Before we look at what sort of start February has got off to, I’m going to start a breakdown of which Tools and Trackers I use from the Bookie Bashing site, the results from which I record under the “Bookie Bashing Tools” label in my results. I’ll go through these one at a time through the next few Bet Diary posts. Any questions, you know where to find me.
Let’s start with one of the Trackers (as opposed to a Tool).
So far for 2025, the Combo Tracker has elicited for me an unsustainably high ROI of 82.2%, and a points profit total of 59.2. What this tells you is that I don’t source too many bets from this Tracker, and nowhere near as many as I could, granted more time.
But here lies one of the beauties of what Bookie Bashing offers. You can dip in and out at a time that is convenient for you. There is such a broad suite of Tools and Trackers that you need not be wedded to just one or two, and that is the approach I take. Instead I’ll look to use as many as possible, dipping in and out almost on a whim. If I happen to be sitting at my laptop an hour before kick off of a match in one of the European leagues on an early Saturday evening, then I’ll load up the Combo Tracker to see if there is any bet worth taking. I honestly give it no more thought than that.
A bet from the Combo Tracker worth taking for me, is a bet that is perceived to carry a positive EV of 10% or more. I’ve drawn this arbitrary line after listening to Tom discussing the Tracker on one of the videos regularly posted up (free access to everyone) on the BB site or on the BB YouTube channel. Over the long term bets at 105% EV are profitable, but I prefer the more selective approach, probably because I have so much more betting to do in the general run of things.
What I particularly like about the Combo Tracker is that we’re sourcing value from what are generally considered to be mug bets. These are predominantly your #WhatOddsPaddy, #YourOdds (William Hill) and RequestABets from Skybet. Generally a combination of a certain number of corners/bookings to each or a particular team, or some combination thereof. The sort of bets that the bookmakers are often advertising when trying to attract new customers. So it is unlikely that striking such bets is going to place pressure on the viability of your accounts. Indeed, there is anecdotal evidence that Skybet have even lifted some restrictions on accounts after a fair number of these type of bets have been placed!
Just one thing I do bear in mind is that it is not at all unusual to get a lot of value bets sourced from one particular match. If I was to place all of them I feel I’d potentially be overstaking. So I limit my bets to one per match, usually picking the bet available at somewhere between Evens and 4/1 if there are many.
So, to summarize: Combo Bet Tracker used an hour or less before kick off across many and varied football matches, 110%+ EV, only one bet per match, and I stake to win a certain amount.
I’m not saying that is the best way to use it. I am saying it’s my way of using it.
And so has February started?
Not brilliantly, truth be told, but not disastrously either.
Interestingly, the best performer has been eSoccer Edge which has already amassed bank growth of 7.2%, mainly due to strong gains across Tuesday and Wednesday. Since then, however, the bets have largely dried up. Certainly the number of picks being issued dropped dramatically yesterday (Thursday) and as at 10.00 this Friday morning I’m yet to strike a bet. There must be a reason for this, and it may just be the normal rhythm of what it does but of course being so new to it, I wouldn’t yet know. What I do know is that the losses suffered from the fairly sharp drawdown in January have all been recouped and this week reached a new profit high. The 12.6% ROI for February is waaaaaay higher than expectation, but overall now the ROI stands at 3.5% which is getting close to the 4-7% expected long term ROI.
WinnerOdds Football has ticked along, as I find it tends to during midweek. It’s the weekend, which carries far more picks, that really dictates the week’s performance.
No third consecutive week’s winner on the golf, but no real damage done either with a couple finding the places.
On the negative side, my value bets have largely lost this week, but not many placed. And The Value Machine got me back to being almost level from its previous drawdown, only to embark on another.
OK then. Have a great weekend, and on Monday I’ll talk about how I use the Player xG and Bet Builder Tools on the Bookie Bashing site.
Febuary 2025 (stakes normalised):
Bookie Bashing Tools: Staked 294.92pts, -107.08pts, ROI -36.3%, ROC -7.13%, Drawdown -107.08pts, Max DD -107.08pts
Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 113pts, -27.8pts, ROI -24.6%, ROC -1.85%, Drawdown -27.8pts, Max DD -27.8pts
eSoccer Edge: Staked 855pts, +108.03pts, ROI 12.63%, ROC 7.2%, Drawdown -15pts, Max DD -97.12pts
Sys Analyst: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, ROC 0%, Drawdown 0pts, Max DD 0pts
The Value Machine: Staked 380pts, -185.09pts, ROI -48.7%, ROC -12.33%, Drawdown -185.09pts, Max DD -195.19pts
WinnerOdds Football: Staked 1,067pts, +112.14pts, ROI 10.5%, ROC 3.73%, Drawdown -23.8pts, Max DD -55pts
TOTAL: Staked 2,706.42pts, -99.8pts, ROI -3.68%, ROC -1.1%, Drawdown 99.8pts, Max DD -282.11pts
