 tips package.  

Grand National 2012 Tip #4: The Best Jockeys For The National. 

With so much attention on the horses, it’s easy to forget about the importance of the poor fellows attempting to steer their ride to victory. Just like Formula 1, you can have a fine engine, but it’s the driver that decides how the race will be run (and hopefully won).

Some jockeys have a better record than others at the Grand National as the following analysis shows. With so many jockeys taking part over the years, we have restricted our analysis to some of the bigger names and more frequent riders.

Jockey performance since 1997

We have to be wary of reading too much into jockey stats because the sample size is so low, but they still make for interesting reading.

The standout performer in recent years is Ruby Walsh with two winners from his ten runs. Backing all his rides blindly would have produced an excellent profit of 12.5 points (125% ROI) to Betfair prices. Tom Scudamore by contrast has a poor record, with no wins from his nine runs.

With a paucity of data to work with, it make sense to not just look at the winners, but also how often a jockey gets a horse into the right area.

Jockey place strike rate since 1997

Incredibly, not only has Ruby Walsh won twice, he’s also won or placed in 60% of his National runs. If you’re looking for an Each Way angle, Ruby’s ride has to be a contender.

The win and place stats also show that AP McCoy has been banging on the door for many years with a 35.71% win/ place strike rate.

Unfortunately Tom Scudamore’s stats don’t get any better, with none of his horses even placing.

Jockey Declarations For the National

The jockeys have now mostly been declared for the National. Here are the horses which match up to the jockeys profiled above.

  • Timmy Murphy: Weird Al
  • AP McCoy: Synchronised (favourite)
  • P Carberry: Not yet declared
  • Barry Geraghty Shakalakaboomboom
  • R Walsh: On His Own
  • Tom Scudamore: Junior

These jockey trends might not be reliable enough on their own, but if they could help you fine tune your shortlist.

Trainer Trends

Similar to the jockey trends, there are some interesting statistics on the trainers, but these also need to be taken with a pinch of salt due to the low sample sizes.

What is striking is how spread out the National winners have been across the population of trainers. The big name trainers don’t seem to have as much of an advantage as you might think as the numbers below indicate:

Grand National trainer records from 1997

Big name trainers like Paul Nicholls have had a poor record at the National with no winners so far. D Pipe has bettered his Father’s post 1997 record by finding a winner, but it’s not been enough to beat the odds.

As with the jockeys, we can probably get more meaningful information by looking at the number of times a trainer has managed to get horses in the right area, not just win.

Jonjo O’Neil has had just 20 runners, but a quarter of these have won or placed. Similarly, three of WP Mullins 19 runners have won or placed. Paul Nicholl’s record doesn’t get much better when we look at the win & place strike rate and it seems to be feast or famine with Nigel Twiston Davis with only one horse placing in additional to his two winners.

Trainer Declarations For the National

Here are the featured trainers entries for the 2012 national at present:

  • Jonjo O’Neil: Synchronised, Arbor Supreme, Sunnyhillyboy.
  • D Pipe: Junior, Swing Bill.
  • Nigel Twiston Davis: Viking Blond, Hello Bud.
  • Paul Nicholls: Neptune Collonges.
  • W P Mullins: On His Own, The Midnight Club & Quiscover Fontaine.

Summary – Grand National 2012 Tip #4: The Best Jockeys 

If you want more tips like this, including bets that expert tipsters are following, make sure you download our FREE Grand National 2012 Tips Pack. This pack will also highlight all the horses currently meeting the criteria for the top five tips.

Our expert Grand National 2012 Tips Profit Pack is out now. .

To receive exclusive free copy, simply fill in the form at http://www.grand-national-tips-2012.com/

Part five coming soon will reveal our Grand National 2012 tip: Why weights matter. 

Grand National 2012 Tips Series: 

Smart Betting Club. With thanks to Pro Form Professional, an excellent horse racing analysis tool.

Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips Part 4: Jockey & Trainer Trends

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts at the Smart Betting Club delve into the stats to unearth the top five Grand National 2012 tips for finding a winner in the big race.

In Part three of our Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips series, we looked at the importance of the the handicap weight. In this article, we look at jockey & trainer trends.

For more top Grand National 2012 tips including bets from expert tipsters, make sure you check out the FREE SBC Grand National 2012 tips package.  

Grand National 2012 Tip #4: The Best Jockeys For The National. 

With so much attention on the horses, it’s easy to forget about the importance of the poor fellows attempting to steer their ride to victory. Just like Formula 1, you can have a fine engine, but it’s the driver that decides how the race will be run (and hopefully won).

Some jockeys have a better record than others at the Grand National as the following analysis shows. With so many jockeys taking part over the years, we have restricted our analysis to some of the bigger names and more frequent riders.

Jockey performance since 1997

We have to be wary of reading too much into jockey stats because the sample size is so low, but they still make for interesting reading.

The standout performer in recent years is Ruby Walsh with two winners from his ten runs. Backing all his rides blindly would have produced an excellent profit of 12.5 points (125% ROI) to Betfair prices. Tom Scudamore by contrast has a poor record, with no wins from his nine runs.

With a paucity of data to work with, it make sense to not just look at the winners, but also how often a jockey gets a horse into the right area.

Jockey place strike rate since 1997

Incredibly, not only has Ruby Walsh won twice, he’s also won or placed in 60% of his National runs. If you’re looking for an Each Way angle, Ruby’s ride has to be a contender.

The win and place stats also show that AP McCoy has been banging on the door for many years with a 35.71% win/ place strike rate.

Unfortunately Tom Scudamore’s stats don’t get any better, with none of his horses even placing.

Jockey Declarations For the National

The jockeys have now mostly been declared for the National. Here are the horses which match up to the jockeys profiled above.

  • Timmy Murphy: Weird Al
  • AP McCoy: Synchronised (favourite)
  • P Carberry: Not yet declared
  • Barry Geraghty Shakalakaboomboom
  • R Walsh: On His Own
  • Tom Scudamore: Junior

These jockey trends might not be reliable enough on their own, but if they could help you fine tune your shortlist.

Trainer Trends

Similar to the jockey trends, there are some interesting statistics on the trainers, but these also need to be taken with a pinch of salt due to the low sample sizes.

What is striking is how spread out the National winners have been across the population of trainers. The big name trainers don’t seem to have as much of an advantage as you might think as the numbers below indicate:

Grand National trainer records from 1997

Big name trainers like Paul Nicholls have had a poor record at the National with no winners so far. D Pipe has bettered his Father’s post 1997 record by finding a winner, but it’s not been enough to beat the odds.

As with the jockeys, we can probably get more meaningful information by looking at the number of times a trainer has managed to get horses in the right area, not just win.

Jonjo O’Neil has had just 20 runners, but a quarter of these have won or placed. Similarly, three of WP Mullins 19 runners have won or placed. Paul Nicholl’s record doesn’t get much better when we look at the win & place strike rate and it seems to be feast or famine with Nigel Twiston Davis with only one horse placing in additional to his two winners.

Trainer Declarations For the National

Here are the featured trainers entries for the 2012 national at present:

  • Jonjo O’Neil: Synchronised, Arbor Supreme, Sunnyhillyboy.
  • D Pipe: Junior, Swing Bill.
  • Nigel Twiston Davis: Viking Blond, Hello Bud.
  • Paul Nicholls: Neptune Collonges.
  • W P Mullins: On His Own, The Midnight Club & Quiscover Fontaine.

Summary – Grand National 2012 Tip #4: The Best Jockeys 

If you want more tips like this, including bets that expert tipsters are following, make sure you download our FREE Grand National 2012 Tips Pack. This pack will also highlight all the horses currently meeting the criteria for the top five tips.

Our expert Grand National 2012 Tips Profit Pack is out now. .

To receive exclusive free copy, simply fill in the form at http://www.grand-national-tips-2012.com/

Part five coming soon will reveal our Grand National 2012 tip: Why weights matter. 

Grand National 2012 Tips Series: 

Smart Betting Club. With thanks to Pro Form Professional, an excellent horse racing analysis tool.

Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips Part 3: The Right Weight

Posted on by Dan

In this article, the analysts at the Smart Betting Club delve into the stats to unearth the top five Grand National 2012 tips for finding a winner in the big race.

In Part two of our Top Five Grand National 2012 Tips series, we looked at the importance of the Starting Price. In this article, we look at the importance of the handicap weight.

For more top Grand National 2012 tips including bets from expert tipsters, make sure you check out the FREE SBC Grand National 2012 tips package.  

Grand National 2012 Tip #3: Not too heavy, not too light. 

The Grand National is a handicap race which means that each horse will be carrying a certain weight to supposedly even out the contest. In theory the heaviest weight goes on the most able horse and the lightest weight goes on the least able, but in practice it doesn’t always work out like this thanks to some clever race timing by some trainers after the formal weights are announced.

The current favourite Synchronised is an impressive horse, but is carrying the heaviest weight of 11 stone 10 pounds as a handicap. Will this be too much of a burden for the Gold Cup winner? Unfortunately history is not on its side…

The following table shows the performance of horses by their weight rank. “Ranked 1-5” means the horses was given one of the heaviest weights, e.g. Synchronised is ranked number one presently. Rank 36-40 means the horse was given one of the lightest handicaps. You can check the horses in handicap weight order on the Racing Post website.

Continue reading →

Arsenal v Man City Betting Ideas

Posted on by Dan

In this article, our friends at Football Form Lab analyse the data to find betting ideas for Arsenal vs Man City.

Arsenal v Manchester City: Sunday April 8th 16:00.

Should United beat QPR at Old Trafford earlier in the afternoon, Man City face the prospect of going to the Emirates eight points behind United in the title race. With the stakes this high, surely anything less than a win for City will spell the end of their challenge. Meanwhile Arsenal are locked in an even closer battle for third and fourth, making this a vital fixture for both teams.

So what are the Arsenal v Man City Betting Ideas?

This will be the 15th time City have travelled to Arsenal in the Premier League era and they are still looking for their first win, having lost 10/14 and scoring just five goals in total. Moreover, given City’s recent away record of four defeats in nine, with wins coming against just Aston Villa and Wigan, the Gunners win looks the best value in the match outcome market, especially given they’ve won 11 of their last 14 home matches. Arsenal can be backed at 2.5 to win.

The past two meetings between these teams at the Emirates have ended goalless and this fixture has ended with fewer than three goals in six of the past seven years, while the reverse finished 1-0 to City back in December. It’s surprising to see the bookies go odds against for -2.5 goals, especially considering the fact that City haven’t scored more than once in an away game since the start of November, nine games ago. Eight of those nine away games finished with -2.5 goals with six of the last seven having fewer than two scores.  Under 2.5 goals is a generous looking 2.1.

Following on from this, just two of the last eight editions of this fixture have seen the opening goal in the first half hour, while just one goal has been scored in City’s last seven away first halves. The first goal being scored after 28 minutes can be backed at 2.1.

Matches between these two have been pretty feisty in the past couple of seasons with all five meetings since 2009/10 having at least 50 booking points and with Martin Atkinson in charge there may well be a buying opportunity.

Using Football Form Labs you can identify thousands of betting opportunities every week from team streaks to hidden form. Take up a 28 day free trial today.

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