In a previous post on the Rugby World Cup, we highlighted the following stat:
According to the Racing Post, in the last World Cup, there were 20 pool matches featuring handicaps of 30 points or more. Eight favourites covered the handicap while 12 fell short.
Or put another way, 12/20 underdogs beat their handicap. So far the 30+ handicaps are 6/7 in favour of the underdog, let’s see how the latest games fare.
Last game:
Samoa vs Namibia: Namibia +30.5 @ 2.19 12bet. Samoa by more than 30.5 -1.00
Upcoming Games:
Personally I feel we’ve had our luck with these handicaps and we may be giving the profits made as the bookies and major teams sharpen up.
Still, we’ll be tracking the performance of the 30 point handicaps for the rest of the tournament. Here are the upcoming games:
- New Zealand vs Japan: Japan +54.50: 2.08 Pinnacle Sports.
- England vs Georgia: Georgia +37.50: 1.91 Ladbrokes.
- France vs Canada: Canada +31.50: 1.93 Pinnacle
There’s only one mid week handicap that qualifies, the bookies are waiting for team news before pricing up the weekend games.
Enjoy…