Drawdowns, spreading the net in search of value, and plans afoot!

Not a great week, last week.  We’ve seen how the Masters went (break even for Weekly Golf Value, a losing tournament for Golf Betting Club), but elsewhere was a struggle too.

The horse racing Lucky 15s from the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker have struggled for me this year although since starting doing these, it must be remembered that it remains by far the most profitable strategy I’ve followed.  This is a sticky spell for me, and yet the thing is other users of the same Tracker could well be going through a really profitable period.  I heard that one user had netted a huge win from a small stake.  I bet he’s not stressing about his ROI!  Anyway, a poor week for these.

Sys Analyst also had a poor week for me, although again, to keep everything in context, I’m dashing along at 20% ROI since the turn of the year, and by using the Exchanges almost exclusively (I can still get on the odd each way bet via an online bookmaker).  I’ve missed the odd winner too due to not being matched at the correct price, although have sidestepped losers for the same reason.

The Lucky 15s from the football Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker essentially broke even, the DD/HH strategy continued on it’s drawdown for me, which left the only profitable angle last week being the Value Bets.  I mentioned the other week I was looking to source more of such bets, and I feel I’m spreading the net wider now.  The Bookie Bashing Bet Tracker remains a strong source, although I filter out bets with a perceived +EV lower than 5%.  Elsewhere I’m using the Player xG Tool to find value in the Any Time Goalscorer markets, the Combo Tracker to find bookmaker friendly #looksillybutinfactthere’sanedge bets on football matches, and most recently looking at the Enhanced Specials at the likes of BetDaq and Matchbook.  There’s some very real value to be found here, although liquidity isn’t always that great.  Josh did a really useful video on this which is well worth checking out if you haven’t already.  With the 0% commission deals around at present, this is proving a nice little angle at present.

Looking forward and I’ve an idea that I want to think through that will involve using a service that is part of the SBC ‘Hall of Fame’.  It does need thinking through though, and if pressing ahead, may just require a little shuffling of funds and very minor restructure of what I’m following and betting on.  Will devote some time to this over the weekend, and will obviously provide an update in the Bet Diary should things develop.

In the meantime, have a great weekend, and here are the figures:

Account Agent: Staked 1,490pts, -52.02pts. ROI -3.49%

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 5,040pts, +637.77pts, ROI 12.65%, ROC 42.51%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 2,463pts, -14.74pts, ROI: -0.59%, ROC: -0.98%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 217pts, -217pts, ROI -100%, ROC -21.7%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 4,140pts, -424.57pts, ROI: -10.25%, ROC: -28.3%.

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 2,331.5pts, +464.88pts, ROI: 19.93%, ROC: 30.99%

DD/HH: Staked 616.5pts, -245.5pts, ROI: -39.82%, ROC: -24.55%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 934pts, +171.47pts, ROI 18.35%, ROC 11.43%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, ROC: 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 1,687.55pts, +275.85pts, ROI: 16.34%, ROC: 18.39%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, ROI: 62.86%, ROC: 7.54%


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