Fink Tank Test: Games for weekend of 16th

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it. Basically my rules are to bet when you can get odds which offer value when compared to Fink Tank’s predicted probability of each game.

So far a couple of big priced value bets have put the method over 20 points in profit. Generally there is bigger value on the underdogs.

Here are this weekend’s selections:

Fink Tank Test: Weekend of Oct 2nd

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

Fink Tank hit the jackpot last week, by siding with West Brom against Arsenal @ 18.50.

This puts the season tally up to 25.49 points profit from 51 bets.

However, this is entirely down to two big winners

Here are this weekend’s selections:

Fink Tank Predictions: This weekend's games

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

Here are this weekend’s selections:


Note the Villa/ Bolton bet is a Double Chance 12, meaning we’re backing both Villa and Bolton, effectively laying the draw.

Fink Tank Predictions: This weekend’s games

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

Here are this weekend’s selections:


Note the Villa/ Bolton bet is a Double Chance 12, meaning we’re backing both Villa and Bolton, effectively laying the draw.

Fink Tank Test Update

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

So far the Fink Tank performed as follows:

Raw 1×2 betting: +12.59 points profit.
With team news filte
r: +9.24 points profit.

Last week’s games and the ongoing total:

It continues to be feast or famine with the ratings with a strong of losses made back with a big value pick on Blackpool to beat Newcastle.

Fink Tank Test: Update

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

So far the Fink Tank performed as follows:

Raw 1×2 betting: +12.59 points profit.
With team news filte
r: +9.24 points profit.

Fink tank struck gold last weekend by siding with the smidgen of value available on Wigan @ 13.59 vs Spurs. This now puts the test firmly in profit, albeit with all of the gains coming from the single Wigan bet effectively.

No bets this week as we have internationals.

You can view last week’s selections here: https://smartbettingclub.com/blog/fink-tank/fink-tank-test-this-weekends-games-2/

Fink Tank Test: This weekend’s games

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

So far the Fink Tank performed as follows:

Raw 1×2 betting: +3.25
With team news filter: -1.10

I’ve dropped the Asian handicap bets to ease the admin burden of tracking these.

Too early to say anything concrete with the bulk of the raw profits coming from the teams being missed out by the team filter.

This week’s qualifiers:

Fink tank has gone with the under dogs this week.

Note there’s no team news this week with Blackpool, but I ran a stat that showed that its unprofitable to back newly promoted teams in their 2nd home game. Perhaps there is an over reaction to the 1st home game trend.

The fink tank column is their predicted chance of that team’s victory. The test backs West Ham because the 6.6% chance is better than the chance implied by the odds.

At the end of the season it will be better if you only stuck to matches where the predicted chance of success was 33% or higher. For now I’ll log everything.

 

Fink Tank Test: This weekend's games

I’m testing the predictive and value betting ability with the Fink Tank ratings. Have a good read of the first post here to make sense of it.

So far the Fink Tank performed as follows:

Raw 1×2 betting: +3.25
With team news filter: -1.10

I’ve dropped the Asian handicap bets to ease the admin burden of tracking these.

Too early to say anything concrete with the bulk of the raw profits coming from the teams being missed out by the team filter.

This week’s qualifiers:

Fink tank has gone with the under dogs this week.

Note there’s no team news this week with Blackpool, but I ran a stat that showed that its unprofitable to back newly promoted teams in their 2nd home game. Perhaps there is an over reaction to the 1st home game trend.

The fink tank column is their predicted chance of that team’s victory. The test backs West Ham because the 6.6% chance is better than the chance implied by the odds.

At the end of the season it will be better if you only stuck to matches where the predicted chance of success was 33% or higher. For now I’ll log everything.