Mike’s Football Bets
The over 2.5 goals market was good to us just over 10 days ago and once again I have spotted a couple of games where I feel the odds on offer are out of sync.
It might be no surprise that I am tempted by the over 2.5 goals market in the Blackpool – West Ham game. The reverse fixture between these 2 earlier in the season somehow finished 0-0 in a game of so many missed chances it would make Ronnie Rosenthal blush (check out this beauty). Blackpool have gone overs in 100% of all home games whilst the Hammers have done so in 58% of all away fixtures. Both teams have strengthened their attack in the transfer window but have not addressed their Achilles heels – their leaky defences. Despite this fact, Stan James are offering 1.73 in this market (57.8% chance) so clear value here.
Fulham are also a team often under-estimated in their ability to score goals and it’s the same again as they are priced up at 2.25 in the over 2.5 goals market against Newcastle. I really rate the Cottagers forward line with Moussa Dembele and Andy Johnson back fit and Clint Dempsey continuing to shine. The shaky Geordie defence could be in trouble here. Fulham have gone overs in 50% of home games, and Newcastle 45% of away games, which suggests odds of 2.10 would be fair, so the 2.25 is clear value again. I was close to advising a bet on Fulham to win but at 2.10 as well so a home victory wouldn’t surprise me.
Shortlist bet wise, I also want to back both Liverpool and Bolton to continue their generally good home form against two teams who really struggle on the road. With so much change at Liverpool of concern to me and lower odds on Bolton than I would like, they just fall short of being Main bets but I believe both offer value.
Main Bets
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Blackpool V West Ham. 1.73 Stan James
1 pt Over 2.5 goals. Fulham V Newcastle. 2.25 Canbet/SBOBet
Shortlist Bets
1 pt Liverpool -0.75 Asian Handicap. 1.84 Stan James
1 pt Bolton to beat Wolves. 1.88 5Dimes/Pinnacle/12Bet
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike