I chose last week, to back the Weekly Golf Value picks, allied to some I find from the same source – the Bookie Basher Golf Tracker – win only. I couldn’t get over the fact that here was a service aimed at securing value in the prices to place at the bookies, and here was I taking prices that clearly weren’t value on the Exchanges. My logic was that even not taking the value, place market returns would smooth out the journey, but putting my big boy trousers on I realised this is ultimately something of a Fool’s Errand and I needed to grow a pair. So I did, and was rewarded by a 140/1 winner of the Soudal Open, Simon Forsstrom. Ironically, with prices on the Exchange usually greater than the win price at the bookies, the price I got on Smarkets was…yes, 140.0! Typical (although I’m not moaning).
The win only strategy meant I didn’t profit from WGV’s excellent tipping through the week’s events, which members with bookmaker accounts would have done. Not only was Forsstom tipped, so was Jens Dantorp who finished 2nd! And over on the LIV Tour, we actually failed to win a play-off (unheard of last year!) as Branden Grace finished utimately in a tie for 2nd (at 65.0).
So a week to be proud of for WGV.
Elsewhere, and a good ten point return on a Lucky 15 meant that strategy pulled a nice monetary profit, and of just the two DD/HH bets I had, Brentford’s Bryan Mbuemo landed the spoils for one of them.
Not such a good week for Edwards Tips or PGA Profit however, as both blanked. But a decent profit overall on the week, so I ain’t complaining.
Betting 2023-24
DD/HH: Staked 51.75pts, -3.3pts, roi -6.37%, High: 3.05pts, DD: -6.35pts, Max DD: -15.85pts.
Edwards Tips (Golf): Staked 13.05pts, -0.375pts, roi -2.87%, High: 3.65pts, DD: -4.025pts, Max DD: -5.126pts.
Football Coupons: Staked 18pts, +6.338pts, roi 35.18%, High: 14.03pts, DD: -7.692pts, Max DD: -7.692pts.
Golf: Staked 1,715pts, +135.39pts, roi 7.89%, High: 135.39pts, DD: 0pts, Max DD: -581.59pts
Lucky 15s: Staked 89pts, +14.655pts, roi 16.76%, High: 14.655pts, DD: 0pts, Max DD: -9.123pts.
NFL:
PGA Profit: Staked 133pts, -39.372pts, roi -29.6%, High: 37.704pts, DD: -77.076pts, Max DD: -77.076pts.
Value Bets: Staked 40pts, +3.9pts, roi 9.75%, High: 16.9pts, DD: -13pts, Max DD: -13pts.
TOTAL ROI: 4.65%
