200/1 excitement, wot – no Erling?, and a new sport to bet on?

Is it too reductive to say that the reason it’s not been a great midweek of betting, is because BetFred finally cut the price on Erling Haaland to be First Goalscorer in City’s match against Dortmund in the Champions’ League to a prohibitive 6/4?

I guess it is.  The price didn’t represent value and so the opportunity for another successful DD/HH bet disappeared. Mind you, it was Phil Foden who scored the opener, so perhaps we can say that Fred’s traders actually saved me some money.

Plenty of Each Way Golf Doubles struck at both Ladbrokes and BetFred this week.  It’s been pretty quiet on this front over recent weeks but I believe there’s a good run now of both DPWT and PGA events each week running up to the end of the year.  That means there should be plenty of opportunity.  There certainly was this week.

Now I’m way too long in the tooth to start looking at results at the end of Round 1 and start to project forward to enjoying my winnings.  But that said, when you see a 200/1 golfer you’ve backed sit at the top of the leader board on Thursday night, it’s impossible not to have at least a vague glimmer of excitement.

(Edit: As I type, the lad has just completed his second round to sit two shots off the top in a share for third place.  Go on son!)

A bit of a sticky spell now for the Bookie Bashing Football Coupons.  It was really interesting to hear Tom say on the latest BashCast that these bets are his primary avenue for betting in shops.  It was also interesting to hear him say that the volatility on these is big, with it often being months of steady losses before a couple of big wins make up for all that and provide the profit.

To be honest, I’m keeping stakes pretty small on these for now.  In my experience it’s best to “feel” the volatility before playing to bigger staking.  Start small and grow is a good ethos to have when trying out something new, I reckon.

Talking of trying something new, it was interesting to get the SBC email yesterday around a new free (to SBC members) tipster service that specializes in betting on F1 racing.  That would be a first for me if I was to get involved.

I’ll join the Telegram group and see how it develops, perhaps do a touch of paper trading.  The thought going through my head is that it might, potentially, be an option to utilise a still existing online bookmaker account or two.  Those that have restricted me to pennies on some sports but are still allowing my normal stakes to be placed on others.  Goodbye tennis and football, hello F1, perhaps?

We’ll see, but in the meantime, you can read more about it via this link.

Back to the services I am following with hard cash at present, and I could do with SharpBetting Football to rediscover a bit of form.  I’ve essentially stood still for approaching six weeks now, and if I’m being honest, I’m all set and ready for another profit surge.  One issue that has struck is that the book that is clearly the most prolific in terms of offering value prices picked up by the SBF model is limiting me on more and more games.  Some I can still get full stakes on, others I can’t.

The only real bright spot this week has been The Transfer Flow which enjoyed another profitable round of Champions League and Skybet Championship games.  I did find the Exchange markets much weaker though, compared to the weekend.  Even getting decent enough prices matched for Champions League games wasn’t straightforward.  Need to keep an eye on this.  I did decide to opt out of betting three or four of the picks due to price, which is something I don’t enjoy having to do.

So, no issues at all with profitability so far, but still feel like this is something of a trial period for TTF.

And that’s it for this week.  Let’s see what the weekend brings.  May our golfers sink many a birdie, and may our bets bring home some bacon.

Have a great weekend, folks!

November 2025 figures (stakes normalized):

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (L15s): Staked 375pts, -38.53pts, ROI -10.27%, DD -43.48pts, Max DD -77.69pts.

BB EW Golf Doubles: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, DD 0pts, Max DD 0pts.

DD/HH: Staked 95pts, +205pts, ROI 215.78%, DD: -45pts, Max DD -45pts.

BB Football Coupons: Staked 52.5pts, -52.5pts, ROI -100%, DD -52.5pts, Max DD -52.5pts.

Sharp Betting Football: Staked 2,350pts, -65.4pts, ROI -2.78%, DD -129.12pts, Max DD -132.74pts.

The Transfer Flow: Staked 360pts, +86.17pts, ROI 23.93%, DD: -0pts, Max DD -16.1pts.

Touchdown Profit: Staked 139pts, +58.31pts, ROI 41.94%, DD -18pts. Max DD -18pts

Weekly Golf Value: Staked 80pts, -12.5pts, ROI -15.6%, DD -12.5pts, Max DD -12.5pts

Total: Staked 3,451.5pts, +180.55pts, ROI 5.23%, DD -248.15pts, Max DD -253.74pts, Bank Growth 2.65%

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