A full midweek fixture list in the Premier League and my best value bet is over at White Hart Lane where Spurs take on Sunderland on Tuesday night. Two teams with totally contrasting form at home and on the road, with Redknapp’s charges winning 9 out of 13 games against ‘bottom 12’ opposition since the 09/10 season. Sunderland are woeful away from home losing 15 out of 23 games and I’m taking the 1.83 on Spurs to overcome a -0.75 Asian Handicap with Bet365.

Over at Molineux I am also backing Spurs’ North London rivals Arsenal to overcome a -1 Asian Handicap at 2.14 with 188bet. I don’t seem to be able to call Arsene Wengers team right recently but the odds on them winning by at least a goal look value against a Wolves team on a very difficult run of form. If Arshavin & Van Persie play, along with Fabregas & Walcott I think we could see goals here against a Wolves team who maybe a bit flat after recent losses.

I also foresee plenty of action up at St James Park where Blackburn travel to an in-form Newcastle side who look to have plenty of goals in them. Blackburn’s games see over 2.5 goals away from home around 55% of the time and with Newcastle hitting their straps recently, the 2.04 on overs with SBObet equates to a 49% chance. Not huge value but worth a small bet.

Finally my last main bet is on Stoke to overcome a -0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.85 with Pinnacle against a Birmingham side who are poor travellers. At home they have won 8 and drawn 4 out of the last 14 games against bottom 12 teams and Tony Pulis will have them targeting 3 points here. They have been unlucky with lots of referee decisions lately and this looks too big a price for what will be a tough game for Birmingham.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Spurs (-0.75 AH) V Sunderland. 1.83 Bet365
1 pt Arsenal (-1 AH) V Wolves. 2.14 188bet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Newcastle V Blackburn 2.04 SBObet
1 pt Stoke (-0.25 AH) V Birmingham. 1.85 Pinnacle

Shortlist Bets
1 pt West Ham (0.25 AH) V West Brom. 2.08 SBObet
1 pt Over 2.5 goals Stoke V Birmingham. 2.33 SBObet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Once again we venture to the Reebok stadium for one of my main bets this weekend as Owen Coyle’s men face a resurgent Spurs, fresh from taking Inter Milan apart on Tuesday. Despite all the hype surrounding Spurs, I am siding with the home team again, where you can get 1.84 with SBOBet on them with a +0.25 Asian Handicap. Bolton are a strong team on their own patch and were very unlucky to lose last Sunday so I expect them to get at least a draw here, all things being equal.

Bolton’s victors last Sunday were Liverpool, who have flattered to deceive of late and face a real test up against a very slick Chelsea outfit. I was surprised to see odds of 2.15 on Ancelotti’s charges to win at Anfield as that represents a 46% chance of them winning, which I feel undervalues them. I don’t expect the Liverpool back line to cope well with the likes of Malouda, Anelka and Drogba in their current form and it would be no surprise to see the 3 points go to Stamford Bridge.

Sunderland were dire last weekend and everything that could go wrong did as they were taken apart far too easily by local rivals Newcastle. At the Stadium of Light however they are a different proposition and face a Stoke side on a losing run of their own. The price on a home win has gone out to 2.15, which looks to me an over-reaction to one poor performance and I am lumping on.

A couple of shortlist bets as well with a chance taken on City to get back to form at what looks a value price. The same down at Craven Cottage where the over 2.5 goals price is too big, Villa have to start scoring goals soon and Fulham have Dempsey in great form and quality support from the likes of Dembele and Andy Johnson.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Spurs. 1.84 SBOBET
1 pt Chelsea to beat Liverpool. 2.15 12Bet
1 pt Sunderland to beat Stoke. 2.15 Unibet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Man City to beat West Brom 2.17 5Dimes
1 pt Over 2.5 goals – Fulham V Aston Villa. 2.35 Canbet/SBOBET

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

Once again we venture to the Reebok stadium for one of my main bets this weekend as Owen Coyle’s men face a resurgent Spurs, fresh from taking Inter Milan apart on Tuesday. Despite all the hype surrounding Spurs, I am siding with the home team again, where you can get 1.84 with SBOBet on them with a +0.25 Asian Handicap. Bolton are a strong team on their own patch and were very unlucky to lose last Sunday so I expect them to get at least a draw here, all things being equal.

Bolton’s victors last Sunday were Liverpool, who have flattered to deceive of late and face a real test up against a very slick Chelsea outfit. I was surprised to see odds of 2.15 on Ancelotti’s charges to win at Anfield as that represents a 46% chance of them winning, which I feel undervalues them. I don’t expect the Liverpool back line to cope well with the likes of Malouda, Anelka and Drogba in their current form and it would be no surprise to see the 3 points go to Stamford Bridge.

Sunderland were dire last weekend and everything that could go wrong did as they were taken apart far too easily by local rivals Newcastle. At the Stadium of Light however they are a different proposition and face a Stoke side on a losing run of their own. The price on a home win has gone out to 2.15, which looks to me an over-reaction to one poor performance and I am lumping on.

A couple of shortlist bets as well with a chance taken on City to get back to form at what looks a value price. The same down at Craven Cottage where the over 2.5 goals price is too big, Villa have to start scoring goals soon and Fulham have Dempsey in great form and quality support from the likes of Dembele and Andy Johnson.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Spurs. 1.84 SBOBET
1 pt Chelsea to beat Liverpool. 2.15 12Bet
1 pt Sunderland to beat Stoke. 2.15 Unibet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Man City to beat West Brom 2.17 5Dimes
1 pt Over 2.5 goals – Fulham V Aston Villa. 2.35 Canbet/SBOBET

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

A busy weekend of bets so I will get straight into it…

Over at the Emirates this weekend I am keen to follow in Arsenal to overcome a -2 Asian Handicap at 1.91 with Paddy Power against what looks a very poor West Ham side. After a recent blip against West Brom, the Gunners have perked up and with Fabregas & Walcott back they look a much more potent team. Arsenal have won by 2 goals or more in 13 out of 16 games against the bottom 12 teams since last season and I expect Robert Green to be a busy man!

Fulham also have a strong home record against the bottom 12 teams and have won 9 out of 12 games against these teams since the 09/10 season. They have had a very tough start to the season but have still drawn against Man Utd and Everton at home, with the only blip a narrow defeat to Spurs because of a very dubious goal. I fancy them at 1.91 with Pinnacle to have too much for a Jekyll and Hyde Wigan outfit.

I am keen to continue to follow in a fave team of mine this season – Bolton, who take on Liverpool who were far from convincing when beating poor travellers Blackburn last week. The trotters have drawn at home with the likes of Man Utd, Fulham & Birmingham and beaten Stoke this season so far and are a very tough not to crack at the Reebok. A draw looks to be the most likely result and I am taking a +0.25 AH on the home team at 1.98 with Ladbrokes.

Blackburn may be terrible on the road but at home they are a completely different proposition and if Samba and Nelson are back in defence, Chelsea will find it hard to break them down. Only Arsenal and Everton have won their in recent teams and then only by the odd goal. Blackburn at 1.95 with a +1.25 Asian Handicap from Betinternet looks value.

I also see value in siding with Sunderland away at inconsistent Newcastle this weekend in the North East derby. The +0.25 AH on them is 2.07 with Betinternet but I am going to include it as a shortlist only due to the complications that such intense derby games can bring.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Arsenal (-2 AH) V West Ham. 1.91 Paddy Power
1 pt Fulham to beat Wigan. 1.91 Pinnacle
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Liverpool. 1.98 Ladbrokes
1 pt Blackburn (+1.25 AH) V Chelsea. 1.95 Betinternet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Sunderland (+0.25 AH) V Newcastle. 2.07 Betinternet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

A busy weekend of bets so I will get straight into it…

Over at the Emirates this weekend I am keen to follow in Arsenal to overcome a -2 Asian Handicap at 1.91 with Paddy Power against what looks a very poor West Ham side. After a recent blip against West Brom, the Gunners have perked up and with Fabregas & Walcott back they look a much more potent team. Arsenal have won by 2 goals or more in 13 out of 16 games against the bottom 12 teams since last season and I expect Robert Green to be a busy man!

Fulham also have a strong home record against the bottom 12 teams and have won 9 out of 12 games against these teams since the 09/10 season. They have had a very tough start to the season but have still drawn against Man Utd and Everton at home, with the only blip a narrow defeat to Spurs because of a very dubious goal. I fancy them at 1.91 with Pinnacle to have too much for a Jekyll and Hyde Wigan outfit.

I am keen to continue to follow in a fave team of mine this season – Bolton, who take on Liverpool who were far from convincing when beating poor travellers Blackburn last week. The trotters have drawn at home with the likes of Man Utd, Fulham & Birmingham and beaten Stoke this season so far and are a very tough not to crack at the Reebok. A draw looks to be the most likely result and I am taking a +0.25 AH on the home team at 1.98 with Ladbrokes.

Blackburn may be terrible on the road but at home they are a completely different proposition and if Samba and Nelson are back in defence, Chelsea will find it hard to break them down. Only Arsenal and Everton have won their in recent teams and then only by the odd goal. Blackburn at 1.95 with a +1.25 Asian Handicap from Betinternet looks value.

I also see value in siding with Sunderland away at inconsistent Newcastle this weekend in the North East derby. The +0.25 AH on them is 2.07 with Betinternet but I am going to include it as a shortlist only due to the complications that such intense derby games can bring.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Arsenal (-2 AH) V West Ham. 1.91 Paddy Power
1 pt Fulham to beat Wigan. 1.91 Pinnacle
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Liverpool. 1.98 Ladbrokes
1 pt Blackburn (+1.25 AH) V Chelsea. 1.95 Betinternet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Sunderland (+0.25 AH) V Newcastle. 2.07 Betinternet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

It’s been a crazy few weeks in the Premier League, even by its own often sometime ridiculous standards. What with all the lawyers, court cases and offers of 250k a week wages – it all makes me pine for the days when the biggest news of the day was the quality of mullet on offer. Check out some of these beauties for some light relief!  What was Barry Venison thinking!

There may be no mullets on offer at Stamford Bridge this weekend but it does feature my first bet of the weekend where I am very keen on Chelsea to overcome a 2.25 goal Asian Handicap at 2.1 with Bet365. Last season they won 8 of their 11 games against the bottom 12 of the league by 3 goals or more and have already stuck 4 and 6 past West Brom and Blackpool this year. They host a limited Wolves side and I see an easy 3 points here with hopefully lots of goals!

I also want to continue my net-busting bets on Blackpool this weekend where 12bet are offering 1.83 on over 2.5 goals when they visit Birmingham. The home team’s defence has lost the mean look it had last season and Blackpool have gone overs in 7 out of 8 games already. Ian Holloway ended his last game against Man City with 4 strikers on the field, whereas Brum will see this as a must win game and won’t sit back either.

I am quickly picking up some favourite teams for this season and one of these is Bolton who I am backing with a 0.25 Asian Handicap away at Wigan (1.85 Pinnacle). There are two sides going in contrasting directions and I am a fan of Owen Coyle and what he is doing at Bolton, who could be a dark horse this season.

Another quarter ball Asian Handicap for me is on West Brom to overcome Fulham, who continue to have a very poor record on the road. The Cottagers have drawn all 4 games away this season, whereas the Baggies have shown fantastic resilience and plenty of skill by beating Arsenal and drawing with United away recently. I am taking the -0.25 Asian with Canbet & SBObet on the home team at 1.90.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Chelsea (-2.25 AH) V Wolves. 2.1 Bet365
1.5 pt Blackpool V Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals. 1.83 12bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wigan. 1.85 Pinnacle
1 pt West Brom (-0.25 AH) V Fulham. 1.90 Canbet, SBOBet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Man City V Arsenal. Under 2.5 goals. 1.93 Pinnacle/12bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

It’s been a crazy few weeks in the Premier League, even by its own often sometime ridiculous standards. What with all the lawyers, court cases and offers of 250k a week wages – it all makes me pine for the days when the biggest news of the day was the quality of mullet on offer. Check out some of these beauties for some light relief!  What was Barry Venison thinking!

There may be no mullets on offer at Stamford Bridge this weekend but it does feature my first bet of the weekend where I am very keen on Chelsea to overcome a 2.25 goal Asian Handicap at 2.1 with Bet365. Last season they won 8 of their 11 games against the bottom 12 of the league by 3 goals or more and have already stuck 4 and 6 past West Brom and Blackpool this year. They host a limited Wolves side and I see an easy 3 points here with hopefully lots of goals!

I also want to continue my net-busting bets on Blackpool this weekend where 12bet are offering 1.83 on over 2.5 goals when they visit Birmingham. The home team’s defence has lost the mean look it had last season and Blackpool have gone overs in 7 out of 8 games already. Ian Holloway ended his last game against Man City with 4 strikers on the field, whereas Brum will see this as a must win game and won’t sit back either.

I am quickly picking up some favourite teams for this season and one of these is Bolton who I am backing with a 0.25 Asian Handicap away at Wigan (1.85 Pinnacle). There are two sides going in contrasting directions and I am a fan of Owen Coyle and what he is doing at Bolton, who could be a dark horse this season.

Another quarter ball Asian Handicap for me is on West Brom to overcome Fulham, who continue to have a very poor record on the road. The Cottagers have drawn all 4 games away this season, whereas the Baggies have shown fantastic resilience and plenty of skill by beating Arsenal and drawing with United away recently. I am taking the -0.25 Asian with Canbet & SBObet on the home team at 1.90.

Main Bets
1.5 pt Chelsea (-2.25 AH) V Wolves. 2.1 Bet365
1.5 pt Blackpool V Birmingham. Over 2.5 goals. 1.83 12bet
1 pt Bolton (+0.25 AH) V Wigan. 1.85 Pinnacle
1 pt West Brom (-0.25 AH) V Fulham. 1.90 Canbet, SBOBet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Man City V Arsenal. Under 2.5 goals. 1.93 Pinnacle/12bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike

My phone has been buzzing this week with enough Liverpool FC jokes to give Ken Dodd a coronary and the bookies predict there will be little relief for the reds this weekend with Everton clear favourites at a best 2.52 to win the Merseyside derby. I never like betting in these derby games and it’s hard to see a confident edge with even the under 2.5 goals line a very short best priced 1.68 with Expekt. Perhaps a better bet is the 11/5 with Betfair on there to be a red card as some of the challenges regularly seen in this fixture are enough to make even Jackie Chan wince (or Nigel De Jong nod approvingly).

It’s just a short drive down from Goodison to find my first main bet this weekend as Bolton host Stoke at the Reebok where I fancy Owen Coyle’s outfit to take all 3 points. The home team are a much changed outfit no longer hoofing the ball up field at every opportunity (unlike their opponents) wit Continue reading →

My phone has been buzzing this week with enough Liverpool FC jokes to give Ken Dodd a coronary and the bookies predict there will be little relief for the reds this weekend with Everton clear favourites at a best 2.52 to win the Merseyside derby. I never like betting in these derby games and it’s hard to see a confident edge with even the under 2.5 goals line a very short best priced 1.68 with Expekt. Perhaps a better bet is the 11/5 with Betfair on there to be a red card as some of the challenges regularly seen in this fixture are enough to make even Jackie Chan wince (or Nigel De Jong nod approvingly).

It’s just a short drive down from Goodison to find my first main bet this weekend as Bolton host Stoke at the Reebok where I fancy Owen Coyle’s outfit to take all 3 points. The home team are a much changed outfit no longer hoofing the ball up field at every opportunity (unlike their opponents) wit Continue reading →

Plenty of very appealing bets this weekend and it’s proven hard to narrow them down as lots tick the boxes.

One of my strongest is at Upton Park where I expect goals as Harry Redknapp returns to one of his former teams – West Ham. The Hammers saw over 2.5 goals in 61% of all games, whilst Spurs did so in 58% of their matches last season – a trend that is continuing this year. The overs at 2.00 with Skybet suggests they have this as a 50% chance, whereas 60% seems more likely especially considering the home sides shaky defence. Hopefully Robert Green will be in nets!

I am also continuing my backing of Arsenal to overcome a 2 goal margin at home against bottom half teams (see my previous analysis here). They should have too much for West Brom but it’s worth noting as well that a lot of the Gunners goals come late in the 2^nd half when they have worn these teams down. You can get 4/1 on a HT/FT result of Draw/Arsenal, which also doesn’t look too bad.

In the Saturday lunchtime kick-off we have the first real test of Chelsea this season who travel up to Eastlands for a crunch game. With 2 Italian managers in charge I think this could be a tight defensive affair and we have already seen how Mancini is lining up with De Jong, Barry & Toure solid in midfield. Since Bobby Manc (as the natives know him) took over, City have played 10 games against top 8 teams with 7 of these going under 2.5 goals. The 1.96 on this suggests a 51% chance of happening and I rate it more likely than that.

Over at Craven Cottage, I also spy a value bet on Fulham who take on an out-of-sorts Everton, who have a miserable record at this ground. 12bet and SBOBet offer 1.99 on Fulham with a 0 Asian Handicap, which I feel is value. I also continue to want to side with the over 2.5 goals on Blackpool who will persist with their attacking approach in the derby against Blackburn. The 1.91 on this with a number of bookies is a shortlist bet.

Other bets under consideration that missed out included under 2.5 goals between Newcastle and Stoke, although at 1.8 this looked fairly short.  The same reasoning precluded me from advising Birmingham to beat Wigan at 1.87, a price that is a bit on the skinny side for me.

Main Bets
1.5 pts West Ham V Spurs – Over 2.5 goals. 2.0 Skybet (early pick from Thursday)
1 pt Arsenal (-1.75 AH) V West Brom. 1.95 Bet365
1 pt Man City – Chelsea – Under 2.5 goals. 1.96 Canbet/12bet/SBObet

Shortlist Bets
1 pt Fulham (0 AH) V Everton. 1.99 SBObet/12bet
1 pt Blackpool – Blackburn. Over 2.5 goals. 1.91 Pinnacle/SBObet/Canbet/10bet

Whatever you bet on, good luck!

Mike