Month: July 2021

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RACING: The need for context.

I’ve no idea how the racing tipsters fared last week, and have no desire to know.  It’s gone.  In the past.  Can’t do anything about it now, so what’s the point in even wondering, let alone fretting?

Before my break though, the drawdown for Precision Value continued to reach a new low point for the year, and it would obviously be nice if it could arrest the slump sooner rather than later.  Having said that, the drawdown is only a little over 25% of the bank, which really is nothing at all to worry about.  Looking at the bigger picture too, the drawdown for the racing portfolio as a whole remains very small at just 3% of the accumulated funds, which is tiny.

Sometimes, some context is required.  I think those drawdown figures provide it.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 291pts, +48.98pts, roi 16.83%, roc 48.98%, High: 50.98pts, CDD: -2pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 338.625pts, +37.252pts, roi 11%, roc 37.25%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: -11.407pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 579pts, +21.711pts, roi 3.74%, roc 10.855%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -34.275pts, Max DD: -34.275pts.

Racing Service 1 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

Racing Totals: ROI 11.2%, ROC 27.4%.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

SPORTS: Fear of (having) missed out!

FOMO.  Fear of Missing Out.  The anxiety caused by thinking that you’ve missed out on something good.

That’s how I’m feeling this week about Sports Service 1.  Not had a bet for weeks as the darts program hit a hiatus, and then wham!  Big tournament last week…and I’ve not placed a bet!

Readers of yesterday’s post will know I took a week off last week.  I didn’t realise there was a big darts tournie taking place.  It wouldn’t have changed my mind in terms of putting on bets if I had known.  If you’re going to take a break, take a break.  But now, this week when I’m back on it, I dare not check to see how SS1 got on.  I can’t do it to myself.

I bet every selection was a winner.  I know it, I just know it…

Sports Service 1 (30pt bank): Staked 21.75pts, +6.885pts, roi 31.51%, roc 22.95%, High: 7.295pts, CDD: -0.41pts, Max DD: -1pts.

Sports Service 2 (40pts): Staked 64pts, -4.934pts, roi -7.7%, roc -12.33%, High 0pts, CDD: -4.934pts, Max DD: -6.734pts.

Scottish Football Income Booster (100pts): Staked 88pts, -12.337pts, roi -14.04%, roc -12.33%, High: 4.394pts, CDD: -16.731pts, Max DD: -17.984pts.

 The Poacher (40pts): Staked 247pts, +17.256pts, roi 6.98%, roc 43.14%, High: 19.068pts, CDD: -1.812pts, Max DD: -9.645pts

Sports Totals: ROI 4.2%, ROC 9.78%.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

GOLF: Winning The Open feels a long time ago!

A week off does wonders.  I didn’t go away (I’ve a holiday booked for Sunny Scotland coming up in a couple of weeks time) but the last few weeks have been a bit of a drag and had started to take a toll.  Not betting-wise, but work and other things had been heavy and in the end, for the sake of my own sanity, I decided to take a break from it all.  I’ve spent a week reading, pottering, and generally not doing much at all, and that includes betting.

And you know what?  I feel so much better for it.  Perhaps as I get older, I have a lot more awareness of mental health and how taking a regular break from things can be so beneficial in that regard.  When you’re younger I think you just power through things, work pressures, family issues, whatever…without really thinking about how you are within yourself.  I guess that’s how people burn out.  Being able to recognize the early signs of burn out is an important skill, I reckon.  That, and the ability to talk to others and not bottle everything up.

Anyway, in what seems like the dim and distant past but was in fact just a week yesterday, Weekly Golf Value gave the winner of The Open, Collin Morikawa.  Nice.  Not so much for Golf Insider though, who had 2nd placed Jordan Speith and is searching to end a bit of a winning drought.  It will come, I’m sure.

So, I’m back betting this week, refreshed, and raring to go in Glorious Goodwood week.  Bring. It. On.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 213pts, -56.334pts, roi -26.44%, roc -28.16%, High 14.35pts, CDD: -70.684pts, Max DD: -70.684pts

 PGA Profit (500): Staked 532pts, +77.73pts, roi 14.61%, roc 15.54%, High +178.5pts, CDD: -100.77pts, Max DD: -115.77pts

 Weekly Golf Value (2,000): 4,379pts, +1,833.53pts, roi 41.87%, roc 91.67%, High 1,928.81pts, CDD: -95.28pts, Max DD: -461.8pts.

Golf Totals: ROI 26.23%, ROC 42.68%

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

RACING: mixed results at the July Festival

Three racing services in action last week.  One (Bet Alchemist, +10.7pts) did very well, one (Northern Monkey, +0.5pts) got by despite an excellent opening day that promised much greater things, and the other (Precision Value, -5.9pts) had a poor week, although admittedly not necessarily at Newmarket.

What this all means is that Bet Alchemist pushes forward to a new profit high for the year whilst Precision Value hits a new low mark in terms of drawdown.  2021 has been a bit of a rollercoaster for the latter.  A decline across the first few months of the year, followed by a strong recovery and run of form, and now back down. The experience of many a bettor at many a time, I reckon.

Overall though, the racing portfolio is ticking along quite nicely.  We’re a man down of course, until the new jumps season is properly underway, so to be running along at an ROI of 12% is pretty satisfying.  We all know though don’t we, that that can take a sudden surge or plunge at any moment.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 288pts, +50.98pts, roi 17.7%, roc 50.98%, High: 50.98pts, CDD: 0pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 335.375pts, +40.502pts, roi 12.07%, roc 40.5%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: -8.157pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 558pts, +27.961pts, roi 5.01%, roc 13.98%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -28.0255pts, Max DD: -28.025pts.

Racing Service 1 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

Racing Totals: ROI 12.28%, ROC 29.5%

 

PS. Off away for a few days next week as a birthday treat, so Bet Diary will be back the week after.

SPORTS: Roll on the new footie season.

So it’s all over then.  Euro 2020 finally wraps up, in perhaps the most dramatically disappointing way possible, around 12 months after it should have done.  Although I’ve not seen a great deal of the tournament, having football on almost every day for the past month has at least provided something for The Poacher to get stuck into and provide some betting action.  Now I guess a quiet period is going to get even quieter.  I know he targets the Irish leagues, but until the new European domestic season starts up again in August, I reckon the turnover is going to drop.

So, as things are going to be so quiet for the sports portfolio for a few weeks, I may temporarily merge the Sports Section BD update with the golf on the Monday.  We’ll see what the boss says.

Until then, the update figures…

Sports Service 1 (30pt bank): Staked 21.75pts, +6.885pts, roi 31.51%, roc 22.95%, High: 7.295pts, CDD: -0.41pts, Max DD: -1pts.

Sports Service 2 (40): Staked 62pts, -5.384pts, roi -8.68%, roc -13.46%, High 0pts, CDD: -5.384pts, Max DD: -6.734pts.

Scottish Football Income Booster (100): Staked 88pts, -12.337pts, roi -14.04%, roc -12.33%, High: 4.394pts, CDD: -16.731pts, Max DD: -17.984pts.

The Poacher (40): Staked 245pts, +17.492pts, roi 7.13%, roc 43.73%, High: 19.068pts, CDD: -1.576pts, Max DD: -9.645pts

Sports Totals: ROI 4.19%, ROC 9.64%

GOLF: Dry run continues. But was anyone watching?

No luck on the golf this week, with just one, small, place return from Weekly Golf Value doing very little indeed to offset the losses.

The poor run of Golf Insider continues and we’ve now hit the deepest drawdown mark for the year to date.  The last couple of weeks haven’t seen one place, if I remember correctly (I may not, it’s true).  Let’s see if The Open this coming week brings a change in fortune.

Nothing by way of return from PGA Profit although that may have not been the case if I’d managed to get on with a bookie paying out on the Top 8.  I didn’t – I backed the relevant golfer with a bookie paying top 7!

And that return I mentioned from WGV…well, not enough of a return to prevent a loss there too.

So not a great week, all told.  But really, was anyone watching the golf and not the football last night?  Still at least that was something to cheer us….oh.

Guess football will have to come home next year instead.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 207pts, -52.834pts, roi -25.52%, roc -26.41%, High 14.35pts, CDD: -67.184pts, Max DD: -67.184pts

 PGA Profit (500): Staked 505pts, +82.23pts, roi 16.28%, roc 16.44%, High +178.5pts, CDD: -96.27pts, Max DD: -115.77pts

 Weekly Golf Value (2,000): 4,233pts, +1,699.83pts, roi 40.15%, roc 84.99%, High 1,928.81pts, CDD: -228.98pts, Max DD: -461.8pts.

Totals: ROI 25.32%, ROC 39.75%.

RACING: A poor week at the office.

It’s not been a great week on the nags.

Saturday was the only day that saw action from Bet Alchemist and to be honest it wasn’t really worth the wait as just short of four points were dropped.

A bad week all round for Northern Monkey, who dropped over seven points.  Going in heavy on one horse used as a lever for multiples backfired when that one failed to win, and left us playing catch up from the start of the week.  We know though, as with BA, that losses are merely lent, and we’ll come again.

Similar for Precision Value who despite one good day, also finished the week down.  One of those weeks.

This week sees the July Festival at Newmarket take place on the July course, so there’ll be plenty of top class action for the guys to set their teeth into.  I wouldn’t be surprised if see something of a fight back.  Here’s hoping.

Bet Alchemist (100pt bank): Staked 276pts, +40.255pts, roi 14.58%, roc 40.25%, High: 44.005pts, CDD: -3.75pts, Max DD: -25.65pts.

Northern Monkey (100): Staked 313.125pts, +39.946pts, roi 12.75%, roc 39.94%, High: 48.659pts, CDD: -8.713pts, Max DD: -27.028pts

Precision Value (200):  Staked 529pts, +33.861pts, roi 6.4%, roc 16.93%, High: 55.986pts, CDD: -22.125pts, Max DD: -24.834pts.

Racing Service 2 (50): Staked 29.5pts, +6.312pts, roi 21.39%, roc 12.62%, High: 12.312pts, CDD: -6pts, Max DD: -8pts.

RACING Totals: ROI 12.02%, ROC 27.43%.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

SPORTS: The Poacher chipping away as football (nearly) comes home.

I still haven’t seen more than five minutes of live football with England playing.  That is about to change.  Wednesday night I’ll be able to sit down and watch the match versus Denmark in full.  I’m hoping that I’ll at last, be able to tune into some of the footie fever that is gripping the nation.  Honestly, at the moment I feel like the entire Euro 2020 tournament has passed me by.

Am I that bothered?  It might be a little controversial to say, but truth be told, I’m not.  I know I’ll be in a minority here, but as a dyed in the wool Arsenal fan, I can’t “raise my game” to enjoy a Harry Kane goal, no matter who it is scored for.  It’s a bit like back in the day when I couldn’t get behind an England team that had John Terry as its skipper.

I appreciate I’m in the minority, and that I should get over myself.  But I can’t.  Some things just run too deep.

As for betting this past week, there’s very little to report.  A tiny win for Sports Service 2 and a couple of points profit secured by The Poacher.  And that is it.

Sports Service 1 (30pt bank): Staked 21.75pts, +6.885pts, roi 31.51%, roc 22.95%, High: 7.295pts, CDD: -0.41pts, Max DD: -1pts.

Sports Service 2 (40): Staked 62pts, -5.384pts, roi -8.68%, roc -13.46%, High 0pts, CDD: -5.384pts, Max DD: -6.734pts.

 Scottish Football Income Booster (100): Staked 88pts, -12.337pts, roi -14.04%, roc -12.33%, High: 4.394pts, CDD: -16.731pts, Max DD: -17.984pts.

 The Poacher (40): Staked 240pts, +14.616pts, roi 6.09%, roc 36.54%, High: 19.068pts, CDD: -4.452pts, Max DD: -9.645pts

SPORTS Totals: ROI 3.45%, ROC 7.84%

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown

GOLF: Agonizingly close…but no cigar.

Last night’s golf made for painful viewing.  I’m not complaining.  We’ve had a fair share of good fortune this year betting on the golf.  If I’m to celebrate a win that was in large part down to a runaway leader having to withdraw due to a positive Covid test prior to the last round, then it would be churlish in the extreme to moan about having a player beaten in a three-way play off, as happened last night.

The agonizing part though was seeing Troy Merritt (PGA Profit) and Joaquin Niemann (Weekly Golf Value) on the last green together, each with a putt that would have won them the championship.  Each missing by a combined distance of about a foot, was irritating to say the least.

The whole last day was a frustrating one.  How Weekly Golf Value ended up making a loss on the week after having several golfers in real contention going into the last day both in Europe and the States, I don’t really know.  It took some doing.  I guess this is the ying to previous week’s yang.  Somebody has upset the golfing Gods, and if I had to put money on it (assuming the price on offer represented value, of course) I think I’d put it on being a Weekly Golf Value subscriber.

Least said about Golf Insider’s week, the better.

Golf Insider (200pt bank): Staked 198pts, -45.834pts, roi -23.14%, roc -22.91%, High 14.35pts, CDD: -60.184pts, Max DD: -60.715pts

 PGA Profit (500): Staked 486.5pts, +100.73pts, roi 20.7%, roc 20.14%, High +178.5pts, CDD: -77.77pts, Max DD: -115.77pts

 Weekly Golf Value (2,000): 4,145pts, +1,750.33pts, roi 42.22%, roc 87.51%, High 1,928.81pts, CDD: -178.48pts, Max DD: -461.8pts.

*ROI – Return On investment, ROC – Return On Capital (ie. bank growth), CDD – Current Drawdown, Max DD – Maximum Drawdown