By utilising the excellent Form Lab Black software, the team at the Smart Betting Club have cast their eye over some of the weekend’s feature games in search for any angles of betting interest.
This weekend, we start off with Man City, where despite the loss of Carlos Tevez, the stats suggest a fruitless time for their opponents Aston Villa.
English Premier League
Man City vs. Villa: Man City Win to Nil. 2.50 Blue Square/888.
Man City’s home form has been superb. They are unbeaten in twelve of the last thirteen games, winning ‘to nil’ in each of their last five. City have also managed to keep clean sheets in all of their last seven home games against top half teams. Villa on the other hand are yet to win away this season and have lost in 10/15 trips to top three finishers since 2006/2007. Aston Villa have the lowest number of shots on goal this season away with just 22 in total and only 8 of these have been on target.
German Bundesliga:
Freiburg vs. Hamburg: +2.75 goals @ 1.98 Ladbrokes.
There have been +2.5 goals in all the last eight Freiburg home matches against bottom six teams and 12/15 Hamburg away matches against bottom six. The teams are ranked first and second for games going over the 2.5 goals mark against the same bottom six teams.
Spain Primera Liga:
Granada vs. Atl Madrid: -2.25 goals @ 2.21 188bet.
Granada have scored just two goals this season, while Atletico Madrid are ranked 2nd in the league for games going -2.5 goals against promoted opposition. Bottom six teams have had -2.5 goals in 61% of home games vs. top half (exc big two) since 2006.
France Ligue 1:
Montpellier vs. Dijon: -2.25 goals @ 2.07 Pinnacle.
At home, Montpellier games have gone +2.5 goals against promoted sides in just 4/5 matches since 2007, with all of those games also producing just a single goal or less. In Ligue 1, promoted sides have games with -2.5 goals, 57% of the time.
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