Starting the day on Monday, you’ll see from my last post that for November I was standing at a small loss of -84.39pts. As I write this post on Friday morning, I’m still in deficit, but to the tune of just -48.35pts. Those of you who are sharp with your mental arithmetic, will no doubt have worked out that means a profit on the week so far of 36.04 points.
Does that constitute a successful week? Dunno. Beats losing, I guess.
The point I’m making, is that it’s been quiet. Very quiet. Another negative effect of the Interlull. My turnover with SharpBetting Football has plummeted just at a time when I would have liked to have built it up in an attempt to get through the current spell of negative variance as quickly as possible.
But you can only bet when the value is there, and this is just one of those times when patience is the key.
This theme of volume is an important one to consider. If you know you are playing with an edge and your bets are overwhelmingly +EV, then the higher the turnover you can get through, the better. I filled an hour of what has been a quiet week watching a fantastic video interview posted on the Bookie Bashing YouTube channel. The subject is someone who has profited to the tune of £1m+ over the last eight to nine years, utilising the BB Tools and Trackers.
The whole interview is very much worth a watch, but the bit I found fascinating was the section where Tom and his subject were discussing securing as much +EV as possible. Fascinating to hear Tom say that there was one syndicate he knew of where its participants were rewarded on the level of EV they secured. It’s an interesting twist in terms of mindset. Instead of targeting profit each day/week/month/year, it’s posited that the better ambition is simply to secure as much +EV as you can. Do that, the profit will follow.
It’s a subtle tweak to philosophy, but I’ve got to admit, it’s a bit of a light bulb moment. I like to think that experience has taught me enough to be able to deal with the losing runs (another gem in the video is the acknowledgement that losing runs and drawdowns can last a lot longer than anyone tends to anticipate) pretty well, but this slight change in outlook I feel, could really help people. Treat a good day as one in which you’ve secured a level of +EV you’re happy with, not necessarily one in which you’ve made a profit.
If you haven’t already, go and watch the video. There’s loads of good stuff in it, useful whether you’re a Bookie Bashing member or not. Something for the weekend, perhaps.
On a practical note, the squeeze of restricted accounts is squeezing like a boa constrictor who is in the squeezing form of his life. I’m being squeezed!
It’s reached the point where I feel I’m coming to the end before transitioning to shops and cash betting entirely. I can still get on a fair amount of football bets but to smaller stakes than is ideal, making the principle of volume even more important (damn you, international break!). And I can still back some horses but again to small stakes, and in light of this I’m looking to place a few singles sourced from the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker where I can, when I can. Fewer Lucky15s, because I’m running out of books where they’re happy to take the liability.
One note – there’s been good value in the Grand Slam of Darts this week, especially on the Total 180s lines. Long may that continue. The even better news is that more of the +EV bets have won than lost, so not only have I been able to secure plenty of EV, I’ve also been able to secure the profit. Happy Days!
November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):
Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 495pts, -78.79pts, ROI -15.91%, DD -83.74pts, Max DD -83.74pts.
BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 164pts, -164pts, ROI -100%, DD -164pts, Max DD -164pts.
BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 260pts, +48.74pts, ROI 18.74%, DD -10.9pts, Max DD -10.9pts.
DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.
BB Football Coupons: Staked 105pts, -75.5pts, ROI -71.9%, DD -75.5pts, Max DD -75.5pts.
NFL Strategy: Staked 40pts, +50pts, ROI 125%, DD: -0pts, Max DD: -0pts
BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 47pts, +52.5pts, ROI 111.7%, DD -19pts, Max DD -19pts.
Sharp Betting Football: Staked 4,423.5ptspts, -161.79pts, ROI -3.65%, DD -225.51pts, Max DD -239.63pts.
The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.
Touchdown Profit: Staked 239pts, -3.85pts, ROI -1.61%, DD -80.16pts. Max DD -80.16pts.
Value Bets: Staked 20pts, +13.33pts, ROI 66.65%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.
Weekly Golf Value: Staked 358pts, +38.5pts, ROI 10.75%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts
Total: Staked 6,886.5pts, -48.35pts, ROI -0.7%, DD -477pts, Max DD -513.04pts, Bank Growth -0.69%
