Just a note to say I’m pushing back the normal Monday post to Tuesday.  One more betting day for June, so tomorrow a full monthly review.

See you then.

A profitable weekend and on we go, pushing up further the high profit line for month and year to date.

Having said that, it was very much another case of ‘What might have been’ for Weekly Golf Value.

These are my figures for the year to date:

Staked 3,195pts, +1,429.96pts, ROI 44.75%, ROC 95.33%.

Those are the figures of a service really hitting its straps and in fine form.  And yet this month alone we’ve had Sam Burns miss a 5ft putt to win and then lose in a play off, and last night Tommy Fleetwood enjoying a two shot lead deep into the final round only to bogey two of the last three holes and be overtaken at the last by Keegan Bradley.  Bradley had looked as if his race had been run until sinking a birdie putt on the 15th from what looked like about 200 yards away!

So it’s fair to say that despite it’s fine form, I couldn’t help myself in thinking last night, ‘and here is what you and WGV could have won!’

And until now, I haven’t even mentioned that Russell Henley had also been backed and finished tied for 2nd with Fleetwood just one shot behind Bradley.

I used to think that Darts could be the most frustrating sport to watch when you have a financial involvement.  Seeing your man miss three darts at a double to win the match and your bet, by a combined distance of about 5 millimetres could be a tough watch.  But after last night, I reckon golf can compete in the hide-behind-the-sofa element of betting.

Friday was a bad day for SharpBetting Football but almost the exact amount lost that day was made back across Saturday and Sunday, so no big drama.  It does feel that the drawdown is beginning to drag on a bit now, but I imagine that is simply because last month was so spectacularly successful by comparison.

And finally, I was only able to make one Tilt The Odds bet on Sunday – a Trixie.  Two winners and a non-runner.  What was I thinking when I saw the result?

I’ll tell you, shall I?

It was very much a case of: “And here’s what you could have won…”

June 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 1,184pts, +489.04pts, ROI 41.3%, ROC 32.6%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 3,100pts, +749.25pts, ROI 24.16%, ROC 49.95%

The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 1,280pts, +138.46pts, ROI 10.81%, ROC 9.23%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 612.6pts, +19.29pts, ROI 3.14%, ROC 1.28%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 4,239.5pts, -310.72pts, ROI -7.32%, ROC -20.71%.

TOTAL: Staked 10,494.6pts, +1,077.67pts, ROI 10.26%, ROC 14.36%

Three profitable days from Monday-Thursday betting and the high profit point for both the month and the year to date continues to rise.

Leading the way again is eSoccer Edge with a further 242 points profit in this time.  As long as control is maintained in terms of prices/lines not disappearing too quickly, this is a phenomenal service.  So far so good on that point, and I get the strong impression that behind the service is a team determined not only to provide profits for its members, but a service that can be followed without any issues.  Sure, you have to be fast, but more often than not, not ridiculously so.  I’ve found that by being at my laptop when the bets come through, if I don’t delay, I’m usually fine in getting on.  Occasionally the line will change in a blink, but not often is this the case.

The impact on the whole portfolio that eSoccer Edge has had is fundamental.  The sheer consistency we’ve seen so far means that I’ve been enjoying a lot more profitable days than not and it feels very much as if the overall variance has been smoothed somewhat.  It may be that there are days when the actual amount of profit made is negligible, but the overall effect is that it makes things feel a lot more serene.

Of course having written the above, it’s almost inevitable that everything will take a sudden twist.  eSoccer Edge is not going to be immune to a significant downswing.  The laws of probability dictate that.  I guess you can run from it, but you can never hide or escape it.

Other than that, not much to report.  So we’ll leave it there for today, go and enjoy the weekend sunshine, and come back on Monday.

June 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 1,008pts, +418.64pts, ROI 41.53%, ROC 27.9%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 3,040pts, +699.25pts, ROI 23%, ROC 46.61%

The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 1,120pts, +117.88pts, ROI 10.52%, ROC 7.85%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 541.6pts, -7.01pts, ROI -1.29%, ROC -0.46%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 3,535pts, -310.98pts, ROI -8.79%, ROC -20.73%.

TOTAL: Staked 9,323.1pts, +910.13pts, ROI 9.76%, ROC 12.13%

A good weekend all round pushes up the profit for the month to a new high, and for the whole portfolio since starting in its present format.  The ROI for June now stands at 10.4%, showing bank growth of 10.1%.

The losses suffered during a bad day at the office last Thursday for eSoccer Edge have essentially been recouped already and the service remains leading the way in terms of bank growth for June, but only just.  Three placed golfers for Weekly Golf Value at the US Open means that the Bookie Bashing-based service is only a sliver behind in second place.

You may remember that last week Sam Burns let us down by missing a 5ft putt to win a play off and make the weekend one to remember, having already enjoyed a victory on the DPWT Tour?  So this week I was thinking that Burns very much owed us one going into the final round of the US Open two shots in the lead.  That lead became three early on in the round but the muppet then went on to putt like a wally and end up in the places instead.  He really does owe us one now!

The Value Machine Exchange Profit continues to quietly build a decent month with the ROI after the weekend standing at 14.1%.  More please, as previous losses are clawed back.

Same comment applies for Tilt The Odds which again, came very close to a monster pay out with two double digit winners in a Trixie.  Had that landed just that bet would have landed a profit equal to 75% bank growth.  Shoulda, coulda, woulda, I guess, but we know it’s just a matter of time.  In the meantime, an ROI of 17.4% for the month to date is more than respectable.

And finally it’s nice to see a couple of profitable days for SharpBetting Football.  So far June has been a struggle and the opposite to May when it seemed that every day was a profitable one.  But a decent Friday and Sunday hopefully signals a turnaround.

So all in all, since the start of last month things have gone swimmingly.  An overall ROI of 9.1% is great, but bank growth of 47.7% through this period is exceptional.  Long may it continue.

June 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 1,008pts, +418.64pts, ROI 41.53%, ROC 27.9%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 2,100pts, +457.25pts, ROI 21.77%, ROC 30.48%

The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 920pts, +131.63pts, ROI 14.3%, ROC 8.77%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 407.4pts, +70.96pts, ROI 17.41%, ROC 4.73%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 2,882.5pts, -316.09pts, ROI -10.96%, ROC -21.07%.

TOTAL: Staked 7,317.9pts, +763.69pts, ROI 10.43%, ROC 10.18%

A week that has essentially broken even.

There have been two things happen though, that were each to some extent, overdue.

Firstly, a bad day for eSoccer Edge.  It has been galloping along like a good ‘un for some time, and quite frankly the pace was always going to slacken.  Yesterday (Thursday) saw it drop -158 points for me, one of the worst (although still not that bad) days I’ve experienced with the service.  But when we see that the ROI for June to date remains as high as 16.89% – still above the long term expected rate of return – then some context becomes apparent.

The second notable event was a good winning day for Tilt The Odds, which again, came yesterday.  It was a good day with over 155 points being garnered, but it was so close to being an outstanding one.  Within a Lucky 15 three winners was almost four when the fourth finished in second place, losing out by just a neck.  Had that gone the other way, the bet would have landed over 1,000 points profit.  This is the thing with TTO – just got to keep plodding away until the big one hits.  It’ll come.

Other than that and The Value Machine Exchange Profit continues to tick along for me this month, running as it is at around the 10% ROI marker.  And SharpBetting Football continues its recent downturn, and as things stand, is the only service in negative territory for the month.  That can change in two shakes of a gnat’s tail though.

Not much else to report, so fingers crossed you all have a good weekend, and I’ll see you on the other side.

June 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 798pts, +319.14pts, ROI 40%, ROC 21.3%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 1,780pts, +300.75pts, ROI 16.89%, ROC 20.05%

The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 660pts, +67.33pts, ROI 10.2%, ROC 4.48%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 270.6pts, +24.71pts, ROI 9.13%, ROC 1.64%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 2,090pts, -375.5pts, ROI -17.96%, ROC -25.03%.

TOTAL: Staked 5,598.6pts, +337.73pts, ROI 6.03%, ROC 4.5%

We used to win play-offs to decide the winner of golf tournaments.  I remember going through a ridiculous streak, during which if a golfer Weekly Golf Value had tipped ended up contesting a play off, you could calculate your winnings before they’d teed off at the first extra hole!  Sadly, that doesn’t seem to be the case any more.  Sam Burns last night, had a putt to win the tournament when playing off against Ryan Fox, missed by a matter of centimetres, and then went on to lose to Fox on what seemed like the 10th extra hole they played.  A case of so near, and yet so far, which is often the way in golf betting.

Am I a greedy man?  Yes.  Yes, I am.  For earlier in the day, Connor Syme, put up by WGV and backed at 150/1, won the KLM Open in Holland.  A fantastic win which of course meant that a victory for Burns that night would have landed the second double-winning Sunday in a month!

Look, I’m not complaining.  WGV is going through a hot streak at the moment and we love to see it.  But it’s hard not to feel just a wee pang of regret at coming so close to another red letter day.  I feel for those who may have been on and have backed Burns win only.

Anyway, the profit from the golf has pushed the month’s total profit to a high water mark, and the year to date figure too.  I’m now running at 8.8% ROI for the year and so I can only say that things are going very well at the moment.

eSoccer Edge continues on its merry way, but I’ve got to be sensible enough to realise that it’s June ROI to date of 30.7% is totally unsustainable and will head south, probably sooner rather than later.

The only dark spot at present is the current drawdown from last month’s high performer, SharpBetting Football.  The drawdown that started towards the very end of May has now reached the equivalent to 26.5% of the bank allocated to it.  However, as always, context is required.  It is still running at an ROI level of 7.3% from the time I started, with bank growth of 49.2%, which is excellent.  Nothing to worry about, and just a case of keep putting on the bets, and wait for things to head up again.

June 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 798pts, +319.14pts, ROI 40%, ROC 21.3%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 1,160pts, +356.75pts, ROI 30.75%, ROC 23.4%

The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 460pts, +47.57pts, ROI 10.3%, ROC 3.2%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 184pts, -100.97pts, ROI -54.9%, ROC -6.7%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 1,484pts, -273.1pts, ROI -18.4%, ROC -18.2%.

TOTAL: Staked 4,086pts, +350.69pts, ROI 8.6%, ROC 4.7%

In the first six weeks of using SharpBetting Football’s model – the one that is used to derive the David’s Daily bets – I made 70% bank growth.  That is possibly the best start I’ve ever had to using any service.

The last seven days however, I’ve seen a loss equating to 17.25% of the bank.  Not disastrous by any means, but I do wonder how differently I’d felt about the efficacy of the model had I started seven days ago and had missed out on all the profit that preceded it?

Now look, I’m experienced enough to know now that if my stint with SB had got off to a sticky start I wouldn’t have batted an eyelid.  But go back a few years, and the last six days would at the very least have had me running through all sorts of questions in my head.  Is it worth the subscription cost?  What if previous good results was just positive variance and in fact the edge might have gone, if it had ever existed at all?  Is my betting bank allocated to this service big enough?  Should I drop my stake size, just until I see an upturn in results?  Etcetera, etcetera…

As it is, I knew that SB Football had got off to an absolute flier for me, was running ridiculously hot at times, and that before too long it was likely that I’d experience something of a dip to start to bring performance levels closer in line with what had been seen historically.  And I guess that has happened/is happening now.  Now we see if this is to be an extended drawdown that will drag results below the expected performance line before changing course again, this time upwards.  Only time will tell, but regardless, I know at least I’m going to stay level headed about it all and just see where the ride takes me.  As it is, a run of six consecutive losing days for SB Football for me (others using the model will be taking different bets of course, and with that, getting different results) was brought to a halt by recording a small profit yesterday.

The losses via SB Football contributed to experiencing the worst drawdown I’ve suffered for three months this week, but a strong performance from eSoccer Edge and The Value Machine Exchange Profit over the last couple of days has just eradicated those losses and pushed me up to a new profit high at time of writing (Friday morning).  The drawdown wasn’t that deep (-292 points) and has been quickly clawed back.  Let’s see what the weekend brings, although I can say right now, it won’t be much if anything at all on Saturday.

Have a great weekend, whatever it is you’re doing.

May 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 344pts, -131.4pts, ROI -38.2%, ROC -8.8%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 920pts, +264.75pts, ROI 28.8%, ROC 17.7%

The Value Machine Exchange Profit: Staked 370pts, +137.57pts, ROI 37.2%, ROC 9.2%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 121.8pts, -79.8pts, ROI -65.5%, ROC -5.3%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 1,104pts, -135.01pts, ROI -12.2%, ROC -9%.

TOTAL: Staked 2,859.8pts, +57.41pts, ROI 2%, ROC 0.8%

eSoccer Edge (again!).

I wrote last week of the “battle” to be top dog tipster for May between eSoccer Edge and SharpBetting Football, and after a last day of betting on Friday a profitable day for the former and a loss for the latter meant eSE edged it.  Take nothing away from SharpBetting though.  It has played an absolute stormer!

Mayu has been a fantastic month, with the final ROI resting at 12.8% and the ROC (bank growth) figure at 28%.  The fact that Weekly Golf Value gave us two big wins in one week and yet going into the final day of the month was the third most profitable service, says a lot.

Let’s start at the top then, and after coasting for the first half of the month, after which I was more or less level, the second half of the month was explosive.  From the 26th to the 30th alone, I netted 661.5 points of profit.  That’s total bank growth of 44.1%, which is quite phenomenal. 60%+ bank growth on the month!

My worry of course, is how much longer can that last before the dreaded restrictions kick in?  I deliberately keep my stakes a fair way below the maximum allowed.  Who knows if this is the right strategy?  Might I be better off going all in and try and max out before I’m prevented from betting any more?  Or do I make more in the long run doing it this way, trying not to draw attention to myself by keeping stakes sensible, feeding the odd slots game in the Casino, and making myself look like something of a mug punter on a winning streak?

What has been notable is that after commenting in here that prices had begun to disappear incredibly quickly, I’m currently finding that getting on is on the whole, a little easier again.  I still wouldn’t want to hang around, but that immediate line movement we had started to see seems to be under control again, which is clearly a good thing.

As mentioned already, Weekly Golf Value has had a storming month and the overall ROI for this year has climbed to 46.7%.  Yes, as with any golf service, WGV is not immune to long dry spells, nor to fairly wild short term down and upswings.  But if you look at the record over years, it is incredibly consistent.  Two winners in one weekend is always going to be a highlight of any year’s betting, and so much fun!

It was only over the last couple of days of the month that SharpBetting Football dropped away after what seemed like days and days of making a profit.  There were one or two really strong days during the month, but mainly it was a steady return – something like 30 points of profit each day.  There were times it just felt robotic (in a good way).  Put the bets on.  See how they did the following morning.  Oh, there’s a steady bit of profit to add to the total.  It was the very epitome of no frills, steady, consistent profit making, and I loved it!

Like I say, things dropped away over the last day or so, and since then I’m now sitting on comfortably the worst drawdown I’ve encountered since signing up, although it really isn’t that big.  I mention it only to show that I’m aware that the service ran hot for me in May, and that at some point – and it’s possibly now – we’ll see a reversion to the mean.

Another to fall away a touch towards the end of the month was Tilt The Odds, but again not in any major way, and in fact when we look at the month’s ROI of 11.5%, then that really is very solid indeed.  I guess this month the success of the the three services I’ve described above has cast a bit of a shadow.  I’m also aware that I’m still struggling to get turnover anywhere near the level I would like it to be.  Being practical, I think that’s likely to remain the case over the summer, and then I’ll be able to get more bets down come the autumn when I can concentrate on it on Saturdays, which in my experience was always the busiest day of the week for the service when I used it previously.

The only disappointment this month was The Value Machine Exchange Profit.  Now I need to add in a massive proviso here, in that I was only able to strike the bets on one Saturday, and that turned out to be the biggest day of the month profit wise for me.  I’ve no idea how TVM fared on the other Saturdays, but I do feel I’m being a little unfair if I don’t point out the fact that I will have missed a lot of bets (Saturdays generally being busy) that may well have completely changed the P&L for the month had I been able to get on.

Anyway, a disappointing month for TVM, but which service doesn’t have those?  On we go.

May 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 994pts, +883.57pts, ROI 88.8%, ROC 58.9%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 6,140pts, +918.69pts, ROI 14.96%, ROC 61.24%

The Value Machine: Staked 2,124pts, -509.67pts, ROI -23.99%, ROC -33.9%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 593.25pts, +68.56pts, ROI 11.5%, ROC 4.5%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 6,131pts, +744.87pts, ROI 12.1%, ROC 49.7%.

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 357pts, -8.47pts, ROI -2.3%, ROC -0.5%

TOTAL: Staked 16,339.25pts, +2,102.78pts, ROI 12.8%, ROC 28%

Just a short post today.  With tomorrow being the last day of the month, I’d rather update figures and post a review on Monday so that I can neatly tie everything up.

What I would say is that this past week has seen something of a shoot out between eSoccer Edge and SharpBetting Football to see who wins the much-coveted and highly prestigious Bet Diary Service of the Month for May.  Bearing in mind the former was more or less breaking even for me halfway through the month, you can deduce that the last week or so has been fairly spectacular, whereas SharpBetting Football has been the very model of consistency from the 1st of May until yesterday.

With the 31st falling on a Saturday, I’d usually be saying that a busy Saturday’s betting could mean either a month ending with a bang, or if the Variance Gods are feeling somewhat malicious, undo a lot of good work that has come before.  However, with back to cricket coaching and playing this Saturday, it’s more likely than not that the last bet I strike this month will be today, Friday.

The comment made above about Saturdays though, is now, with the portfolio in its current guise, equally as relevant for any other day of the week.  Both eSoccer Edge and SharpBetting Football (I use the model to find my own bets) are high turnover and each therefore have the power to make a big impact on any day of the week.  So far in May, that impact has been very positive.  One more day in the same vein would be very much welcomed.

I’ll let you know how it goes on Monday.  Have a great weekend.

The Law of Sod dictates that as soon as I write a glowing piece about a tipster or service, the very next day I experience my biggest single day’s loss using that same tipster or service!  And that is exactly what happened on Saturday with SmartBetting Football.

I wouldn’t mind but regular readers will know that during the summer months I often am unable to place any bets at all on a Saturday.  This week however, a mix of old age and a bad back meant that Saturday was free, and so I used the morning to get a lot of bets down.  Typical.

That said, a cracking day on Friday with SharpBetting Football and a touch of profit on Sunday meant that across the three days, the service was up and Saturday’s loss of -72.8pts was barely a ripple anyway.

Good to see some weekend profit from The Value Machine Exchange Profit too, and when I add three profitable days from eSoccer Edge you can understand why the month is currently standing at a new profit high.

Going into the final day of the golf on Sunday and I was fearing a relatively hefty week’s loss, and those feelings didn’t dissipate when the earlier to finish DPWT event ended up with not one golfer in the placed positions.  However, three finished as placers over in the US event and instead of a hefty loss, I was rewarded with a small profit.  Happy days!

So all in all, a profitable weekend.  A good week this week and May will have been very fruitful indeed.  Let’s see what happens.

May 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 994pts, +883.57pts, ROI 88.8%, ROC 58.9%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 4,320pts, +257.19pts, ROI 5.95%, ROC 17.14%

The Value Machine: Staked 1,692pts, -456.69pts, ROI -26.9%, ROC -30.4%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 473.85pts, +148.62pts, ROI 31.3%, ROC 9.9%.

SharpBetting Football: Staked 4,838pts, +545.28pts, ROI 11.27%, ROC 36.3%.

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 357pts, -8.47pts, ROI -2.3%, ROC -0.5%

TOTAL: Staked 12,674.85pts, +1,374.73pts, ROI 10.8%, ROC 18.3%