# Tipster Lies & Statistics / Calculating Betting Bank Growth

“Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics” …So goes the well-known phrase made popular by Mark Twain on how people (usually politicians) use numbers to push forward weak arguments.

Yet it’s not just politicians who like to bend the truth with numbers, but also tipsters too, with some of the worst culprits playing fast and loose with their profit figures.

For example, here are just a few claims I received from various tipster spam mailing lists I seem to be on:

• “102 points profit so far made in June”
• “I made £2551 Profit in just 4 days”
• “Earn £800 a week tax-free per week”

The problem with each of these claims is that they only discuss profit without any context.

You might have made 102 points profit in June, but it’s not much use if the first 5 months of the year lost 200 points is it?

Even if the service in question has a long-term profitable record (unlikely as its spam!) then how much money did they risk to make those 102 points profit?

After all, you wouldn’t want to be risking £200,000 to make that £800 a week would you?

### How To Put Tipster Results Into Context

So how exactly can you weigh up how valuable a tipster really is and put their profit figures into context?

Well, one of the best methods we advocate is working out its Return on Capital (ROC), which is sometimes also known as Betting Bank Growth.

This is a very effective calculation as it tells you how much your initial money will grow over a period of time.

Simply quoting 102 points profit means nothing, but 102% ROC – well that would indicate you have more than doubled your betting bank.

Here are a few examples to explain further…

• Tipster A makes 50% ROC in a 6 month period
If starting with £2000 you would now have a £1000 profit (50% ROC)
• Tipster B makes a 150% ROC over the course of a football season
If starting with £5000, you would now have a £7500 profit (150% ROC)
• Tipster C makes a 300% ROC over a 2 year period
If starting with £1000, you would now have a £3000 profit (300% ROC).

### Why ROC Often Beats ROI!

For my money, working out the ROC or Return on Capital for any tipster often supersedes many other calculations, including Return on Investment (ROI)

ROI works out how much you have to stake to make your profit and whilst important, it is often ROC that provides even greater context.

As an example, check out the stats on the football tipster below, who over the course of 2 seasons has made a 8.8% ROI and 66.6 points profit from 824 bets.

Now at first glance to some punters, this record seems OK at best. Only 66.6 points profit in 2 years at 8.08% ROI might seem fairly small in comparison to some other tipsters.

Yet, you would be wrong to ignore these stats and you will see why when I add in the ROC figures below.

Due to the relatively high strike-rate and our suggested bank size, the ROC calculation comes in at 166.5% for the entire 2 season period

That’s 95.7% bank growth in 2015/16 and 70.8% bank growth in the 2016/17 season.

Starting with £2000 in 2015, you would have made a profit of £3,320 over the course of these 2 seasons.

I don’t know about you but if I could guarantee my betting bank would grow by 166% over the course of 2 seasons football betting, I would take that!

### One Size Does NOT Fit All!

Despite all the above, you do need to be very careful when it comes to working out your betting bank sizes as some tipsters do not have a clue on what to advise!

I have seen several examples where a tipster has claimed a huge ROC, yet clearly have far too small a betting bank suggestion.

So small, that if following you would have bust your bank long before any profit is made.

All of which is why, here at SBC we set our own betting bank sizes for EVERY tipster we review, using a special simulator we developed to help calculate the optimum suggestion.

This simulator crunches the numbers for each tipster to arrive at a suggested betting bank figure that is realistic and fair.

Some tipsters don’t like this as we often recommend higher betting bank sizes to those they suggest.

Yet ultimately what is most important to us is providing you with fair and accurate betting bank suggestions you can stick to.

### Expert Guidance On ROC, ROI, Profit, Banks & More

You can discover more on the best performing tipsters for ROC (or Betting Bank Growth) as a Smart Betting Club member.

Not only this, but you can also find comparison tables providing you with details on:

• The best overall tipster
• The most profitable tipsters
• The best tipsters from the last 12 months
• The best low cost tipsters
• The best free tipsters
• The best ‘odds availability’ tipsters (those that quote realistic prices)
• And much more besides…

We also know that its not just profits in theory that you want but in practice. Which is why you can also view:

• The Best ‘Adjusted Profits’ Tipsters – how their profits stand up if betting often 15 to 30 minutes after a tip is supplied (ideal if worried about not getting the advised prices!)
• Unique ‘Suggested Profits’ Tables – how much money you need to risk and how much you can make betting. Fully tailored to each tipster to be entirely realistic.

For those of you keen to understand how betting banks work, we also have a full rundown in the we supply to you as a Smart Betting Club member.

All of this is available to you the instant you join us at the Smart Betting Club.

Best of all, you can now join and save up to £38 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

### << JOIN THE Smart Betting Club TODAY >>

See you on the inside.

Peter Ling
SBC Editor

### “90-DAY 100% SATISFACTION MONEY BACK GUARANTEE”……

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# 10 Informed Tipster Ratings To Help You & Your Betting

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Earlier this week saw the release of the very latest SBC Tipster Profit Report, featuring updated tipster league tables, tipster ratings and recommendations on the best betting experts to follow in 2017.

Did you know that for each of the tipsters we report back on, you can also find a dedicated ‘Key Facts’ tipster ratings page, which provide unique and informative ratings on everything they offer?

Whether it be the profits a tipster is making, how much they cost, how patient you might have to be if following or even just how achievable their advised odds might be – we regularly update these tipster ratings to keep you fully up to speed on just who the best (and sometimes worst) tipsters actually are.

#### Tipster Ratings & How They Can Help You

My team and I rate each tipster we monitor on 10 different aspects of the service they offer. This is based on a scale of 1 (very bad) to 5 (very good) and we constantly update these ratings to ensure they are relevant.

To help showcase how they can help you, here is a brief guide to the ratings we provide for each tipster and exactly what they indicate:

Returns (AKA Profits!): This is always the first rating we supply as ultimately a tipster is only as good as the profits it can make you. The greater the profit, ROI or betting bank growth, then the higher this rating will be!

Risk: There is always an element or risk in following any tipster, yet for some the level of risk is greater than others. For example, a tipster with only a 1-year history of profitable tips is in essence a riskier proposition than a tipster with a 5-year profitable record.
Equally a tipster that chops and changes strategy every few months is going to rate poorly compared to an expert with a more settled method. Our risk rating communicates exactly how ‘safe’ your money might be when following a tipster.

Cost: Exactly how much does a tipster charge and how does that compare with others offering a similar service? The cost rating rewards those offering the best value for money service and helps you find the best, more affordable expert.

Odds Availability: For many tipsters, especially those supplying racing tips, odds availability is a critical tipster rating. After all, if you as a potential customer of a tipster are unable to obtain the odds they claim, then there is little reason in following them.
We base our odds availability rating on the in-depth odds tracking we perform in each review we publish. This odds tracking gauges the individual price movements of any advised tip over time (e.g. after 15, 30, 60 minutes) and compare it to the results the service utilises. The easier it is to obtain or improve on the settled odds, the greater this rating and appeal to you as a potential member of their tipping service.

Transparency: With this rating, we relate just how open and honest a tipster is. For example – do they publish accurate and detailed results on their website or do they keep them hidden from view? Transparency and openness is key in the tipster industry.

Customer Service: We also keenly observe the customer service experience you might receive if a member of any given tipping service. How quickly do they reply to emails and how do they treat you as a customer? This rating outlines our experience and understanding of the quality of service on offer.

Suggested Portfolio Weighting: Should you choose to join a tipster, exactly how much money and what proportion of your betting bank should you apply to them? This rating outlines our recommendation, based on our overall confidence in the service and the strength of our ratings.

Patience: How long might you need assign in terms of time to ensure a clear profit from following any given tipster? Our patience rating outlines this and is based on the profile of the tipster, their historical record and the odds/strike-rate they operate to.

Points Betting Bank: For each tipster we analyse, we also suggest the size ‘points betting bank’ we advocate you use to maximise your profits. This is designed to cover potential losing runs and maximise winning runs without ever going ‘bust’! Its all part of the money management advice we provide to help you make the most from your betting.

Recommendation: Our final rating provides an overall guide to the recommendation we currently apply to any tipster. The higher a tipster rates and the longer it has been in service, then the greater the recommendation for you to purchase a subscription with them.

Currently we provide each tipster with one of the following 5 recommendations:

1. Strong Buy – We fully recommend this service as one to follow.
2. Speculative Buy – We recommend this service although with some noticeable caveats, which can be observed in their SBC review.
3. Hold – If you have a current subscription to this service, we recommend you continue to follow. Those of you without a subscription to the service, should not start following.
4. Watch – A tipster we need to observe further. We do not recommend anyone joins and if you do have a subscription, we recommend you proceed with extreme caution.
5. Sell – We do not currently recommend. If you hold a subscription, we recommend you stop following.

#### Get A Fully Informed Tipster View

All the ratings when combined can help provide you with a fully informed view of just who the best tipsters might be to suit your preferences.

• If you are looking for the most affordable tipster going – then the cost rating will help
• Perhaps you are looking for the safest tipster out there – if so, the risk rating is your friend
• Maybe you simply want to join the tipster with highest profits – the returns rating is what you need.

As we list 10 ratings for each of the 57 tipsters we currently track – in total you can currently access 570 different ratings as an SBC member. More than enough to help you find the right tipster for you!

#### Hall of Fame & Member Funded

To help you even further, we also put the very best tipsters in our ‘Hall of Fame’, which is our regularly updated list of top tipster recommendations.

Best of all, as the Smart Betting Club is 100% member funded, all our ratings and Hall of Fame recommendations are totally independent and affiliate/kickback free – unlike almost all other ‘tipster review’ websites.

We accept no payments or rewards for penning favourable tipster reviews. So if we say a tipster is good, it’s because they genuinely are, not because we have been paid to say so!

(And if you want to know more about this – feel free to search for other tipster review sites and see how they link to the tipsters they feature. Very often they will use affiliate links such as from clickbank or their own in-house affiliate programs, which pay the reviewer a share of income if you join the tipster services they recommend)

#### Up To £35 On An SBC Membership!

You can pick up your copy of the latest Tipster Profit Report and access all of our tipster ratings, the instant you join our service at the Smart Betting Club.

You can also now join and save up to £35 as part of our specially discounted 2017 membership prices.

Making it a great time to sign-up and see how we can help you and your betting!

Subscribe NOW to the Smart Betting Club

Best Regards,

Peter Ling
Smart Betting Club Editor