I suggested in the last post that I was looking to tweak things a little. I have.
Issue no.1: how to look to raise the ROI using SharpBetting Football?
As time has gone on, I’ve tended to drift my betting towards services that run models. I guess this is fairly typical. With technology advancing, such a move is probably unavoidable, but that’s not to say there aren’t some very good “traditional” tipsters out there providing a heck of a good service to their customers. Subscribers to the SBC know there are.
So any model that can churn out a large number of bets that have a proven long-term edge, is always going to be of interest to me. This is the secret of faster bank growth -the ability to churn. The other advantage this approach has is that stakes can be kept at a relatively low level. We’re betting more, but in much smaller chunks, which is something I feel can only help extend the life of bookmaker accounts for as long as possible.
All of this is why I was so keen on SharpBetting Football. I subscribe to the “full” package, which means that in addition to the David’s Daily picks, I have access to the model as it spits out value bets. 15 minutes in the morning I can get down 15+ bets. Repeat at lunchtime, and you can see why this fits the criteria I’ve just written about.
My ambition here, backing in singles, is to run along at something around the 5% ROI mark. I’m at roughly half of that at present, although I feel the last couple of months have seen the variance Gods be a touch angsty towards me.
However, the David’s Daily picks provide multiple bets as well as singles, and from writing the SBC review of the service a few months ago, I know that the multiples have been responsible for providing the majority of the overall profit and at a much higher ROI.
So, why not continue to back the singles in the way I am, and add the DD picks when I can? Other than the fact that there are a couple of sportsbooks that DD recommend bets at that I don’t have, I don’t see the downside.
I started a couple of days ago. And if the Variance Gods were touchy, whichever God responsible for allowing my first set of bets to produce a winning patent, should drop me a line and I’ll sacrifice a goat tout suite! That’s 34.84pts profit right there!
Happy days then, except that WinnerOdds Tennis has continue its recent slump for me and saw me give two thirds of that profit back to add to previous heavy losses last week and the beginning of this. I absolutely flew when I started following, but those Gods I keep talking about…I reckon they saw me as another Icarus, and soon sent my tailfeathers spinning. The last couple of weeks or so have been heavy going, losing up to 31.22 units of profit. Still in profit, but the ROI has dipped to 1.76% across the 569 valid bets I’ve struck so far.
As far as “long-term” is concerned, 569 picks doesn’t cut it. Let’s get to 1,000 and see where we’re at. What’s clear is that the problem is largely based in having three relatively very-highly staked bets losing at a price of 1.2 or lower. It’s a killer, and looking at the graph on my WinnerOdds account stats page, the strike rate of bets priced up to 1.2 is at 81.2%, below what it needs to be. Again, we see variance toying with me.
Before we get too gloomy though, I am still sitting on bank growth of 21.66% achieved in less than two months. Perspective is everything.
So overall, September has got off to a marginally profitable start, thanks to that one big winning David’s Daily patent. But it’s been a rocky road so far.
Have a great weekend!
September 2025 (stakes normalised)…
Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0%, ROC 0%
BB Tracker Each Way Golf Doubles: Staked 0pts, 0pts, ROI 0pts, ROC 0%.
David’s Daily: Staked 110pts, +357.76pts, ROI 325.23%, ROC 32.52%
The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 230pts, -19.87pts, ROI -8.63%, ROC -1.32%
Tilt The Odds: Staked 58.6pts, +106.48pts, ROI 181.7%, ROC 7.09%.
SharpBetting Football Model: Staked 898.5pts, +2.68pts, ROI 0.29%, ROC 0.17%.
WinnerOdds Tennis: Staked 3,432pts, -218.84pts, ROI -6.37%, ROC -10.94%.
TOTAL: Staked 4,924.1pts, +109.64pts, ROI 2.22%, ROC 1.3%