More (Boring) Profits & Football Update

It was another successful week for the ‘Main’ portfolio, and it’s getting kinda boring (in a good way) to be mentioning Racing Service 2 yet again this month.  Another nice winner at 8s on Saturday meant the profit level was impressive again.  It’s going to be a real let down when finally a blank week strikes.

A really good performance too from MVS (Lite) which, during a very quiet week, hit enough winners to bank a nice profit and an ROI of 125%.

None of the tipsters had a particularly poor week, and January as a whole is going quite swimmingly.

I also want to update today on my post last week on Football Service 1 asthere are a couple of things that the chap who runs it (SB) drew my attention to, that I had omitted from that post.  So, in the interest of providing some context, here are a couple of further points to be made.

Firstly, SB did advise a number of differently-sized betting banks for subscribers to the service, depending on the level of risk they were happy to take on.  The officially recommended level of risk (of bankruptcy to SB’s mathematical calculations) to take on when setting a bank for the system is 1%.

At the start of the season, SB wrote that after an analysis of results through the 2017/18 season, the drop off in performance of bets issued from the beginning of March was “statistically significant”.  I know it’s been a subject for discussion for many years – as the season draws to a close, some teams’ level of motivation compared to another’s can differ wildly.  If a team is set in mid-table with nothing to gain or lose, are they going to put as much into a match as an opponent desperate to avoid relegation or which is pushing for promotion?  Can ratings allow for this factor or not? – perhaps not if results are consistently seen to be worse at this stage of the season.

Anyway, whatever the answer to the above question, SB suggested that followers taking on a 1% risk of bankruptcy (as recommended) and those who intended to stop betting the selections at the end of February should do so with a 25 point bank, and those whose plan it was to back all selections through to the end of the season set themselves up with a 35 point bank.  The 35 point bank has not gone bust at this point and SBC’s official bank recommendation is for 50 points.

SB did also recommend larger banks for those who wanted to take less than a 1% risk of bankruptcy, i.e. a 0.1% risk and of course subscriber who took up this option is still going strong.

I hope this successfully adds a little context.

For what it’s worth, my own opinion is that it is perfectly possible that the Football Service 2’s ratings are simply going through an extended slump which they will ultimately recover from.  I do genuinely hope this is the case – Football Service 2 is a professionally run service and as such, deserves to do well.

Portfolio Performance

‘Main’ portfolio: ROI 25.21%, ROC 3.11%.

‘Starter’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Racing Service 2, Northern Monkey): ROI 20.64%, ROC 3.08%.

‘Broxchange’ (Football Lay Profits, The Accountant, Golf Insider): ROI -8.76%, ROC -1.35%.

Individual Service Performance

The Accountant: Staked 12pts, -1.87pts, ROI -15.58%.

Racing Service 1: Staked 3pts, 4.6pts, ROI 153.33%.

Football Lay Profits: Staked 45.3pts, +7.63pts, ROI 16.84%.

Golf Insider: Staked 14.4pts, -14.4pts, ROI -100%.

MVS (Lite): Staked 4pts, +5pts, ROI 125%.

Northern Monkey: Staked 2.5pts, 0pts, ROI 0%.

Football Service 2: Staked 4pts, -0.173pts, ROI -4.32%.

Racing Service 2: Staked 3pts, +6pts, ROI 200%.

Racing Service 3: Staked 23.5pts, +4.525pts, ROI 19.25%.

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