Last week saw the release of the very latest SBC Magazine – Issue 108 which featured reviews of 3 new winning tipsters to help in your profitable betting quest.
Chief amongst them was our exploration of ‘The Betting Man‘ service, which since inception back in November 2017 has produced some exceptional results, having made 328 points at 27.2% Return on Investment.
In fact since our original review was published – he has picked up an extra 28 points profit, including a 16/1 winner on Friday, so he remains in red-hot form.
Yet as good as his form has been, as tipster reviewers we always need to delve much deeper than simple headline profit figures to get the real lowdown on how good a service really is – including one of the most vital topics – Odds Movement.
Odds Tracking & Movement Analysis
In today’s racing betting world – one thing we must always explore before considering joining a tipster is exactly how fair the odds they quote actually are.
Because if a tipster puts up a bet at 16/1, yet this price is slashed within seconds to 12/1, before going into 8/1 within 15 minutes, then the reality is that it will be very difficult to match the prices quoted. A tipster good in theory, but not in practice.
Therefore, as part of our detailed tipster review process, we run an odds tracking analysis study, which gauges the odds a tipster quotes and how quickly these prices move (or not) over time. Exploring the practicality of following a tipster in the real world.
In The Betting Man’s case we tracked the odds movement of his tips for 2 1/2 months from a group of major bookmakers. Comparing his advised odds with those immediately available upon receipt of his tips, the best odds after 15 minutes had elapsed, at 1030am and finally at SP.
During this 2 1/2 month odds tracking period, The Betting Man had a fantastic time, making a ROI of 54.3% and over 100 points profit so it was an intriguing time to run such a study!
Here are the results of it:
The key figure to look at here is the ROI Difference percentage as the odds available upon the tips being received were actually 3.2% better than those he was advising.
Suggesting that the quoted odds are fair and actually can be beaten by using a website like Oddschecker to source the best prices.
After 15 minutes the ROI difference is still positive, although only at 0.2% – but still the point remains that the advised odds can be matched as long as betting within 15 minutes.
Beyond that – we did see some movement with a drop of 17.8% ROI down to 36.6% if betting at 10.30am and a 30% ROI drop at SP. The latter is not surprising as no-one should bet at SP these days, but what it does tell you is the edge The Betting Man has over the market.
Odds Findings – Summary
To summarise – it seemed clear to us that as long as backing The Betting Man’s selections within the first 15 minutes, you should easily match, if not beat his advised odds and obtain a similar level of performance.
There is movement come 10.30am although we do have a concern that the drop off in ROI is somewhat exaggerated due to the exceptional run of form during this tracking period.
Betfair SP Performance
In each review, we also examine the potential profitability of following any such tipster on the betting exchanges, including at Betfair SP after 5% commission is deducted on each winner.
Our analysis indicated that The Betting Man has been very profitable to date backing at Betfair SP with a 37.3% ROI from the 573 bets we were able to match to an external data source (all at 1 point level stakes)
Here is the full comparison of the 573 bets we matched:
Despite this strong performance, we would prefer to see a larger sample of bets first before recommending this as a bonafide Betfair SP service, although it is certainly an angle worth keeping an eye on.
Join Now & Save 50% (Offer Ends Soon)
You can read our very detailed review of The Betting Man and 2 other winning tipsters in SBC 108 – which is available to download the instant you join the Smart Betting Club as either a Silver, Gold or Platinum member.
And for those of you interested in joining The Betting Man, we have secured SBC members the chance to save up to 50% on the cost of membership in an exclusive deal.
If interested in this deal – BE QUICK as news reached me this morning that they will be closing to new members at the end of December and a waiting list will be put in place. This in order to further protect the odds availability of those tips. So if you wish to both join and SAVE up to 50%, you need to move quick.
