I thought that in the run up to Christmas and the end of the year, I’d write a series of posts within which I’d give my own thoughts as to each of the strategies and services I’ve been following through 2024. Obviously I know a number of you will have your own choices and maybe one or two coincide with mine, or your portfolio may be entirely different. But at a time of year when we quite naturally start to look ahead to the next 12 months and to what our betting will look like, I thought that an explanation of and insight into thought processes might possibly be useful. Or, maybe not. But by jotting a few things down in here, I think I’ll find it useful in clarifying my own thoughts. And goddammit, this is ALL ABOUT ME, I TELL YOU! ME! ME! ME!
Let’s start with the Bookie Bashing Early Pay Out Tracker.
I feel I’m kinda limping towards a finishing line with this. And this fills me with sadness as the EP Tracker has been a firm friend to me, producing very consistent profit at a very healthy ROI. But the best things don’t last forever. It’s much like a faithful and loved dog reaching the ends of its life and in its senior years. You love it dearly, but the long, rambling walks that you both so enjoyed in each other’s company are no longer possible as the mutt is getting too old and arthritic to be doing with such nonsense, and instead your walks now are more a slow plod around the block.
The edge has been eroded by the removal of one particular bookmaker’s bonus attached to having all four wins within a Lucky 15. This can be circumvented by instead backing the four teams – and maybe adding a fifth – in a series of doubles, trebles, and fourfold/fivefolds. There remains a bonus on these winning bets that can add significantly to the long term ROI. I may well look to breathe new life into my old dog, learn new tricks, and benefit that way moving forward. We’ll see.
There is another issue though, and that’s having continued access to the book which easily is the most prolific in throwing up bets on the EP Tracker. Read between those fairly obvious lines, if you will please.
And moving on from that, and thinking about the importance of “priming” and new bookmaker account that might become available…this is where I see the EP Tracker having continued real value. Why not use the Tracker to find Single bets on teams in the major domestic and European leagues, and place those bets within a new account? You would think it unlikely that the profit would be huge unless you happen to be doing this whilst on a particularly hot streak, but over a number of bets you would hope not to lose too much if anything, and the nature of the bets aren’t going to raise the hackles of any traders poring over the record of an account in its infancy. And during this time, the odd high-EV+ combo bet(s) may just be the ticket.
So it’s unlikely that the EP Tracker will play as prominent a role for me in 2025 as it has in 2024. But in no way has it been made redundant. There’s value to be had yet.
It’s been a decent week so far, with betting on Cards using the Bookie Bashing Player Stats Tool proving lucrative. More on that and a figures update next week. Until then, have a great weekend!
