A quick update on the season so far and after last weekend my bets are 2.95 pts in profit from 53.5 pts staked so far since August (ROI of 5.51%) so hoping to up that in coming weeks and months. My staking this season has let me down the most as at flat 1 pt stakes, returns would actually be 4.87 pts up (9.10% ROI) and its something I am certainly looking at. The best news is that of my 9 ante-post bets, 6 are currently winning, which means a further 4.51 pts if it stays the same before the season is out.

We have seen a fair amount of goals in the Premier League this season and I see lots of value in 3 separate over 2.5 goals lines this weekend. My first bet is up at Bolton where my fave team this year host unconvincing travellers Blackburn in a local derby. Blackburn have gone overs in 59% of away games and Bolton in 63% of home games since last season and the odds of 1.98 suggest only a 50.7% chance of this happening again. Happy therefore to take the value on offer here.

Down at Craven Cottage, the odds of 2.35 on Fulham V Sunderland to see over 2.5 goals also looks too high. Looking at similar seasonal scoring stats, I make the % chance of overs to be 47% (about 2.12) and with Sunderland playing 3 up front they won’t be shy about getting forward. Fulham need to get 3 points as well so I can’t see them sitting back here either.

West Ham V Man City rounds off my overs bets this weekend as the Hammers have let in 3 goals or more in 63% of home games since last season. City whilst not prolific themselves should enjoy the woeful defending on offer from the home team, although the best odds of 2.04 are not huge so just a shortlist bet here.

My final main bet is similar to one I took in April last year, which won on Spurs with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at home against an out of form Chelsea. You can get 1.83 with Bet365 and considering Redknapp’s charges have lost just 3 home games in 2 seasons, Chelsea have their work cut out here. A draw gives us a 0.41 pt profit, but I can easily see all three points going to the tome team.

A couple of final shortlist bets too with Bolton to beat Blackburn at 2.14 and Villa to beat West Brom at 2.2. Both prices I feel should be closer to evens, although some concerns that the Bolton game is a local derby where form can go pear-shaped and Villa need to bounce back from 4 losses on the bounce.

Please note – my bets next week may only appear on Saturday morning. I will be posting them as usual on the SBC Blog.

Main Bets

1 pt Over 2.5 goals Bolton V Blackburn. 1.98 Pinnacle
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Fulham V Sunderland. 2.35 SBObet/12bet/canbet
1 pt Tottenham (+0.25 AH) V Chelsea. 1.83 Bet365/Betinternet

Shortlist Bets

1 pt Bolton to beat Blackburn. 2.14 Pinnacle
1 pt Aston Villa to beat West Brom. 2.2 Boylesports
1 pt Over 2.5 goals West Ham V Man City. 2.04 Ladbrokes

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Long faces all round this week from an English point of view after losing out to the Russians in the World Cup bid. If you were of a cynical mindset you might wonder if the fact that Russia this week was quoted as being a “virtual mafia state with widespread corruption, bribery and protection rackets” made them so appealing to FIFA!? ….. I couldn’t possibly comment!

Still the World Cup for all its hype is a poor event from a value betting perspective (despite the billions traded on it) and in contrast the English Premier League continues to throw up what I feel are good value bets each weekend. None more so than this Monday with Aston Villa, who despite a run of losses lately have not been playing too badly and look to have a better chance than the odds suggest away at a Liverpool team minus Gerrard & Carragher. I can easily see Houllier’s return to Anfield ending in a draw and with a +1 Asian Handicap at 1.84, we can even lose by 1 goal and get our stake back. The pace of Young & Agbonlahor up against Kyrgiakos will certainly make for an interesting contest.

Birmingham may not be the prettiest team to watch (both stylistically and aesthetically – hello Lee Bowyer) but they are blooming hard to beat at home. They have lost just 2 out of 26 at St Andrews and will give visitors Spurs a run for their money, especially if the away team gift them a head start like in a number of recent games. The +0.5 at 1.82 with Pinnacle on Brum looks a cracking bet to my eyes.

It looks like there has been an over-reaction to West Ham’s 4-0 demolition of Man Utd in a game featuring enough defensive howlers to make Alan Hansen weep. It needs some context though as the United back-line was distinctly second-rate and Scotty Parker et al wont find the Sunderland backline quite so generous. On the road the Hammers have been abysmal and they have lost 61% of all games since the 09/10 season started. Sunderland on the contrary are very strong at home and I expect Messrs Welbeck, Gyan and Bent to continue West Ham’s travel sickness. The 1.91 on the Black Cats indicates they have a 52% chance of victory, which I make closer to 60% so real value there.

A few shortlist bets from this weekend including Arsenal to continue their goalscoring form and overcome a 1.75 handicap at home to Fulham. The only concern is which Arsenal show up as they are fast becoming a Jekyll and Hyde team, making them a punters nightmare.

Finally I have a shortlist bet on perennial faves Bolton who I fancy to go up against an unconvincing Man City side with a +1 Asian Handicap head-start.

Main Bets
1.5 pts Aston Villa (+1 AH) V Liverpool. 1.84 SBObet/12bet
1 pt Birmingham (+0.5 AH) V Spurs. 1.82 Pinnacle
1 pt Sunderland to beat West Ham. 1.91 Ladbrokes/Bluesq/Will Hill

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Arsenal (-1.75 AH) V Fulham. 2.10 Paddy Power
1 pt Bolton (+1 AH) V Man City. 1.95 Betinternet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Long faces all round this week from an English point of view after losing out to the Russians in the World Cup bid. If you were of a cynical mindset you might wonder if the fact that Russia this week was quoted as being a “virtual mafia state with widespread corruption, bribery and protection rackets” made them so appealing to FIFA!? ….. I couldn’t possibly comment!

Still the World Cup for all its hype is a poor event from a value betting perspective (despite the billions traded on it) and in contrast the English Premier League continues to throw up what I feel are good value bets each weekend. None more so than this Monday with Aston Villa, who despite a run of losses lately have not been playing too badly and look to have a better chance than the odds suggest away at a Liverpool team minus Gerrard & Carragher. I can easily see Houllier’s return to Anfield ending in a draw and with a +1 Asian Handicap at 1.84, we can even lose by 1 goal and get our stake back. The pace of Young & Agbonlahor up against Kyrgiakos will certainly make for an interesting contest.

Birmingham may not be the prettiest team to watch (both stylistically and aesthetically – hello Lee Bowyer) but they are blooming hard to beat at home. They have lost just 2 out of 26 at St Andrews and will give visitors Spurs a run for their money, especially if the away team gift them a head start like in a number of recent games. The +0.5 at 1.82 with Pinnacle on Brum looks a cracking bet to my eyes.

It looks like there has been an over-reaction to West Ham’s 4-0 demolition of Man Utd in a game featuring enough defensive howlers to make Alan Hansen weep. It needs some context though as the United back-line was distinctly second-rate and Scotty Parker et al wont find the Sunderland backline quite so generous. On the road the Hammers have been abysmal and they have lost 61% of all games since the 09/10 season started. Sunderland on the contrary are very strong at home and I expect Messrs Welbeck, Gyan and Bent to continue West Ham’s travel sickness. The 1.91 on the Black Cats indicates they have a 52% chance of victory, which I make closer to 60% so real value there.

A few shortlist bets from this weekend including Arsenal to continue their goalscoring form and overcome a 1.75 handicap at home to Fulham. The only concern is which Arsenal show up as they are fast becoming a Jekyll and Hyde team, making them a punters nightmare.

Finally I have a shortlist bet on perennial faves Bolton who I fancy to go up against an unconvincing Man City side with a +1 Asian Handicap head-start.

Main Bets
1.5 pts Aston Villa (+1 AH) V Liverpool. 1.84 SBObet/12bet
1 pt Birmingham (+0.5 AH) V Spurs. 1.82 Pinnacle
1 pt Sunderland to beat West Ham. 1.91 Ladbrokes/Bluesq/Will Hill

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Arsenal (-1.75 AH) V Fulham. 2.10 Paddy Power
1 pt Bolton (+1 AH) V Man City. 1.95 Betinternet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

A bit earlier with my bets this weekend and plenty to get stuck into, including another bet for my Ante-post portfolio on Wigan to go down at evens. They travel to West Ham in what promises to be a dire game, full of strikers who couldn’t hit a pigs backside with a banjo, and should they lose this evens price will shrink further. This bet on the pie-eaters to go down compliments a number of my existing ante-post selections and they are a poor team, have only scored 10 goals all year and will be lucky to stay up in my opinion.

As for this weekend, well it finally seems that everyone else has finally caught on to how good Bolton have been of late. They have been racking up the goals and I don’t think Blackpool will be able to stop their bandwagon so fancy the trotters to overcome a -1 handicap at 2.07. With Matt Gilks out, the Tangerines are considerably weaker and I am hopeful that Elmander and Davies can rattle a few more in this Lancashire derby. Gilks replacement – Kingston, is never far from dropping a clanger, let’s hope it’s this weekend.

Call me a fool but I am also going to stick with Fulham to win this weekend, even after their pasting by City last Sunday. I wonder if there has been an over-reaction to Fulham odds wise this week as the Cottagers haven’t been that bad this season (Sunday apart!). They have had a tough start, playing 5 of the top 7 already and I feel they are in a false position. Last year they won 11 out of 18 at the Cottage and Brum lost 12 out of 18 on the road. Thus the odds of 2.1 on a home win indicate a 47.6% chance, whereas I make it 50%+.

Similarly Wolves are a very big price to beat Sunderland this weekend, no doubt influenced by their woeful run of late and the Black Cats recent 3-0 mauling at Chelsea. Facts are though that the win at Stamford Bridge was Sunderland’s first away from home this season and Wolves have had the toughest run of games imaginable. I am going to take the 0 Asian Handicap on Wolves at 1.94 with SBObet.

My final main bet is on Spurs to see off Liverpool as they have a very strong home record and the odds of 2.15 look far too big. They won 14 out of 19 home games last year and Liverpool have lost their last 6 away games at the league’s top teams in recent times (Spurs, UtdX2, Chelsea, Arsenal , City). I make Spurs more of a 50% chance at least so anything over evens is value.

Two shortlist bets as well as Arsenal at 2.26 look well placed to see off a young Villa team, although the loss of Fabregas is a blow. Everton and West Brom have been shot shy recently and can easily see this finishing 1-0 or 1-1 so the 2.02 on under 2.5 goals appeals.

Ante-post Bet
1 pt Wigan to be relegated. 2.00 Numerous bookies

Main Bets
1 pt Bolton (-1 AH) V Blackpool. 2.07 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Fulham to beat Birmingham. 2.10 Pinnacle/Paddy/Ladbrokes/Stan James
1 pt Wolves (0 AH) V Sunderland. 1.94 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Spurs to beat Liverpool. 2.15 12bet/188bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Arsenal to beat Aston Villa. 2.26 188bet
1 pt Under 2.5 Goals – Everton V West Brom. 2.02 12bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

A bit earlier with my bets this weekend and plenty to get stuck into, including another bet for my Ante-post portfolio on Wigan to go down at evens. They travel to West Ham in what promises to be a dire game, full of strikers who couldn’t hit a pigs backside with a banjo, and should they lose this evens price will shrink further. This bet on the pie-eaters to go down compliments a number of my existing ante-post selections and they are a poor team, have only scored 10 goals all year and will be lucky to stay up in my opinion.

As for this weekend, well it finally seems that everyone else has finally caught on to how good Bolton have been of late. They have been racking up the goals and I don’t think Blackpool will be able to stop their bandwagon so fancy the trotters to overcome a -1 handicap at 2.07. With Matt Gilks out, the Tangerines are considerably weaker and I am hopeful that Elmander and Davies can rattle a few more in this Lancashire derby. Gilks replacement – Kingston, is never far from dropping a clanger, let’s hope it’s this weekend.

Call me a fool but I am also going to stick with Fulham to win this weekend, even after their pasting by City last Sunday. I wonder if there has been an over-reaction to Fulham odds wise this week as the Cottagers haven’t been that bad this season (Sunday apart!). They have had a tough start, playing 5 of the top 7 already and I feel they are in a false position. Last year they won 11 out of 18 at the Cottage and Brum lost 12 out of 18 on the road. Thus the odds of 2.1 on a home win indicate a 47.6% chance, whereas I make it 50%+.

Similarly Wolves are a very big price to beat Sunderland this weekend, no doubt influenced by their woeful run of late and the Black Cats recent 3-0 mauling at Chelsea. Facts are though that the win at Stamford Bridge was Sunderland’s first away from home this season and Wolves have had the toughest run of games imaginable. I am going to take the 0 Asian Handicap on Wolves at 1.94 with SBObet.

My final main bet is on Spurs to see off Liverpool as they have a very strong home record and the odds of 2.15 look far too big. They won 14 out of 19 home games last year and Liverpool have lost their last 6 away games at the league’s top teams in recent times (Spurs, UtdX2, Chelsea, Arsenal , City). I make Spurs more of a 50% chance at least so anything over evens is value.

Two shortlist bets as well as Arsenal at 2.26 look well placed to see off a young Villa team, although the loss of Fabregas is a blow. Everton and West Brom have been shot shy recently and can easily see this finishing 1-0 or 1-1 so the 2.02 on under 2.5 goals appeals.

Ante-post Bet
1 pt Wigan to be relegated. 2.00 Numerous bookies

Main Bets
1 pt Bolton (-1 AH) V Blackpool. 2.07 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Fulham to beat Birmingham. 2.10 Pinnacle/Paddy/Ladbrokes/Stan James
1 pt Wolves (0 AH) V Sunderland. 1.94 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Spurs to beat Liverpool. 2.15 12bet/188bet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Arsenal to beat Aston Villa. 2.26 188bet
1 pt Under 2.5 Goals – Everton V West Brom. 2.02 12bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Liverpool are a team with a famous home record and despite Stevie G’s latest injury and the frightening prospect of Christian Poulsen replacing him, they look under-rated to beat West Ham this weekend. Avram Grant may look like a funeral director and he is certainly giving off the air of a dead-man walking as he looks not long for the Upton Park hotseat. After watching the Hammers last week their strikers would struggle to finish their tea and they have a woeful away record in recent times. Roy Hodgson often has a very good home record with his teams and Liverpool to overcome a  -1 Asian Handicap at 2.12 with SBObet looks a quality bet to me.

Mark Hughes will be the focus of attention on Sunday as his new charges Fulham host Man City, in a game you just know he will have his team fired up for. Fulham have a very good home record and only lost to Spurs at the Cottage recently thanks to a dodgy referee decision. The 1.91 from SBObet on the home team with a +0.25 Asian Handicap means a decent profit even if they draw and I am backing them here.

Bolton is famous for a few things in my eyes – Phoenix Nights, Big Sam’s double chin and of course the fact they have been criminally under-rated by the bookies this season. After watching the likes of Johan Elmander look more like Johan Cruyff last weekend, with his amazing goal against Wolves, you would think more people would be backing them. They remain a very well drilled Premier league outfit and I fancy them at 2.20 to beat an inconsistent Newcastle.

Elsewhere I am backing another team with a strong home record as I feel Blackburn will provide Aston Villa’s youngsters with a very tough physical challenge and may well have too much for them. As impressive as they were against a depleted United side last week, an away-day battering at Ewood Park may represent a totally different experience for Houllier’s youthful team and I am siding with Big Sam’s outfit to overcome a -0.25 Handicap at 1.98 with Ladbrokes.

Finally a couple of under and over 2.5 goals bets, firstly at West Brom, who host a Stoke team shot-shy on the road. Last season Stoke went unders in 74% of all away games and West Brom have been under in 67% of games this season. Neither team look particularly potent up front and the 1.85 on under 2.5 goals with Expekt rates this as a 54% chance. I think it’s more of a 60% chance and so am having a bet.

One shortlist bet is Everton away at Sunderland, where the over 2.5 goals looks too big at 2.42, which is a 41% chance. Everton went overs in 58% of all away games and Sunderland in 47% of all homes games last season. Neither team has been banging them in this year as yet but that will change and I think the likely % chance is closer to 50%, so we have value there.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Fulham (+0.25 AH) V Man City. 1.91 Betinternet/SBObet
1.5 pt Liverpool (-0.75 AH) V West Ham. 2.12 12bet/188bet/SBObet
1 pt Bolton to beat Newcastle. 2.20 Totesport
1 pt Blackburn (-0.25 AH) V Aston Villa. 1.98 Ladbrokes
1 pt Under 2.5 Goals – West Brom V Stoke. 1.85 Expekt

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 Goals – Sunderland V Everton. 2.42 12bet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Liverpool are a team with a famous home record and despite Stevie G’s latest injury and the frightening prospect of Christian Poulsen replacing him, they look under-rated to beat West Ham this weekend. Avram Grant may look like a funeral director and he is certainly giving off the air of a dead-man walking as he looks not long for the Upton Park hotseat. After watching the Hammers last week their strikers would struggle to finish their tea and they have a woeful away record in recent times. Roy Hodgson often has a very good home record with his teams and Liverpool to overcome a  -1 Asian Handicap at 2.12 with SBObet looks a quality bet to me.

Mark Hughes will be the focus of attention on Sunday as his new charges Fulham host Man City, in a game you just know he will have his team fired up for. Fulham have a very good home record and only lost to Spurs at the Cottage recently thanks to a dodgy referee decision. The 1.91 from SBObet on the home team with a +0.25 Asian Handicap means a decent profit even if they draw and I am backing them here.

Bolton is famous for a few things in my eyes – Phoenix Nights, Big Sam’s double chin and of course the fact they have been criminally under-rated by the bookies this season. After watching the likes of Johan Elmander look more like Johan Cruyff last weekend, with his amazing goal against Wolves, you would think more people would be backing them. They remain a very well drilled Premier league outfit and I fancy them at 2.20 to beat an inconsistent Newcastle.

Elsewhere I am backing another team with a strong home record as I feel Blackburn will provide Aston Villa’s youngsters with a very tough physical challenge and may well have too much for them. As impressive as they were against a depleted United side last week, an away-day battering at Ewood Park may represent a totally different experience for Houllier’s youthful team and I am siding with Big Sam’s outfit to overcome a -0.25 Handicap at 1.98 with Ladbrokes.

Finally a couple of under and over 2.5 goals bets, firstly at West Brom, who host a Stoke team shot-shy on the road. Last season Stoke went unders in 74% of all away games and West Brom have been under in 67% of games this season. Neither team look particularly potent up front and the 1.85 on under 2.5 goals with Expekt rates this as a 54% chance. I think it’s more of a 60% chance and so am having a bet.

One shortlist bet is Everton away at Sunderland, where the over 2.5 goals looks too big at 2.42, which is a 41% chance. Everton went overs in 58% of all away games and Sunderland in 47% of all homes games last season. Neither team has been banging them in this year as yet but that will change and I think the likely % chance is closer to 50%, so we have value there.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Fulham (+0.25 AH) V Man City. 1.91 Betinternet/SBObet
1.5 pt Liverpool (-0.75 AH) V West Ham. 2.12 12bet/188bet/SBObet
1 pt Bolton to beat Newcastle. 2.20 Totesport
1 pt Blackburn (-0.25 AH) V Aston Villa. 1.98 Ladbrokes
1 pt Under 2.5 Goals – West Brom V Stoke. 1.85 Expekt

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 Goals – Sunderland V Everton. 2.42 12bet/SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Blackpool have been a breath of fresh air this season, not least for the crazy bumpkin manager Ian Holloway but for their at time kamikaze gung-ho attacking play. The tangerines travel down this weekend to face leaky West Ham in a game that has goals written all over it in 10 foot tall neon letters. The Hammers have gone overs in around 65% of all home games, whereas Blackpool have been overs in 10 out of 12 games this season. Neither team can defend to save their lives and with the home team having to win this game, expect an attacking outlook. The bookies have it pegged at a 2.14 for over 3 goals (basically we lose if 2 or less goals, draw if 3 goals and win if 4 goals or more) and I am having a piece of that!

My perennial fave team this year Bolton, continue to look under-rated by the bookies and look value once again as they travel to Molineux to face Wolves. Bolton have been beaten only twice this season by Arsenal and Liverpool despite a very tricky set of games so far. I make the chance of a draw or Bolton win to be around 55 to 60%, which equates to odds of about 1.74. The bookies are offering me 1.91 with Stan James on them with a +0.25 Asian Handicap so there is clear value there.

Elsewhere I also fancy 3 teams who are strong at home in the form of Everton, Stoke and Aston Villa to win for me this weekend.

Villa have been beaten only once at home by a top 8 team and conversely United have won only 3 games away against the top 8 since the 09/10 season. A United away win I rate at between 30 – 40% chance here and considering the likes of Scholes, Rooney & Giggs are out they may struggle to break Villa down. I’m taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap on Villa at 2.14 with 12Bet as I make the true odds of this to be around 2.0.

Everton have been playing well with little reward lately as they can’t find the back of the net but stats show their dominance in matches. Historically under David Moyes, Everton have a formidable home record and Arsenal will do well to win here so the +0.5 on Everton at 1.78 from 188bet appeals.

Finally Stoke have endured a very tough run of games, not helped by some very dodgy referees decisions and they host a tired looking Liverpool who look to be feeling the effects of having such a small squad. Stoke are notoriously difficult to break down and only lost at home to the top 4 teams last season. I am taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap again on the home outfit at 1.88 with Stan James.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 3 goals – West Ham V Blackpool. 2.14 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wolves. 1.91 Stan James
1 pt Villa (+0.5 AH) V Man Utd. 2.14 12Bet
1 pt Everton (+0.5 AH) V Arsenal. 1.78 188bet
1 pt Stoke (+0.5 AH) V Liverpool. 1.88 Stan James

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Blackpool have been a breath of fresh air this season, not least for the crazy bumpkin manager Ian Holloway but for their at time kamikaze gung-ho attacking play. The tangerines travel down this weekend to face leaky West Ham in a game that has goals written all over it in 10 foot tall neon letters. The Hammers have gone overs in around 65% of all home games, whereas Blackpool have been overs in 10 out of 12 games this season. Neither team can defend to save their lives and with the home team having to win this game, expect an attacking outlook. The bookies have it pegged at a 2.14 for over 3 goals (basically we lose if 2 or less goals, draw if 3 goals and win if 4 goals or more) and I am having a piece of that!

My perennial fave team this year Bolton, continue to look under-rated by the bookies and look value once again as they travel to Molineux to face Wolves. Bolton have been beaten only twice this season by Arsenal and Liverpool despite a very tricky set of games so far. I make the chance of a draw or Bolton win to be around 55 to 60%, which equates to odds of about 1.74. The bookies are offering me 1.91 with Stan James on them with a +0.25 Asian Handicap so there is clear value there.

Elsewhere I also fancy 3 teams who are strong at home in the form of Everton, Stoke and Aston Villa to win for me this weekend.

Villa have been beaten only once at home by a top 8 team and conversely United have won only 3 games away against the top 8 since the 09/10 season. A United away win I rate at between 30 – 40% chance here and considering the likes of Scholes, Rooney & Giggs are out they may struggle to break Villa down. I’m taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap on Villa at 2.14 with 12Bet as I make the true odds of this to be around 2.0.

Everton have been playing well with little reward lately as they can’t find the back of the net but stats show their dominance in matches. Historically under David Moyes, Everton have a formidable home record and Arsenal will do well to win here so the +0.5 on Everton at 1.78 from 188bet appeals.

Finally Stoke have endured a very tough run of games, not helped by some very dodgy referees decisions and they host a tired looking Liverpool who look to be feeling the effects of having such a small squad. Stoke are notoriously difficult to break down and only lost at home to the top 4 teams last season. I am taking the +0.5 Asian Handicap again on the home outfit at 1.88 with Stan James.

Main Bets
1 pt Over 3 goals – West Ham V Blackpool. 2.14 10Bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wolves. 1.91 Stan James
1 pt Villa (+0.5 AH) V Man Utd. 2.14 12Bet
1 pt Everton (+0.5 AH) V Arsenal. 1.78 188bet
1 pt Stoke (+0.5 AH) V Liverpool. 1.88 Stan James

Shortlist Bets
None

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

A full midweek fixture list in the Premier League and my best value bet is over at White Hart Lane where Spurs take on Sunderland on Tuesday night. Two teams with totally contrasting form at home and on the road, with Redknapp’s charges winning 9 out of 13 games against ‘bottom 12’ opposition since the 09/10 season. Sunderland are woeful away from home losing 15 out of 23 games and I’m taking the 1.83 on Spurs to overcome a -0.75 Asian Handicap with Bet365.

Over at Molineux I am also backing Spurs’ North London rivals Arsenal to overcome a -1 Asian Handicap at 2.14 with 188bet. I don’t seem to be able to call Arsene Wengers team right recently but the odds on them winning by at least a goal look value against a Wolves team on a very difficult run of form. If Arshavin & Van Persie play, along with Fabregas & Walcott I think we could see goals here against a Wolves team who maybe a bit flat after recent losses.

I also foresee plenty of action up at St James Park where Blackburn travel to an in-form Newcastle side who look to have plenty of goals in them. Blackburn’s games see over 2.5 goals away from home around 55% of the time and with Newcastle hitting their straps recently, the 2.04 on overs with SBObet equates to a 49% chance. Not huge value but worth a small bet.

Finally my last main bet is on Stoke to overcome a -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.85 with Pinnacle against a Birmingham side who are poor travellers. At home they have won 8 and drawn 4 out of the last 14 games against bottom 12 teams and Tony Pulis will have them targeting 3 points here. They have been unlucky with lots of referee decisions lately and this looks too big a price for what will be a tough game for Birmingham.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Spurs (-0.75 AH) V Sunderland. 1.83 Bet365
1 pt Arsenal (-1 AH) V Wolves. 2.14 188bet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Newcastle V Blackburn 2.04 SBObet
1 pt Stoke (-0.25 AH) V Birmingham. 1.85 Pinnacle

Shortlist Bets
1 pt West Ham (0.25 AH) V West Brom. 2.08 SBObet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Stoke V Birmingham. 2.33 SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike