With some horrible weather brought to the UK by the not-so-ominously-named Storm Darragh, the first week of December was notable for the impact the weather had on turnover. Let’s just say after a number of race meetings were abandoned, I’m already way behind my turnover target.
I’ll write a post on this in the not too distant future. Turnover is everything really, and when that is cut, the opportunity to make good profits if impacted. I’ve also got a few things to talk about in terms of each individual strategy/tipster, and what I think I’ll do is jot these down in a series of posts leading up to and over the New Year.
For now though, let’s summarize what went down last week.
After last week’s huge win, Weekly Golf Value/Bookie Bashing Golf Tracker got December off to the best start possible, but it was a poor week this week. The tournament in the States didn’t really lend itself to getting too involved, but it did provide the only return of the week with Keegan Bradley at 35/1 finishing in a place position. WGV put up another to place in Justin Thomas, but no value to be had at any book available to me so I left it.
Great to see the Value Bets derived from the Bookie Bashing site continue in good form. They started to turn around at the back end of last month and have continued to bring in the profit this. Betting on Cards in Premier League football is paying well at the mo, as have a couple of bets thrown up by the Combo Tracker.
The real star of the show this weekend however, was Winner Odds Football. Plenty of bets, a 71% strike rate and a new profit high over the weekend, with Sunday proving to be an exceptional day. The week prior to this weekend it hadn’t performed so well, but this was a turnaround and a half!
Sys Analyst had had a quiet and blank week up until the last bet on Sunday which won at 3/1 and meant a tiny profit was made, but it was pretty tough going for the horse racing section. Because of the weather there wasn’t one The Value Machine bet I could strike on Saturday, and only one on Sunday (bear in mind I am price availability dependent, using the Exchanges). A poor week for TVM and the same for the service I’m trialling. I’m currently on the negative side of the variance wave here, but bearing in mind I had a big winning day early on which placed me more than firmly on the positive side, I have nothing to complain about. It’s here though where a lack of turnover is hurting. It’s a very high variance strategy and the more bets I can get down to try to level that out a bit the better. But last week was – for reasons other than the weather too – one I just couldn’t get anywhere near the number of bets down I’d have liked. Let’s hope this week provides a lot more opportunities.
And finally the Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker, and here I am experiencing some difficulties. I rely on one book, and I’m sure I therefore don’t have to go into too much detail about what the problem might be! I need, and am working, on a solution.
Speak soon.
December Figures (stakes normalised):
Early Pay Out Tracker: Staked 399pts, -125.03pts, roi -31.33%, roc -8.33%.
Weekly Golf Value: Staked 219pts, +1,233pts, roi 563.01%, roc 61.65%.
Sys Analyst: Staked 74.4pts, +3.6pts, roi 4.83%, roc 0.24%.
Value Bets (BB): Staked 260.92pts, +76.96pts, roi 29.49%, roc 7.69%.
The Value Machine: Staked 585pts, -158.17pts, roi -27.03%, roc -7.9%
Winner Odds Football: Staked 1,030pts, +121.89pts, roi 11.83%, roc 6.09%.
Trial Service: Staked 205pts, -63.05pts, roi -30.75%, roc -4.2%
TOTAL: Staked 2,773.32pts, +1,089.20pts, roi 39.27%, roc 10.37%
