Month: May 2024

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Up and running with Winner Odds Football, Value Bets true to their name, and being a muppet.

A very good, solid week in the end, but can’t escape the feeling that it could have been much better.

It was great to start making a profit with Winner Odds Football, and after 113 bets struck through the week, and being just shy of turning over the bank 100% (97%) an ROI of 7.28% is higher than I could have hoped for.  When accounting for the slight loss the previous week, the total ROI now stands at 4.84%.  It’s far too early to draw any conclusions as yet, but as the long term target here is to canter along at 5% ROI it was quite pleasing to see the early figures run so close to that marker.

Like I said last week though, the secret here is going to be getting on.  Already I/we’ve lost 10bet, who have been quite pathetic.  It’s not as if the liability for most individual bets is that big.  We’re backing a lot of bets at very short prices – long odds on in a fair number of cases – but clearly 10bet have no stomach for a fight.  No surprise there, I guess.

It was a strong week for Value Bets sourced from the various Tools available through the Bookie Bashing site plus the Bet Tracker.  The returns have now all but eradicated the losses from the recent small drawdown and this week will hopefully see a push through the previous profit high.  Six winners from ten Any Time Goalscorer bets by far the biggest contributor to the profits, and the ytd ROI of 20% is way higher than anything I could have hoped for.

Sys Analyst contributed well to the coffers too, although I was a little fortunate in a couple of bets not being backed due to price availability.  I haven’t checked too closely, but where I was playing cricket on Saturday precluded me from striking any bets at all, and I believe I’ve come out the right side there.

The only slightly sour note was my golf picks from the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker.  I usually see myself backing the Weekly Golf Value picks if I’ve not already picked them up myself from the Tracker.  For some unfathomable reason though, I neglected to do so last week for the PGA Championship.  As a direct result, I wasn’t on winner Xander Schauffele, nor 2nd placed Bryson De Chambeau.  What an absolute tool I am!  A fine example of first class muppetry!

Betting 2024

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 7,860pts, +1,785.14pts, roi 22.71%, roc 119%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 3,745pts, -238.75pts, roi -6.37%, roc -15.91%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 217pts, -217pts, roi -100%, roc -21.7%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 3,860pts, -501.41pts, roi -12.98%, roc -33.42%

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 3,518.5pts, +719.06pts, roi 20.43%, roc 47.93%

DD/HH: Staked 844pts, -473.50pts, roi -56.1%, roc -47.35%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 1,376pts, +153.34pts, roi 11.15%, roc 10.22%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, roi 101%, roc 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 3,005.15pts, +373.31pts, roi 12.42%, roc 24.88%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, roi 62.86%, roc 7.54%

Winner Odds Football: Staked 2,733pts, +132.3pts, roi 4.84%, roc 8.82%

TOTAL ROI: 6.95%

Introducing Winner Odds Football

A major addition to the squad with Winner Odds Football being signed for an undisclosed fee (well, actually, you can see the fee by looking at the cost of subscription on their website, but play along with me).  The length of the contract has not been released but both parties hope that this is the start of a long term relationship that rewards both handsomely.

I’ve bitten the bullet, and my early impression is that this is going to be an interesting ride.  Never before have I had any financial interest in football matches being played in Botswana, Zambia, or the Polish Regional League 3.  But I have now!

This is a busy service, and I’m aiming over time to be striking at least 10-15 bets per day.  That’s a lot, but from all the reading into the service and digging I’ve done, the more I put into this the more I should ultimately take out.  The name of the game here is turnover – turn the bank over as many times as possible as quickly as possible, thus allowing the inherent edge every chance to show itself.

The big question of course, is keeping relevant accounts open.  How quickly will we be restricted?  I’ll keep you up to speed on that.  I am exploring other options too.  My genuine belief is that this is a service that can provide serious profit…IF you can get on.  Trying to future proof that ability is something I’m currently giving a lot of thought and consideration to.

This may be something I can seek help from at the forthcoming Smart-Bash.  There’s going to be a whole heap of folk wiser and more experienced than I am when it comes to profitable betting, and that’s a ridiculous understatement!  Perhaps a bit of mingling and networking will provide some insight and answers to some of the questions I have.  Really looking forward to it!

As for last week’s betting, I’m going to post the figures and leave it there.  It was the very epitome of a break-even week, with no big losses or big wins anywhere.

Betting 2024

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 7,395pts, +1,761.79pts, roi 23.82%, roc 117.45%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 3,637pts, -184.63pts, roi -5.07%, roc -12.3%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 217pts, -217pts, roi -100%, roc -21.7%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 3,770pts, -565.47pts, roi -14.99%, roc -37.69%

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 3,256pts, +574.64pts, roi 17.64%, roc 38.3%

DD/HH: Staked 844pts, -473.50pts, roi -56.1%, roc -47.35%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 1,224pts, +134.3pts, roi 10.97%, roc 8.95%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, roi 101%, roc 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 2,844.05pts, +244.66pts, roi 8.6%, roc 16.31%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, roi 62.86%, roc 7.54%

Winner Odds Football: Staked 1,271.1pts, -22.79pts, roi -1.79%, roc -1.51%

Summer betting, and making plans.

As we move into summer, the dynamics of what I bet on shifts a bit, and this year is going to shift significantly.  The main factor having a direct impact is that as you can imagine, Saturdays tend to be the busiest betting day of the week, and by quite some distance.  But as of this week just gone, I am now unable to do much on Saturdays.  Team meeting time for the afternoon’s cricket match is 10.30, which doesn’t leave much time for betting.

Take this Saturday just gone.  I was able to get the Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker Lucky 15s on, and that was it until I managed to jump on the Sys Analyst bets using 4G at about 1.00ish, and that was dependent on the team I play for batting first!

Why doesn’t your son do it for you then, I can almost hear you ask?

Well, simple reason.  He plays too.

The biggest effect is on using the Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker.  Due to the ever present threat of bookmaker restrictions, we’d always wait until at least 10.30 on the Saturday morning before putting any Lucky 15s down, and I’d then drive around various shops to get more down in cash.  Well, that’s not an option any more and won’t be until late September.  We never put Lucky 15s down on the horses during the week anyway, unless there’s a big Festival (eg. Cheltenham) on, so suddenly horse racing Lucky 15s have hit a temporary halt.

I can still quickly look for value in the Enhanced Specials markets on the Exchanges before I need to leave the house, but again because of the time liquidity isn’t good, so not really able to get much down there, either.

Reduced turnover across the summer months has been a perennial issue, but this year I intend to do something about it.

Watch this space…

Betting 2024

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 6,885pts, +1,726.71pts, roi 25.07%, roc 115.11%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 3,494pts, -109.30pts, roi -3.12%, roc -7.28%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 217pts, -217pts, ROI -100%, roc -21.7%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 3,770pts, -565.47pts, roi -14.99%, roc -37.69%

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 2,867pts, +689.61pts, roi 24.05%, roc 45.97%

DD/HH: Staked 844pts, -473.50pts, roi -56.1%, roc -47.35%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 1,204pts, +148.97pts, ROI 12.37%, roc 9.93%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, roc 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 2,739.05pts, +271.15pts, roi 9.89%, roc 18.07%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, ROI: 62.86%, roc 7.54%

Value Bets: Staked 3,186pts, +571.04pts, roi 17.92%, roc 38.06%

TOTAL ROI: 8.7%

The first through the 100% ROC barrier for the year, ROI now running at target, and acting the bufoon.

Another fantastic week for the Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker, and the approach of putting four teams into Lucky 15s.  I know there is more info being prepared behind the scenes here at the SBC on this strategy, so keep an eye out for that in the not too distant future.  The last two weeks in particular have provided some ridiculously strong results, this last week primarily down to catching four winners across two Lucky 15 bets.  Neither individually provided a return any more than 66% of the big one landed the previous week, but together they meant the overall profit across last week was greater than that the week before.

This strategy has so far in 2024, been by some way my most lucrative.  In the back of my mind – actually not too far from the front – is the worry about account closures, but what can I do.  The rate of return is justifying the journey so I’ve kinda resigned myself to an approach of making hay whilst the sun is shining.  I would anticipate too that it will be only a couple more weeks until the main European leagues come to a halt, so I would imagine that turnover may drop a little until they resume in August, but we’ll see.

The other point to note is that four months in to the year, the EP Tracker has reached the point where it’s bank has been doubled.  The ROC at the end of the week stands at 110.11%.  Bearing in mind it takes about 10-15 minutes each day to get the bets down, that must equate to a pretty healthy hourly rate!

Anyway, because of last week’s successes, the ROI for the year to date as a whole has hit the magical 10% mark that I tend to use as something of a target.  The key now of course, is seeing if that can be maintained.

Not much happening elsewhere, really, in what was something of a quiet week.  Golf Betting Club banked some profit but nothing that provided cause for “pants on head”, which is a shame.  I love @SBC Josh’s phrase, and relatively late in life, running around with aforementioned pants perched on one’s noggin is something I now aspire to.  As my wife has said mind you, perhaps I do need to get out more.

Betting 2024

Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 6,495pts, +1,651.67pts, roi 25.42%, roc 110.11%

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/Weekly Golf Value: Staked 3.127pts, -230.9pts, roi -7.38%, roc -15.39%

Golf (Win Only): Staked 217pts, -217pts, ROI -100%, roc -21.7%

Bookie Bashing Racing Tracker (Lucky 15s): Staked 3,770pts, -565.47pts, roi -14.99%, roc -37.69%

Bookie Bashing Value Bets Tracker: Staked 2,867pts, +689.61pts, roi 24.05%, roc 45.97%

DD/HH: Staked 844pts, -473.50pts, roi -56.1%, roc -47.35%.

Golf Betting Club: Staked 1,104pts, +206.97pts, ROI 18.74%, roc 13.79%

NFL strategy: Staked 94.5pts, +95.45pts, ROI: 101%, roc 9.54%

Sys Analyst: Staked 2,499.05pts, +511.15pts, ROI: 20.45%, roc 34.07%

Touchdown Profit: Staked 120pts, +75.44pts, ROI: 62.86%, roc 7.54%

Value Bets: Staked 2,867pts, +689.61pts, ROI 24.05%

TOTAL ROI: 10.13%