Month: November 2025

If only…, Sharp Betting Football is very sharp!, and two big winners from the BB Racing Tracker.

We all know that as people that take out betting seriously, keeping a tight rein on our emotions is important.  The familiar drill is we don’t get carried away with the highs, and we don’t get too down about the lows.  Remembering that each are inevitable and never dropping our focus from the long term is the way to go.

But…betting should be enjoyable.  And look, when we have a good win, I’m happy.  When things are going badly, not so happy.  I don’t swing emotionally from one extreme to the other, but nor do I try to be a robot, completely impervious to emotional involvement.

Every now and then though, a bet comes up  that I do commit too mentally.  One such came up yesterday.

As an Arsenal fan, having watched Liverpool and City lose the previous day, backing Bukayo Saka as a Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven pick from the Bookie Bashing Tracker held all sorts of promise.  Never have I so wanted a bet to win.  Playing chief local “rivals” Spu*s, can you imagine if Saka scored first and then doubled up, scoring goals in a comprehensive win!?!  Heaven doesn’t come close to how I’d feel about that.

It didn’t happen of course.  At least the Saka scoring bit anyway (the comprehensive win bit was still fun).

These opportunities to fully invest in a bet don’t come up too often.  Shame this was one that got away.  There’ll be others in the future, I’m sure.

What a week for Sharp Betting Football!  The latest drawdown, that had lasted a couple of months, ended with a hugely consistent week with a solid profit made every day.  These foundations were built upon too, by the few multiples I throw in amongst the singles finally paying something of a dividend over the weekend.  Three winners in a Lucky 15 plus a postponed match gave a healthy return, and three winners and a loser in another the same.  All told, we’re sitting on a new profit high for SBF for the month and all time.

This is a service in which I rely on volume.  With dwindling bookmaker accounts getting the volume of bets down I aim for is growing a little more complicated.  Because of restrictions, I have to keep my stakes fairly small, and look to make a decent profit by turning over the bank as quickly and often as I can.

The Transfer Flow had a storming Saturday with all six of the bets I struck ending up as winners!  That’s not quite the full story, however.  Sadly on Friday when the bets come through, I wasn’t at my laptop as is usually the case, and by the time I could look to get my money down the prices/lines had shifted on some to an extent I wasn’t happy backing at.  I missed four picks, three of which were winners.

That’s a phenomenal run of form for a service with which I’d be pleased with an ROI of 5%.  Remember we’re talking about betting solely in the Premier League, Championship and Champion’s League Asian lines.  The strongest of all UK football betting markets.  So to be at 20.5% ROI overall (24% this month so far) is way, way better than I could have dreamed.  It can’t keep running so hot and I’m waiting for a correction, but I’m going to enjoy this ride whilst it lasts.

As mentioned previously, another way I’m trying to eke as much out of accounts as I can is to use the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker, backing in singles.  Saturday was a memorable day as two winners hit, one at 28/1 and the other at 22/1.  Again, small stakes due to restrictions, but the ROI for these bets in November so far is 23%, which is not to be sniffed at.

Just shows though, how variance can hit.  The same Tracker is the source of bets to put in the Lucky15s, and that element to the portfolio is the only one to really disappoint last week.  Still, it’s sitting on a longer term ROI of 33% so I ain’t complaining.

All told, it’s been a very healthy week, and bank growth for November, with one week to go, stands at just under the 10% mark I nominally use as a “target”.  We’re sitting on a new high for the month and year, and there’s all to play for.  Let’s see what comes next.

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Lucky 15s: Staked 877.5pts, -191.49pts, ROI -21.82%, DD -201.44pts, Max DD -268.44pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 392pts, -392pts, ROI -100%, DD -392pts, Max DD -392pts.

BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 380pts, +44.74pts, ROI 11.77%, DD -14.9pts, Max DD -50.9pts.

DD/HH: Staked 229pts, +71pts, ROI 31%, DD: -179pts, Max DD -179pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 175pts, -77.34pts, ROI -44.19%, DD -77.34pts, Max DD -77.34pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 100pts, -10pts, ROI -10%, DD: -60pts, Max DD: -60pts

BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 710pts, +167.88pts, ROI 23.64%, DD -0pts, Max DD -121.82pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 7,181.75pts, +437.11pts, ROI 6.08%, DD -0pts, Max DD -239.63pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 760pts, +183.03pts, ROI 24.08%, DD: -20pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 359pts, -6.22pts, ROI -1.73%, DD -82.53pts. Max DD -82.53pts.

Value Bets: Staked 66.5pts, +16.83pts, ROI 25.3%, DD -8pts, Max DD -15.5pts.

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 724pts, +448.87pts, ROI 61.99%, DD -10.63pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 11,900.75pts, +692.41pts, ROI 5.81%, DD -0pts, Max DD -566.46pts, Bank Growth 9.89%

Golfing sweet and sour – WGV does the biz, but no bloomin’ Doubles!

A weekend of mixed golfing emotions.

First thing to mention, a great 80/1 winner for Weekly Golf Value in Adam Shenk, who fought his own demons as well as a fierce Bermudan wind to secure victory and a fine WGV return.  I’ve never seen anyone putt one-handed, but Shenk did on occasion, and all told he must have changed his putting grip several times at different times across his last two rounds.  Doing that whilst trying to win a competition can’t be easy, and when he missed a five foot putt on the 17th to essentially secure the title, I thought the writing was on the wall.

But Shenk battled.  He looked emotionally a complete wreck when it was all over.  Not as much a wreck as I was after suffering watching his final round, I can tell you.

Anyway, all’s well that ends well, and that was the golfing sweet for the weekend.  The sour came from a near miss with the Each Way Golf Doubles.  On Saturday night we were in a good position to knock in a couple.  As it was, we got nothing, and the lack of a return on the month continues.  Only a matter of time, although that time will have to wait a little longer as there is only one tournament this week coming.

SharpBetting Football had a much better weekend and I’m almost, almostback in the red for the month.  It was actually the multiples I threw in over the weekend that dragged things back a bit.  Had I not done those and stuck to singles, it would have been a great couple of days, but then if my Dad’s brother was a woman he’d be my Aunt and not my Uncle…or something.

The multiples will pay off in the long term, I’m sure.

Other than that, not much of note, really.  Another close thing with the NFL Strategy with Houston Texans needing a Field Goal to make the scores level at half time, with about ten seconds of the second quarter to play. They had the ball, were 20 yards out, and didn’t go for a Field Goal when doing so would have surely banked my profit.  Fine margins, and all that.

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 600pts, -95.43pts, ROI -15.9%, DD -105.38pts, Max DD -105.38pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 392pts, -392pts, ROI -100%, DD -392pts, Max DD -392pts.

BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 320pts, +28.74pts, ROI 8.98%, DD -30.9pts, Max DD -50.9pts.

DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 140pts, -49.44pts, ROI -35.31%, DD -49.44pts, Max DD -75.5pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 60pts, +30pts, ROI 50%, DD: -20pts, Max DD: -20pts

BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 270pts, -50.32pts, ROI -18.63%, DD -121.82pts, Max DD -121.82pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 5,237pts, -4.04pts, ROI -0.07%, DD -69.76pts, Max DD -239.63pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 299pts, +14.57pts, ROI 4.87%, DD -61.74pts. Max DD -80.16pts.

Value Bets: Staked 52pts, +5.33pts, ROI 10.25%, DD -15.5pts, Max DD -15.5pts.

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 630pts, +459.5pts, ROI 72.93%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 8,735pts, +179.42pts, ROI 2.03%, DD -251.23pts, Max DD -566.46pts, Bank Growth 2.53%

Volume, a great Tom B video, and a subtle change in mindset.

Starting the day on Monday, you’ll see from my last post that for November I was standing at a small loss of -84.39pts.  As I write this post on Friday morning, I’m still in deficit, but to the tune of just -48.35pts.  Those of you who are sharp with your mental arithmetic, will no doubt have worked out that means a profit on the week so far of 36.04 points.

Does that constitute a successful week?  Dunno.  Beats losing, I guess.

The point I’m making, is that it’s been quiet.  Very quiet.  Another negative effect of the Interlull.  My turnover with SharpBetting Football has plummeted just at a time when I would have liked to have built it up in an attempt to get through the current spell of negative variance as quickly as possible.

But you can only bet when the value is there, and this is just one of those times when patience is the key.

This theme of volume is an important one to consider.  If you know you are playing with an edge and your bets are overwhelmingly +EV, then the higher the turnover you can get through, the better.  I filled an hour of what has been a quiet week watching a fantastic video interview posted on the Bookie Bashing YouTube channel. The subject is someone who has profited to the tune of £1m+ over the last eight to nine years, utilising the BB Tools and Trackers.

The whole interview is very much worth a watch, but the bit I found fascinating was the section where Tom and his subject were discussing securing as much +EV as possible.  Fascinating to hear Tom say that there was one syndicate he knew of where its participants were rewarded on the level of EV they secured.  It’s an interesting twist in terms of mindset.  Instead of targeting profit each day/week/month/year, it’s posited that the better ambition is simply to secure as much +EV as you can.  Do that, the profit will follow.

It’s a subtle tweak to philosophy, but I’ve got to admit, it’s a bit of a light bulb moment.  I like to think that experience has taught me enough to be able to deal with the losing runs (another gem in the video is the acknowledgement that losing runs and drawdowns can last a lot longer than anyone tends to anticipate) pretty well, but this slight change in outlook I feel, could really help people.  Treat a good day as one in which you’ve secured a level of +EV you’re happy with, not necessarily one in which you’ve made a profit.

If you haven’t already, go and watch the video.  There’s loads of good stuff in it, useful whether you’re a Bookie Bashing member or not.  Something for the weekend, perhaps.

On a practical note, the squeeze of restricted accounts is squeezing like a boa constrictor who is in the squeezing form of his life. I’m being squeezed!

It’s reached the point where I feel I’m coming to the end before transitioning to shops and cash betting entirely.  I can still get on a fair amount of football bets but to smaller stakes than is ideal, making the principle of volume even more important (damn you, international break!).  And I can still back some horses but again to small stakes, and in light of this I’m looking to place a few singles sourced from the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker where I can, when I can.  Fewer Lucky15s, because I’m running out of books where they’re happy to take the liability.

One note – there’s been good value in the Grand Slam of Darts this week, especially on the Total 180s lines.  Long may that continue.  The even better news is that more of the +EV bets have won than lost, so not only have I been able to secure plenty of EV, I’ve also been able to secure the profit.  Happy Days!

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 495pts, -78.79pts, ROI -15.91%, DD -83.74pts, Max DD -83.74pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 164pts, -164pts, ROI -100%, DD -164pts, Max DD -164pts.

BB Darts 180s Tool: Staked 260pts, +48.74pts, ROI 18.74%, DD -10.9pts, Max DD -10.9pts.

DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 105pts, -75.5pts, ROI -71.9%, DD -75.5pts, Max DD -75.5pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 40pts, +50pts, ROI 125%, DD: -0pts, Max DD: -0pts

BB Racing Tracker Singles: Staked 47pts, +52.5pts, ROI 111.7%, DD -19pts, Max DD -19pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 4,423.5ptspts, -161.79pts, ROI -3.65%, DD -225.51pts, Max DD -239.63pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 239pts, -3.85pts, ROI -1.61%, DD -80.16pts. Max DD -80.16pts.

Value Bets: Staked 20pts, +13.33pts, ROI 66.65%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 358pts, +38.5pts, ROI 10.75%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 6,886.5pts, -48.35pts, ROI -0.7%, DD -477pts, Max DD -513.04pts, Bank Growth -0.69%

A profitable mistake, but a losing weekend.

One of those weekends which passed by without anything at all remarkable happening.

After what had been a really strong start to the month, we’ve hit a bit of a drawdown and November is now, just, running at a loss.  There’s not a great deal t report.

Perhaps instead of following the new SBC Free Tipster service F1 Edge by paper trading, as stated in Friday’s post, I should have just jumped in.  Had I, even to small stakes, then it would have been the best performing service by far for me over the weekend!

I had one golfer place in each of the two tournaments across the DPWT and PGA Tours, one at 80/1 and the other at 100/1.  Sadly, one was with BetFred and the other Ladbrokes.  All of which meant it was a totally blank week for the EW Golf Doubles strategy, and with no golfer in contention for Weekly Golf Value in the US tournament it all made for a rather boring golfing Sunday.

Talking of Weekly Golf Value, it was one of only two services/strategies to produce a profit over the weekend, and that was only a direct result of an error on my part.  Placed golfer Angel Ayora I managed to back twice!  Not sure how that happened, but happen it did.

The other profitable strategy was the backing the draw at Half Time and the HT/FT double in predicted low scoring matches.  New York Jets and Cleveland Browns were drawing at half time, but the the Jets went on to win when I needed the Browns to for the double.  A profit all told, but that kinda sums up my weekend.

Reached a new max drawdown on the month for SharpBetting Football and at an almost all time low water mark there, too.

Not much else to report.  With a dearth of football now whilst we endure another break for internationals, it feels that the month has entered what can only be described as the doldrums.  Perhaps some golf will brighten things up this week coming.  Let’s see.

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 465pts, -68.2pts, ROI -14.66%, DD -73.15pts, Max DD -77.69pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 164pts, -164pts, ROI -100%, DD -164pts, Max DD -164pts.

DD/HH: Staked 135pts, +165pts, ROI 122.22%, DD: -85pts, Max DD -85pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 52.5pts, -52.5pts, ROI -100%, DD -52.5pts, Max DD -52.5pts.

NFL Strategy: Staked 40pts, +50pts, ROI 125%, DD: -0pts, Max DD: -0pts

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 3,622pts, -136.85pts, ROI -3.77%, DD -200.57pts, Max DD -200.57pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 600pts, +67.51pts, ROI 11.25%, DD: -31.38pts, Max DD -31.38pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 219pts, +16.15pts, ROI 7.37%, DD -60.16pts. Max DD -60.16pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 358pts, +38.5pts, ROI 10.75%, DD -0pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 5,655.5pts, -84.39pts, ROI -1.49%, DD -513.04pts, Max DD -513.04pts, Bank Growth -1.24%

200/1 excitement, wot – no Erling?, and a new sport to bet on?

Is it too reductive to say that the reason it’s not been a great midweek of betting, is because BetFred finally cut the price on Erling Haaland to be First Goalscorer in City’s match against Dortmund in the Champions’ League to a prohibitive 6/4?

I guess it is.  The price didn’t represent value and so the opportunity for another successful DD/HH bet disappeared. Mind you, it was Phil Foden who scored the opener, so perhaps we can say that Fred’s traders actually saved me some money.

Plenty of Each Way Golf Doubles struck at both Ladbrokes and BetFred this week.  It’s been pretty quiet on this front over recent weeks but I believe there’s a good run now of both DPWT and PGA events each week running up to the end of the year.  That means there should be plenty of opportunity.  There certainly was this week.

Now I’m way too long in the tooth to start looking at results at the end of Round 1 and start to project forward to enjoying my winnings.  But that said, when you see a 200/1 golfer you’ve backed sit at the top of the leader board on Thursday night, it’s impossible not to have at least a vague glimmer of excitement.

(Edit: As I type, the lad has just completed his second round to sit two shots off the top in a share for third place.  Go on son!)

A bit of a sticky spell now for the Bookie Bashing Football Coupons.  It was really interesting to hear Tom say on the latest BashCast that these bets are his primary avenue for betting in shops.  It was also interesting to hear him say that the volatility on these is big, with it often being months of steady losses before a couple of big wins make up for all that and provide the profit.

To be honest, I’m keeping stakes pretty small on these for now.  In my experience it’s best to “feel” the volatility before playing to bigger staking.  Start small and grow is a good ethos to have when trying out something new, I reckon.

Talking of trying something new, it was interesting to get the SBC email yesterday around a new free (to SBC members) tipster service that specializes in betting on F1 racing.  That would be a first for me if I was to get involved.

I’ll join the Telegram group and see how it develops, perhaps do a touch of paper trading.  The thought going through my head is that it might, potentially, be an option to utilise a still existing online bookmaker account or two.  Those that have restricted me to pennies on some sports but are still allowing my normal stakes to be placed on others.  Goodbye tennis and football, hello F1, perhaps?

We’ll see, but in the meantime, you can read more about it via this link.

Back to the services I am following with hard cash at present, and I could do with SharpBetting Football to rediscover a bit of form.  I’ve essentially stood still for approaching six weeks now, and if I’m being honest, I’m all set and ready for another profit surge.  One issue that has struck is that the book that is clearly the most prolific in terms of offering value prices picked up by the SBF model is limiting me on more and more games.  Some I can still get full stakes on, others I can’t.

The only real bright spot this week has been The Transfer Flow which enjoyed another profitable round of Champions League and Skybet Championship games.  I did find the Exchange markets much weaker though, compared to the weekend.  Even getting decent enough prices matched for Champions League games wasn’t straightforward.  Need to keep an eye on this.  I did decide to opt out of betting three or four of the picks due to price, which is something I don’t enjoy having to do.

So, no issues at all with profitability so far, but still feel like this is something of a trial period for TTF.

And that’s it for this week.  Let’s see what the weekend brings.  May our golfers sink many a birdie, and may our bets bring home some bacon.

Have a great weekend, folks!

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 375pts, -38.53pts, ROI -10.27%, DD -43.48pts, Max DD -77.69pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD 0pts, Max DD 0pts.

DD/HH: Staked 95pts, +205pts, ROI 215.78%, DD: -45pts, Max DD -45pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 52.5pts, -52.5pts, ROI -100%, DD -52.5pts, Max DD -52.5pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 2,350pts, -65.4pts, ROI -2.78%, DD -129.12pts, Max DD -132.74pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 360pts, +86.17pts, ROI 23.93%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -16.1pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 139pts, +58.31pts, ROI 41.94%, DD -18pts. Max DD -18pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 80pts, -12.5pts, ROI -15.6%, DD -12.5pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 3,451.5pts, +180.55pts, ROI 5.23%, DD -248.15pts, Max DD -253.74pts, Bank Growth 2.65%

Erling Haaland is getting a bit silly, a great weekend for Touchdown Profit, and a karate chop to the nuts.

OK, this is getting a wee bit silly now.  If you’ve read my last post – a review of October’s betting – and I tell you that the biggest contribution to a strong weekend’s profit came from the actions of one man, you’d know who I’m referring to, right?

Yup.  Erling Haaland.

His brace yesterday landed the Delight bit of the only Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven bet I’d struck across Saturday and Sunday.  Furthermore, I got a nice surprise when despite being lauded as 111% +EV on the relevant Bookie Bashing Tracker at a price of 2/1 to score the first goal, he was actually 5/2.  I ended up winning more than I thought I would.

Two things have got to happen moving forward.

One: surely, surely (?), Haaland’s price to be First Goalscorer will contract further.  We’ve got to be looking at 6/4 or 7/4, no?  The fact that I believe City’s second leading scorer this season is Burnley’s Max Esteve with two own goals, kinda tells you the score when it comes to the chances of it being Haaland opening the scoring for his team.

Two: Haaland’s rate of scoring will slow.  His current rate HAS to be unsustainable, doesn’t it?  I appreciate my feelings on this are compromised courtesy of desperately wanting to see City lose ground in the title race, but even appraising the situation with a dose of cold, hard logic, the numbers the big lad is posting are ridiculously good.  Too good.

Do I believe that?  You know what?  I’m not too sure I do.  I never want to wish injury on a professional sportsperson, but I wish someone would injure him!  But then, I think of the cash he’s won me these last few weeks, and….and….oh, I’m so conflicted.  When will these voices in my head stop!?!

Great weekend for Touchdown Profit with five winners from six bets with one match/bet to play.  Would have been six from seven but unfortunately I missed the line on one of the Total Points picks which ended up an easy win.  I ain’t complaining, though.  This was a fine weekend for the NFL expert, and well done to them!

Good start to November too for The Transfer Flow who continues to build the profit at a rate that is about as sustainable as Haaland’s scoring (I think).  These bets are on the Asian Handicaps, so to be running at an ROI from the start of September of 19.3% is a bit daft.  A weekend ROI of 28.8% though, is…..appreciated.

Final point around the weekend’s football.  Since when has it been lawful to take a man out a split second after getting the faintest touch on the ball?  As an Arsenal fan and seeing two penalties (correctly given, in my opinion) overturned by VAR this season because the offender had got a slight touch on the ball, I appreciate I may be sensitive to the issue.

But yesterday, as a neutral, seeing West Ham’s penalty award being overturned for the same reason, and then less than five minutes later see Freddie Potts clearly win the ball first before sliding into the man and although not booked, see a free kick awarded against him and given a stern talking to by the ref…I mean, what?!?  So that’s a foul, unless it’s in the penalty area, and then it isn’t?  There’s no rule that states getting the ball before the man is legal, so VAR getting the decision right “to the letter of the law” as one pundit said, is, err, bollocks.

Feels at the moment if you’re in the penalty area, a defender can get a little toe to the ball before karate chopping the attacker in the nuts and administering a quick blow to the windpipe, and it still wouldn’t be a penalty.  Or at least it would, until VAR does what VAR does.

I say I was neutral.  I had West Ham scoring two goals or more on a football coupon and at that point they hadn’t scored any.  Still, all’s well that ends well, eh?

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 135pts, +4.95pts, ROI 3.6%, DD 0pts, Max DD -5.16pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD 0pts, Max DD 0pts.

DD/HH: Staked 50pts, +250pts, ROI 500%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 900pts, +63.72pts, ROI 7.1%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 160pts, +46.22pts, ROI 28.8%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -0pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 121pts, +76.31pts, ROI 63%, DD -0pts. Max DD -0pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 80pts, -12.5pts, ROI -15.6%, DD -12.5pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 1,446pts, +428.7pts, ROI 29.6%, DD -0pts, Max DD -0pts, Bank Growth 6.3%

October: 200/1 golf winners, four-digit Lucky 15 returns, and Erling Haaland can’t stop winning me money.

After a frustrating September, came an October long to be remembered.   If ever there were two consecutive months that illustrate just how important it is to grind through the bad times, these were they.

Three things:

Weekly Golf Value putting up 200/1 winner Junghwan Lee.

A Lucky15 taken from the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker containing three double-digit priced winners.

Erling Haaland.

Combined, these three things were the dominant contributors to a month that coughed up near 30% total bank growth and an ROI of almost 16.5%, way above my target.  Happy days indeed.

Funnily enough, I wrote a couple of weeks ago that October was something of an experimental month for me.  The transition – for the second time in my betting career – away from using online books and more and more towards the shops meant feeling the water.  What can I follow, which strategies can I use, that best fit around other commitments?  Which can I follow consistently?  And yes, which do I enjoy using most?

I’m going to break down thoughts in the next few posts, but for now, the only thing I should be asking myself is should I experiment more often!?!

Anyway, moving into November and I feel clear and settled on what I can and can’t do.  It genuinely feels as if some fog has cleared, and at the risk of sounding like Johnny Nash, I can see clearly now.

Despite the 200/1 WGV winner, it was actually the BB Racing Tracker Lucky 15s that provided the greatest profit on the month.  Yes, there was that one big bet, but there were three or four others that kept it all ticking over throughout the month.  If I remember correctly, my ROI was hovering around the 15% mark before I hit that big win.  Around 30% of the profit was actually from all bets other than that one.

Weekly Golf Value has obviously had a stormer, and whilst I can still get my bets on online, I’ll continue to follow.  There will come a point soon where I’m going to have to use the Tracker myself and get down to BetFred, Ladbrokes and William Hill and stick down cold, hard cash.  Talking of which, we’ve not yet seen the returns we expect from using the Each Way Golf Doubles strategy but it’s only a matter of time.

It really pains me to give credit to Erling Haaland but the fact is he’s been a fine contributor to the profit this month.  Perhaps I should rather look at it as other City players being unable to score much, but whatever, the Double Delight/Hat Trick Heaven strategy has been very kind.  I know from past experience however, that it can go a long time in a state of drawdown and I’m not going to get carried away.  That the largest drawdown I experienced following this September reached just -35 points tells us everything we need to know about the heat of the hot streak its been on!

Finally, I’ve really enjoyed The Transfer Flow.  If you don’t want to get the bets but have an interest in football and statistics, and would appreciate reading material that doesn’t fall for the constant false narratives perpetuated by so called expert pundits, the daily email is well worth subscribing to for free.

I’ll not dig into detail on the disappointments on the month right now.  The figures are below and after a month like this one, why dwell on the negative?

Let’s see what November brings.

October 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 1,510pts, +1,153.64pts, ROI 76.4%, DD -0pts, Max DD -244.62pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 231pts, -96.65pts, ROI -41.83%, DD -121pts, Max DD -121pts.

BB Darts Tool: Staked 240pts, +48.49pts, ROI 20.2%, DD: -16.78pts, Max DD: -38.05pts.

DD/HH: Staked 345pts, +427.5pts, ROI 123.91%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -35pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 385pts, -93.84pts, ROI 24.37%, DD -198.79pts, Max DD -198.79pts.

Value Bets/Enhanced Specials (Exchange): Staked 315.4pts, -112.87pts, ROI -35.78%, DD -112.28pts, Max DD -112.28pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 8,406.11pts, -131.79pts, ROI -1.56%, DD -436.6pts, Max DD -436.6pts.

The Transfer Flow (Trial): Staked 860pts, +174.56pts, ROI 20.29%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -34.51pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 380pts, -159.42pts, ROI -41.95%, DD -159.42pts. Max DD -159.42pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 684pts, +993.62pts, ROI 145.26%, DD -0pts, Max DD -218.8pts

Total: Staked 13,356.51pts, +2,203.24pts, ROI 16.49%, DD -0pts, Max DD -427.92pts, Bank Growth 28.99%