Why Betting Odds-On Can Be More Profitable Than You Think

There is a particular type of bet that many experienced bettors instinctively dislike.

A 1.30 shot.

A 1.20 shot.

Sometimes even shorter.

The usual reaction is that there cannot possibly be much value at those prices.

But what if that thinking is wrong?

And what if avoiding short priced bets means ignoring some of the best betting opportunities available?

That is something we have been highlighting at the Smart Betting Club for years.

And this week, independent tipster and betting analyst Craig Edwards provided a very interesting example of it.

“I Rarely Bet Odds On”

Craig has just published a detailed review of WinnerOdds, a service we have followed, reviewed and recommended at SBC for several years.

What makes his experience particularly interesting is that WinnerOdds goes against Craig’s normal betting instincts.

As he explains:

“Anyone who follows my stuff will know I rarely bet odds on, very rarely, but this service in general is the opposite.”

Craig originally subscribed after our recommendation at Smart Betting Club.

Nearly 30 months later, his verdict is pretty emphatic:

“I did and have never looked back!”

You can read Craig’s full independent WinnerOdds review here:

https://craigedwards811131.substack.com/p/winner-odds-review

Craig also explains that WinnerOdds concentrates on smaller edges combined with significant betting volume, meaning many of its selections are odds on.

It is a very different approach to hunting for big priced winners. But that does not mean the value is any smaller.

Why Betting Odds On Is So Misunderstood

Earlier this year we explored this exact subject at SBC.

One of the biggest misconceptions in betting is that a short price automatically means poor value.

It doesn’t.

A team offered at 1.30 that should actually be priced at 1.20 represents an edge of around 6.5%.

Find opportunities like that repeatedly and those relatively small advantages can add up.

Our analysis of more than 4,000 bets from one successful football service found that over a third of its 1,552 points of profit came from its short priced bets.

But I have also seen the same thing with my own money.

€37,000 Profit betting between 1.01 and 1.6

I personally followed WinnerOdds for several years.

Over that period my account generated just under €64,000 profit.

And here is the part that might surprise you.

More than €37,000 of that profit came from bets priced between just 1.01 and 1.60.

That is nearly 60% of the total profit coming from the sort of prices many bettors instinctively avoid.

They weren’t winning bets simply because they were short.

They were profitable because they were mispriced.

You can read our full article explaining the numbers and why short priced betting is so often misunderstood here:

https://smartbettingclub.com/blog/betting-odds-on-is-misunderstood/

This Is What SBC Is About

There are countless accepted ideas in betting that deserve to be questioned.

Never back odds on.

Always look for bigger prices.

A short priced winner was obvious.

A losing bet was a bad bet.

At the Smart Betting Club, we are interested in what the evidence actually tells us rather than anecdotes or assumptions.

That means independently testing betting services, analysing thousands of real bets, speaking with successful bettors and sharing the strategies and services we believe serious bettors should know about.

WinnerOdds is just one example.

SBC members get access to our monthly SBC Magazine, our archive of betting service reviews and reports stretching back 20 years, plus our latest research, interviews, analysis and member benefits.

If you want to make better informed betting decisions and discover opportunities you may otherwise overlook, you can join Smart Betting Club today.

Why Short Priced Bets Are Misunderstood And Why You Should Consider Betting ‘Odds On’

One of the most common misconceptions in betting – be it racing, football or any other sport is that short priced bets are a mug’s game, a fool’s errand best left alone because “there’s no value in backing odds-on.”

Issue 160 of the SBC Magazine challenges that belief directly, revealing data that tells a very different story.

Many bettors dismiss placing bets as short priced as 1.30 or 1.40 with the line “anyone could find that winner – that’s easy”.

The reality is that consistently finding value at short prices is one of the hardest skills in betting. Its also one of the most lucrative ways to bet.

And if it was easy, everyone would be doing it.

Small Advantages Add Up

Harry Findlay, one of Britain’s most outspoken and successful professional gamblers, built his reputation on fearless staking and a deep understanding of value.

He repeatedly spoke about backing short priced favourites when he believed the market had not gone far enough.

Small advantages, applied again and again at high strike rates, are what grow banks.

Here is why that matters.

A football team priced at 1.30 that should really be closer to 1.20 represents roughly a 6.5% edge.

Repeated hundreds of times, that edge compounds very quickly.

In SBC Magazine Issue 160, we analysed a Hall of Fame football service across more than 4,000 real bets and 1552 points profit.

When we segmented the results by odds bands, one trend stood out clearly.

Short priced bets were a major driver of profit as proven by the table below – Over a third of the total profit of 1552 points came from this band alone.

That is not accidental. That is disciplined edge betting.

This is also why short prices are so powerful for bankroll growth.

High strike rates such as we see here at 76% reduce drawdowns. Losing runs are shorter. Equity curves are smoother.

Profits compound because you spend more time moving forward and less time recovering losses.

This is exactly why bettors like Findlay favoured this approach. Not because it was comfortable, but because it was effective.

Bigger Is Not Always Better

Contrast that with bigger prices.

A true 7% edge at odds of 20/1 still exists, but it comes with long losing runs that most bettors underestimate. 20 or 30 straight losses are not bad luck. They are part of the maths.

To withstand that without cutting stakes, chasing losses, or abandoning the strategy altogether, you need a much larger bank and a much stronger tolerance for volatility.

Short priced edge betting flips that equation.

You win more often. Confidence stays intact. Stakes can grow steadily rather than in sharp bursts followed by deep pullbacks.

We have seen this pattern repeatedly.

During recent years I personally followed a similar Tennis service (also SBC Hall of Fame rated) and my account generated just under 64,000 Euros profit.

Of that total, more than 37,000 Euros came from bets priced between 1.01 and 1.60 – as the table below from my account showcases.

So nearly 60% of the profit came from prices many bettors would casually dismiss as obvious.

They were not obvious. They were mispriced.

Taking bets at 1.3 that should be 1.2 on a regular basis.

When you combine short price edges with high strike rates and controlled staking, you get a style of betting that grows banks steadily and predictably.

Issue 160 Out Now

In Issue 160, we also show how this football service performs across every odds band, from heavy favourites through to bigger prices, with full transparency on strike rates, profit, and ROI.

The short priced section is just one part of a much bigger picture. It is also the part many bettors ignore, often to their own cost.

If you want to understand why this approach works, and why some of the most successful bettors in history leaned into it rather than away from it, SBC Magazine Issue 160 breaks it down in full.

Members can log in now to read the issue.

If you are not yet a member, joining gives you instant access to Issue 160 and the full nineteen year SBC magazine archive.

Access Issue 160 and the entire 19 year back catalogue with a SBC Membership