The trouble with betting is that it feels as if any mistake you make is invariably punished to the max.  I’m sure it’s the same brain processing switched that means you are affected more by seeing a horse you’ve backed get touched off at the line by a nose than when you witness your nag trot up to land the spoils.

I was reminded of this on Tuesday when I somehow managed to miss backing two The Value Machine Exchange Profit horses which then of course went on to win, one at a good price (at least I noticed the Betfair Starting Price was so I imagine decent odds were available in the five minute lead up to race time).  All told, it cost me about 100 points profit and although on the day TVM Exchange Profits netted about 40 points of profit for me, it’s taking a while to shake off the, “How could I?” vibes.

After what felt like loads of eSoccer Edge betting on Monday, the rest of the week has felt fairly quiet, relatively speaking.  At least the bets that have come through have tended to be more prolific at the times I’m not sitting at my laptop.  Not a problem of course.  It’s just been the difference in personal volume between Tuesday and Thursday, compared to Monday’s has been stark.  Still pushing on to a new profit high though for the month to date.

It’s been pretty quiet in terms of WinnerOdds Football too, but again a bit of profit that slowly chips away at reducing the current drawdown.  Could really do with a decent weekend!  I noticed too that they are opening their doors to anyone and everyone to subscribe, after previously restricting new members.  I have no idea what is the thinking behind this move.  Clearly they feel the markets can take more money.

And finally a really strong start to the new Trial Service.  You’ll be able to read a full review of this via an SBC membership very soon.

Have a great weekend!

April 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 815pts, +137.91pts, ROI 16.92%, ROC 9.19%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 6,095pts, +537.05pts, ROI 8.81%, ROC 35.8%

The Value Machine: Staked 1,668pts, +85.82pts, ROI 5.14%, ROC 5.72%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 217.6pts, +68.7pts, ROI 31.57%, ROC 4.58%.

Trial Service: Staked 1,160.5pts, +117.4pts, ROI 6.3%, ROC 10.11%.

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 2,486pts, -92.39pts, ROI -3.71%, ROC -6.15%

TOTAL: Staked 12,489.1pts, +854.49pts, ROI 6.84%, ROC 9.49%

Yesterday (Tuesday) was a busy old day for eSoccer Edge.  The amount I staked was significantly up compared to most other days, and although it felt like the number of bets coming through was a lot, it was more the amount being staked.  Picks are assigned a recommended stake of one, two or three points, and I recently started to follow the proscribed staking system and dropped my previously adopted level staking approach.

There aren’t (relatively speaking) many bets afforded the full three-point stake, and the majority carry just the one.  But yesterday, I seemed to have more two and three-point bets than I’d had come through previously, and fortunately a fair old proportion of them were winning bets.  The result was my best single day of profit with the service yet, and it is forging ahead as this month’s top performer, just as it was last.  The ROC figures achieved to date have been nothing short of phenomenal.

I told this to a non-gambling mate of mine yesterday evening, and she could not believe I could make money from backing electronic footballers being controlled by gamers!

One thing I have noticed though, as eSoccer Edge enjoys a fantastic month overall, is that the lines disappear far more quickly then they did.  Yesterday I had to be actually sitting at my laptop to get the bets on, and even then I missed a few.  I’m guessing folk who have cashed in so far are raising stakes.  It’s a pattern I’ve seen many, many times over the years with other successful services.  Don’t get me wrong…I’m not saying it’s now impossible to get the prices/lines.  It really isn’t, and tbh even when you miss the odd bet you know there’s another along in the not too distant.  It’s just interesting to see things evolve and is an example of a time when you might need to adapt as you go.

Those of you who read last week’s posts will know I’ve revisited Tilt The Odds.  And with impeccable timing the weekend saw a very nice winning Double land to get things off to a good (re)start.  I only stopped with the service due to time constraints and my betting ‘partner’ being similarly time challenged.  That issue isn’t over yet, but has eased a little…enough to be able to get some bets on each day, if not yet as many as I would like.  The idea is to build things up further in terms of turnover as I can.

And finally for today, a good couple of good days for The Value Machine Exchange Profit has pushed it into profit for the month.

April 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 815pts, +137.91pts, ROI 16.92%, ROC 9.19%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 5,895pts, +481.05pts, ROI 8.16%, ROC 32.07%

The Value Machine: Staked 1,548pts, +70.96pts, ROI 4.58%, ROC 4.73%

Tilt The Odds: Staked 184.6pts, +99.9pts, ROI 54.11%, ROC 6.66%.

Trial Service: Staked 795.5pts, -4.39pts, ROI -0.55%, ROC -0.29%.

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 2,439pts, -123.63pts, ROI -5.06%, ROC -8.24%

TOTAL: Staked 11,724.1pts, +661.8pts, ROI 5.64%, ROC 7.35%

I’ve felt for a little while that I’ve needed a bit of a shake up, a new lick of paint to change things up a bit.  An exercise in getting back to basics in an attempt to rediscover a level of equilibrium.

I also think that I may have tried a little bit too hard to try to avoid bookmaker account restrictions and that has perhaps informed my betting a little bit too much.  Instead, I’ve thought for a time now that actually, it might be preferable to go as hard and fast as possible to squeeze as much juice out of an account as possible and then deal with the problem of restrictions when the time comes.

That doesn’t mean eyewatering stakes.  Other than golf, I believe that my general policy to bet often and little is a good one.  High turnover, smaller bets.  It was listening to the latest SBC Podcast with Kieran Ward that firmed up my belief that you can make good money and (hopefully) stay under bookmaker radars for a fair amount of time by keeping stakes fairly low level, but betting many times.

Time is still the enemy.  If I had more time, I could make more money.  But I don’t, and so I have to compromise.

Anyway, the long and short of it is, is that I’m going to a. reintroduce a service I’ve previously trialled – Tilt The Odds, and b. introduce a new service that I’m currently trialling.  I’m not going to reveal which this is as yet as I’m currently in the midst of writing a review that will be published to SBC members in the not too distant future.  Suffice to say, it involves betting on football, and I can control when I bet.  I’m hoping that by dedicating half an hour each day to putting bets down, I can get turnover to a pretty high level, but that stakes going on each bet be relatively small.  In other words, it can tick an awful lot of the boxes I want to see ticked.

I may have a decision to make too around whether or not to continue with one service I’ve been using, but I’m putting that off until the end of the month.

Right, have a great Easter weekend, and I’ll be back with the latest figures on Monday.

I took a couple of days away from betting over the weekend.  Initially because I had my first cricket match of the season – a pre-season friendly match played in warm sunshine?  What is that all about?!? – and with this year definitely being my last as a player, I’ve decided I’m not going to take time away from enjoying myself by worrying about getting bets on.  And then yesterday, I took some time out to think of the way forward, to take stock as it were, and re-focus.

Truth be told, I’ve not been totally happy with what I’ve been doing recently.  I’ve felt for a while I’ve started to overcomplicate things a bit with staking, have been acutely aware of what resources I’m NOT utilizing, my personal time organisation, and a few other small things too.  The time had come for a bit of a re-boot.  I decided I needed to turn myself off and then on again, much like your ageing PC when it freezes.

So, time to get back to basics, and perhaps utilize opportunities in a way that looks to squeeze the max out of available resources (ie. bookmaker accounts) instead of worrying too much about those resources being taken away.  A shift in mentality required here.  A bolder approach that means crossing bridges when coming to them, as opposed to trying always to plot a route that means never coming to a bridge.

What does this all mean in effect?

That, my friends, I am going to keep to this week’s Post no.2 – which I’ll write on Friday.

In the meantime, what’s been going down?

Well, we had The Masters of course, and what a finish to that we saw!  Got to admit I went to bed when Rory played an unbelievable shot to within a few short feet of the pin on the 17th, thinking that had sealed for it.  Woke up this morning to find that he had indeed won, abut only after a play-off after missing a short putt to win at the last.  Top level, exciting sport.

The tournament provided a nice profit too, with two full return placed golfers supported – Patrick Read with stakes split at 50/1 and 80/1, And Sung Jae Im at 125/1.  These returns mean that Weekly Golf Value is leading the way in terms of profit made this month to date, running at 60%+ ROI despite not actually having a winner.

Close up in second place is eSoccer Edge and profit continues to accumulate.  From the live bet tracker, it looks like I missed a good day on Saturday, but the beauty of the service is that there are always plenty of bets coming.

Not much else to report, to be honest, so I’ll leave you with the figures.

See you Friday.

April 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 461pts, +278.11pts, ROI 60.3%, ROC 18.5%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 2,715pts, +213.55pts, ROI 7.8%, ROC 14.2%

The Value Machine: Staked 980pts, -154.41pts, ROI -15.7%, ROC -10.2%

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 1,570pts, -10.9pts, ROI -0.7%, ROC -0.7%

TOTAL: Staked 5,773pts, +326.35pts, ROI 5.65%, ROC 5.43%

After a decent Saturday I was flying, and then a poor Sunday clipped the old wings a little.  When all has been totted up though, it’s not been a bad start to the new month.

It could easily have been a really strong start had 10/1 shot Bryson DeChambeau not thrown away his overnight lead going into the final round of the latest LIV tournament.  I’m a little surprised I backed him, truth be told.  The price was fairly skinny (although value is value, be that in short or long prices) and I very rarely back golfers sub-20/1.  You may also remember that I’d intended to steer clear of LIV this year, and up to this week, had remained steadfast in that approach.  Truth is, I had very little time last Wednesday, wasn’t able to use the Tracker, and so simply followed the Weekly Golf Value tips as presented to me.

As it happens, DeChambeau managed to place plus another 33/1 shot in LIV (plus three in the PGA event) so a near 40% return on investment on the golfing week is not to be sniffed at.  I was just hoping (obviously) for a winner going into the final day that would have really pushed the month forward.  It wasn’t to be, and despite the profit, I couldn’t help be just a little sore at Dean Burmester, ensconced in second place, taking 9 at the par 4 last hole to finish completely out of the frame!  Burk.

The Masters this week coming, I believe.  How exciting!

eSoccer Edge’s first week as a paid for service got off to a strong start.  A losing day yesterday pegged my figures back a touch, but only to an ROI within the range of expected norm.  I’m currently utilizing a flat level staking approach which I know is highly likely to be sub-optimal.  The service’s own graded 1-3 point staking system I’m confident will produce a higher ROI over time, and I hope at some point to use it myself, but just at present I’m keeping stakes deliberately lower in the interests of account preservation.  I’m hoping, praying, sacrificing anything I can catch, in the hope that backing odds on shots at a stake level that shouldn’t in itself alert the trading teams will mean I can carry on along this line for a good period of time.  I guess we’ll see.

New month, same old for WinnerOdds Football (good Saturday, poor Sunday) and The Value Machine Exchange Profit in getting ahead and then being pulled back.  I feel I need to see both make something of a surge forward, sooner rather than later.

April 2025 (stakes normalised)…

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 254pts, +100.11pts, ROI 39.4%, ROC 5%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 1,450pts, +91.27pts, ROI 6.3%, ROC 4.9%

The Value Machine: Staked 510pts, +1.84pts, ROI 0.4%, ROC 0.1%

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 730pts, +28pts, ROI 3.8%, ROC 1.5%

TOTAL: Staked 2,944pts, +221.22pts, ROI 7.5%, ROC 2.9%

I’ve brought all the figures up to date for March and when all has been sorted, it’s effectively been a break even month, the profit and loss line marginally but barely finishing in the red.

I have had a LOT worse months.  And very likely will this year, but I’ve got to be honest with you.  I’ve found March really painful and a hell of a slog.  Not sure why, tbh.  The shocking Saturday I had halfway through really knocked me back, possibly because it was so unexpected and so out of the blue.  I literally had the second deepest drawdown – in purely monetary terms – hit in less than 24 hours from a service I’ve been following for not far short of a year.  To exacerbate the situation, the third deepest had hit just two weeks before.

I watched a docu-film on Netflix called The Twister: Caught In The Storm the other day.  A huge tornado hit a small town in Missouri in 2011, wreaking absolute havoc.  That Saturday felt like the betting equivalent!

When I looked at my overall figures for WinnerOdds Football, I have to admit to having wobbled a little.  2,500 picks for an ROI of a little less than 1.5% ROI?  But then, after reflection, it was really three mediocre months for me, and that’s not enough to ditch a service that I still very much believe in in terms of its ability to make its members money.

Bottom line: WO Football does need to start producing the goods for me, but I need to stay patient and persevere for now.  Just keep putting the bets down and let nature take its course, for now at least.

Elsewhere, and I mentioned last week I’d committed to the new eSoccer Edge service and this is the one that produced some profit for me in March, following up on an amazing February.  It’s still very early days, but signing up when you’re paying for it from profit made during a free trial is a nice position to be in.  I am lessening the bank from 100 points to 80 (I feel that even that may be too cautious, but I’d rather gradually get braver than go in too deep too fast and have to pull back, if you know what I mean), and have increased stake per point by 25%.

Despite having a winner, I was frustrated by my golf betting through March, mainly because if I could just have found a little value somewhere I can place a bet on Weekly Golf Value winner Viktor Hovland the week before last, it would have been a fantastic month.  As it was, I lost money.  No-one’s fault.  One of those things.  But doesn’t stop it from being frustrating, does it?!

And finally The Value Machine Exchange Profits.  If you’re a Smart Betting Club member you may well have read the recently published review of this service (if not, why not?).  I’ve not yet had the best of fortune with it and the past three months have all told underperformed what came before.  As things stand, it feels like investing here is a little akin to buying a good stock at a low point where there’s value to be had.  I’ve upped my stake a little from this month.  Let’s see what happens.

So yes, March is a month I’m pleased to be seeing the back of.  The first day of April gave the new month a solid start.  Let’s hope it’s a sign of better things to come and we can finally get 2025 going.  So far there’s been a lot of input, for very little indeed by way of output.

March 2025 (stakes normalised):

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 948pts, -130.37pts, ROI -13.75%, ROC -6.51%

eSoccer Edge: Staked 5,480pts, +241.25pts, ROI 4.4%, ROC 12.06%

The Value Machine: Staked 1,680pts, -24.11pts, ROI -1.43%, ROC -1.6%

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 7,148pts, -104pts, ROI -1.45%, ROC -5.2%

TOTAL: Staked 15,268pts, -66.23pts, ROI -0.43%, ROC -0.82%

This is essentially a holding post until Wednesday, when I’ll stick up a March review.  I can’t believe we’re a quarter way through 2025 already!

I can honestly say I’ve not enjoyed March one bit from a betting point of view.  It’s been a Grind with a capital G.  From a strong position part way through, one catastrophic day means that barring a miracle today (Monday), it’s very likely to end in a loss, and performance for 2025 to date is running well below par.  Has it been a bit demoralising?  I’ve got to confess, that yes, it has.

But we plough on.  And with that in mind, I signed up to the newly launched eSoccer Edge service on Friday.  To be honest it’s the one service that has done me ok this month, although the back end of last week wasn’t the best.  The profits made in February were strong though after I jumped on the free trial opportunity that opened up in January.  It is going to be interesting to see what happens moving forward but everything so far has shown real promise, including bouncing back from what was a really weird few days when something happened that effected the dynamics of the markets and not in a good way!  I think that was a real test as things needed to be recalibrated, but whatever the guys did their, they did it well.

I can say that there was very little joy on the golf over this last weekend, and when I look back what happened last week kinda sums up the month of March as a hole – a big win at a big price missed.  Those lucky enough to be able to follow the Weekly Golf Value bets more closely than I would have cashed in and will be sitting on a fine month golf-wise.  Me, not so much.

I’ve a lot to think about moving forward.  Put in very basic terms, I need to see more from WinnerOdds Football.  I’ve said before that I do not doubt the benefits of the service.  Too many people I know make too much money from it (and their tennis offering) to even consider that they are anything but a brilliant service, but the fact is for me, it’s not working as well as anyone would hope.  Another five or six weeks or so and it will have been a calendar year since signing up, and 2,483 bets later I’m running at an ROI of 1.39%.  Under normal circumstances I’d probably call it quits, but I’m conscious that changing the size of bank attached to following as I was finding my feet (which happens with all services I’m new to following, by the way) may be affecting the bottom line.  Perhaps I owe it to provide some real consistency for an extended period and then reassess.  Let’s see.

I would dearly love to get back to betting in shops again and putting some Bookie Bashing inspired and sourced Lucky 15s on the horses, and picking off value from the Bet/Combo Bet Trackers.  I’m still not sure I can afford the time though.  Not quite yet, anyway.

After intending to write very little today, I’ve almost provided a review of the month less the actual figures.  On Wednesday I’ll post the numbers, and add any additional thoughts.

Until then…

I thought I had escaped.  But no.  The Gambling Gods don’t allow for escapes.  They may lull you into believing that you are, and then close the net around you once more to make any thoughts of escaping seem fanciful in the extreme.  They let you reach the train station in small town Germany, dressed in civilian clothes and merging into the background, but then a crafty “Hello” in English, and an understandable but instant “Hello” back, and before you know it you’re being ruthlessly gunned down.  And don’t even get me started on stealing a motorbike and after some valiant attempts at escape, riding it headlong into a load of barbed wire…

My stealing of the motorbike took the form of Keita Nakajima, one of four Weekly Golf Value players put up across the two golf tournaments last week that I didn’t back.  I couldn’t get value prices on them at any of the books I can still use.  He was level at the top of the leaderboard in the Club House, but was pipped when Richard Mansell birdied the last to claim the victory.  Nakajima finished second, and I breathed a sigh of relief.

And then came the barbed wire fence.

Viktor Hovland, another of the four unbacked golfers, took advantage of Justin Thomas fannying around when clear at the top to cliam the US event in the evening by a stroke.  WGV, to its immense credit, had Hovland to a sizeable stake at a big price (70/1).  I had nothing.

One golfer to place for me across the two tournaments.  It could have been so much better.  But them’s the breaks, I guess.

Elsewhere and there’s not been any immediate bounce back this time from the disaster that was the previous weekend for WinnerOdds Football.  That Saturday has left a serious dint on the figures, both for the month and year to date.  It very much feels I’m in recovery mode.  How long for?  Let’s see.

March 2025 (stakes normalised):

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 708pts, +38.23pts, ROI 5.39%, ROC 1.9%, Drawdown -184.2pts, Max DD -184.2pts

eSoccer Edge: Staked 4,580pts, +270.75pts, ROI 5.9%, ROC 13.5%, Drawdown -16.25pts, Max DD -254pts

The Value Machine: Staked 1,340pts, -40.58pts, ROI -3%, ROC -2%, Drawdown -200pts, Max DD -266.42pts

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 5,908pts, -136.82pts, ROI -2.3%, ROC -6.8%, Drawdown -468.58pts, Max DD -495.34pts

TOTAL: Staked 12,538pts, +112.58pts, ROI 0.89%, ROC 1.4%, Drawdown -276.5pts, Max DD -402.35pts

Sadly we haven’t had a repeat of the rapid and ridiculously strong bounce back from last weekend’s tail of woe that we saw from the woe of three weeks ago.  There’s been a lot of woe, a bit of Wheeeh! and then a lot of woe again.  I’ve decided we need more Wheeeh! in our lives.  A life spent Wheeehing! would be a fine life indeed.

A small profit has been made since Monday, but nowhere near enough to make the year to date figures below look like anything other than what they are.  I look at the figures and all I see at this moment in time is an awful lot of bets struck for very little reward.

Look, it goes like that sometimes.  That’s why they call it a “grind”.

Let’s start with some positive news and the figures so far for eSoccer Edge are looking fine indeed.  I’ve been trialling this new service for a fair few weeks now and to have already amassed bank growth of 44% already is pretty amazing,  Funnily enough, this week hasn’t been the best either, and yet my overall ROI now reads 6.83%, almost bang on the 7% long term aim (although I believe with a newish variable staking approach that may/should rise a little).  I have been flat staking, and not getting on anywhere near the maximum number of bets I could if I had more time.  Perhaps I’ve ridden on the positive side of variance a little with this, managing to coincide the bets I’ve struck with more winners than losers and had I taken different bets my figures wouldn’t be so impressive.  To be honest, this is essentially an observation only and not some kind of relevant point – the fact is over the long term that variance will even out but the ROI should remain broadly the same.  I can see no reason why it wouldn’t.

It’s been a very quiet week bet wise for WinnerOdds Football, I’m assuming because so many leagues have shut down for the tiresome international break.  Actually, that’s not fair.  Personally, I CANNOT WAIT for England’s match against the mighty Albania tonight.  It’s a true match for the ages, as England’s brave boys take on the team that most who know anything about football recognise as being the best international team since Pele’s 1970 Brazil.  For Pele, Rivelino, Tostao and Gerson, read Armando Broja, Bajrami, erm…and err…Brutti.

One thing to look out for is a full, in depth review coming up of The Value Machine Exchange Profit service I’ve been following within these posts.  With all the data to hand it’s been fascinating this week putting in some prep for writing up the review.  What’s clear to me is that the most recent months have been (and here comes that word again) a bit of a “grind”, but in the context of the full data set, this is a service to be very excited about.  You SBC members will be able to read much more soon, and if you’re reading this and you’re not a member, well frankly, why aren’t you?!?  Seriously, sort your life out!

Enough from me.  I’m off to start building up to the big match tonight.  COME ON TUCHEL AND HIS BOYS!!!!!

March 2025 (stakes normalised):

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker/WGV: Staked 604pts, +87.43pts, ROI 14.4%, ROC 4.3%, Drawdown -135pts, Max DD -135pts

eSoccer Edge: Staked 4,200pts, +180pts, ROI 4.2%, ROC 9%, Drawdown -107pts, Max DD -254pts

The Value Machine: Staked 1,080pts, -27.7pts, ROI -2.5%, ROC -1.1%, Drawdown -187.12pts, Max DD -266.42pts

WinnerOdds Football: Staked 4,870pts, -163.58pts, ROI -3.3%, ROC -5.4%, Drawdown -495.34pts, Max DD -495.34pts

TOTAL: Staked 10,754pts, +57.15pts, ROI 0.53%, ROC 0.6%, Drawdown -331.93pts, Max DD -402.35pts

A couple of weeks ago I talked about a dreadful Saturday from WinnerOdds Football that I admitted, despite however many years I’ve been in this game, I found hard to deal with.  This Saturday, the same service had for me, a much worse day.  Two weeks ago, the bounce back was almost immediate with a decent Sunday restoring some confidence, and the thanks to a huge drifter for the version of The Value Machine I use, I was sitting back on a profit high less than half a week later.  Sunday this time, saw no bounce back, and in fact already heavy losses were exacerbated by TVM having 20 consecutive losers Friday through to Sunday and a blank week for me using the Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker.

I guess losing confidence in something you’re doing when you’ve done it successfully for years is, on the face of it, a bit daft.  But I’d liken it to a top notch centre forward with a history of banging in goals left, right and centre over many seasons suddenly doing everything but score.  It doesn’t matter how experienced or successful you’ve been, confidence can always be knocked.

It got me thinking and I thought what I’d do is provide some unofficial ‘Confidence Ratings’ for each of the services I’m following right now.  Marked out of five, these are a reflection of what I am feeling right now.  They could easily change very, very quickly.

eSoccerEdge: 3.5

For a service that has produced 42.1% bank growth since mid-January, and which was the only bright spot of the weekend just gone, you’d perhaps expect this to be higher.  The only reason it isn’t is that it is so (relatively) new to me.  Based on what it’s done so far it should be a nailed on 5/5, but I still feel I’m getting used to it.  A new, variable staking system has been introduced which should increase the ROI further, but until I’ve got more info in terms of how that looks like and potential implications on the size of betting bank, I’m sticking to level stakes.  That’s why I’m at 3.5 – HUGE potential, just not 100% set yet on how to realise it.  But that will come.

Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker: 5

Been using it or it’s derivative Weekly Golf Value for years, and with huge success.  Every faith and confidence behind the people that run it.  Settling on a 5/5 is a no-brainer despite the inevitable long losing runs golf betting brings at times.

The Value Machine: 2.5

To emphasise – this is how I’m feeling, as Oasis once said, right here right now.  20 consecutive losing bets.  A pattern so far this year of getting to break even before hitting another draw down has happened again.  It’s difficult on a grey Monday morning to be feeling overjoyed about it.  But…and it is a big but…the people behind it are fantastic at what they do, have experience in bucket loads, and the track record is strong.  A decent week and the rating could easily be 4 by Friday!

WinnerOdds Football: 1.5

Do I believe WinnerOdds Footie is a top, top service? Yes.

Do I believe that WO Footie has suddenly lost its edge? No.

Am my feelings (and therefore rating) being assessed on just a couple of recent weekend’s bad results?  Yes, and no.

Here’s the thing.  I know this service makes good money for it’s customers.  I know it’s run by people I have huge respect for.  But…it’s not just recent results that is making my confidence levels decline.  Since starting with it, I’ve struck 2,402 bets at an average of 7.85/day.  My ROI figure is 1.3%.

That’s not a level of return that can justify the work put in.  It just isn’t.  And I know that other users will have made a strong return in the same time period, and some will have made less.  But frankly, I don’t care about them.  I care about spending a lot of time and effort, for what is a very low rate of return.

I have to be careful to caveat that my stakes last year changed as I got a feel for the service (as is the case for every service I begin to follow), and since January the bank has been larger than it was at any time in 2024. The knock on impact is that the losing runs are going to hit harder right now than they would have done last year, and as a result the ROI will be lowered.  But the difference in staking really hasn’t been that large.  Still, when encountering a winning run, the resultant profit line will rise more sharply so it needs time to right itself.

But…2,402 bets for 1.3% ROI.  It would take a pretty special person (or maybe a psychopath) not to feel a little down about that.

I’ve got to run right now.  I’ll stick, the figures up in my next post.  Fingers crossed any Confidence Ratings will look a little better in a couple of days time.