Can’t help thinking there should be some guitar-based track playing in the background as you read this, as per Match of the Day’s Goal of the Month competition (by the way, did I enjoy MoTD2 last night? Yes. Yes, I did!). Something by The Lightning Seeds or some geezer you’ve never heard of but the track makes you look him/the up on Wiki.
Anyway, in January’s ‘Service of the Month’ competition, there was just one winner, and so clear and obvious was it that even VAR couldn’t f*ck it up. Although no doubt, they’d try their best to…
Err, yes, we can see clearly that the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value has outperformed every other service by at least 300%, but, err, we’d just like to take ten minutes to draw some lines at some random point and then, err, come back to confirm the on-pitch decision, err, despite the whole of rest of the world seeing that that decision was clearly and obviously, err, wrong…
Good process.
Anyway, thankfully, this is a VAR-free zone, and therefore with two winners, an ROI of 82.3% and bank growth of 22% in January, I can confirm that the Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value is quite clearly the stand out service for January. When we add in a play-off loser in Week 1, what was a spectacular month could easily have been, erm, more spectacular.
Overall, January ended in a profit, and on a profit high when all things had been totted up at close of play on Friday. 6.22% ROC in total is what I would call a “middling” month, but bearing in mind I was in the midst of a not too clever drawdown halfway through the month, I’ll take it.
The next largest contributor was the raft of Value Bets sourced from the Bookie Bashing Tools & Trackers. I know I’ve promised I would go into some detail as to how I use these, which I will very soon (the end of the month has kinda got in the way).
My biggest profit contributor from these last month came from using the Bet Builder to identify value in various Player Stats markets put up under the ‘Enhanced Specials’ label at BetDaq. These include things like player Shots on Target, or Saves, or Cards. Not too many bets as my time is restricted, but a high percentage of winners from those I did strike and an ROI of 55.78% is exceptional. At the other end of the scale has been the Early Pay Out Tracker, but I’ve settled on a set strategy for February now and let’s see if we see some level of recovery.
WinnerOdds Football came home in third place in terms of bank growth (a tadge under 5%). A really poor final Saturday took the shine off a little though, as up until that point it was flying. Those losses have almost been recovered now and as always I’m confident that in no time at all we’ll be pushing on to a new profit high. In some ways, this service is the key stone in what I do. It has twice the funds allocated to it, primarily because I need to look to exploit its strengths whilst having access to a particular account. For me personally, this is an area I’m vulnerable, so my attitude is to look to make as much of that lovely, sweet, juicy hay whilst the sun is shining. The sun will set at some point, I’m aware of that. I’m also aware I need to move on from torturous metaphors too, so…
Sadly the other elements to the portfolio ended January in the red. The most vexing perhaps, has been The Value Machine. A horrible first half of the month was followed by a reduction of those losses over the second half, and to level stakes a small profit would have been achieved. However, with the introduction of eSoccer Edge I tweaked the fund allocations, effectively drawing that money from the TVM bank, which subsequently lowered the stake size on TVM. Sod’s Law being what it is, this more or less coincided with the TVM bounce back, and so of course the losses are taking longer to claw back in pure monetary terms. That’s on me. A mistake, ultimately, on my part, although hindsight is always 20:20.
So, ultimately, my figures do not really do justice to The Value Machine, but you know I’m with it for the long term and so many months from now this January will represent nothing other than a small and largely irrelevant, blip.
As for the previously mentioned eSoccer Edge, I’m upping my bank a little for February, despite what has been an “interesting” introduction to the service. I wrote about it in my previous post and since then, the ship has been steadied somewhat (although the weekend just gone was a losing one). But after a pretty sharp drawdown, I ended January with a green position. Still very early days for me with this one, but it is now something I’ve added to my armoury with a view to the longer term.
Here are the figures…
January 2025 (stakes normalised):
Bookie Bashing Tools: Staked 1,323.54pts, +138.33pts, ROI 10.45%, ROC 9.22%, Drawdown -29.45pts, Max DD -43.66pts
Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 532pts, +442.66pts, ROI 83.2%, ROC 22.13%, Drawdown 0pts, Max DD -150.25pts
eSoccer Edge: Staked 4,315pts, +76.54pts, ROI 1.77%, ROC 7.65%, Drawdown -50.49pts, Max DD -253.49pts
Sys Analyst: Staked 350pts, -118pts, ROI -33.71%, ROC -7.86%, Drawdown -205pts, Max DD -205pts
The Value Machine: Staked 1,700pts, -146.14pts, ROI -8.59%, ROC -4.87%, Drawdown -160.2pts, Max DD -507.67pts
WinnerOdds Football: Staked 6,346pts, +149.84pts, ROI 2.36%, ROC 4.99%, Drawdown -62.07pts, Max DD -212.71pts
TOTAL: Staked 14,971.54pts, +560pts, ROI 3.74%, ROC 6.22%, Drawdown 0pts, Max DD -596.58pts
