If a midweek that produces a very small overall gain marks the point where the nasty, sharp drawdown reaches its nadir and some semblance of normality returns, then I’ll bloomin’ well take it! The profit is nothing to shout about from the rooftops, but it feels pretty sweet nonetheless.
A small loss for David’s Daily, at least from the bets I’ve been able to put down. You’ll see something of a theme emerge in this post around bookmaker accounts, their dwindling number I have access to, and the issues this causes. In the case of David’s Daily, it has meant not being able to get too close to advised prices and opting out of taking the bet as a result. I do when possible check the price available on the Exchanges, but this hasn’t really opened up any opportunities thus far.
There are some soft books that I could explore. There seem to be a prevalence of new or relatively new firms that have opened up out there, so this might be something to explore. How reputable or reliable these are, who knows. I’ve seen too many firms come and go in my time to have much confidence, but I guess if I keep balances low (not much of a problem doing that in recent weeks – results have tended to that perfectly naturally, thanks!) then the risk may be worth the reward. I’ll do some thinking.
I might just start making my own multiple bets anyway, from the SharpBetting Football model I use, and which has had a very good week. It’s been a rocky road – good day, bad day, great day – but as I type, it’s sitting on a profit high for the month.
This is a service that is fairly easy to mould to my ability to get on, ie. I can ask the model to produce value bets only from the books I can still bet at. Even that is getting a bit tricky though. One firm, which I find the model identifies a lot of value from (and no, it’s not one based in the Potteries) is happy to take some bets, but restrict stakes on others. So even that is growing a little bit messy.
The other thing I need to bear in mind is that currently, there are about three firms I can still use perfectly well for golf, and do so each week to get down the money on the Weekly Golf Value picks. I’d like to keep that ability to get on for as long as possible, and could do without football betting putting the kybosh on that. Something else to think about. The alternative view, and not one I necessarily disagree with, is to actually up stakes and make hay before the sun sets. And I do thing the sun is setting on my ability to bet at soft books. Again.
The same problems are making getting volume up on Tilt The Odds problematic too. Same comments about looking at new firms made in relation to David’s Daily apply here too. In the meantime, this week has seen a small loss for the service, but I do feel a little unlucky with that. I’ve had plenty of winners, just not many on the same “slip”. The odd big winner too – 25/1, 22/1, 16/1. The sort of odds that make a massive impact on returns if doubled or even, praise the Lord, trebled up on one Lucky 15 bet. It’s got to come. I just hope it does before I run out of places I can bet.
A good day on Tuesday for The Value Machine Exchange Profit provided some real hope, but poor days following has meant that again, I’m perilously close to the bank going bust.
No WGV bets this week as the Ryder Cup is on, so of course no golfing each way doubles either. There’s an article coming soon on this doubles strategy and what’s involved.
Right then. Let’s all have a good weekend!
September 2025 (stakes normalised)…
Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 664pts, -93pts, ROI -14%, ROC -6.53%
BB Tracker Each Way Golf Doubles: Staked 304pts, -186.79pts, ROI -61.44%, ROC -9.33%.
David’s Daily: Staked 1,360pts, +397.19pts, ROI 29.2%, ROC 39.71%
The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 840pts, -229.45pts, ROI -27.31%, ROC -18.35%
Tilt The Odds: Staked 561.2pts, -130.24pts, ROI -23.2%, ROC -8.68%.
SharpBetting Football Model: Staked 4,607.24pts, +324.54pts, ROI 7.04%, ROC 21.63%.
WinnerOdds Tennis: Staked 7,219pts, -276.09pts, ROI -3.82%, ROC -13.8%.
TOTAL: Staked 15,555.44pts, -193.84pts, ROI -1.24%, ROC -1.8%
