A bit earlier with my bets this weekend and plenty to get stuck into, including another bet for my Ante-post portfolio on Wigan to go down at evens. They travel to West Ham in what promises to be a dire game, full of strikers who couldn’t hit a pigs backside with a banjo, and should they lose this evens price will shrink further. This bet on the pie-eaters to go down compliments a number of my existing ante-post selections and they are a poor team, have only scored 10 goals all year and will be lucky to stay up in my opinion.
As for this weekend, well it finally seems that everyone else has finally caught on to how good Bolton have been of late. They have been racking up the goals and I don’t think Blackpool will be able to stop their bandwagon so fancy the trotters to overcome a -1 handicap at 2.07. With Matt Gilks out, the Tangerines are considerably weaker and I am hopeful that Elmander and Davies can rattle a few more in this Lancashire derby. Gilks replacement – Kingston, is never far from dropping a clanger, let’s hope it’s this weekend.
Call me a fool but I am also going to stick with Fulham to win this weekend, even after their pasting by City last Sunday. I wonder if there has been an over-reaction to Fulham odds wise this week as the Cottagers haven’t been that bad this season (Sunday apart!). They have had a tough start, playing 5 of the top 7 already and I feel they are in a false position. Last year they won 11 out of 18 at the Cottage and Brum lost 12 out of 18 on the road. Thus the odds of 2.1 on a home win indicate a 47.6% chance, whereas I make it 50%+.
Similarly Wolves are a very big price to beat Sunderland this weekend, no doubt influenced by their woeful run of late and the Black Cats recent 3-0 mauling at Chelsea. Facts are though that the win at Stamford Bridge was Sunderland’s first away from home this season and Wolves have had the toughest run of games imaginable. I am going to take the 0 Asian Handicap on Wolves at 1.94 with SBObet.
My final main bet is on Spurs to see off Liverpool as they have a very strong home record and the odds of 2.15 look far too big. They won 14 out of 19 home games last year and Liverpool have lost their last 6 away games at the league’s top teams in recent times (Spurs, UtdX2, Chelsea, Arsenal , City). I make Spurs more of a 50% chance at least so anything over evens is value.
Two shortlist bets as well as Arsenal at 2.26 look well placed to see off a young Villa team, although the loss of Fabregas is a blow. Everton and West Brom have been shot shy recently and can easily see this finishing 1-0 or 1-1 so the 2.02 on under 2.5 goals appeals.
Ante-post Bet
1 pt Wigan to be relegated. 2.00 Numerous bookies
Main Bets
1 pt Bolton (-1 AH) V Blackpool. 2.07 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Fulham to beat Birmingham. 2.10 Pinnacle/Paddy/Ladbrokes/Stan James
1 pt Wolves (0 AH) V Sunderland. 1.94 Canbet/SBObet
1 pt Spurs to beat Liverpool. 2.15 12bet/188bet
Shortlist Bets
1 pt Arsenal to beat Aston Villa. 2.26 188bet
1 pt Under 2.5 Goals – Everton V West Brom. 2.02 12bet
Whatever you bet on, good luck!
Mike